Andrews, Donald W. K., 1993, Exactly median-unbiased estimation of first order autoregressive /unit root models, Econometrica 61, 139165.
Ang, Andrew, and Geert Bekaert, 2007, Stock return predictability: Is it there?, Review of Financial Studies 20, 651707.
Avramov, Doron, 2002, Stock return predictability and model uncertainty, Journal of Financial Economics 64, 423458.
Avramov, Doron, 2004, Stock return predictability and asset pricing models, Review of Financial Studies 17, 699738.
Avramov, Doron, and Guofu Zhou, 2010, Bayesian Portfolio Analysis, Annual Review of Financial Economics 2.
Balduzzi, Pierluigi, and Anthony W. Lynch, 1999, Transaction costs and predictability: some utility cost calculations, Journal of Financial Economics 52, 4778.
Barberis, Nicholas, 2000, Investing for the long run when returns are predictable, Journal of Finance 55, 225264.
- Berger, James O., 1985, Statistical decision theory and Bayesian analysis. (Springer New York).
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
- Bernstein, Peter L., 1992, Capital Ideas. (Free Press New York, NY).
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
Bossaerts, Peter, and Pierre Hillion, 1999, Implementing statistical criteria to select return forecasting models: What do we learn?, Review of Financial Studies 12, 405428.
Boudoukh, Jacob, Roni Michaely, Matthew Richardson, and Michael R. Roberts, 2007, On the importance of measuring payout yield: Implications for empirical asset pricing, Journal of Finance 62, 877915.
- Box, George, Gwilym M. Jenkins, and Gregory Reinsel, 1994, Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control, 3rd Edition. (Holden-Day Inc. S. Francisco, CA).
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
Brandt, Michael W., 1999, Estimating portfolio and consumption choice: A conditional Euler equations approach, Journal of Finance 54, 16091645.
- Brandt, Michael W., 2009, Portfolio choice problems, in Yacine Ait-Sahalia, and Lars Peter Hansen, eds.: Handbook of Financial Econometrics (North Holland, Amsterdam, The Netherlands ).
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
Brandt, Michael W., Amit Goyal, Pedro Santa-Clara, and Jonathan R. Stroud, 2005, A simulation approach to dynamics portfolio choice with an application to learning about return predictability, Review of Financial Studies 18, 831873.
Brennan, Michael J., Eduardo S. Schwartz, and Ronald Lagnado, 1997, Strategic asset allocation, Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control 21, 13771403.
Brennan, Michael, 1998, The role of learning in dynamic portfolio decisions, European finance review 1, 295306.
Campbell, John Y., 1993, Intertemporal asset pricing without consumption data, American Economic Review 83, 487512.
Campbell, John Y., 2003, Consumption-based asset pricing, in Handbook of the Economics of Finance Volume IB (North-Holland, Amsterdam, The Netherlands ).
- Campbell, John Y., 2006, Household Finance, Journal of Finance 61, 1553 1604.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
Campbell, John Y., 2008, Viewpoint: Estimating the equity premium, Canadian Journal of Economics 41, 121.
Campbell, John Y., and Luis M. Viceira, 1999, Consumption and portfolio decisions when expected returns are time-varying, Quarterly Journal of Economics 114, 433495.
Campbell, John Y., and Motohiro Yogo, 2006, Efficient tests of stock return predictability, Journal of Financial Economics 81, 2760.
Campbell, John Y., and Robert J. Shiller, 1988, The dividend-price ratio and expectations of future dividends and discount factors, Review of Financial Studies 1, 195228.
Campbell, John Y., and Samuel B. Thompson, 2008, Predicting excess stock returns out of sample: Can anything beat the historical average?, Review of Financial Studies 21, 15091531.
Campbell, John Y., George Chacko, Jorge Rodriguez, and Luis M. Viceira, 2004, Strategic asset allocation in a continuous-time VAR model, Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control 28, 21952214.
Chacko, George, and Luis Viceira, 2005, Dynamic consumption and portfolio choice with stochastic volatility in incomplete markets, Review of Financial Studies 18, 13691402.
- Chamberlain, Gary, 1999, Econometric applications of maxmin expected utility, Working paper, Harvard University.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
Chen, Hui, Nengjiu Ju, and Jianjun Miao, 2009, Dynamic asset allocation with ambiguous return predictability, working paper.
Chen, Zengjing, and Larry Epstein, 2002, Ambiguity, risk and asset returns in continuous time, Econometrica 70, 14031443.
- Chib, Siddhartha, and Edward Greenberg, 1995, Understanding the Metropolis-Hastings algorithm, American Statistician 49, 327335.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
Cochrane, John H., 1992, Explaining the variance of price-dividend ratios, Review of Financial Studies 5, 243280.
Cochrane, John H., 1999, Portfolio advice for a multifactor world, Economic Perspectives Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago 23, 5978.
Cochrane, John H., 2008, The dog that did not bark: A defense of return predictability, Review of Financial Studies 21, 15331575.
Cox, John C., and Chi-Fu Huang, 1989, Optimal consumption and portfolio policies when asset prices follow a diffusion process, Journal of Economic Theory 49, 3383.
Cox, John C., Jonathan C. Ingersoll, and Stephen A. Ross, 1985, A theory of the term structure of interest rates, Econometrica 53, 385408.
Cuoco, Domenico, 1997, Optimal consumption and equilibrium prices with portfolio constraints and stochastic income, Journal of Economic Theory 72, 33 73.
- Curcuru, Stephanie E., John Heaton, Deborah Lucas, and Damien Moore, 2009, Heterogeneity and portfolio choice: Theory and evidence, in Yacine Ait-Sahalia, and Lars Peter Hansen, eds.: Handbook of Financial Econometrics (North Holland, Amsterdam, The Netherlands ).
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
Detemple, Jerome B., 1986, Asset Pricing in a Production Economy with Incomplete Information, The Journal of Finance 41, 383391.
- Duffie, Darrell, 1996, Dynamic Asset Pricing Theory. (Princeton University Press Princeton, NJ).
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
- Duffie, Darrell, and Costis Skiadas, 1994, Continuous-time asset pricing: A utility gradient approach, Journal of Mathematical Economics 23, 107132.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
- Duffie, Darrell, and Larry G Epstein, 1992a, Asset pricing with stochastic differential utility, Review of Financial Studies 5, 411436.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
- Duffie, Darrell, and Larry G. Epstein, 1992b, Stochastic differential utility, Econometrica 60, 353394.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
Dybvig, Philip H., and Chi-Fu Huang, 1988, Nonnegative wealth, absence of arbitrage, and feasible consumption plans, Review of Financial Studies 1, 377401.
Dybvig, Philip H., L. C. G. Rogers, and Kerry Back, 1999, Portfolio Turnpikes, The Review of Financial Studies 12, 165195.
Epstein, Larry G., and Stanley E. Zin, 1991, Substitution, risk aversion, and the temporal behavior of consumption and asset returns: An empirical analysis, Journal of Political Economy 99, 263286.
Epstein, Larry, and Stan Zin, 1989, Substitution, risk aversion and the temporal behavior of consumption and asset returns: A theoretical framework, Econometrica 57, 937969.
Fama, Eugene F., and Kenneth R. French, 1989, Business conditions and expected returns on stocks and bonds, Journal of Financial Economics 25, 2349.
Fama, Eugene F., and William G. Schwert, 1977, Asset returns and inflation, Journal of Financial Economics 5, 115146.
Garlappi, Lorenzo, Raman Uppal, and Tan Wang, 2007, Portfolio selection with parameter and model uncertainty: A multi-prior approach, Review of Financial Studies 20, 4181.
- Gelman, Andrew, John B. Carlin, Hal S. Stern, and Donald B. Rubin, 1996, Bayesian Data Analysis. (Chapman & Hall/CRC London, UK).
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
Gennotte, Gerard, 1986, Optimal Portfolio Choice Under Incomplete Information, The Journal of Finance 41, 733746.
Gilboa, Itzhak, and David Schmeidler, 1989, Maxmin expected utility with non-unique prior, Journal of Mathematical Economics 18, 141153.
Goetzmann, William N., and Philippe Jorion, 1993, Testing the predictive power of dividend yields, Journal of Finance 48, 663679.
Goyal, Amit, and Ivo Welch, 2008, A comprehensive look at the empirical performance of equity premium prediction, Review of Financial Studies 21, 14551508.
- Graham, Benjamin, and David L. Dodd, 1934, Security Analysis. (McGraw Hill New York) 1 edn.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
Hansen, Lars Peter, 2007, Beliefs, doubts and learning: Valuing macroeconomic risk, The American Economic Review 97, 130.
He, Hua, and Neil D. Pearson, 1991, Consumption and portfolio policies with incomplete markets and short-sale constraints: The infinite dimensional case, Journal of Economic Theory 54, 259304.
Hodrick, Robert J., 1992, Dividend yields and expected stock returns: Alternative procedures for inference and measurement, Review of Financial Studies 5, 357386.
- Jeffreys, Harold, 1961, Theory of Probability. (Oxford University Press Clarenden).
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
- Johannes, Michael, and Nicholas Polson, 2006, MCMC methods for financial econometrics, in Yacine Ait-Sahalia, and Lars Hansen, eds.: Handbook of Financial Econometrics (Elsevier, North-Holland ).
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
Kandel, Shmuel, and Robert F. Stambaugh, 1996, On the predictability of stock returns: An asset allocation perspective, Journal of Finance 51, 385424.
- Karatzas, Ioannis, John P. Lehoczky, and Steven E. Shreve, 1987, Optimal portfolio and consumption decisions for a small investor on a finite horizon, SIAM Journal of Control and Optimization 25, 15571586.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
Keim, Donald B., and Robert F. Stambaugh, 1986, Predicting returns in the stock and bond markets, Journal of Financial Economics 17, 357390.
Kihlstrom, Richard, 2009, Risk aversion and the elasticity of substitution in general dynamic portfolio theory: Consistent planning by forward looking, expected utility maximizing investors, Journal of Mathematical Economics 45, 634 663.
Kim, Tong Suk, and Edward Omberg, 1996, Dynamic nonmyopic portfolio behavior, Review of Financial Studies 9, 141161.
Lettau, Martin, and Sydney C. Ludvigson, 2001, Consumption, aggregate wealth and expected stock returns, Journal of Finance 56, 815849.
Lewellen, Jonathan, 2004, Predicting returns with financial ratios, Journal of Financial Economics 74, 209235.
Liu, Jun, 2007, Portfolio selection in stochastic environments, Review of Financial Studies 20, 139.
Maenhout, Pascal, 2006, Robust portfolio rules and detection-error probabilities for a meanreverting risk premium, Journal of Economic Theory 128, 136163.
- Markowitz, Harry, 1952, Portfolio Selection, The Journal of Finance 7, 7791.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
Merton, Robert C., 1971, Optimum consumption and portfolio rules in a continuous-time model, Journal of Economic Theory 3, 373413.
Merton, Robert C., 1973, An intertemporal capital asset pricing model, Econometrica 41, 867887.
Merton, Robert C., 1980, On estimating the expected return on the market : An exploratory investigation, Journal of Financial Economics 8, 323 361.
Pastor, Lubos, and Pietro Veronesi, 2009, Learning in Financial Markets, Annual Review of Financial Economics 1, 361381.
Pastor, Lubos, and Robert F. Stambaugh, 2009a, Are stocks really less volatile in the long run?, working paper.
Pastor, Lubos, and Robert F. Stambaugh, 2009b, Predictive systems: Living with imperfect predictors, Journal of Finance 64, 1583 1628.
Pliska, Stanley R., 1986, A Stochastic calculus model of continuous trading: Optimal portfolios, Mathematics of Operations Research 11, 371382.
Poterba, James M., and Lawrence H. Summers, 1988, Mean reversion in stock prices: Evidence and implications, Journal of Financial Economics 22, 2759.
Samuelson, Paul A, 1969, Lifetime Portfolio Selection by Dynamic Stochastic Programming, The Review of Economics and Statistics 51, 23946.
Schroder, Mark, and Costis Skiadas, 1999, Optimal consumption and portfolio selection with stochastic differential utility, Journal of Economic Theory 89, 68126.
- Shanken, Jay A., and Ane Tamayo, 2005, Dividend yield, risk, and mispricing: A Bayesian analysis, Working paper, Emory University and London Business School.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
- Siegel, Jeremy J., 1994, Stocks for the long run: a guide to selecting markets for long-term growth. (Irwin Burr Ridge, IL).
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
Sims, Christopher A., and Harald Uhlig, 1991, Understanding unit rooters: A helicopter tour, Econometrica 59, 15911599.
- Skiadas, Costis, 2007, Dynamic portfolio choice and risk aversion, in John Birge, and Vadim Linetsky, eds.: Handbooks in operations research and management science: Financial Engineering (North-Holland, Amsterdam, The Netherlands ).
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
- Skoulakis, Georgios, 2007, Dynamic portfolio choice with Bayesian learning, Working paper, University of Maryland.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
- Stambaugh, Robert F., 1999, Predictive regressions, Journal of Financial Economics 54, 375421.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
Uhlig, Harald, 1994, On Jeffreys prior when using the exact likelihood function, Econometric Theory 10, 633644.
Wachter, Jessica A., 2002, Portfolio and consumption decisions under mean-reverting returns: An exact solution for complete markets, Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis 37, 6391.
Wachter, Jessica A., 2008, Can time-varying risk of rare disasters explain aggregate stock market volatility?, NBER working paper #14386.
Wachter, Jessica A., and Missaka Warusawitharana, 2009a, Predictable returns and asset allocation: Should a skeptical investor time the market?, Journal of Econometrics 148, 162178.
Wachter, Jessica A., and Missaka Warusawitharana, 2009b, What is the chance that the equity premium varies over time? Evidence from predictive regressions, Working paper, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve and University of Pennsylvania.
Weil, Philippe, 1990, Nonexpected utility in macroeconomics, Quarterly Journal of Economics 105, 2942.
Xia, Yihong, 2001, Learning about predictability: The effects of parameter uncertainty on dynamic asset allocation, Journal of Finance 56, 205246.
- Zellner, Arnold, 1971, An introduction to Bayesian inference in econometrics. (John Wiley and Sons, Inc. New York, NY).
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now