CN113193547A - Day-ahead-day-day coordinated scheduling method and system for power system considering new energy and load interval uncertainty - Google Patents
Day-ahead-day-day coordinated scheduling method and system for power system considering new energy and load interval uncertainty Download PDFInfo
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- H—ELECTRICITY
- H02—GENERATION; CONVERSION OR DISTRIBUTION OF ELECTRIC POWER
- H02J—CIRCUIT ARRANGEMENTS OR SYSTEMS FOR SUPPLYING OR DISTRIBUTING ELECTRIC POWER; SYSTEMS FOR STORING ELECTRIC ENERGY
- H02J3/00—Circuit arrangements for AC mains or AC distribution networks
- H02J3/003—Load forecast, e.g. methods or systems for forecasting future load demand
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- H—ELECTRICITY
- H02—GENERATION; CONVERSION OR DISTRIBUTION OF ELECTRIC POWER
- H02J—CIRCUIT ARRANGEMENTS OR SYSTEMS FOR SUPPLYING OR DISTRIBUTING ELECTRIC POWER; SYSTEMS FOR STORING ELECTRIC ENERGY
- H02J3/00—Circuit arrangements for AC mains or AC distribution networks
- H02J3/004—Generation forecast, e.g. methods or systems for forecasting future energy generation
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- H—ELECTRICITY
- H02—GENERATION; CONVERSION OR DISTRIBUTION OF ELECTRIC POWER
- H02J—CIRCUIT ARRANGEMENTS OR SYSTEMS FOR SUPPLYING OR DISTRIBUTING ELECTRIC POWER; SYSTEMS FOR STORING ELECTRIC ENERGY
- H02J3/00—Circuit arrangements for AC mains or AC distribution networks
- H02J3/12—Circuit arrangements for AC mains or AC distribution networks for adjusting voltage in AC networks by changing a characteristic of the network load
- H02J3/14—Circuit arrangements for AC mains or AC distribution networks for adjusting voltage in AC networks by changing a characteristic of the network load by switching loads on to, or off from, network, e.g. progressively balanced loading
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- H—ELECTRICITY
- H02—GENERATION; CONVERSION OR DISTRIBUTION OF ELECTRIC POWER
- H02J—CIRCUIT ARRANGEMENTS OR SYSTEMS FOR SUPPLYING OR DISTRIBUTING ELECTRIC POWER; SYSTEMS FOR STORING ELECTRIC ENERGY
- H02J3/00—Circuit arrangements for AC mains or AC distribution networks
- H02J3/38—Arrangements for parallely feeding a single network by two or more generators, converters or transformers
- H02J3/381—Dispersed generators
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- H—ELECTRICITY
- H02—GENERATION; CONVERSION OR DISTRIBUTION OF ELECTRIC POWER
- H02J—CIRCUIT ARRANGEMENTS OR SYSTEMS FOR SUPPLYING OR DISTRIBUTING ELECTRIC POWER; SYSTEMS FOR STORING ELECTRIC ENERGY
- H02J3/00—Circuit arrangements for AC mains or AC distribution networks
- H02J3/38—Arrangements for parallely feeding a single network by two or more generators, converters or transformers
- H02J3/46—Controlling of the sharing of output between the generators, converters, or transformers
- H02J3/466—Scheduling the operation of the generators, e.g. connecting or disconnecting generators to meet a given demand
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- H—ELECTRICITY
- H02—GENERATION; CONVERSION OR DISTRIBUTION OF ELECTRIC POWER
- H02J—CIRCUIT ARRANGEMENTS OR SYSTEMS FOR SUPPLYING OR DISTRIBUTING ELECTRIC POWER; SYSTEMS FOR STORING ELECTRIC ENERGY
- H02J2203/00—Indexing scheme relating to details of circuit arrangements for AC mains or AC distribution networks
- H02J2203/20—Simulating, e g planning, reliability check, modelling or computer assisted design [CAD]
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- H—ELECTRICITY
- H02—GENERATION; CONVERSION OR DISTRIBUTION OF ELECTRIC POWER
- H02J—CIRCUIT ARRANGEMENTS OR SYSTEMS FOR SUPPLYING OR DISTRIBUTING ELECTRIC POWER; SYSTEMS FOR STORING ELECTRIC ENERGY
- H02J2300/00—Systems for supplying or distributing electric power characterised by decentralized, dispersed, or local generation
- H02J2300/20—The dispersed energy generation being of renewable origin
- H02J2300/22—The renewable source being solar energy
- H02J2300/24—The renewable source being solar energy of photovoltaic origin
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- H—ELECTRICITY
- H02—GENERATION; CONVERSION OR DISTRIBUTION OF ELECTRIC POWER
- H02J—CIRCUIT ARRANGEMENTS OR SYSTEMS FOR SUPPLYING OR DISTRIBUTING ELECTRIC POWER; SYSTEMS FOR STORING ELECTRIC ENERGY
- H02J2300/00—Systems for supplying or distributing electric power characterised by decentralized, dispersed, or local generation
- H02J2300/20—The dispersed energy generation being of renewable origin
- H02J2300/28—The renewable source being wind energy
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- Y—GENERAL TAGGING OF NEW TECHNOLOGICAL DEVELOPMENTS; GENERAL TAGGING OF CROSS-SECTIONAL TECHNOLOGIES SPANNING OVER SEVERAL SECTIONS OF THE IPC; TECHNICAL SUBJECTS COVERED BY FORMER USPC CROSS-REFERENCE ART COLLECTIONS [XRACs] AND DIGESTS
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- Y02B—CLIMATE CHANGE MITIGATION TECHNOLOGIES RELATED TO BUILDINGS, e.g. HOUSING, HOUSE APPLIANCES OR RELATED END-USER APPLICATIONS
- Y02B70/00—Technologies for an efficient end-user side electric power management and consumption
- Y02B70/30—Systems integrating technologies related to power network operation and communication or information technologies for improving the carbon footprint of the management of residential or tertiary loads, i.e. smart grids as climate change mitigation technology in the buildings sector, including also the last stages of power distribution and the control, monitoring or operating management systems at local level
- Y02B70/3225—Demand response systems, e.g. load shedding, peak shaving
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- Y—GENERAL TAGGING OF NEW TECHNOLOGICAL DEVELOPMENTS; GENERAL TAGGING OF CROSS-SECTIONAL TECHNOLOGIES SPANNING OVER SEVERAL SECTIONS OF THE IPC; TECHNICAL SUBJECTS COVERED BY FORMER USPC CROSS-REFERENCE ART COLLECTIONS [XRACs] AND DIGESTS
- Y04—INFORMATION OR COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGIES HAVING AN IMPACT ON OTHER TECHNOLOGY AREAS
- Y04S—SYSTEMS INTEGRATING TECHNOLOGIES RELATED TO POWER NETWORK OPERATION, COMMUNICATION OR INFORMATION TECHNOLOGIES FOR IMPROVING THE ELECTRICAL POWER GENERATION, TRANSMISSION, DISTRIBUTION, MANAGEMENT OR USAGE, i.e. SMART GRIDS
- Y04S20/00—Management or operation of end-user stationary applications or the last stages of power distribution; Controlling, monitoring or operating thereof
- Y04S20/20—End-user application control systems
- Y04S20/222—Demand response systems, e.g. load shedding, peak shaving
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Abstract
Description
技术领域technical field
本发明涉及智能电网技术领域,尤其是电力系统调度技术,具体而言涉及一种计及新能源及负荷区间不确定性的电力系统日前-日内协同调度方法。The invention relates to the technical field of smart grids, in particular to power system scheduling technology, and in particular to a day-to-day coordinated scheduling method for a power system that takes into account new energy and load interval uncertainty.
背景技术Background technique
近年来,以风电、光伏为代表的新能源在电力系统中的占比不断增加,大力发展新能源是我国能源转型和实现碳排放目标的必然要求,由于新能源具有随机性、波动性和间隙性的特点,其预测难免存在一定的误差。在负荷侧,用电需求受到天气、时间、电价、经济发展阶段及消费心理等多种因素影响,同样存在较大预测误差。因此,现代电力系统的运行场景具有较强的不确定性。如何针对不确定性电力系统进行科学调度,在控制调度方案风险的基础上提高调度方案的经济性,是电力系统所亟需解决的问题。In recent years, the proportion of new energy represented by wind power and photovoltaics in the power system has been increasing. Vigorously developing new energy is an inevitable requirement for my country's energy transformation and carbon emission goals. Due to the randomness, volatility and gaps of new energy Due to the characteristics of sex, its prediction will inevitably have certain errors. On the load side, electricity demand is affected by various factors such as weather, time, electricity price, economic development stage and consumer psychology, and there is also a large forecast error. Therefore, the operation scenarios of modern power systems have strong uncertainties. How to scientifically dispatch the uncertain power system and improve the economy of the dispatch scheme on the basis of controlling the risk of the dispatch scheme is an urgent problem to be solved in the power system.
目前,关于不确定性电力系统调度的现有技术,常采用的有场景法及概率法。其中场景法需要抽样生成场景集,并在场景集的基础上进行大量计算,该方法简便易行,但计算量很大。概率方法又称为机会约束规划方法,该方法根据输入不确定性变量如新能源或负荷功率的概率分布函数,将约束不等式在一定的置信度下转化为确定性不等式求解,该方法计算量较小。At present, regarding the existing technologies of uncertain power system dispatch, the scenario method and the probability method are often used. Among them, the scene method needs to sample and generate scene sets, and perform a large number of calculations on the basis of the scene sets. This method is simple and easy, but the calculation amount is large. The probabilistic method is also known as the chance-constrained programming method. This method converts the constraint inequality into a deterministic inequality solution with a certain degree of confidence according to the probability distribution function of input uncertain variables such as new energy or load power. Small.
上述两种方法都需要知道输入变量确切的概率分布函数,但这对于实际系统而言,常存在一定困难。实践中,由于缺乏足够的历史数据,或者变量自身的规律性较弱,往往难以确切地知道其概率分布。Both of the above methods need to know the exact probability distribution function of the input variables, but this is often difficult for practical systems. In practice, due to the lack of sufficient historical data or the weak regularity of the variable itself, it is often difficult to know its probability distribution exactly.
发明内容SUMMARY OF THE INVENTION
本发明目的在于针对现有技术所存在的需要知道新能源及负荷不确定性变量的概率分布函数、计算量大以及日前调度方案不够精细的技术缺陷,提供一种计及新能源及负荷区间不确定性的电力系统日前-日内协同调度方法与系统,在新能源及负荷日前与日内预测数据的基础上,运用区间优化原理,协同常规发电机、快速启停机组、新能源、柔性负荷以及储能调控资源,在实现系统功率平衡的同时确保足够的安全备用,平衡电力系统运营成本与安全性,进行科学的电力调度决策。The purpose of the present invention is to provide a method that takes into account the new energy and load interval in consideration of the technical defects of the prior art that the probability distribution function of new energy and load uncertainty variables needs to be known, the amount of calculation is large, and the scheduling plan is not precise enough. The deterministic day-to-day coordinated scheduling method and system of the power system, based on the day-to-day and intra-day forecast data of new energy and load, uses the principle of interval optimization to coordinate conventional generators, rapid start-stop groups, new energy, flexible loads and storage. It can control resources, ensure sufficient safety reserve while achieving system power balance, balance the operating cost and safety of the power system, and make scientific power dispatching decisions.
根据本发明目的的第一方面提出一种计及新能源及负荷区间不确定性的电力系统日前-日内协同调度方法,包括以下步骤:According to the first aspect of the purpose of the present invention, a day-to-day coordinated scheduling method for a power system that takes into account the uncertainty of new energy sources and load intervals is proposed, which includes the following steps:
步骤1、获取电力系统数据以及新能源和负荷日前预测数据;
步骤2、构建日前调度区间优化问题数学模型;
步骤3、确定日前调度方案及日内调度的边界条件;
步骤4、获取新能源及负荷日内滚动预测数据;以及
步骤5、基于步骤3所确定的日内调度方案边界条件,以及步骤4获取的新能源及负荷日内区间数模型,构建日内调度问题数学模型并求解日内调度方案;
其中,所述电力系统数据包括常规发电机组和快速启停机组最大和最小输出功率、机组启停费用、运行成本系数、爬坡功率、最小开机和停机时间,A、B、C三类柔性负荷Pila、Pilb、Pilc的分档数和每档的可削减负荷最大容量、成本系数、需求响应的弹性系数以及最大累计中断时间,其中A类柔性负荷需提前24h告知用户,B类柔性负荷提前告知用户的时间为15min-2h,C类柔性负荷提前告知用户的时间为5-15min;Among them, the power system data includes the maximum and minimum output power of conventional generator sets and quick start and stop groups, the start and stop costs of the units, the operating cost factor, the power on the slope, the minimum start and stop time, and three types of flexible loads A, B, and C. The number of grades of P ila , Pilb and Pilc and the maximum load reduction capacity of each grade, cost coefficient, elastic coefficient of demand response and maximum cumulative interruption time. Among them, Class A flexible loads need to be notified to the
所述新能源和负荷日前预测数据包括未来24小时风电场及光伏电站的输出功率Pwt、Ppv的每小时的预测值及其日前预测误差的波动区间,未来24小时系统负荷Pl每小时的预测值及其日前预测误差的波动区间。The day-ahead forecast data of new energy and load includes the hourly forecast values of the output power P wt and P pv of the wind farm and photovoltaic power station in the next 24 hours and the fluctuation interval of the day-ahead forecast error, and the system load P l per hour in the next 24 hours. The forecast value of , and the fluctuation range of the forecast error for the previous day.
根据本发明目的的第二方面还提出一种计及新能源及负荷区间不确定性的电力系统日前-日内协同调度系统,包括:According to the second aspect of the purpose of the present invention, a day-to-day coordinated dispatching system for a power system that takes into account the uncertainty of new energy sources and load intervals is also proposed, including:
一个或多个处理器;one or more processors;
存储器,存储可被操作的指令,所述指令在通过所述一个或多个处理器执行时使得所述一个或多个处理器执行操作,所述操作包括执行前述协同调度处理的过程。A memory storing instructions operable that, when executed by the one or more processors, cause the one or more processors to perform operations that include performing the aforementioned co-scheduling processes.
与现有技术相比,本发明具有以下优点和有益效果:Compared with the prior art, the present invention has the following advantages and beneficial effects:
1.本发明提出的考虑新能源及负荷不确定性的电力系统日前-日内协同调度方法,利用新能源及负荷的预测误差随时间尺度减小而减小的特点,考虑各类机组的灵活性及柔性负荷的多时间尺度特性,综合考虑发电机运行成本、弃风或弃光惩罚代价以及柔性负荷参与电力系统调度所需各种费用,实现了电力系统日前-日内协同调度;1. The day-to-day coordinated scheduling method of the power system that considers the uncertainty of new energy and load proposed by the present invention takes advantage of the feature that the prediction error of new energy and load decreases with the reduction of the time scale, and considers the flexibility of various units. And the multi-time scale characteristics of flexible load, comprehensive consideration of generator operating cost, penalty cost of abandoning wind or light, and various expenses required for flexible load to participate in power system dispatching, realize day-a-day coordinated dispatching of power system;
2.在不确知输入数据概率分布的条件下,应用区间优化理论,将不确定性目标函数转换为确定性函数,在一定的区间可能度下将区间不等式转化为确定性不等式,从而将不确定性问题转化为确定性问题求解,与机会约束规划方法相比,具有对输入数据信息要求较低、决策灵活性好、计算速度快等优点;2. Under the condition that the probability distribution of the input data is not known, the interval optimization theory is applied to convert the uncertainty objective function into a deterministic function, and the interval inequality is transformed into a deterministic inequality under a certain interval possibility, so as to convert the uncertainty Deterministic problems are transformed into deterministic problem solving. Compared with chance-constrained programming methods, it has the advantages of lower requirements for input data information, good decision flexibility, and fast calculation speed;
3.最后,对日前-日内协同调度方案进行了仿真校核,验证了本发明所提出的日前-日内协同调度方案可以克服了日前调度方案不够精细的技术缺陷,在降低日运营费用的条件下,提高了系统的安全性,具有较好的实用性。3. Finally, a simulation check is carried out on the day-a-day-day collaborative scheduling scheme, which verifies that the day-a-day-day collaborative scheduling scheme proposed by the present invention can overcome the technical defect that the day-ahead scheduling scheme is not precise enough, and under the condition of reducing daily operating costs , which improves the security of the system and has better practicability.
应当理解,前述构思以及在下面更加详细地描述的额外构思的所有组合只要在这样的构思不相互矛盾的情况下都可以被视为本公开的发明主题的一部分。另外,所要求保护的主题的所有组合都被视为本公开的发明主题的一部分。It is to be understood that all combinations of the foregoing concepts, as well as additional concepts described in greater detail below, are considered to be part of the inventive subject matter of the present disclosure to the extent that such concepts are not contradictory. Additionally, all combinations of the claimed subject matter are considered to be part of the inventive subject matter of this disclosure.
结合附图从下面的描述中可以更加全面地理解本发明教导的前述和其他方面、实施例和特征。本发明的其他附加方面例如示例性实施方式的特征和/或有益效果将在下面的描述中显见,或通过根据本发明教导的具体实施方式的实践中得知。The foregoing and other aspects, embodiments and features of the present teachings can be more fully understood from the following description when taken in conjunction with the accompanying drawings. Other additional aspects of the invention, such as features and/or benefits of the exemplary embodiments, will be apparent from the description below, or learned by practice of specific embodiments in accordance with the teachings of this invention.
附图说明Description of drawings
附图不意在按比例绘制。在附图中,在各个图中示出的每个相同或近似相同的组成部分可以用相同的标号表示。为了清晰起见,在每个图中,并非每个组成部分均被标记。现在,将通过例子并参考附图来描述本发明的各个方面的实施例,其中:The drawings are not intended to be drawn to scale. In the drawings, each identical or nearly identical component that is illustrated in various figures may be represented by the same reference numeral. For clarity, not every component is labeled in every figure. Embodiments of various aspects of the present invention will now be described by way of example and with reference to the accompanying drawings, wherein:
图1是本发明的计及新能源及负荷区间不确定性的电力系统日前-日内协同调度方法的一个实施例的流程图。FIG. 1 is a flowchart of an embodiment of a day-to-day coordinated scheduling method for a power system that takes into account new energy and load interval uncertainty according to the present invention.
图2是本发明的一个实施例的IEEE10机39节点算例系统结构图,其中“WT”表示风电场,“FG”表示快速启停机组。Fig. 2 is a system structure diagram of an IEEE10
图3是本发明的一个实施例的日负荷曲线示意图,其中“°”表示日前预测值,“*”表示日内预测值,“△”表示负荷预测值区间下界,“▽”表示负荷预测值区间上界。Fig. 3 is a schematic diagram of a daily load curve according to an embodiment of the present invention, wherein "°" represents the forecast value for the day before, "*" represents the forecast value for the day, "△" represents the lower bound of the load forecast value interval, and "▽" represents the load forecast value interval Upper Bound.
图4是本发明的一个实施例的日风电功率曲线示意图,其中表示“°”日前预测值,“*”表示日内预测值,“△”表示风电预测值区间下界,“▽”表示风电预测值区间上界。Fig. 4 is a schematic diagram of a daily wind power curve according to an embodiment of the present invention, wherein "°" represents a day-ahead forecast value, "*" represents an intra-day forecast value, "△" represents the lower bound of the wind power forecast value interval, and "▽" represents a wind power forecast value upper bound of the interval.
图5是本发明的一个实施例的日前调度与日前-日内协同调度的常规发电机组日总发电量对比图。FIG. 5 is a comparison diagram of the daily total power generation of conventional generator sets of day-ahead scheduling and day-ahead-day coordinated scheduling according to an embodiment of the present invention.
图6是本发明的一个实施例的日前调度与日前-日内协同调度的弃风量对比图。。FIG. 6 is a comparison diagram of abandoned air volume between day-ahead scheduling and day-a-day coordinated scheduling according to an embodiment of the present invention. .
图7是本发明的一个实施例的日前-日内协同调度的系统功率平衡示意图。FIG. 7 is a schematic diagram of system power balance of day-to-day coordinated scheduling according to an embodiment of the present invention.
图8是本发明的一个实施例的日前-日内协同调度的系统功率平衡及正、负备用功率约束成立的可能度示意图。FIG. 8 is a schematic diagram of the possibility of establishment of system power balance and positive and negative reserve power constraints of day-to-day coordinated scheduling according to an embodiment of the present invention.
具体实施方式Detailed ways
为了更了解本发明的技术内容,特举具体实施例并配合所附图式说明如下。In order to better understand the technical content of the present invention, specific embodiments are given and described below in conjunction with the accompanying drawings.
在本公开中参照附图来描述本发明的各方面,附图中示出了许多说明的实施例。本公开的实施例不必定意在包括本发明的所有方面。应当理解,上面介绍的多种构思和实施例,以及下面更加详细地描述的那些构思和实施方式可以以很多方式中任意一种来实施,这是因为本发明所公开的构思和实施例并不限于任何实施方式。另外,本发明公开的一些方面可以单独使用,或者与本发明公开的其他方面的任何适当组合来使用。Aspects of the invention are described in this disclosure with reference to the accompanying drawings, in which a number of illustrative embodiments are shown. Embodiments of the present disclosure are not necessarily intended to include all aspects of the invention. It should be understood that the various concepts and embodiments described above, as well as those described in greater detail below, can be implemented in any of a number of ways, as the concepts and embodiments disclosed herein do not limited to any implementation. Additionally, some aspects of the present disclosure may be used alone or in any suitable combination with other aspects of the present disclosure.
结合图示,根据本发明示例性实施例公开一种计及新能源及负荷区间不确定性的电力系统日前-日内协同调度方法,图1所示为本发明计及新能源及负荷区间不确定性的电力系统日前-日内协同调度方法的流程图,包括以下步骤:步骤1、获取电力系统数据以及新能源和负荷日前预测数据;步骤2、构建日前调度区间优化问题数学模型;步骤3、确定日前调度方案及日内调度的边界条件;步骤4、获取新能源及负荷日内滚动预测数据;以及步骤5、基于步骤3所确定的日内调度方案边界条件,以及步骤4获取的新能源及负荷日内区间数模型,构建日内调度问题数学模型并求解日内调度方案。With reference to the drawings, according to an exemplary embodiment of the present invention, a day-to-day coordinated scheduling method for a power system that takes into account the uncertainty of new energy and load interval is disclosed. FIG. 1 shows the present invention taking into account the uncertainty of new energy and load interval. The flow chart of the day-a-day-intraday coordinated dispatching method of the electric power system includes the following steps:
下面结合附图所示,更加具体地阐述上述步骤的具体实现。The specific implementation of the above steps will be described in more detail below with reference to the accompanying drawings.
步骤一、获取电力系统数据以及新能源和负荷日前预测数据
其中,所述电力系统数据包括常规发电机组和快速启停机组最大和最小输出功率、机组启停费用、运行成本系数、爬坡功率、最小开机和停机时间,A、B、C三类柔性负荷Pila、Pilb、Pilc的分档数和每档的可削减负荷最大容量、成本系数、需求响应的弹性系数以及最大累计中断时间,其中A类柔性负荷需提前24h告知用户,B类柔性负荷提前告知用户的时间为15min-2h,C类柔性负荷提前告知用户的时间为5-15min;Among them, the power system data includes the maximum and minimum output power of conventional generator sets and quick start and stop groups, the start and stop costs of the units, the operating cost factor, the power on the slope, the minimum start and stop time, and three types of flexible loads A, B, and C. The number of grades of P ila , Pilb and Pilc and the maximum load reduction capacity of each grade, cost coefficient, elastic coefficient of demand response and maximum cumulative interruption time. Among them, Class A flexible loads need to be notified to the
所述新能源和负荷日前预测数据包括未来24小时风电场及光伏电站的输出功率Pwt、Ppv的每小时的预测值及其日前预测误差的波动区间,未来24小时系统负荷Pl每小时的预测值及其日前预测误差的波动区间。The day-ahead forecast data of new energy and load includes the hourly forecast values of the output power P wt and P pv of the wind farm and photovoltaic power station in the next 24 hours and the fluctuation interval of the day-ahead forecast error, and the system load P l per hour in the next 24 hours. The forecast value of , and the fluctuation range of the forecast error for the previous day.
步骤二、建立日前调度区间优化问题数学模型
假设新能源发电日前预测值为其日前预测误差位于区间内,上标“+”表示区间数上界,上标“-”表示区间数下界,由此可以推出新能源发电功率PN1的上界为下界为PN1的日前区间数模型为由此可建立风力及光伏发电的日前区间数模型 Assuming that the forecast value of new energy power generation is its day-ahead forecast error in the interval Inside, the superscript "+" represents the upper bound of the interval number, and the superscript "-" represents the lower bound of the interval number. From this, it can be deduced that the upper bound of the new energy power generation power P N1 is The lower bound is The day-ahead interval number model of P N1 is From this, a day-ahead interval number model for wind and photovoltaic power generation can be established.
假设负荷日前预测值为其日前预测误差位于区间内,由此可以推出负荷功率Pl1的上界为下界为则负荷功率的日前区间数模型为 Assuming that the load day forecast is its day-ahead forecast error in the interval From this, it can be deduced that the upper bound of the load power P l1 is The lower bound is Then the day-ahead interval number model of load power is
一般日前调度时间尺度为1小时,日内调度时间尺度为15分钟,为了使日前-日内调度更好地衔接,本发明取日前调度的时间尺度为15分钟,对每小时新能源及负荷的预测值进行线性插值,以此作为每隔15分钟的日前预测值,在此基础上进行日前调度。Generally, the time scale of day-ahead scheduling is 1 hour, and the time-scale of intra-day scheduling is 15 minutes. In order to make the connection between day-ahead and intra-day scheduling better, the present invention takes the time scale of day-ahead scheduling as 15 minutes, and the predicted value of new energy and load per hour is Linear interpolation is performed as the day-ahead forecast value every 15 minutes, and day-ahead scheduling is performed on this basis.
由此,将所述的电力系统日前调度优化问题的目标函数描述为:Therefore, the objective function of the day-ahead scheduling optimization problem of the power system is described as:
min f1=f11+f12+f13+f14 (1)min f 1 =f 11 +f 12 +f 13 +f 14 (1)
为常规发电机组的运行费用,右边第1项为常规机组启停成本,第2项为发电成本。为常规发电机台数,T1为调度周期,由于日前调度时间尺度取为15分钟,故T1=96,即96个调度周期。 is the operating cost of the conventional generator set, the first item on the right is the start and stop cost of the conventional generator set, and the second item is the power generation cost. is the number of conventional generators, and T 1 is the scheduling period. Since the day-ahead scheduling time scale is taken as 15 minutes, T 1 =96, that is, 96 scheduling periods.
分别为j时刻第i台常规发电机的启动控制0-1变量、冷启动控制0-1变量,为“1”分别表示j时刻第i台常规发电机接受启动或冷启动指令,为“0”则表示j时刻无启动或冷启动指令。 are the starting control 0-1 variable and the cold starting control 0-1 variable of the ith conventional generator at time j, respectively, "1" means that the ith conventional generator at time j receives the start or cold start command, respectively. If it is "0", it means that there is no start or cold start command at time j.
Chot,i、Ccold,i分别为第i台常规发电机的热启动费用和冷启动费用,为0-1变量,为“1”表示j时刻第i台常规发电机处于开机状态,为“0”则表示处于停机状态。C hot,i and C cold,i are the hot start cost and cold start cost of the ith conventional generator, respectively, It is a 0-1 variable, "1" indicates that the ith conventional generator at time j is in the starting state, and "0" indicates that it is in a shutdown state.
为第i台常规发电机的发电成本系数,为j时刻第i台常规发电机的功率。 is the power generation cost coefficient of the ith conventional generator, is the power of the ith conventional generator at time j.
为快速启停机组运行成本。 Running costs for quick start and stop groups.
其中,为快速启动发电机台数;为第i台快速启停机组的运行成本系数,为j时刻第i台快速启停机组的功率。in, is the number of quick-start generators; is the operating cost coefficient of the i-th rapid start-up and stop group, is the power of the i-th fast start-stop group at time j.
为快速启停机组的启动控制0-1变量,为“1”分别表示j时刻第i台快速启停机组接受启动指令,为第i台快速启停机组的启动成本。 To control the 0-1 variable for the start-up of the fast start-stop group, "1" means that the i-th fast start-stop group accepts the start-up command at time j, respectively. It is the start-up cost of the i-th rapid start-up and stop group.
为弃风惩罚费用,其中为j时刻削减的风电功率,Cw为弃风惩罚因子。 It is the penalty fee for wind abandonment, of which is the wind power cut at time j, and C w is the wind curtailment penalty factor.
为A、B、C三类柔性负荷的调控费用,ns为柔性负荷的分档数,其中分别为j时刻A、B、C三类柔性负荷s档的调控功率,由于柔性负荷响应具有弹性,故为区间数,分别为A、B、C三类柔性负荷以s档参与调控时的代价因子。 is the regulation cost of three types of flexible loads A, B and C, ns is the number of grades of flexible loads, where are the regulated powers of the three types of flexible loads A, B, and C at time j at the s-gear respectively. Since the response of the flexible load is elastic, so is the interval number, are the cost factors when three types of flexible loads, A, B, and C, participate in the regulation in the s-level.
其中,本发明确定电力系统日前调度优化问题约束条件包括:Wherein, the present invention determines the constraints of the day-ahead scheduling optimization problem of the power system including:
①有功功率平衡方程① Active power balance equation
式(2)中,左边为常规发电机组、快速启停机组及风力发电的总和,右边为系统总负荷减去3类柔性负荷的削减量,该有功功率平衡方程为区间等式;In formula (2), the left side is the sum of conventional generator sets, quick start and stop units and wind power generation, and the right side is the total system load minus the reduction of the three types of flexible loads. The active power balance equation is an interval equation;
②常规发电机出力及爬坡功率约束②Constraints on conventional generator output and ramping power
式(3)中分别为第i台常规发电机的最小和最大功率,分别表示第i台常规发电机向下和向上爬坡功率的极限值;In formula (3) are the minimum and maximum power of the ith conventional generator, respectively, Respectively represent the limit value of the i-th conventional generator's downward and upward climbing power;
③常规发电机最小开停机时间约束③Constraints on the minimum start and stop time of conventional generators
式(5)、(6)中分别为第i台常规发电机的最小开机时间和最小停机时间;In formulas (5) and (6) are the minimum startup time and minimum shutdown time of the ith conventional generator, respectively;
④常规发电机组冷热启动约束④Constraints on cold and hot start of conventional generator sets
式(7)、(8)为j时刻对第i台常规发电机冷启动和热启动的约束,为第i台常规发电机的冷启动时间;Equations (7) and (8) are the constraints on the cold start and hot start of the ith conventional generator at time j, is the cold start time of the ith conventional generator;
⑤快速启停机组最大最小功率及爬坡功率约束⑤Maximum and minimum power and climbing power constraints of quick start and stop groups
式(9)是快速启动发电机最小、最大功率约束,分别为第i台快速启停机组的最小和最大功率,为0-1变量,为“1”表示j时刻第i台快速机组处于开机状态,为“0”则表示处于停机状态;式(10)是快速机组向下、向上爬坡功率约束,分别表示第i台快速启停机组向下和向上爬坡功率的极限值;Equation (9) is the minimum and maximum power constraints of the fast-start generator, are the minimum and maximum power of the i-th fast start-stop group, respectively, It is a variable of 0-1, "1" means that the ith fast unit is in the starting state at time j, and "0" means it is in a shutdown state; Equation (10) is the power constraint of the fast unit climbing down and up, Respectively represent the limit value of the down and up climbing power of the i-th fast start-stop group;
⑥快速机组最小开机时间最小停机时间约束⑥The minimum start-up time of the fast unit and the minimum shutdown time constraint
式(11)、式(12)分别为j时刻对第i台快速机组最小开机时间最小停机时间的约束,为截止j时刻第i台快速机组的连续运行时间,为截止j时刻第i台快速机组的连续停机时间;Equation (11) and Equation (12) are the minimum start-up time of the i-th fast unit at time j, respectively. Minimum downtime constraints, is the continuous running time of the i-th fast unit up to time j, is the continuous shutdown time of the i-th fast unit up to time j;
⑦弃风约束⑦Abandoned wind constraint
式(13)中分别为日前调度中j时刻削减的风功率及风功率波动区间下界;In formula (13) are the wind power cut at time j in the previous scheduling and the lower bound of the wind power fluctuation interval, respectively;
⑧柔性负荷约束⑧Flexible load restraint
其中,Pila,s,j、Pilb,s,j、Pilc,s,j为j时刻A、B、C三类柔性负荷s档调控功率,为A、B、C三类柔性负荷s档的调控功率最大值,及分别为A、B、C三类柔性负荷s档响应系数的弹性波动区间;Among them, P ila,s,j , P ilb,s,j , P ilc,s,j are the three types of flexible loads A, B, and C at the time of j time. is the maximum regulated power of the s-gear of the three types of flexible loads A, B, and C, and are the elastic fluctuation intervals of the s-gear response coefficients of the three types of flexible loads A, B, and C, respectively;
⑨正、负备用功率约束⑨ Positive and negative backup power constraints
其中为j时刻常规机组和快速机组所能提供的正备用功率,r为备用系数, 为j时刻常规机组和快速机组所能提供的负备用功率,为负荷向上、风速向下波动时的波动区间,为负荷向下、风速向上波动时的波动区间。in is the positive standby power provided by conventional units and fast units at time j, r is the standby coefficient, is the negative standby power that conventional units and fast units can provide at time j, is the fluctuation interval when the load fluctuates upward and the wind speed fluctuates downward, It is the fluctuation range when the load is down and the wind speed is fluctuated up.
由此,前述公式(1)-(20)共同构成了日前调度区间优化问题的数学模型。Therefore, the aforementioned formulas (1)-(20) together constitute the mathematical model of the day-ahead scheduling interval optimization problem.
步骤三、确定日前调度方案及日内调度的边界条件
式(1)所描述的电力系统日前调度区间优化问题目标函数f1为区间函数,设其上下界分别为其中:The objective function f 1 of the day-ahead scheduling interval optimization problem of the power system described by equation (1) is an interval function, and its upper and lower bounds are set as in:
设区间目标函数均值为目标函数半径为将区间目标函数转换为β1为加权系数;Let the mean of the interval objective function be The radius of the objective function is Convert the interval objective function to β 1 is the weighting coefficient;
再将电力系统日前调度区间优化问题中式(2)、式(17)及(19)所描述的区间不等式约束在预设的区间可能度下,转换为确定性不等式,设有功功率平衡、备用约束方程成立的区间可能度分别为ζ11、ζ12及ζ13,则根据区间可能度理论,式(2)、式(17)及(19)可分别转化为:Then, the interval inequalities described by equations (2), (17) and (19) in the day-ahead scheduling interval optimization problem of the power system are constrained under the preset interval probability and converted into deterministic inequalities, with power balance and reserve constraints. The interval possibilities for the establishment of the equation are ζ 11 , ζ 12 and ζ 13 respectively, then according to the interval possibility theory, equations (2), (17) and (19) can be transformed into:
由此,日前调度区间优化问题可转化为如下确定性问题:Therefore, the day-ahead scheduling interval optimization problem can be transformed into the following deterministic problem:
min F1 (24)min F 1 (24)
其约束条件包括式(3)-(16)、式(18)、(20)以及式(21)-(23);Its constraints include formulas (3)-(16), formulas (18), (20) and formulas (21)-(23);
再应用混合整数线性规划方法求解上述确定性问题,得出日前调度区间优化方案,由此可确定日内调度问题的边界条件,即:常规机组的开机状态保持不变,A类柔性负荷的调控量保持不变,而快速启停机组的启停状态以及B、C两类柔性负荷的柔性负荷则需要在日内调度中调整。Then, the mixed integer linear programming method is used to solve the above deterministic problem, and the optimization scheme of the day-ahead scheduling interval is obtained. From this, the boundary conditions of the intra-day scheduling problem can be determined, that is, the startup state of the conventional unit remains unchanged, and the control amount of the class A flexible load It remains unchanged, while the start-stop status of the rapid start-stop group and the flexible loads of B and C flexible loads need to be adjusted in the intraday scheduling.
步骤四、获取新能源及负荷日内滚动预测数据
每隔15分钟对未来2小时的风电、光伏及负荷功率进行1次超短期预测,时间尺度为15分钟,从第一个调度周期k=1开始,获取预测数据。如前述的,调度周期为96个。假设新能源发电日内预测值为其日内预测误差位于区间内,由此可以推出新能源发电功率PN2的上界为下界为PN2的日内区间数模型为由此可分别建立风力及光伏发电的日内区间数模型 The ultra-short-term forecast of wind power, photovoltaic and load power in the next 2 hours is carried out every 15 minutes, the time scale is 15 minutes, and the forecast data is obtained from the first scheduling period k=1. As mentioned above, the scheduling period is 96. Assuming that the intraday forecast of new energy power generation is its intraday forecast error in the interval From this, it can be deduced that the upper bound of the new energy power generation power P N2 is The lower bound is The intraday interval number model of P N2 is From this, the intra-day interval number models of wind power and photovoltaic power generation can be established respectively.
假设负荷日内预测值为其日内预测误差位于区间内,由此可以推出负荷功率Pl2的上界为下界为则负荷功率的日内区间数模型为 Assume that the intraday forecast of load is its intraday forecast error in the interval , it can be deduced that the upper bound of load power P l2 is The lower bound is Then the intraday interval number model of load power is
步骤五、建立日内调度问题数学模型并求解日内调度方案。Step 5: Establish a mathematical model of the intraday scheduling problem and solve the intraday scheduling scheme.
基于步骤三所确定的日内调度方案边界条件,以及步骤四获取的新能源及负荷日内区间数模型,建立日内优化调度问题数学模型;其目标函数为Based on the boundary conditions of the intraday dispatch scheme determined in
f2=f21+f22+f23+f24 (25)f 2 =f 21 +f 22 +f 23 +f 24 (25)
为常规发电机组发电成本,对于日内调度而言T2=8;为快速启停机组运行成本; is the power generation cost of conventional generator sets, for intraday dispatch, T 2 =8; To quickly start and stop group operating costs;
为弃风成本; for the cost of wind abandonment;
其中,确定日内优化调度问题的约束条件包含:Among them, the constraints for determining the intraday optimal scheduling problem include:
①有功功率平衡方程① Active power balance equation
②弃风约束②Abandoned wind restraint
③正、负备用功率约束③ Positive and negative backup power constraints
其中,为负荷向上、风速向下波动时的波动区间,为负荷向下、风速向上波动时的波动区间;in, is the fluctuation interval when the load fluctuates upward and the wind speed fluctuates downward, is the fluctuation interval when the load is downward and the wind speed is upward;
此外,日内优化调度问题的约束条件还包含:常规发电机出力及爬坡功率约束不等式(3)-(4)、快速启停机组约束不等式(9)-(12)、柔性负荷约束方程(15)-(16);In addition, the constraints of the intraday optimal scheduling problem also include: conventional generator output and ramping power constraint inequalities (3)-(4), fast start-stop group constraint inequalities (9)-(12), flexible load constraint equations (15) )-(16);
其中,式(25)所描述的电力系统日内调度区间优化问题目标函数f2为区间函数,设其上下界分别为其中:Among them, the objective function f 2 of the power system intraday dispatch interval optimization problem described by equation (25) is an interval function, and its upper and lower bounds are set as in:
设区间目标函数均值为目标函数半径为将区间目标函数转换为β2为加权系数;Let the mean of the interval objective function be The radius of the objective function is Convert the interval objective function to β 2 is the weighting coefficient;
设电力系统日内调度区间优化问题的有功功率平衡方程(26)、备用频率约束方程(28)及式(30)成立的区间可能度分别为ζ21、ζ22及ζ23,根据区间可能度理论,式(26)、式(28)及(30)可分别转化为:Assuming that the active power balance equation (26), the standby frequency constraint equation (28) and the equation (30) of the power system intraday dispatch interval optimization problem are established as ζ 21 , ζ 22 and ζ 23 respectively, according to the interval possibility theory , formulas (26), (28) and (30) can be transformed into:
由此,日前调度区间优化问题可转化为如下确定性问题:Therefore, the day-ahead scheduling interval optimization problem can be transformed into the following deterministic problem:
min F2 (35)其约束条件包括式(3)-(4)、式(9)-(12)、式(15)-(16)、式(27)、(29)、(31)以及式(32)-(34);min F 2 (35) and its constraints include equations (3)-(4), (9)-(12), (15)-(16), (27), (29), (31) and Formulas (32)-(34);
将步骤四中求得的常规机组的开机状态保持及A类柔性负荷的调控量作为边界条件代入计算,应用混合整数线性规划方法求解上述确定性问题,得出日内调度区间优化方案;Substitute the power-on state maintenance of the conventional unit and the control amount of the A-type flexible load obtained in
由此生成k时刻的日前-日内协同调度方案,若k=96,则输出协同调度方案,若k<96,则k=k+1,并转步骤四继续处理,直到k达到96。From this, the day-to-day collaborative scheduling scheme at time k is generated. If k=96, output the collaborative scheduling scheme. If k<96, then k=k+1, and go to step 4 to continue processing until k reaches 96.
在进一步优选的方案中,在k达到96确定协同调度方案后,还校核日前-日内协同调度方案的经济性及安全性。In a further preferred solution, after k reaches 96 to determine the coordinated scheduling solution, the economy and safety of the day-to-day coordinated scheduling solution are also checked.
将步骤三求出的日前优化调度方案作为方案A,步骤五求出的日前-日内协同调度方案作为方案B,比较两种方案的运行费用及违约概率。Take the day-ahead optimal scheduling scheme obtained in
假设新能源及负荷预测误差在各自区间内服从均匀分布,各变量相互独立,且不考虑不同时刻场景之间的相关性,应用蒙特卡洛方法,对风电功率及负荷功率日内预测误差在其波动区间内进行抽样,每个时刻生成Ns=30000个不同场景,构成测试样本集;设在j时刻的Ns个场景中,发生正备用功率约束不等式(28)违约的场景个数为发生负备用功率约束不等式(30)违约的场景个数为则在一个调度日内发生正备用不足的概率Probu为:Assuming that the forecast errors of new energy and load are uniformly distributed in their respective intervals, the variables are independent of each other, and the correlation between scenarios at different times is not considered. Sampling is performed within the interval, and N s =30000 different scenarios are generated at each moment to form a test sample set; set in the N s scenarios at time j, the number of scenarios in which the positive standby power constraint inequality (28) is violated is The number of scenarios in which the negative backup power constraint inequality (30) is violated is Then the probability Prob u of a shortage of positive reserves in a scheduling day is:
以及发生负备用不足的概率Probd为:And the probability Prob d of the occurrence of negative reserve shortage is:
统计A、B两种方案的违约概率及日运营费用,对其经济性及安全性进行比较验证。Calculate the default probability and daily operating expenses of the two schemes A and B, and compare and verify their economy and safety.
图2是本发明的一个实施例的IEEE10机39节点算例系统结构图,该实施例将本发明方法应用于含新能源及快速启停机组的IEEE10机39节点算例系统,对系统进行了日前-日内协同优化调度,并分析了本发明所提出的日前日内优化调度方案的综合性能。2 is a structural diagram of an
结合图1所示的流程,实施步骤如下:Combined with the process shown in Figure 1, the implementation steps are as follows:
步骤1、获取电力系统数据以及新能源和负荷日前预测数据
本实施例的含新能源及快速启停机组的IEEE10机39节点算例系统结构如图2所示。在IEEE10机39节点系统标准算例的基础上,加装了风电场及快速启停机组,对发电机功率进行了调整,使得修改前后,系统总发电功率保持不变。Figure 2 shows the system structure of the IEEE10-machine 39-node calculation example including the new energy source and the fast start-stop group in this embodiment. On the basis of the standard example of IEEE10-machine 39-node system, wind farms and quick start-stop groups are installed, and the generator power is adjusted, so that the total power generation of the system remains unchanged before and after the modification.
常规发电机组各发电机的最大和最小输出功率及运行费用参数及发电机的热启动费用Chot,i和冷启动费用Ccold,i,发电机最小开机时间最小停机时间冷启动时间Tcold,i,爬坡功率参数如表1所示。Maximum and minimum output power of each generator of a conventional generator set and Running Cost Parameters and The hot start cost C hot,i and the cold start cost C cold,i of the generator, the minimum start time of the generator Minimum downtime Cold start time T cold,i , ramp power The parameters are shown in Table 1.
快速启停机组最大和最小输出功率及运行成本系数启动成本发电机最小运行时间最小停机时间爬坡功率参数如表2所示。Quick start and stop group maximum and minimum output power and running cost factor start-up cost Generator Minimum Running Time Minimum downtime Climbing power The parameters are shown in Table 2.
表1.常规发电机参数Table 1. General generator parameters
表2.快速启停发电机参数Table 2. Fast start and stop generator parameters
未来24小时的系统日前预测负荷曲线如图3所示,其预测值如表3所示;未来24小时风电曲线如图4所示,其预测值如表4所示,弃风惩罚因子Cw取100$/MW;A、B、C三类柔性负荷的分档数和每档的最大容量、成本系数、需求响应的弹性系数如表5所示。The day-ahead forecast load curve of the system in the next 24 hours is shown in Figure 3, and its predicted value is shown in Table 3; the wind power curve in the next 24 hours is shown in Figure 4, and its predicted value is shown in Table 4. The wind abandonment penalty factor Cw Take 100$/MW; the number of grades of three types of flexible loads A, B, and C, the maximum capacity of each grade, the cost coefficient, and the elastic coefficient of demand response are shown in Table 5.
表3.未来24小时系统负荷功率日前预测值Table 3. Day-ahead predictions of system load power in the next 24 hours
表4.未来24小时风电场功率日前预测值Table 4. Day-ahead forecast values of wind farm power in the next 24 hours
表5.A、B、C三类柔性负荷参数Table 5. Three types of flexible load parameters A, B and C
步骤2、建立日前调度区间优化问题数学模型
本实施例未来24小时每小时系统日前预测负荷功率Pl1如表3所示,假设日前预测误差即由此可以推出负荷功率Pl1的上界为下界为则负荷功率的日前区间数模型为 In this embodiment, the day-ahead forecasted load power P l1 of the system every hour for the next 24 hours is shown in Table 3. It is assumed that the day-ahead prediction error which is From this, it can be deduced that the upper bound of load power P l1 is The lower bound is Then the day-ahead interval number model of load power is
风电场功率未来24小时日前预测值Pwt1如表5所示,假设预测误差由此可以推出风电场输出功率的日前区间数模型为 The predicted value P wt1 of wind farm power in the next 24 hours is shown in Table 5, assuming the prediction error From this, it can be deduced that the day-ahead interval number model of the output power of the wind farm is:
将所述的电力系统日前调度优化问题的目标函数描述为:The objective function of the day-ahead scheduling optimization problem of the power system is described as:
min f1=f11+f12+f13+f14 (1)min f 1 =f 11 +f 12 +f 13 +f 14 (1)
其中,为常规发电机组的运行费用,右边第1项为常规机组启停成本,第2项为发电成本,为常规发电机台数,T1为调度周期,由于日前调度时间尺度取为15分钟,故T1=96,分别为j时刻第i台常规发电机的启动控制0-1变量、冷启动控制0-1变量,为“1”分别表示j时刻第i台常规发电机接受启动或冷启动指令,为“0”则表示j时刻无启动或冷启动指令,Chot,i、Ccold,i分别为第i台常规发电机的热启动费用和冷启动费用,为0-1变量,为“1”表示j时刻第i台常规发电机处于开机状态,为“0”则表示处于停机状态,为第i台常规发电机的发电成本系数,为j时刻第i台常规发电机的功率;in, is the operating cost of the conventional generator set, the first item on the right is the start and stop cost of the conventional generator set, the second item is the power generation cost, is the number of conventional generators, and T 1 is the scheduling period. Since the day-ahead scheduling time scale is taken as 15 minutes, T 1 =96, are the starting control 0-1 variable and the cold starting control 0-1 variable of the ith conventional generator at time j, respectively, "1" means that the ith conventional generator at time j receives the start or cold start command, respectively. If it is "0", it means that there is no start or cold start command at time j. C hot,i and C cold,i are the hot start cost and cold start cost of the ith conventional generator, respectively. It is a 0-1 variable, "1" means that the ith conventional generator is in the starting state at time j, and "0" means it is in a shutdown state, is the power generation cost coefficient of the ith conventional generator, is the power of the ith conventional generator at time j;
为快速启停机组运行成本,为快速启动发电机台数;为第i台快速启停机组的运行成本系数,为j时刻第i台快速启停机组的功率,为快速启停机组的启动控制0-1变量,为“1”分别表示j时刻第i台快速启停机组接受启动指令,为第i台快速启停机组的启动成本;为弃风惩罚费用,其中为j时刻削减的风电功率,Cw为弃风惩罚因子;为A、B、C三类柔性负荷的调控费用,ns为柔性负荷的分档数,其中分别为j时刻A、B、C三类柔性负荷s档的调控功率,由于柔性负荷响应具有弹性,故为区间数,分别为A、B、C三类柔性负荷以s档参与调控时的代价因子; In order to quickly start and stop the operating cost of the group, is the number of quick-start generators; is the operating cost coefficient of the i-th rapid start-up and stop group, is the power of the i-th fast start-stop group at time j, To control the 0-1 variable for the start-up of the fast start-stop group, "1" means that the i-th fast start-stop group accepts the start-up command at time j, respectively. is the start-up cost of the i-th rapid start-up and stop group; It is the penalty fee for wind abandonment, of which is the wind power cut at time j, and C w is the wind curtailment penalty factor; is the regulation cost of three types of flexible loads A, B and C, ns is the number of grades of flexible loads, where are the regulated powers of the three types of flexible loads A, B, and C at time j at the s-gear respectively. Since the response of the flexible load is elastic, so is the interval number, are the cost factors when three types of flexible loads, A, B, and C, participate in regulation in s-level;
所述的电力系统日前调度优化问题约束条件包括:The constraints of the day-ahead scheduling optimization problem of the power system include:
①有功功率平衡方程① Active power balance equation
式(2)中,左边为常规发电机组、快速启停机组及风力发电的总和,右边为系统总负荷减去3类柔性负荷的削减量,该有功功率平衡方程为区间等式;In formula (2), the left side is the sum of conventional generator sets, quick start and stop units and wind power generation, and the right side is the total system load minus the reduction of the three types of flexible loads. The active power balance equation is an interval equation;
②常规发电机出力及爬坡功率约束②Constraints on conventional generator output and ramping power
式(3)中分别为第i台常规发电机的最小和最大功率,分别表示第i台常规发电机向下和向上爬坡功率的极限值;In formula (3) are the minimum and maximum power of the ith conventional generator, respectively, Respectively represent the limit value of the i-th conventional generator's downward and upward climbing power;
③常规发电机最小开停机时间约束③Constraints on the minimum start and stop time of conventional generators
式(5)、(6)中分别为第i台常规发电机的最小开机时间和最小停机时间;In formulas (5) and (6) are the minimum startup time and minimum shutdown time of the ith conventional generator, respectively;
④常规发电机组冷热启动约束④Constraints on cold and hot start of conventional generator sets
式(7)、(8)为j时刻对第i台常规发电机冷启动和热启动的约束,为第i台常规发电机的冷启动时间;Equations (7) and (8) are the constraints on the cold start and hot start of the ith conventional generator at time j, is the cold start time of the ith conventional generator;
⑤快速启停机组最大最小功率及爬坡功率约束⑤Maximum and minimum power and climbing power constraints of quick start and stop groups
式(9)是快速启动发电机最小、最大功率约束,分别为第i台快速启停机组的最小和最大功率,为0-1变量,为“1”表示j时刻第i台快速机组处于开机状态,为“0”则表示处于停机状态;式(10)是快速机组向下、向上爬坡功率约束,分别表示第i台快速启停机组向下和向上爬坡功率的极限值;Equation (9) is the minimum and maximum power constraints of the fast-start generator, are the minimum and maximum power of the i-th fast start-stop group, respectively, It is a variable of 0-1, "1" means that the ith fast unit is in the starting state at time j, and "0" means it is in a shutdown state; Equation (10) is the power constraint of the fast unit climbing down and up, Respectively represent the limit value of the down and up climbing power of the i-th fast start-stop group;
⑥快速机组最小开机时间最小停机时间约束⑥The minimum start-up time of the fast unit and the minimum shutdown time constraint
式(11)、式(12)分别为j时刻对第i台快速机组最小开机时间最小停机时间的约束,为截止j时刻第i台快速机组的连续运行时间,为截止j时刻第i台快速机组的连续停机时间;Equation (11) and Equation (12) are the minimum start-up time of the i-th fast unit at time j, respectively. Minimum downtime constraints, is the continuous running time of the i-th fast unit up to time j, is the continuous shutdown time of the i-th fast unit up to time j;
⑦弃风约束⑦Abandoned wind constraint
式(13)中分别为日前调度中j时刻削减的风功率及风功率波动区间下界;In formula (13) are the wind power cut at time j in the previous scheduling and the lower bound of the wind power fluctuation interval, respectively;
⑧柔性负荷约束⑧Flexible load restraint
其中,Pila,s,j、Pilb,s,j、Pilc,s,j为j时刻A、B、C三类柔性负荷s档调控功率,为A、B、C三类柔性负荷s档的调控功率最大值,及分别为A、B、C三类柔性负荷s档响应系数的弹性波动区间;Among them, P ila,s,j , P ilb,s,j , P ilc,s,j are the three types of flexible loads A, B, and C at the time of j time. is the maximum regulated power of the s-gear of the three types of flexible loads A, B, and C, and are the elastic fluctuation intervals of the s-gear response coefficients of the three types of flexible loads A, B, and C, respectively;
⑨正、负备用功率约束⑨ Positive and negative backup power constraints
其中为j时刻常规机组和快速机组所能提供的正备用功率,r为备用系数, 为j时刻常规机组和快速机组所能提供的负备用功率,为负荷向上、风速向下波动时的波动区间,为负荷向下、风速向上波动时的波动区间;方程(1)-(20)共同构成了日前调度区间优化问题的数学模型。in is the positive standby power provided by conventional units and fast units at time j, r is the standby coefficient, is the negative standby power that conventional units and fast units can provide at time j, is the fluctuation interval when the load fluctuates upward and the wind speed fluctuates downward, is the fluctuation interval when the load is down and the wind speed fluctuates up; equations (1)-(20) together constitute the mathematical model of the optimization problem of the day-ahead scheduling interval.
步骤3、确定日前调度方案及日内调度的边界条件
式(1)所描述的电力系统日前调度区间优化问题目标函数f1为区间函数,设其上下界分别为其中:The objective function f 1 of the day-ahead scheduling interval optimization problem of the power system described by equation (1) is an interval function, and its upper and lower bounds are set as in:
设区间目标函数均值为目标函数半径为将区间目标函数转换为β1为加权系数,此处取值β1=0.1;Let the mean of the interval objective function be The radius of the objective function is Convert the interval objective function to β 1 is a weighting coefficient, and the value here is β 1 =0.1;
其次,将电力系统日前调度区间优化问题中式(2)、式(17)及(19)所描述的区间不等式约束在一定的区间可能度下转换为确定性不等式,设有功功率平衡、备用约束方程成立的区间可能度分别为ζ11=0.85、ζ12=0.85及ζ13=0.85,则根据区间可能度理论,式(2)、式(17)及(19)可分别转化为:Secondly, the interval inequality constraints described by equations (2), (17) and (19) in the day-ahead scheduling interval optimization problem of the power system are converted into deterministic inequalities under a certain interval possibility, and there are power balance and standby constraint equations. The established interval possibilities are ζ 11 =0.85, ζ 12 =0.85 and ζ 13 =0.85 respectively, then according to the interval possibility theory, equations (2), (17) and (19) can be transformed into:
由此,日前调度区间优化问题可转化为如下确定性问题:Therefore, the day-ahead scheduling interval optimization problem can be transformed into the following deterministic problem:
min F1 (24)min F 1 (24)
约束条件包括式(3)-(16)、式(18)、(20)以及式(21)-(23);应用混合整数线性规划方法求解上述确定性问题,得出日前调度区间优化方案,作为方案A;由此可确定日内调度问题的边界条件,即:常规机组的开机状态保持不变,A类柔性负荷的调控量保持不变,而快速启停机组的启停状态以及B、C两类柔性负荷的柔性负荷则需要在日内调度中调整。Constraints include equations (3)-(16), (18), (20), and equations (21)-(23); the mixed integer linear programming method is used to solve the above deterministic problem, and the optimization scheme of the day-ahead scheduling interval is obtained, As scheme A; from this, the boundary conditions of the intraday scheduling problem can be determined, that is, the start-up state of the conventional unit remains unchanged, the control amount of the A-type flexible load remains unchanged, and the start-stop state of the rapid start-stop group and the start-up and stop states of B and C units remain unchanged. The flexible loads of the two types of flexible loads need to be adjusted in intraday scheduling.
步骤4、获取新能源及负荷日内滚动预测数据
每隔15分钟对未来2小时的风电及负荷功率进行1次超短期预测,时间尺度为15分钟,系统日内超短期预测负荷曲线如图3所示,预测值如表6所示;日内超短期预测风电功率曲线如图4所示,预测值如表7所示;在超短期预测中,预测精度更准确,预测误差较日前预测误差小;假设由此可以推出新能源发电功率PN2的上界为下界为PN2的日内区间数模型为假设由此可以推出负荷功率的日内区间数模型为 The ultra-short-term forecast of wind power and load power for the next 2 hours is carried out every 15 minutes, and the time scale is 15 minutes. The predicted wind power curve is shown in Figure 4, and the predicted value is shown in Table 7; in the ultra-short-term prediction, the prediction accuracy is more accurate, and the prediction error is smaller than that of the previous prediction; From this, it can be deduced that the upper bound of the new energy power generation power P N2 is The lower bound is The intraday interval number model of P N2 is Assumption From this, it can be deduced that the intra-day interval number model of load power is:
表6.系统负荷功率日内预测值Table 6. Intraday predicted values of system load power
表7.风电场功率日内预测值Table 7. Intraday forecast of wind farm power
步骤5、建立日内调度问题数学模型并求解日内调度方案
基于步骤3所确定的日内调度方案边界条件,以及步骤4获取的新能源及负荷功率日内区间数模型,建立日内优化调度问题数学模型;其目标函数为Based on the boundary conditions of the intraday dispatch scheme determined in
f2=f21+f22+f23+f24 (25)f 2 =f 21 +f 22 +f 23 +f 24 (25)
其中,为常规发电机组发电成本,对于日内调度而言T2=8;为快速启停机组运行成本;为弃风成本; in, is the power generation cost of conventional generator sets, for intraday dispatch, T 2 =8; To quickly start and stop group operating costs; for the cost of wind abandonment;
日内优化调度问题的约束条件包含:The constraints of the intraday optimal scheduling problem include:
①有功功率平衡方程① Active power balance equation
②弃风约束②Abandoned wind restraint
③正、负备用功率约束③ Positive and negative backup power constraints
其中,为负荷向上、风速向下波动时的波动区间,为负荷向下、风速向上波动时的波动区间;in, is the fluctuation interval when the load fluctuates upward and the wind speed fluctuates downward, is the fluctuation interval when the load is downward and the wind speed is upward;
此外,日内优化调度问题的约束条件还包含:常规发电机出力及爬坡功率约束不等式(3)-(4)、快速启停机组约束不等式(9)-(12)、柔性负荷约束方程(15)-(16);In addition, the constraints of the intraday optimal scheduling problem also include: conventional generator output and ramping power constraint inequalities (3)-(4), fast start-stop group constraint inequalities (9)-(12), flexible load constraint equations (15) )-(16);
式(25)所描述的电力系统日内调度区间优化问题目标函数f2为区间函数,设其上下界分别为其中:The objective function f 2 of the interval optimization problem of intraday dispatching of the power system described by equation (25) is an interval function, and its upper and lower bounds are set as in:
设区间目标函数均值为目标函数半径为将区间目标函数转换为β2为加权系数,此处取β2=0.1;Let the mean of the interval objective function be The radius of the objective function is Convert the interval objective function to β 2 is a weighting coefficient, and β 2 =0.1 is taken here;
设电力系统日内调度区间优化问题的有功功率平衡方程(26)、备用约束方程(28)及式(30)成立的区间可能度分别为为ζ21=0.95、ζ22=0.99及ζ23=0.99,根据区间可能度理论,式(26)、式(28)及(30)可分别转化为:Assuming that the active power balance equation (26), the standby constraint equation (28) and the equation (30) of the power system intraday dispatch interval optimization problem are established, the interval possibilities are ζ 21 =0.95, ζ 22 =0.99 and ζ 23 =0.99, respectively. , according to the interval possibility theory, equations (26), (28) and (30) can be transformed into:
由此,日前调度区间优化问题可转化为如下确定性问题:Therefore, the day-ahead scheduling interval optimization problem can be transformed into the following deterministic problem:
min F2 (35)min F 2 (35)
约束条件包括式(3)-(4)、式(9)-(12)、式(15)-(16)、式(27)、(29)、(31)以及式(32)-(34);将步骤4中求得的常规机组的开机状态保持及A类柔性负荷的调控量作为边界条件代入计算,应用混合整数线性规划方法求解上述确定性问题,得出日内调度区间优化方案。Constraints include equations (3)-(4), (9)-(12), (15)-(16), (27), (29), (31) and (32)-(34) ); Substitute the power-on state maintenance of the conventional unit and the control amount of the A-type flexible load obtained in
我们在本例中按照前述实施例的方式进行经济性及安全性的校核。In this example, we carry out the check of economy and safety in the manner of the previous embodiment.
表8给出了A、B两种方案的综合性能对比,由表8可见,方案B的系统日运营费用显著降低,且波动区间均值与波动范围小,即方案B的经济性更好;同时方案B发生正、负备用不足的概率较方案A低,表明日前-日内协同调度可以充分利用发电机组和柔性负荷的多时间尺度特性,有效平抑新能源功率及负荷功率不确定性所引起的功率不平衡量,可以兼顾经济性和安全性需求。Table 8 shows the comprehensive performance comparison of the two schemes A and B. It can be seen from Table 8 that the system daily operating cost of scheme B is significantly reduced, and the mean value of the fluctuation interval and the fluctuation range are small, that is, the economy of scheme B is better; The probability of insufficient positive and negative reserves in scheme B is lower than that in scheme A, indicating that day-to-day coordinated scheduling can make full use of the multi-time scale characteristics of generator sets and flexible loads, and effectively suppress the power caused by the uncertainty of new energy power and load power. The unbalanced amount can take into account the needs of economy and safety.
表8.日前调度与日前-日内协同调度方案的综合性能对比Table 8. Comprehensive performance comparison of day-ahead scheduling and day-ahead-day collaborative scheduling schemes
A---日前调度方案;B---日前-日内协同调度方案;A---day-ahead scheduling scheme; B---day-a-day collaborative scheduling scheme;
方案A与方案B的常规发电机总发电量对比图如图5所示,弃风量对比图如图6所示,由图5、6可见,方案B常规发电机总发电量及弃风量都小于方案A的总发电量和弃风量,表明方案B能更多地消纳新能源,减少能源浪费并降低运营成本,缓解了常规发电机组的调峰压力并减小其发电成本,提高了系统运营的经济性。The comparison chart of the total power generation of conventional generators of scheme A and scheme B is shown in Figure 5, and the comparison chart of abandoned air volume is shown in Figure 6. From Figures 5 and 6, it can be seen that the total power generation and abandoned air volume of conventional generators of scheme B are less than The total power generation and abandoned air volume of scheme A shows that scheme B can consume more new energy, reduce energy waste and reduce operating costs, ease the peak regulation pressure of conventional generator sets, reduce their power generation costs, and improve system operation. economy.
方案B系统的功率平衡示意图如图7所示,由图7可见,调度后的系统总发电功率与总负荷功率均在一定区间内波动,在整个调度周期内,发电功率大于负荷功率的可能度大于预设值;在调度方案B下,各时刻系统满足功率平衡及正、负备用约束的区间可能度如图8所示,由图8可见,夜间0:00-5:00,由于风电功率在此时间段内较为充足,因此系统主要问题在于向下调节的备用功率不足,即系统易发生负备用不足的现象;在日间13:00-17:00,由于此时间段内负荷功率较高,且风电在白天出力较小,因此系统正备用功率不足的问题较为突出。The schematic diagram of the power balance of the scheme B system is shown in Figure 7. It can be seen from Figure 7 that the total generated power and total load power of the dispatched system fluctuate within a certain interval. During the entire dispatching period, the probability that the generated power is greater than the load power is greater than the preset value; under the scheduling scheme B, the interval probability of the system meeting the power balance and positive and negative reserve constraints at each moment is shown in Figure 8. It can be seen from Figure 8 that at night 0:00-5:00, due to the wind power It is sufficient during this time period, so the main problem of the system is that the reserve power for downward adjustment is insufficient, that is, the system is prone to the phenomenon of insufficient negative reserve. high, and the wind power output is small during the day, so the problem of insufficient backup power of the system is more prominent.
根据本发明另一方面的实施例,结合图1所示的实例,还提出一种电力系统日前-日内协同调度系统,例如以服务器或者服务器阵列的方式实施,其包括:According to an embodiment of another aspect of the present invention, combined with the example shown in FIG. 1 , a day-to-day coordinated scheduling system for a power system is also proposed, for example, implemented in the form of a server or a server array, which includes:
一个或多个处理器;one or more processors;
存储器,存储可被操作的指令,所述指令在通过所述一个或多个处理器执行时使得所述一个或多个处理器执行操作,所述操作包括执行前述任意实施例的电力系统日前-日内协同调度方法的实现过程,尤其是图1实施例的具体实现过程。a memory storing instructions operable that, when executed by the one or more processors, cause the one or more processors to perform operations comprising executing the power system of any of the preceding embodiments- The implementation process of the intraday collaborative scheduling method, especially the specific implementation process of the embodiment in FIG. 1 .
综上所述,本发明的计及新能源及负荷区间不确定性的电力系统日前-日内协同调度方法克服了现有技术所存在的需要确知新能源及负荷不确定性变量的概率分布、计算量大以及日前调度方案不够精细的技术缺陷,在新能源及负荷日前与日内预测数据的基础上,利用新能源及负荷的预测误差随时间尺度减小而减小的特点,考虑各类机组的灵活性及柔性负荷的多时间尺度特性,综合考虑发电机运行成本、新能源弃风、弃光惩罚代价以及柔性负荷参与电力系统调度所需费用,构建了电力系统日前-日内协同调度的区间问题数学模型;运用区间优化理论,将不确定性目标函数及约束函数转化为确定性问题求解,与机会约束规划方法相比,具有对输入数据信息要求较低、决策灵活性好、计算速度快的等优点;最后,对日前-日内协同调度方案进行了仿真校核,验证了本发明所提出的日前-日内协同调度方案可以更好地消纳新能源,减少资源浪费,在不确定性场景下兼顾了系统运行的经济性和安全性。To sum up, the day-to-day coordinated scheduling method of the power system considering the uncertainty of the new energy and load interval of the present invention overcomes the need to know the probability distribution, The technical defects of the large amount of calculation and the inaccurate day-ahead scheduling plan are based on the day-ahead and intra-day forecast data of new energy and load, taking advantage of the characteristics that the prediction error of new energy and load decreases with the reduction of the time scale, considering various types of units. The multi-time scale characteristics of flexible load and flexible load, comprehensively considering the operating cost of generators, the penalty cost of new energy curtailment, curtailment of light, and the cost of flexible load participating in power system scheduling, the interval of day-to-day coordinated scheduling of the power system is constructed. Mathematical model of the problem; using interval optimization theory, the uncertain objective function and constraint function are transformed into deterministic problem solving. Compared with the chance-constrained programming method, it has lower requirements for input data information, good decision-making flexibility, and fast calculation speed. Finally, the simulation check is carried out on the day-a-day collaborative scheduling scheme, which verifies that the day-a-day collaborative scheduling scheme proposed by the present invention can better absorb new energy, reduce resource waste, and can be used in uncertain scenarios. Taking into account the economy and safety of system operation.
虽然本发明已以较佳实施例揭露如上,然其并非用以限定本发明。本发明所属技术领域中具有通常知识者,在不脱离本发明的精神和范围内,当可作各种的更动与润饰。因此,本发明的保护范围当视权利要求书所界定者为准。Although the present invention has been disclosed above with preferred embodiments, it is not intended to limit the present invention. Those skilled in the art to which the present invention pertains can make various changes and modifications without departing from the spirit and scope of the present invention. Therefore, the protection scope of the present invention should be determined according to the claims.
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