- “Labor Market Tightness in Advanced Economies.” International Monetary Fund Staff Discussion Notes 2022/001.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
- Adrian, T. 2022. “Are Household Inflation Expectations De-Anchoring?” Speech to the European Banking Institute, May 17.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
- Albagli, E., F. Grigoli and E. Luttini. 2022. “Inflation Expectations and the Supply Chain.” IMF Working Papers 2022 (161).
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
- Alessandria, G., S. Y. Khan, A. Khederlarian, C. Mix and K. J. Ruhl. 2022. “The Aggregate Effects of Supply-Chain Delays.” Discussion paper.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
- Armantier, O., F. Boumahdi, L. Goldman, G. Koşar, J. Lu, G. Topa and W. van der Klaauw. 2021. “Have Consumers’ Long-Run Inflation Expectations Become Un-Anchored?” Federal Reserve Bank of New York Liberty Street Economics, September 24. Ball, L., L. Daniel and P. Mishra. “Understanding US Inflation During the COVID Era.” Brookings Papers on Economic Activity conference, September 8–9.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
- Barrero, J. M., N. Bloom, S. J. Davis, B. H. Meyer and E. Mihaylov. 2022. “The Shift to Remote Work Lessens Wage-Growth Pressures.” National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper No. 30197.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
- Beaudry, P. 2022. “Economic Progress Report: Navigating a High Inflation Environment.” Remarks (delivered virtually) to the Gatineau Chamber ofCommerce. Gatineau, Quebec, June 2.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
Beaudry, P., T. Carter and A. Lahiri. 2022. “Looking Through Supply Shocks versus Controlling Inflation Expectations: Understanding the Central Bank Dilemma.” Bank of Canada Staff Working Paper No. 2022-41.
- Bianchi, F. and L. Melosi. 2022. “Inflation as a Fiscal Limit.” Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago Working Paper Serie No. WP 2022-37.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
Blanchflower, D. G., A. Bryson and J. Spurling. 2022. “The Wage Curve After the Great Recession.” DoQSS Working Paper No. 22-06, Quantitative Social Science - UCL Social Research Institute, University College London.
Blinder, A. S., M. Ehrmann, J. de Haan and D.-J. Jansen. 2022. “Central Bank Communication with the General Public: Promise or False Hope?” Princeton University Economics Department Working Paper No. 2022-5.
- Bolhuis, M. A., J. N. L. Cramer and L. H. Summers. 2022. “The Coming Rise in Residential Inflation.” National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper No. 29795.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
Borio, C. 2021. “Navigating by r*: Safe or Hazardous?” Bank for International Settlements Working Paper. No 982.
Bunn, P., L. S. Anayi, N. Bloom, P. Mizen, G. Thwaites and I. Yotzov. 2022. “Firming up Price Inflation.” National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper No. 30505. Caballero, R. J. and A. Simsek. Forthcoming. “A Note on Temporary Supply Shocks with Aggregate Demand Inertia.” American Economic Review: Insights.
Caldara, D., S. Conlisk, M. Iacoviello and M. Penn. 2022. “The Effect of the War in Ukraine on Global Activity and Inflation.” FEDS Notes, May 27. Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System.
- Carstens, A. 2022. “A Story of Tailwinds and Headwinds: Aggregate Supply and Macroeconomic Stabilisation.” Speech at the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium, August 26.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
Cascaldi-Garcia, D., F. Loria and D. López-Salido. 2022. “Is Trend Inflation at Risk of Becoming Unanchored? The Role of Inflation Expectations.” FEDS Notes, March 31. Board of Governors ofthe Federal Reserve System.
- Cavallo, A. and O. Kryvtsov. 2022. “What Can Stockouts Tell Us About Inflation? Evidence from Online Micro Data.” Working paper.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
Cavallo, A., G. Cruces and R. Perez-Truglia. 2017. “Inflation Expectations, Learning, and Supermarket Prices: Evidence fromSurvey Experiments.” American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics 9 (3): 1–35.
- Charest, J. and J. White. 2015. “Exploring the First Century of Canada’s Consumer Price Index.” Statistics Canada, Catalogue no. 62-604-X.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
- Clark, T. E., M. W. McCracken and E. Mertens. 2020. “Modeling Time-Varying Uncertainty of Multiple-Horizon Forecast Errors.” Review of Economics and Statistics 102 (1): 17–33.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
Cochrane, J. H. 2022. “Inflation Past, Present and Future: Fiscal Shocks, Fed Response, and Fiscal Limits.” National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper No. 30096.
Coibion, O. and Y. Gorodnichenko. 2015. “Is the Phillips Curve Alive and Well after All? Inflation Expectations and the Missing Disinflation.” American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics 7 (1): 197–232.
Corsello, F., S. Neri and A. Tagliabracci. 2021. “Anchored or De-anchored? That Is the Question.” European Journal of Political Economy 69 (102031).
- Crump, R. K., S. Eusepi, M. Giannoni and A. Şahin. 2022. “The Unemployment-Inflation Tradeoff Revisited: The Phillips Curve in COVID Times.” National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper No. 29785.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
- Dahlhaus, T., D. Hyun, A. Poulin-Moore, J. Trujillo, S. Sheikh and B. Straus. 2022. “COVID-19, Containment and Consumption.” Bank of Canada Staff Discussion Paper No. 2022-5.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
- De Soyres, F., A. M. Santacreu and H. Young. 2022. “Demand-Supply Imbalance During the Covid-19 Pandemic: The Role of Fiscal Policy.” Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System International Finance Discussion Papers 2022-1353 Del Negro, M., M. P. Giannoni and C. Patterson. 2012. “The Forward Guidance Puzzle."Federal Reserve Bank of New York Staff Report No. 574.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
- Di Giovanni, J. Ṣ. Kalemli-Özcan, A. Silva and M. A. Yildirim. 2022. “Global Supply Chain Pressures, International Trade, and Inflation.” National Bureau ofEconomic Research Working Paper No. 30240.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
- Domash, A. and L. H. Summers. 2022a. “How Tight Are U.S. Labor Markets?” National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper No. 29739.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
Domash, A. and L. H. Summers. 2022b. “A Labor Market View on the Risks of a U.S. Hard Landing.” Journal of Policy Modeling 44 (4): 758–767.
Dunn, J. and F. Leibovici. 2021. “Supply Chain Bottlenecks and Inflation: The Role of Semiconductors.” Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Economic Synopses 28: 1–2.
- Dynan, K. 2022. “What Is Needed to Tame US Inflation?” Peterson Institute for International Economics, March 10.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
Ens, E., C. Luu, K. See and S. L. Wee. 2022. “Benchmarks for Assessing Labour Market Health.
Eo, Y., L. Uzeda and B. Wong. 2022. “Understanding Trend Inflation Through the Lens of the Goods and Services Sectors.” Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis Working Paper No. 28/2022.
Erceg, C. J. and A. T. Levin. 2003. “Imperfect Credibility and Inflation Persistence.” Journal of Monetary Economics 50 (4): 915–944.
Faberman, J., A. Mueller and A. Şahin. 2022. “Has the Willingness to Work Fallen During the COVID Pandemic?” Labour Economics 79 (102275).
- Fairless, T. 2022. “Will Inflation Stay High for Decades? One Influential Economist Says Yes.” Wall Street Journal, March 9. Fernández-Villaverde, J. and P. A. Guerrón-Quintana. “Uncertainty Shocks and Business Cycle Research.” Review of Economic Dynamics 37 (Supplement 1): S118–S146.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
- Fornaro, L. and F. Romei. 2022. “Monetary Policy During Unbalanced Global Recoveries.” Centre for Economic Policy Research Press Discussion Paper No. 16971.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
- Francis, M. 2007. “The Effect of China on Global Prices.” Bank of Canada Review (Autumn): 13– 25.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
- Furman, J. 2022. “Will Anchored Inflation Expectations Actually Anchor Inflation?” Peterson Institute for International Economics, March 10.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
- Gagnon, E., P. Sabourin and S. Lavoie. 2004. “The Comparative Growth of Goods and Services Prices.” Bank of Canada Review (Winter 2003–2004): 3–10.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
- Gilchrist, S. and E. Zakrajšek. 2020. “Trade Exposure and the Evolution of Inflation Dynamics.” In Changing Inflation Dynamics, Evolving Monetary Policy, edited by G. Castex, J. Galí and D. Saravia, 173–218. Central Bank of Chile.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
Goodhart, C. and M. Pradhan. 2020. The Great Demographic Reversal: Ageing Societies, Waning Inequality, and an Inflation Revival. London, UK: Palgrave Macmillan.
- Gorea, D., O. Kryvtsov and M. Kudlyak. 2022. “House Price Responses to Monetary Policy Surprises: Evidence fromthe U.S. Listings Data.” Bank of Canada Staff Working Paper No. 2022-39.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
Guerrieri, V., G. Lorenzoni, L. Straub and I. Werning. 2022. "Macroeconomic Implications of COVID-19: Can Negative Supply Shocks Cause Demand Shortages?" American Economic Review 112 (5): 1437–1474.
- Hansen, L. P. and T. J. Sargent. 2003. “Robust Control ofForward-Looking Models.” Journal of Monetary Economics 50 (3): 581–604.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
- Harding, M., J. Lindé and M. Trabandt. 2022. “Understanding Post-Covid Inflation Dynamics.” Bank of Canada Staff Working Paper No. 2022-50.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
Hendry, D. F. and K. Hubrich. 2011. “Combining Disaggregate Forecasts or Combining Disaggregate Information to Forecast an Aggregate.” Journal of Business and Economic Statistics 29 (2): 216–227.
- Herrendorf, B., R. Rogerson and . Valentinyi. 2014. “Growth and Structural Transformation.” In Handbook of Economic Growth, Volume 2, edited by P. Aghion and S. N. Durlauf, 855–941.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
- Ilzetzki, E. 2022. “Commentary: Inflation as a Fiscal Limit.” Discussion at Jackson Hole Economic Symposium, August.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
Ireland, P. N. 2007. “Changes in the Federal Reserve’s Inflation Target: Causes and Consequences.” Journal of Money, Credit and Banking 39 (8): 1851–1882.
- Jordan, T. J. 2022. “Monetary Policy Under New Constraints: Challenges for the Swiss National Bank.” Panel remarks at the Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium: Reassessing Constraints on the Economy and Policy, August 27.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
Khan, M., L. Morel and P. Sabourin. 2013. “The Common Component of CPI: An Alternative Measure of Underlying Inflation for Canada.” Bank of Canada Working Paper No. 2013-35.
- Kopytov, A., B. Mishra, K. Nimark and M. Taschereau-Dumouchel. 2021. “Endogenous Production Networks Under Supply Chain Uncertainty.” SSRN.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
- Kotoky, A., A. Whitley and S. V. Philip 2022. “Airline Staff Shortages Threaten to Ruin Millions of Summer Holidays.” Bloomberg, June 16.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
- Kozicki, S. 2022. “Economic Progress Report: More Transparency in Uncertain Times.” Remarks at the Urban Development Institute of Quebec, Montréal, Quebec, December 8.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
Kozicki, S. and P. A. Tinsley. 2001. “Shifting Endpoints in the TermStructure of Interest Rates.” Journal of monetary Economics 47 (3): 613–652.
- Kryvtsov, O. and J. MacGee. 2020. “Has the Inflation Process Changed? Selective Review of Recent Research on Inflation Dynamics.” Bank of Canada Staff Discussion Paper No. 2020-11.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
Kumar, S., H. Afrouzi, O. Coibion and Y. Gorodnichenko. 2015. “Inflation Targeting Does Not Anchor Inflation Expectations: Evidence from Firms in New Zealand.” National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper No. 21814.
- Lütkepohl, H. 2006. “Forecasting with VARMA Models.” In Handbook of Economic Forecasting, Volume 1, edited by G. Elliott, S. W. J. Granger and J. Timmermann, 287–325.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
MacGee, J., T. M. Pugh, and K. See. 2022. “The Heterogeneous Effects of COVID-19 on Canadian Household Consumption, Debt and Savings.” Canadian Journal of Economics 55 (S1): 54–87.
- Macklem, T. 2022. “Restoring Labour Market Balance and Price Stability.” Remarks at the Public Policy Forum, Toronto, Ontario, November 10.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
Pasten, E., R. Schoenle and M. Weber. 2020. “The Propagation of Monetary Policy Shocks in a Heterogeneous Production Economy.” Journal of Monetary Economics 116: 1–22.
- Perri, G. and R. Zaiour. 2022. “Labor Shortages and the Immigration Shortfall.” Econofact, January 11.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
Reifschneider, D. and D. Wilcox. 2022. “The Case for a Cautiously Optimistic Outlook for US Inflation.” Peterson Institute for International Economics Policy Briefs PB22-3.
- Reis, R. 2022. “Inflation Expectations: Rise and Responses.” Panel discussion at the ECB Forum on Central Banking, Sintra, June 29.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
- Schembri, L. L. 2017. “Getting to the Core of Inflation.” Remarks at the Department of Economics, Western University, London, Ontario, February 9.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
- Schmitt-Grohé, S. and M. Uribe. 2022. “What Do Long Data Tell Us About the Inflation Hike Post COVID-19 Pandemic?” National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper No. 30357.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
- Schnabel, I. 2022a. “A New Age of Energy Inflation: Climateflation, Fossilflation and Greenflation.” Speech at a panel on “Monetary Policy and Climate Change” at The ECB and its Watchers XXII Conference, Frankfurt am Main, March 17.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
- Schnabel, I. 2022b. “Monetary Policy and the Great Volatility.” Speech at the Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium, Jackson Hole, Wyoming, August 27.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
Stock, J. H. and M. W. Watson. 2007. “Why Has US Inflation Become Harder to Forecast?” Journal of Money, Credit and banking 39 (S1): 3–33.
Stock, J. H. and M. W. Watson. 2020. “Slack and Cyclically Sensitive Inflation." Journal of Money, Credit and Banking 52 (S2): 393–428.
Tauber, K. and W. van Zandweghe. 2021. “Why Has Durable Goods Spending Been So Strong During the COVID-19 Pandemic?” Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland Economic Commentary No. 2021–16.
Vavra, J. 2014. “Inflation Dynamics and Time-Varying Volatility: New Evidence and an Ss Interpretation.” Quarterly Journal of Economics 129 (1): 215–258.