Wednesday, November 18, 2015
Arrieta v Greinke v Kershaw
?Based on the 30 ballots submitted, if we drop everyone other than Arrieta and Greinke, this is how they ranked:
18 Arrieta
12 Greinke
If we drop everyone except Arrieta and Kershaw:
27 Arrieta
3 Kershaw
If we drop everyone except Kershaw and Greinke:
25 Greinke
5 Kershaw
So, Kershaw was clearly knocked out by the other 2, and it was simply a two-man race. When you sample 30 voters, and one pitcher is favored 18-12 that clearly shows that it could have gone either way given some other group of 30 voters.
***
What happens if we knock out these three pitchers?
Cole ends up with 15 1st place votes and 8 2nd place votes. Scherzer ends up with 13 and 6.
deGrom ends with 2 and 3, while Bumgarner ends up with 7 2nd place votes. deGrom actually ended up ahead of both Cole and Scherzer on two ballots.
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