Sunday, September 29, 2019
Cy Young Predictor 2019
?The AL is going to be close, but Cole will take it over Verlander. Cole's lead in ERA and SO will take it over Verlander's lead in W and IP. Morton will finish ahead of Bieber. The fifth slot is where all the action is. Liam Hendriks has an outside shot, given that there are many SP candidates that will split that last slot: Lynn, Giolito, Rodriguez, Minor, Clevinger. But I'll make the official call that Lynn will finish 5th, Hendriks 6th, then the rest as I listed in order.
The NL is a foregone conclusion: deGrom will win. 2-3-4 will be very close, but Ryu's ERA lead will seal him for 2nd, and Flaherty's 2nd half dominance will put him in 3rd. The next 3 will be Nationals pitchers: Strasburg, Corbin, Scherzer, in that order. 7 thru 10: Kershaw, Gray, Soroka, RP Yates.
Our first glimpse will be when they announce the top 3 finalists. Look to see if it is Morton or Bieber. And look to see if Strasburg is in there or not.
I gotta say, this year is REALLY putting the model to the test. If the model fails, then I will hang it up, and will eagerly await the aspiring saberist to flex their Cy muscles. If the model succeeds, then you've gotta deal with me for at least another year or two.