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Quantifying Brexit: From Ex Post to Ex Ante Using Structural Gravity. (2018). Felbermayr, Gabriel ; Steininger, Marina ; Groschl, Jasmin Katrin.
In: CESifo Working Paper Series.
RePEc:ces:ceswps:_7357.

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  1. .

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  2. Trade and welfare effects of a potential free trade agreement between Japan and the United States. (2022). Walter, Timo.
    In: Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv).
    RePEc:spr:weltar:v:158:y:2022:i:4:d:10.1007_s10290-022-00459-0.

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  3. Global value chains, trade shocks and jobs: An application to Brexit. (2022). Simons, Wouter ; Connell, William ; Vandenbussche, Hylke.
    In: The World Economy.
    RePEc:bla:worlde:v:45:y:2022:i:8:p:2338-2369.

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  4. Consequences of FTA Withdrawal: Evidence from Uxit. (2021). Korn, Tobias ; Gnutzmann, Hinnerk.
    In: Hannover Economic Papers (HEP).
    RePEc:han:dpaper:dp-681.

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  5. Consequences of FTA Withdrawal: Evidence from Uxit. (2021). Gnutzmann-Mkrtchyan, Arevik ; Korn, Tobias.
    In: CESifo Working Paper Series.
    RePEc:ces:ceswps:_8859.

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  6. EU economic integration agreements, Brexit and trade. (2020). Bliss, Martin ; Stack, Marie M.
    In: Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv).
    RePEc:spr:weltar:v:156:y:2020:i:3:d:10.1007_s10290-020-00379-x.

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  7. Brexit: what economic impacts does the literature anticipate?. (2020). Mathieu, Catherine.
    In: Post-Print.
    RePEc:hal:journl:hal-03403036.

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  8. Brexit-Finale: Das letzte Ringen um einen Deal. (2020). Langhammer, Rolf ; Harms, Philipp ; Wiest, Lena ; Teti, Feodora ; Flach, Lisandra ; Kaeding, Michael ; Kainer, Friedemann ; Hefeker, Carsten ; Wuermeling, Joachim ; Scheckenhofer, Lisa ; Atzei, Margherita.
    In: ifo Schnelldienst.
    RePEc:ces:ifosdt:v:73:y:2020:i:12:p:03-27.

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  9. EU27 and the UK: Product Dependencies and the Implications of Brexit. (2020). Teti, Feodora ; Flach, Lisandra ; Atzei, Margherita ; Wiest, Lena.
    In: EconPol Policy Brief.
    RePEc:ces:econpb:_32.

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  10. Trade-related effects of Brexit. Implications for Central and Eastern Europe.. (2020). Michałek, Jan ; Hagemejer, Jan ; Szyszka, Jacek ; Michalek, Jan ; Dunin-Wasowicz, Maria.
    In: Conference papers.
    RePEc:ags:pugtwp:333187.

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  11. Update of the Medium-term Forecast of the Austrian Economy 2019 to 2023. (2019). Pitlik, Hans ; Kaniovski, Serguei ; Baumgartner, Josef.
    In: WIFO Bulletin.
    RePEc:wfo:wblltn:y:2019:i:6:p:47-56.

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  12. Economic Growth Remains Low, but Stable. Medium-term Forecast of the Austrian Economy Until 2024. (2019). Schiman, Stefan ; Klien, Michael ; Kaniovski, Serguei ; Baumgartner, Josef.
    In: WIFO Bulletin.
    RePEc:wfo:wblltn:y:2019:i:12:p:99-117.

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  13. Update of the Medium-term Forecast of the Austrian Economy 2019 to 2023. (2019). Pitlik, Hans ; Kaniovski, Serguei ; Baumgartner, Josef.
    In: WIFO Monatsberichte (monthly reports).
    RePEc:wfo:monber:y:2019:i:4:p:221-230.

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  14. WIFO-Monatsberichte, no 4/2019. (2019). N. N., .
    In: WIFO Monatsberichte (monthly reports).
    RePEc:wfo:monber:y:2019:i:4.

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  15. Wirtschaftswachstum weiterhin niedrig, aber stabil. Mittelfristige Prognose der österreichischen Wirtschaft bis 2024. (2019). Schiman, Stefan ; Klien, Michael ; Kaniovski, Serguei ; Baumgartner, Josef.
    In: WIFO Monatsberichte (monthly reports).
    RePEc:wfo:monber:y:2019:i:10:p:737-755.

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  16. A survey of the long-term impact of Brexit on the UK and the EU27 economies. (2019). Bisciari, Patrick.
    In: Working Paper Research.
    RePEc:nbb:reswpp:201901-366.

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  17. Ireland and Brexit: modelling the impact of deal and no-deal scenarios. (2019). Murphy, Gavin ; Economides, Philip ; Garcia-Rodriguez, Abian ; Bergin, Adele.
    In: Quarterly Economic Commentary: Special Articles.
    RePEc:esr:qecsas:2019:spring:bergin.

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  18. Brexit: Eine “Hard-but-Smart”–Strategie und ihre Folgen. (2019). Felbermayr, Gabriel.
    In: ifo Schnelldienst.
    RePEc:ces:ifosdt:v:72:y:2019:i:04:p:27-33.

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  19. Hard Brexit ahead: breaking the deadlock. (2019). Fuest, Clemens ; Thum, Marcel ; Ritschl, Albrecht O ; Gersbach, Hans ; Felbermayr, Gabriel J ; Braml, Martin.
    In: EconPol Policy Brief.
    RePEc:ces:econpb:_12.

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  20. Global Value Chains, Trade Shocks and Jobs: An Application to Brexit. (2019). Simons, Wouter ; Connell, William ; Vandenbussche, Hylke.
    In: CESifo Working Paper Series.
    RePEc:ces:ceswps:_7473.

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  21. No Longer “The Economy Stupid”: How Muddled Economics Contributed to a Chaotic Brexit. (2019). Iain, Begg.
    In: The Economists' Voice.
    RePEc:bpj:evoice:v:16:y:2019:i:1:p:14:n:14.

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References

References cited by this document

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  10. Fally, T., 2015. Structural Gravity and Fixed Effects. Journal of International Economics 97 (1), 76–85.
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  11. Felbermayr, G., Gröschl, J., Steinwachs, T., 2018. The Trade Effects of Border Controls: Evidence from the European Schengen Agreement. Journal of Common Market Studies 2 (56), 335–351.

  12. Hobijn, B., Nechio, F., 2018. Sticker Shocks: Using VAT Changes to Estimate Upper-Level Elasticities of Substitution. Journal of the European Economic Association, forthcoming.
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  13. Keynes, M., 1929. The German Transfer Problem. Economic Journal 39, 1–7.
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  14. Lakatos, C., Nilsson, L., 2017. The EU-Korea FTA: Anticipation, Trade Policy Uncertainty and Impact. Review of World Economics 153 (1), 179–198.

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  17. Sampson, T., 2017. Brexit: The Economics of International Disintegration. Journal of Economic Perspectives 31 (4), 163–84.

  18. Santos Silva, J., Tenreyro, S., 2006. The Log of Gravity. Review of Economics and Statistics 88 (4), 641–658.

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  20. To solve the system for multiple sectors, we again relate to Caliendo and Parro (2015), who extend the single-sector solution algorithm proposed by Alvarez and Lucas (2007). We start See also Caliendo and Parro (2015). Solving for counterfactual changes rather than levels strongly reduces the set of parameters and moments that have to be estimated or calibrated. In particular, no information on price levels, iceberg trade costs, or productivity levels is needed. with an initial guess about a vector of wage changes. Using (11) and (12), it computes changes in prices, trade shares, expenditure levels, evaluates the trade balance condition (15), and updates the change in wages based on deviations in the trade balance. A.2 Details on Data and Results
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  21. Vandenbussche, H., Connell, W., Simons, W., 2017. Global Value Chains, Trade Shocks, and Jobs: An Application to Brexit. CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP12303.

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  48. Revisiting the Euro’s Trade Cost and Welfare Effects. (2019). Felbermayr, Gabriel ; Marina, Steininger ; Gabriel, Felbermayr.
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  49. On the Effects of Sanctions on Trade and Welfare: New Evidence Based on Structural Gravity and a New Database. (2019). Yotov, Yoto ; Yalcin, Erdal ; Syropoulos, Constantinos ; Felbermayr, Gabriel.
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  50. Quantifying Brexit: From Ex Post to Ex Ante Using Structural Gravity. (2018). Felbermayr, Gabriel ; Steininger, Marina ; Groschl, Jasmin Katrin.
    In: CESifo Working Paper Series.
    RePEc:ces:ceswps:_7357.

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