Abrams, David S. 2012. “Estimating the Deterrent Effect of Incarceration Using Sentencing Enhancements.†American Economic Journal: Applied Economics 4(4): 32–56.
- Additionally, as described in Appendix section A.5, NIBRS incident counts are weighted not only to account for incomplete jurisdiction coverage of each state’s population, but also to account for missing offender demographic characteristics. 800 900 1,000 1,100 1,200 Nominal USD −1,800 −1,440 −1,080 −720 −360 0 360 720 1,080 1,440 1,800 Days from Enactment Bin width = 30 days Larceny Stolen Value (Unweighted) Treatment group: Larceny Control group: Non−larceny Theft Figure A1: DD Plot—Larceny Stolen Value (Unweighted), excluding CO(2013) and WA Source(s): State legislation, National Incident-Based Reporting System data, and author’s calculations.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
Agan, Amanda, and Sonja Starr. 2018. “Ban the Box, Criminal Records, and Racial Discrimination: A Field Experiment.†Quarterly Journal of Economics 133(1): 191–235.
- Becker, Gary S. 1968. “Crime and Punishment: An Economic Approach.†Journal of Political Economy 76(2): 169–217.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
- Calonico, Sebastian, Matias D. Cattaneo, Max H. Farrell, and Rocio Titiunik. 2017. “Robust Data-Driven Inference in the Regression-Discontinuity Design.†Stata Journal 17(2): 372– 404.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
Chen, M. Keith, and Jesse M. Shapiro. 2007. “Do Harsher Prison Conditions Reduce Recidivism ? A Discontinuity-based Approach.†American Law and Economics Review 9(1): 1–29.
- Correia, Sergio. 2016. “Linear Models with High-Dimensional Fixed Effects: An Efficient and Feasible Estimator.†Working Paper. Durham, NC: Duke University. Doleac, Jennifer L., and Benjamin Hansen. Forthcoming. “The Unintended Consequences of ‘Ban the Box’: Statistical Discrimination and Employment Outcomes when Criminal Histories are Hidden.†Journal of Labor Economics.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
Doleac, Jennifer L., and Nicholas J. Sanders. 2015. “Under the Cover of Darkness: How Ambient Light Influences Criminal Activity.†Review of Economics and Statistics 97(5): 1093–1103.
Drago, Francesco, Roberto Galbiati, and Pietro Vertova. 2009. “The Deterrent Effects of Prison: Evidence from a Natural Experiment.†Journal of Political Economy 117(2): 257–280.
- Durose, Matthew R., and Patrick A. Langan. 2003. “Felony Sentences in State Courts, 2000.†Bureau of Justice Statistics Bulletin. Washington, DC: Bureau of Justice Statistics.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
Gelman, Andrew, and Guido Imbens. 2019. “Why High-order Polynomials Should Not Be Used in Regression Discontinuity Designs.†Journal of Business & Economic Statistics 37(3): 447–456.
- Hansen, Benjamin. 2015. “Punishment and Deterrence: Evidence from Drunk Driving.†American Economic Review 105(4): 1581–1617.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
- Helland, Eric, and Alexander Tabarrok. 2007. “Does Three Strikes Deter: A Non-Parametric Investigation.†Journal of Human Resources 42(2): 309–330.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
Holzer, Harry J., Steven Raphael, and Michael A. Stoll. 2006. “Perceived Criminality, Criminal Background Checks, and the Racial Hiring Practices of Employers.†Journal of Law and Economics 49(2): 451–480.
- Imbens, Guido, and Karthik Kalyanaraman. 2012. “Optimal Bandwidth Choice for the Regression Discontinuity Estimator.†Review of Economic Studies 79(3): 933–959. Jackson, Osborne, and Riley Sullivan. Forthcoming. “The Impact of Felony Larceny Thresholds on Crime in New England.†Research Report. Boston, MA: Federal Reserve Bank of Boston.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
Jackson, Osborne, and Bo Zhao. 2016. “The Effect of Changing Employers’ Access to Criminal Histories on Ex-offenders’ Labor Market Outcomes: Evidence from the 2010– 2012 Massachusetts CORI Reform.†Working Paper 16-30. Boston, MA: Federal Reserve Bank of Boston.
Kessler, Daniel P., and Steven D. Levitt. 1999. “Using Sentence Enhancements to Distinguish between Deterrence and Incapacitation.†Journal of Law and Economics 42(1): 343–363.
- Krisai, Lauren. 2017. “Stuck in the 80s: Time for Reform of Florida’s Felony Theft Threshold. †The Journal of the James Madison Institute (Spring).
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
- Lee, David S., and Justin McCrary. 2017. “The Deterrence Effect of Prison: Dynamic Theory and Evidence.†In Regression Discontinuity Design: Theory and Applications (Volume 38 in the Advances in Econometrics Series), edited by Mattias D. Cattaneo and Juan Carlos Escanciano, 73–146. Bradford, UK: Emerald Publishing.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
- Lee, David S., and Thomas Lemieux. 2010. “Regression Discontinuity Designs in Economics.†Journal of Economic Literature 48(2): 281–355.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
Levitt, Steven D. 2004. “Understanding Why Crime Fell in the 1990s: Four Factors that Explain the Decline and Six that Do Not.†Journal of Economic Perspectives 18(1): 163–190.
- Ludwig, Jens, and Douglas L. Miller. 2007. “Does Head Start Improve Children’s Life Chances? Evidence from a Regression Discontinuity Design.†Quarterly Journal of Economics 122(1): 159–208.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
- National Archive of Criminal Justice Data. 2018. “National Incident-Based Reporting System, 2000–2015: Extract Files.†Ann Arbor, MI: Inter-university Consortium for Political and Social Research [distributor], 2009-09-14–2018-10-05.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
- Neal, Derek, and Armin Rick. 2016. “The Prison Boom and Sentencing Policy.†Journal of Legal Studies 45(1): 1–41.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
- Note(s): “Short-Run Sample†reflects 120 days surrounding the applicable day of enactment for each jurisdiction. The resulting sample of larceny incidents corresponds to 2,193 jurisdictions. item price ($550) modal threshold ($500) 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 Number of States 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 Felony Larceny Threshold in 2000 (Nominal USD) Distribution of Felony Larceny Thresholds in 2000 item price ($757) modal threshold ($1,000) 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 Number of States 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 Felony Larceny Threshold in 2015 (Nominal USD) Distribution of Felony Larceny Thresholds in 2015 Figure 2: Variation in Larceny Thresholds, 2000 and 2015 Source(s): State legislation, Bureau of Labor Statistics’ Consumer Price Index inflation calculator, and author’s calculations.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
- Note(s): Sample of state-enactment events excludes Colorado (2013) and Washington. 600 700 800 900 Nominal USD −1,800 −1,440 −1,080 −720 −360 0 360 720 1,080 1,440 1,800 Days from Enactment Larceny Stolen Value (Unweighted) Treatment group: Larceny Control group: Non−larceny Theft Bin width = 30 days Figure A2: DD Plot—Larceny Stolen Value (Unweighted), New Hampshire Source(s): State legislation, National Incident-Based Reporting System data, and author’s calculations. Note(s): Sample of state-enactment events is for New Hampshire only.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
- Number of Reporting Agencies Treatment state county, 1 NIBRS agencies Treatment state county, 2 NIBRS agencies Treatment state county, 3 NIBRS agencies Treatment state county, 4−30 NIBRS agencies No data Figure 1: Jurisdictions with Larceny Incidents in Short-Run Sample, 2000–2015 by County Source(s): State legislation, National Incident-Based Reporting System data, and author’s calculations.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
- Pager, Devah. 2003. “The Mark of a Criminal Record.†American Journal of Sociology 108(5): 937–975.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
- Pew Charitable Trusts. 2017. “The Effects of Changing Felony Theft Thresholds.†Chartbook, April. Philadelphia, PA: The Pew Charitable Trusts.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
- Pew Charitable Trusts. 2018. “South Carolina Reduced Theft Penalties While Safely Cutting Prison Population.†Brief, March. Philadelphia, PA: The Pew Charitable Trusts.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
- Rhodes, William, Gerald Gaes, Tom Rich, Yuli Almozlino, Mica Astion, Ryan Kling, Jeremy Luallen, Kevin Neary, and Michael Shively. 2012. “National Corrections Reporting Program (NCRP) White Paper Series, White Paper # 1: Observations on the NCRP.†Cambridge, MA: Abt Associates Inc.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
- Rosenmerkel, Sean, Matthew Durose, and Donald Farole Jr. 2009. “Felony Sentences in State Courts, 2006.†Bureau of Justice Statistics Statistical Tables. Washington, DC: Bureau of Justice Statistics.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
Shannon, Sarah K.S., Christopher Uggen, Jason Schnittker, Melissa Thompson, Sara Wakefield, and Michael Massoglia. 2017. “The Growth, Scope, and Spatial Distribution of People with Felony Records in the United States, 1948–2010.†Demography 54(5): 1795– 1818.
Solon, Gary, Steven J. Haider, and Jeffrey M. Wooldridge. 2015. “What Are We Weighting For?†Journal of Human Resources 50(2): 301–316.
- Source(s): Author’s calculations using state legislation and 2000–2015 National Incident-Based Reporting System data.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
- Source(s): Author’s calculations using state legislation, 2000–2015 US Census Bureau population data, 2000–2015 National Corrections Reporting Program (NCRP) data, and 2000-2015 National Incident-Based Reporting System (NIBRS) data. Note(s): Each column displays an estimate from an OLS regression of some incarceration-related measure on a binary indicator for felony larceny threshold enactment interacted with a binary indicator for larceny outcomes (difference-in-differences [DD] treatment group) rather than non-larceny theft outcomes (DD control group), as noted. All regressions also include the enactment and larceny indicators individually (not interacted) and a constant. I restrict NCRP data to align the timing of NIBRS incidents with NCRP admissions.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
- Source(s): Author’s calculations using state legislation, 2000–2015 US Census Bureau population data, 2000–2015 National Corrections Reporting Program (NCRP) data, and 2000-2015 National Incident-Based Reporting System (NIBRS) data. Note(s): Each column displays an estimate from an OLS regression of some incarceration-related measure on a binary indicator for felony larceny threshold enactment, as noted. All regressions also include a constant. I restrict NCRP data to align the timing of NIBRS incidents with NCRP admissions.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
- United States Department of Justice. 2013. “National Incident-Based Reporting System (NIBRS) User Manual (Version 1.0).†Washington, DC: Federal Bureau of Investigation.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
- United States Department of Justice. 2016. “National Corrections Reporting Program, 2000– 2015 Codebook.†Ann Arbor, MI: Inter-university Consortium for Political and Social Research.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
- United States Department of Justice. 2017. “National Corrections Reporting Program, 2000–2015.†Office of Justice Programs. Bureau of Justice Statistics. Ann Arbor, MI: Inter-university Consortium for Political and Social Research [distributor], 2017-06-22. https://doi.org/10.3886/ICPSR36746.v1.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now