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CN113193547A - Day-ahead-day-day coordinated scheduling method and system for power system considering new energy and load interval uncertainty - Google Patents

Day-ahead-day-day coordinated scheduling method and system for power system considering new energy and load interval uncertainty Download PDF

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Publication number
CN113193547A
CN113193547A CN202110293668.XA CN202110293668A CN113193547A CN 113193547 A CN113193547 A CN 113193547A CN 202110293668 A CN202110293668 A CN 202110293668A CN 113193547 A CN113193547 A CN 113193547A
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day
power
ahead
scheduling
load
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CN113193547B (en
Inventor
张振华
周海强
梁文腾
鞠平
周航
秦川
江叶峰
熊浩
付伟
罗建裕
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State Grid Jiangsu Electric Power Co Ltd
Hohai University HHU
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State Grid Jiangsu Electric Power Co Ltd
Hohai University HHU
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    • HELECTRICITY
    • H02GENERATION; CONVERSION OR DISTRIBUTION OF ELECTRIC POWER
    • H02JCIRCUIT ARRANGEMENTS OR SYSTEMS FOR SUPPLYING OR DISTRIBUTING ELECTRIC POWER; SYSTEMS FOR STORING ELECTRIC ENERGY
    • H02J3/00Circuit arrangements for AC mains or AC distribution networks
    • H02J3/003Load forecast, e.g. methods or systems for forecasting future load demand
    • HELECTRICITY
    • H02GENERATION; CONVERSION OR DISTRIBUTION OF ELECTRIC POWER
    • H02JCIRCUIT ARRANGEMENTS OR SYSTEMS FOR SUPPLYING OR DISTRIBUTING ELECTRIC POWER; SYSTEMS FOR STORING ELECTRIC ENERGY
    • H02J3/00Circuit arrangements for AC mains or AC distribution networks
    • H02J3/004Generation forecast, e.g. methods or systems for forecasting future energy generation
    • HELECTRICITY
    • H02GENERATION; CONVERSION OR DISTRIBUTION OF ELECTRIC POWER
    • H02JCIRCUIT ARRANGEMENTS OR SYSTEMS FOR SUPPLYING OR DISTRIBUTING ELECTRIC POWER; SYSTEMS FOR STORING ELECTRIC ENERGY
    • H02J3/00Circuit arrangements for AC mains or AC distribution networks
    • H02J3/12Circuit arrangements for AC mains or AC distribution networks for adjusting voltage in AC networks by changing a characteristic of the network load
    • H02J3/14Circuit arrangements for AC mains or AC distribution networks for adjusting voltage in AC networks by changing a characteristic of the network load by switching loads on to, or off from, network, e.g. progressively balanced loading
    • HELECTRICITY
    • H02GENERATION; CONVERSION OR DISTRIBUTION OF ELECTRIC POWER
    • H02JCIRCUIT ARRANGEMENTS OR SYSTEMS FOR SUPPLYING OR DISTRIBUTING ELECTRIC POWER; SYSTEMS FOR STORING ELECTRIC ENERGY
    • H02J3/00Circuit arrangements for AC mains or AC distribution networks
    • H02J3/38Arrangements for parallely feeding a single network by two or more generators, converters or transformers
    • H02J3/381Dispersed generators
    • HELECTRICITY
    • H02GENERATION; CONVERSION OR DISTRIBUTION OF ELECTRIC POWER
    • H02JCIRCUIT ARRANGEMENTS OR SYSTEMS FOR SUPPLYING OR DISTRIBUTING ELECTRIC POWER; SYSTEMS FOR STORING ELECTRIC ENERGY
    • H02J3/00Circuit arrangements for AC mains or AC distribution networks
    • H02J3/38Arrangements for parallely feeding a single network by two or more generators, converters or transformers
    • H02J3/46Controlling of the sharing of output between the generators, converters, or transformers
    • H02J3/466Scheduling the operation of the generators, e.g. connecting or disconnecting generators to meet a given demand
    • HELECTRICITY
    • H02GENERATION; CONVERSION OR DISTRIBUTION OF ELECTRIC POWER
    • H02JCIRCUIT ARRANGEMENTS OR SYSTEMS FOR SUPPLYING OR DISTRIBUTING ELECTRIC POWER; SYSTEMS FOR STORING ELECTRIC ENERGY
    • H02J2203/00Indexing scheme relating to details of circuit arrangements for AC mains or AC distribution networks
    • H02J2203/20Simulating, e g planning, reliability check, modelling or computer assisted design [CAD]
    • HELECTRICITY
    • H02GENERATION; CONVERSION OR DISTRIBUTION OF ELECTRIC POWER
    • H02JCIRCUIT ARRANGEMENTS OR SYSTEMS FOR SUPPLYING OR DISTRIBUTING ELECTRIC POWER; SYSTEMS FOR STORING ELECTRIC ENERGY
    • H02J2300/00Systems for supplying or distributing electric power characterised by decentralized, dispersed, or local generation
    • H02J2300/20The dispersed energy generation being of renewable origin
    • H02J2300/22The renewable source being solar energy
    • H02J2300/24The renewable source being solar energy of photovoltaic origin
    • HELECTRICITY
    • H02GENERATION; CONVERSION OR DISTRIBUTION OF ELECTRIC POWER
    • H02JCIRCUIT ARRANGEMENTS OR SYSTEMS FOR SUPPLYING OR DISTRIBUTING ELECTRIC POWER; SYSTEMS FOR STORING ELECTRIC ENERGY
    • H02J2300/00Systems for supplying or distributing electric power characterised by decentralized, dispersed, or local generation
    • H02J2300/20The dispersed energy generation being of renewable origin
    • H02J2300/28The renewable source being wind energy
    • YGENERAL TAGGING OF NEW TECHNOLOGICAL DEVELOPMENTS; GENERAL TAGGING OF CROSS-SECTIONAL TECHNOLOGIES SPANNING OVER SEVERAL SECTIONS OF THE IPC; TECHNICAL SUBJECTS COVERED BY FORMER USPC CROSS-REFERENCE ART COLLECTIONS [XRACs] AND DIGESTS
    • Y02TECHNOLOGIES OR APPLICATIONS FOR MITIGATION OR ADAPTATION AGAINST CLIMATE CHANGE
    • Y02BCLIMATE CHANGE MITIGATION TECHNOLOGIES RELATED TO BUILDINGS, e.g. HOUSING, HOUSE APPLIANCES OR RELATED END-USER APPLICATIONS
    • Y02B70/00Technologies for an efficient end-user side electric power management and consumption
    • Y02B70/30Systems integrating technologies related to power network operation and communication or information technologies for improving the carbon footprint of the management of residential or tertiary loads, i.e. smart grids as climate change mitigation technology in the buildings sector, including also the last stages of power distribution and the control, monitoring or operating management systems at local level
    • Y02B70/3225Demand response systems, e.g. load shedding, peak shaving
    • YGENERAL TAGGING OF NEW TECHNOLOGICAL DEVELOPMENTS; GENERAL TAGGING OF CROSS-SECTIONAL TECHNOLOGIES SPANNING OVER SEVERAL SECTIONS OF THE IPC; TECHNICAL SUBJECTS COVERED BY FORMER USPC CROSS-REFERENCE ART COLLECTIONS [XRACs] AND DIGESTS
    • Y04INFORMATION OR COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGIES HAVING AN IMPACT ON OTHER TECHNOLOGY AREAS
    • Y04SSYSTEMS INTEGRATING TECHNOLOGIES RELATED TO POWER NETWORK OPERATION, COMMUNICATION OR INFORMATION TECHNOLOGIES FOR IMPROVING THE ELECTRICAL POWER GENERATION, TRANSMISSION, DISTRIBUTION, MANAGEMENT OR USAGE, i.e. SMART GRIDS
    • Y04S20/00Management or operation of end-user stationary applications or the last stages of power distribution; Controlling, monitoring or operating thereof
    • Y04S20/20End-user application control systems
    • Y04S20/222Demand response systems, e.g. load shedding, peak shaving

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  • Engineering & Computer Science (AREA)
  • Power Engineering (AREA)
  • Supply And Distribution Of Alternating Current (AREA)
  • Management, Administration, Business Operations System, And Electronic Commerce (AREA)

Abstract

The invention provides a day-ahead and day-in cooperative scheduling method and system for an electric power system, which take new energy and load interval uncertainty into account, wherein the day-ahead and day-in cooperative scheduling method comprises the steps of acquiring electric power system data and new energy and load day-ahead prediction data; constructing a mathematical model of a scheduling interval optimization problem in the day ahead; determining a day-ahead scheduling scheme and boundary conditions of scheduling in a day; acquiring new energy and load rolling prediction data in the day; and constructing a mathematical model of the in-day scheduling problem and solving the in-day scheduling scheme based on the boundary condition of the in-day scheduling scheme and the model of the number of new energy and load in-day intervals. According to the day-ahead and day-in cooperative scheduling method of the power system, a mathematical model of the interval problem of day-ahead and day-in cooperative scheduling of the power system is comprehensively constructed; and by applying an interval optimization theory, the uncertain objective function and the constraint function are converted into a deterministic problem to be solved, and compared with an opportunity constraint planning method, the method has the advantages of low requirement on input data information, good decision flexibility and high calculation speed.

Description

计及新能源及负荷区间不确定性的电力系统日前-日内协同 调度方法与系统Day-ahead-intraday coordinated scheduling method and system for power system considering new energy and load interval uncertainty

技术领域technical field

本发明涉及智能电网技术领域,尤其是电力系统调度技术,具体而言涉及一种计及新能源及负荷区间不确定性的电力系统日前-日内协同调度方法。The invention relates to the technical field of smart grids, in particular to power system scheduling technology, and in particular to a day-to-day coordinated scheduling method for a power system that takes into account new energy and load interval uncertainty.

背景技术Background technique

近年来,以风电、光伏为代表的新能源在电力系统中的占比不断增加,大力发展新能源是我国能源转型和实现碳排放目标的必然要求,由于新能源具有随机性、波动性和间隙性的特点,其预测难免存在一定的误差。在负荷侧,用电需求受到天气、时间、电价、经济发展阶段及消费心理等多种因素影响,同样存在较大预测误差。因此,现代电力系统的运行场景具有较强的不确定性。如何针对不确定性电力系统进行科学调度,在控制调度方案风险的基础上提高调度方案的经济性,是电力系统所亟需解决的问题。In recent years, the proportion of new energy represented by wind power and photovoltaics in the power system has been increasing. Vigorously developing new energy is an inevitable requirement for my country's energy transformation and carbon emission goals. Due to the randomness, volatility and gaps of new energy Due to the characteristics of sex, its prediction will inevitably have certain errors. On the load side, electricity demand is affected by various factors such as weather, time, electricity price, economic development stage and consumer psychology, and there is also a large forecast error. Therefore, the operation scenarios of modern power systems have strong uncertainties. How to scientifically dispatch the uncertain power system and improve the economy of the dispatch scheme on the basis of controlling the risk of the dispatch scheme is an urgent problem to be solved in the power system.

目前,关于不确定性电力系统调度的现有技术,常采用的有场景法及概率法。其中场景法需要抽样生成场景集,并在场景集的基础上进行大量计算,该方法简便易行,但计算量很大。概率方法又称为机会约束规划方法,该方法根据输入不确定性变量如新能源或负荷功率的概率分布函数,将约束不等式在一定的置信度下转化为确定性不等式求解,该方法计算量较小。At present, regarding the existing technologies of uncertain power system dispatch, the scenario method and the probability method are often used. Among them, the scene method needs to sample and generate scene sets, and perform a large number of calculations on the basis of the scene sets. This method is simple and easy, but the calculation amount is large. The probabilistic method is also known as the chance-constrained programming method. This method converts the constraint inequality into a deterministic inequality solution with a certain degree of confidence according to the probability distribution function of input uncertain variables such as new energy or load power. Small.

上述两种方法都需要知道输入变量确切的概率分布函数,但这对于实际系统而言,常存在一定困难。实践中,由于缺乏足够的历史数据,或者变量自身的规律性较弱,往往难以确切地知道其概率分布。Both of the above methods need to know the exact probability distribution function of the input variables, but this is often difficult for practical systems. In practice, due to the lack of sufficient historical data or the weak regularity of the variable itself, it is often difficult to know its probability distribution exactly.

发明内容SUMMARY OF THE INVENTION

本发明目的在于针对现有技术所存在的需要知道新能源及负荷不确定性变量的概率分布函数、计算量大以及日前调度方案不够精细的技术缺陷,提供一种计及新能源及负荷区间不确定性的电力系统日前-日内协同调度方法与系统,在新能源及负荷日前与日内预测数据的基础上,运用区间优化原理,协同常规发电机、快速启停机组、新能源、柔性负荷以及储能调控资源,在实现系统功率平衡的同时确保足够的安全备用,平衡电力系统运营成本与安全性,进行科学的电力调度决策。The purpose of the present invention is to provide a method that takes into account the new energy and load interval in consideration of the technical defects of the prior art that the probability distribution function of new energy and load uncertainty variables needs to be known, the amount of calculation is large, and the scheduling plan is not precise enough. The deterministic day-to-day coordinated scheduling method and system of the power system, based on the day-to-day and intra-day forecast data of new energy and load, uses the principle of interval optimization to coordinate conventional generators, rapid start-stop groups, new energy, flexible loads and storage. It can control resources, ensure sufficient safety reserve while achieving system power balance, balance the operating cost and safety of the power system, and make scientific power dispatching decisions.

根据本发明目的的第一方面提出一种计及新能源及负荷区间不确定性的电力系统日前-日内协同调度方法,包括以下步骤:According to the first aspect of the purpose of the present invention, a day-to-day coordinated scheduling method for a power system that takes into account the uncertainty of new energy sources and load intervals is proposed, which includes the following steps:

步骤1、获取电力系统数据以及新能源和负荷日前预测数据;Step 1. Obtain power system data and day-ahead forecast data for new energy and load;

步骤2、构建日前调度区间优化问题数学模型;Step 2. Construct a mathematical model of the scheduling interval optimization problem in the day-ahead;

步骤3、确定日前调度方案及日内调度的边界条件;Step 3. Determine the day-ahead scheduling scheme and the boundary conditions of intra-day scheduling;

步骤4、获取新能源及负荷日内滚动预测数据;以及Step 4. Obtain the daily rolling forecast data of new energy and load; and

步骤5、基于步骤3所确定的日内调度方案边界条件,以及步骤4获取的新能源及负荷日内区间数模型,构建日内调度问题数学模型并求解日内调度方案;Step 5. Based on the boundary conditions of the intra-day scheduling scheme determined in step 3, and the new energy and load intra-day interval number model obtained in step 4, construct a mathematical model of the intra-day scheduling problem and solve the intra-day scheduling scheme;

其中,所述电力系统数据包括常规发电机组和快速启停机组最大和最小输出功率、机组启停费用、运行成本系数、爬坡功率、最小开机和停机时间,A、B、C三类柔性负荷Pila、Pilb、Pilc的分档数和每档的可削减负荷最大容量、成本系数、需求响应的弹性系数以及最大累计中断时间,其中A类柔性负荷需提前24h告知用户,B类柔性负荷提前告知用户的时间为15min-2h,C类柔性负荷提前告知用户的时间为5-15min;Among them, the power system data includes the maximum and minimum output power of conventional generator sets and quick start and stop groups, the start and stop costs of the units, the operating cost factor, the power on the slope, the minimum start and stop time, and three types of flexible loads A, B, and C. The number of grades of P ila , Pilb and Pilc and the maximum load reduction capacity of each grade, cost coefficient, elastic coefficient of demand response and maximum cumulative interruption time. Among them, Class A flexible loads need to be notified to the user 24 hours in advance, and Class B flexible loads The time for the load to inform the user in advance is 15min-2h, and the time for Class C flexible load to inform the user in advance is 5-15min;

所述新能源和负荷日前预测数据包括未来24小时风电场及光伏电站的输出功率Pwt、Ppv的每小时的预测值及其日前预测误差的波动区间,未来24小时系统负荷Pl每小时的预测值及其日前预测误差的波动区间。The day-ahead forecast data of new energy and load includes the hourly forecast values of the output power P wt and P pv of the wind farm and photovoltaic power station in the next 24 hours and the fluctuation interval of the day-ahead forecast error, and the system load P l per hour in the next 24 hours. The forecast value of , and the fluctuation range of the forecast error for the previous day.

根据本发明目的的第二方面还提出一种计及新能源及负荷区间不确定性的电力系统日前-日内协同调度系统,包括:According to the second aspect of the purpose of the present invention, a day-to-day coordinated dispatching system for a power system that takes into account the uncertainty of new energy sources and load intervals is also proposed, including:

一个或多个处理器;one or more processors;

存储器,存储可被操作的指令,所述指令在通过所述一个或多个处理器执行时使得所述一个或多个处理器执行操作,所述操作包括执行前述协同调度处理的过程。A memory storing instructions operable that, when executed by the one or more processors, cause the one or more processors to perform operations that include performing the aforementioned co-scheduling processes.

与现有技术相比,本发明具有以下优点和有益效果:Compared with the prior art, the present invention has the following advantages and beneficial effects:

1.本发明提出的考虑新能源及负荷不确定性的电力系统日前-日内协同调度方法,利用新能源及负荷的预测误差随时间尺度减小而减小的特点,考虑各类机组的灵活性及柔性负荷的多时间尺度特性,综合考虑发电机运行成本、弃风或弃光惩罚代价以及柔性负荷参与电力系统调度所需各种费用,实现了电力系统日前-日内协同调度;1. The day-to-day coordinated scheduling method of the power system that considers the uncertainty of new energy and load proposed by the present invention takes advantage of the feature that the prediction error of new energy and load decreases with the reduction of the time scale, and considers the flexibility of various units. And the multi-time scale characteristics of flexible load, comprehensive consideration of generator operating cost, penalty cost of abandoning wind or light, and various expenses required for flexible load to participate in power system dispatching, realize day-a-day coordinated dispatching of power system;

2.在不确知输入数据概率分布的条件下,应用区间优化理论,将不确定性目标函数转换为确定性函数,在一定的区间可能度下将区间不等式转化为确定性不等式,从而将不确定性问题转化为确定性问题求解,与机会约束规划方法相比,具有对输入数据信息要求较低、决策灵活性好、计算速度快等优点;2. Under the condition that the probability distribution of the input data is not known, the interval optimization theory is applied to convert the uncertainty objective function into a deterministic function, and the interval inequality is transformed into a deterministic inequality under a certain interval possibility, so as to convert the uncertainty Deterministic problems are transformed into deterministic problem solving. Compared with chance-constrained programming methods, it has the advantages of lower requirements for input data information, good decision flexibility, and fast calculation speed;

3.最后,对日前-日内协同调度方案进行了仿真校核,验证了本发明所提出的日前-日内协同调度方案可以克服了日前调度方案不够精细的技术缺陷,在降低日运营费用的条件下,提高了系统的安全性,具有较好的实用性。3. Finally, a simulation check is carried out on the day-a-day-day collaborative scheduling scheme, which verifies that the day-a-day-day collaborative scheduling scheme proposed by the present invention can overcome the technical defect that the day-ahead scheduling scheme is not precise enough, and under the condition of reducing daily operating costs , which improves the security of the system and has better practicability.

应当理解,前述构思以及在下面更加详细地描述的额外构思的所有组合只要在这样的构思不相互矛盾的情况下都可以被视为本公开的发明主题的一部分。另外,所要求保护的主题的所有组合都被视为本公开的发明主题的一部分。It is to be understood that all combinations of the foregoing concepts, as well as additional concepts described in greater detail below, are considered to be part of the inventive subject matter of the present disclosure to the extent that such concepts are not contradictory. Additionally, all combinations of the claimed subject matter are considered to be part of the inventive subject matter of this disclosure.

结合附图从下面的描述中可以更加全面地理解本发明教导的前述和其他方面、实施例和特征。本发明的其他附加方面例如示例性实施方式的特征和/或有益效果将在下面的描述中显见,或通过根据本发明教导的具体实施方式的实践中得知。The foregoing and other aspects, embodiments and features of the present teachings can be more fully understood from the following description when taken in conjunction with the accompanying drawings. Other additional aspects of the invention, such as features and/or benefits of the exemplary embodiments, will be apparent from the description below, or learned by practice of specific embodiments in accordance with the teachings of this invention.

附图说明Description of drawings

附图不意在按比例绘制。在附图中,在各个图中示出的每个相同或近似相同的组成部分可以用相同的标号表示。为了清晰起见,在每个图中,并非每个组成部分均被标记。现在,将通过例子并参考附图来描述本发明的各个方面的实施例,其中:The drawings are not intended to be drawn to scale. In the drawings, each identical or nearly identical component that is illustrated in various figures may be represented by the same reference numeral. For clarity, not every component is labeled in every figure. Embodiments of various aspects of the present invention will now be described by way of example and with reference to the accompanying drawings, wherein:

图1是本发明的计及新能源及负荷区间不确定性的电力系统日前-日内协同调度方法的一个实施例的流程图。FIG. 1 is a flowchart of an embodiment of a day-to-day coordinated scheduling method for a power system that takes into account new energy and load interval uncertainty according to the present invention.

图2是本发明的一个实施例的IEEE10机39节点算例系统结构图,其中“WT”表示风电场,“FG”表示快速启停机组。Fig. 2 is a system structure diagram of an IEEE10 machine 39 node calculation example according to an embodiment of the present invention, wherein "WT" represents a wind farm, and "FG" represents a fast start-stop group.

图3是本发明的一个实施例的日负荷曲线示意图,其中“°”表示日前预测值,“*”表示日内预测值,“△”表示负荷预测值区间下界,“▽”表示负荷预测值区间上界。Fig. 3 is a schematic diagram of a daily load curve according to an embodiment of the present invention, wherein "°" represents the forecast value for the day before, "*" represents the forecast value for the day, "△" represents the lower bound of the load forecast value interval, and "▽" represents the load forecast value interval Upper Bound.

图4是本发明的一个实施例的日风电功率曲线示意图,其中表示“°”日前预测值,“*”表示日内预测值,“△”表示风电预测值区间下界,“▽”表示风电预测值区间上界。Fig. 4 is a schematic diagram of a daily wind power curve according to an embodiment of the present invention, wherein "°" represents a day-ahead forecast value, "*" represents an intra-day forecast value, "△" represents the lower bound of the wind power forecast value interval, and "▽" represents a wind power forecast value upper bound of the interval.

图5是本发明的一个实施例的日前调度与日前-日内协同调度的常规发电机组日总发电量对比图。FIG. 5 is a comparison diagram of the daily total power generation of conventional generator sets of day-ahead scheduling and day-ahead-day coordinated scheduling according to an embodiment of the present invention.

图6是本发明的一个实施例的日前调度与日前-日内协同调度的弃风量对比图。。FIG. 6 is a comparison diagram of abandoned air volume between day-ahead scheduling and day-a-day coordinated scheduling according to an embodiment of the present invention. .

图7是本发明的一个实施例的日前-日内协同调度的系统功率平衡示意图。FIG. 7 is a schematic diagram of system power balance of day-to-day coordinated scheduling according to an embodiment of the present invention.

图8是本发明的一个实施例的日前-日内协同调度的系统功率平衡及正、负备用功率约束成立的可能度示意图。FIG. 8 is a schematic diagram of the possibility of establishment of system power balance and positive and negative reserve power constraints of day-to-day coordinated scheduling according to an embodiment of the present invention.

具体实施方式Detailed ways

为了更了解本发明的技术内容,特举具体实施例并配合所附图式说明如下。In order to better understand the technical content of the present invention, specific embodiments are given and described below in conjunction with the accompanying drawings.

在本公开中参照附图来描述本发明的各方面,附图中示出了许多说明的实施例。本公开的实施例不必定意在包括本发明的所有方面。应当理解,上面介绍的多种构思和实施例,以及下面更加详细地描述的那些构思和实施方式可以以很多方式中任意一种来实施,这是因为本发明所公开的构思和实施例并不限于任何实施方式。另外,本发明公开的一些方面可以单独使用,或者与本发明公开的其他方面的任何适当组合来使用。Aspects of the invention are described in this disclosure with reference to the accompanying drawings, in which a number of illustrative embodiments are shown. Embodiments of the present disclosure are not necessarily intended to include all aspects of the invention. It should be understood that the various concepts and embodiments described above, as well as those described in greater detail below, can be implemented in any of a number of ways, as the concepts and embodiments disclosed herein do not limited to any implementation. Additionally, some aspects of the present disclosure may be used alone or in any suitable combination with other aspects of the present disclosure.

结合图示,根据本发明示例性实施例公开一种计及新能源及负荷区间不确定性的电力系统日前-日内协同调度方法,图1所示为本发明计及新能源及负荷区间不确定性的电力系统日前-日内协同调度方法的流程图,包括以下步骤:步骤1、获取电力系统数据以及新能源和负荷日前预测数据;步骤2、构建日前调度区间优化问题数学模型;步骤3、确定日前调度方案及日内调度的边界条件;步骤4、获取新能源及负荷日内滚动预测数据;以及步骤5、基于步骤3所确定的日内调度方案边界条件,以及步骤4获取的新能源及负荷日内区间数模型,构建日内调度问题数学模型并求解日内调度方案。With reference to the drawings, according to an exemplary embodiment of the present invention, a day-to-day coordinated scheduling method for a power system that takes into account the uncertainty of new energy and load interval is disclosed. FIG. 1 shows the present invention taking into account the uncertainty of new energy and load interval. The flow chart of the day-a-day-intraday coordinated dispatching method of the electric power system includes the following steps: Step 1. Obtain the power system data and the day-ahead forecast data of new energy and load; Step 2. Build a mathematical model of the day-ahead scheduling interval optimization problem; Step 3. Determine The day-ahead scheduling scheme and the boundary conditions of the intra-day scheduling; step 4, obtaining the new energy and load intraday rolling forecast data; and step 5, based on the boundary conditions of the intra-day scheduling scheme determined in step 3, and the new energy and load intraday interval obtained in step 4 Mathematical model, construct a mathematical model of intraday scheduling problem and solve intraday scheduling scheme.

下面结合附图所示,更加具体地阐述上述步骤的具体实现。The specific implementation of the above steps will be described in more detail below with reference to the accompanying drawings.

步骤一、获取电力系统数据以及新能源和负荷日前预测数据Step 1. Obtain power system data and day-ahead forecast data for new energy and load

其中,所述电力系统数据包括常规发电机组和快速启停机组最大和最小输出功率、机组启停费用、运行成本系数、爬坡功率、最小开机和停机时间,A、B、C三类柔性负荷Pila、Pilb、Pilc的分档数和每档的可削减负荷最大容量、成本系数、需求响应的弹性系数以及最大累计中断时间,其中A类柔性负荷需提前24h告知用户,B类柔性负荷提前告知用户的时间为15min-2h,C类柔性负荷提前告知用户的时间为5-15min;Among them, the power system data includes the maximum and minimum output power of conventional generator sets and quick start and stop groups, the start and stop costs of the units, the operating cost factor, the power on the slope, the minimum start and stop time, and three types of flexible loads A, B, and C. The number of grades of P ila , Pilb and Pilc and the maximum load reduction capacity of each grade, cost coefficient, elastic coefficient of demand response and maximum cumulative interruption time. Among them, Class A flexible loads need to be notified to the user 24 hours in advance, and Class B flexible loads The time for the load to inform the user in advance is 15min-2h, and the time for Class C flexible load to inform the user in advance is 5-15min;

所述新能源和负荷日前预测数据包括未来24小时风电场及光伏电站的输出功率Pwt、Ppv的每小时的预测值及其日前预测误差的波动区间,未来24小时系统负荷Pl每小时的预测值及其日前预测误差的波动区间。The day-ahead forecast data of new energy and load includes the hourly forecast values of the output power P wt and P pv of the wind farm and photovoltaic power station in the next 24 hours and the fluctuation interval of the day-ahead forecast error, and the system load P l per hour in the next 24 hours. The forecast value of , and the fluctuation range of the forecast error for the previous day.

步骤二、建立日前调度区间优化问题数学模型Step 2. Establish a mathematical model for the optimization problem of day-ahead scheduling interval

假设新能源发电日前预测值为

Figure BDA0002983456120000041
其日前预测误差
Figure BDA0002983456120000042
位于区间
Figure BDA0002983456120000043
内,上标“+”表示区间数上界,上标“-”表示区间数下界,由此可以推出新能源发电功率PN1的上界为
Figure BDA0002983456120000044
下界为
Figure BDA0002983456120000045
PN1的日前区间数模型为
Figure BDA0002983456120000046
由此可建立风力及光伏发电的日前区间数模型
Figure BDA0002983456120000047
Assuming that the forecast value of new energy power generation is
Figure BDA0002983456120000041
its day-ahead forecast error
Figure BDA0002983456120000042
in the interval
Figure BDA0002983456120000043
Inside, the superscript "+" represents the upper bound of the interval number, and the superscript "-" represents the lower bound of the interval number. From this, it can be deduced that the upper bound of the new energy power generation power P N1 is
Figure BDA0002983456120000044
The lower bound is
Figure BDA0002983456120000045
The day-ahead interval number model of P N1 is
Figure BDA0002983456120000046
From this, a day-ahead interval number model for wind and photovoltaic power generation can be established.
Figure BDA0002983456120000047

假设负荷日前预测值为

Figure BDA0002983456120000048
其日前预测误差
Figure BDA0002983456120000049
位于区间
Figure BDA00029834561200000410
内,由此可以推出负荷功率Pl1的上界为
Figure BDA0002983456120000051
下界为
Figure BDA0002983456120000052
则负荷功率的日前区间数模型为
Figure BDA0002983456120000053
Assuming that the load day forecast is
Figure BDA0002983456120000048
its day-ahead forecast error
Figure BDA0002983456120000049
in the interval
Figure BDA00029834561200000410
From this, it can be deduced that the upper bound of the load power P l1 is
Figure BDA0002983456120000051
The lower bound is
Figure BDA0002983456120000052
Then the day-ahead interval number model of load power is
Figure BDA0002983456120000053

一般日前调度时间尺度为1小时,日内调度时间尺度为15分钟,为了使日前-日内调度更好地衔接,本发明取日前调度的时间尺度为15分钟,对每小时新能源及负荷的预测值进行线性插值,以此作为每隔15分钟的日前预测值,在此基础上进行日前调度。Generally, the time scale of day-ahead scheduling is 1 hour, and the time-scale of intra-day scheduling is 15 minutes. In order to make the connection between day-ahead and intra-day scheduling better, the present invention takes the time scale of day-ahead scheduling as 15 minutes, and the predicted value of new energy and load per hour is Linear interpolation is performed as the day-ahead forecast value every 15 minutes, and day-ahead scheduling is performed on this basis.

由此,将所述的电力系统日前调度优化问题的目标函数描述为:Therefore, the objective function of the day-ahead scheduling optimization problem of the power system is described as:

min f1=f11+f12+f13+f14 (1)min f 1 =f 11 +f 12 +f 13 +f 14 (1)

Figure BDA0002983456120000054
为常规发电机组的运行费用,右边第1项为常规机组启停成本,第2项为发电成本。
Figure BDA0002983456120000055
为常规发电机台数,T1为调度周期,由于日前调度时间尺度取为15分钟,故T1=96,即96个调度周期。
Figure BDA0002983456120000054
is the operating cost of the conventional generator set, the first item on the right is the start and stop cost of the conventional generator set, and the second item is the power generation cost.
Figure BDA0002983456120000055
is the number of conventional generators, and T 1 is the scheduling period. Since the day-ahead scheduling time scale is taken as 15 minutes, T 1 =96, that is, 96 scheduling periods.

Figure BDA0002983456120000056
分别为j时刻第i台常规发电机的启动控制0-1变量、冷启动控制0-1变量,
Figure BDA0002983456120000057
为“1”分别表示j时刻第i台常规发电机接受启动或冷启动指令,
Figure BDA0002983456120000058
为“0”则表示j时刻无启动或冷启动指令。
Figure BDA0002983456120000056
are the starting control 0-1 variable and the cold starting control 0-1 variable of the ith conventional generator at time j, respectively,
Figure BDA0002983456120000057
"1" means that the ith conventional generator at time j receives the start or cold start command, respectively.
Figure BDA0002983456120000058
If it is "0", it means that there is no start or cold start command at time j.

Chot,i、Ccold,i分别为第i台常规发电机的热启动费用和冷启动费用,

Figure BDA0002983456120000059
为0-1变量,为“1”表示j时刻第i台常规发电机处于开机状态,为“0”则表示处于停机状态。C hot,i and C cold,i are the hot start cost and cold start cost of the ith conventional generator, respectively,
Figure BDA0002983456120000059
It is a 0-1 variable, "1" indicates that the ith conventional generator at time j is in the starting state, and "0" indicates that it is in a shutdown state.

Figure BDA00029834561200000510
为第i台常规发电机的发电成本系数,
Figure BDA00029834561200000511
为j时刻第i台常规发电机的功率。
Figure BDA00029834561200000510
is the power generation cost coefficient of the ith conventional generator,
Figure BDA00029834561200000511
is the power of the ith conventional generator at time j.

Figure BDA00029834561200000512
为快速启停机组运行成本。
Figure BDA00029834561200000512
Running costs for quick start and stop groups.

其中,

Figure BDA00029834561200000513
为快速启动发电机台数;
Figure BDA00029834561200000514
为第i台快速启停机组的运行成本系数,
Figure BDA00029834561200000515
为j时刻第i台快速启停机组的功率。in,
Figure BDA00029834561200000513
is the number of quick-start generators;
Figure BDA00029834561200000514
is the operating cost coefficient of the i-th rapid start-up and stop group,
Figure BDA00029834561200000515
is the power of the i-th fast start-stop group at time j.

Figure BDA00029834561200000516
为快速启停机组的启动控制0-1变量,
Figure BDA00029834561200000517
为“1”分别表示j时刻第i台快速启停机组接受启动指令,
Figure BDA00029834561200000518
为第i台快速启停机组的启动成本。
Figure BDA00029834561200000516
To control the 0-1 variable for the start-up of the fast start-stop group,
Figure BDA00029834561200000517
"1" means that the i-th fast start-stop group accepts the start-up command at time j, respectively.
Figure BDA00029834561200000518
It is the start-up cost of the i-th rapid start-up and stop group.

Figure BDA00029834561200000519
为弃风惩罚费用,其中
Figure BDA00029834561200000520
为j时刻削减的风电功率,Cw为弃风惩罚因子。
Figure BDA00029834561200000519
It is the penalty fee for wind abandonment, of which
Figure BDA00029834561200000520
is the wind power cut at time j, and C w is the wind curtailment penalty factor.

Figure BDA00029834561200000521
为A、B、C三类柔性负荷的调控费用,ns为柔性负荷的分档数,其中
Figure BDA00029834561200000522
分别为j时刻A、B、C三类柔性负荷s档的调控功率,由于柔性负荷响应具有弹性,故
Figure BDA00029834561200000523
为区间数,
Figure BDA00029834561200000524
分别为A、B、C三类柔性负荷以s档参与调控时的代价因子。
Figure BDA00029834561200000521
is the regulation cost of three types of flexible loads A, B and C, ns is the number of grades of flexible loads, where
Figure BDA00029834561200000522
are the regulated powers of the three types of flexible loads A, B, and C at time j at the s-gear respectively. Since the response of the flexible load is elastic, so
Figure BDA00029834561200000523
is the interval number,
Figure BDA00029834561200000524
are the cost factors when three types of flexible loads, A, B, and C, participate in the regulation in the s-level.

其中,本发明确定电力系统日前调度优化问题约束条件包括:Wherein, the present invention determines the constraints of the day-ahead scheduling optimization problem of the power system including:

①有功功率平衡方程① Active power balance equation

Figure BDA0002983456120000061
Figure BDA0002983456120000061

式(2)中,左边为常规发电机组、快速启停机组及风力发电的总和,右边为系统总负荷减去3类柔性负荷的削减量,该有功功率平衡方程为区间等式;In formula (2), the left side is the sum of conventional generator sets, quick start and stop units and wind power generation, and the right side is the total system load minus the reduction of the three types of flexible loads. The active power balance equation is an interval equation;

②常规发电机出力及爬坡功率约束②Constraints on conventional generator output and ramping power

Figure BDA0002983456120000062
Figure BDA0002983456120000062

Figure BDA0002983456120000063
Figure BDA0002983456120000063

式(3)中

Figure BDA0002983456120000064
分别为第i台常规发电机的最小和最大功率,
Figure BDA0002983456120000065
分别表示第i台常规发电机向下和向上爬坡功率的极限值;In formula (3)
Figure BDA0002983456120000064
are the minimum and maximum power of the ith conventional generator, respectively,
Figure BDA0002983456120000065
Respectively represent the limit value of the i-th conventional generator's downward and upward climbing power;

③常规发电机最小开停机时间约束③Constraints on the minimum start and stop time of conventional generators

Figure BDA0002983456120000066
Figure BDA0002983456120000066

Figure BDA0002983456120000067
Figure BDA0002983456120000067

式(5)、(6)中

Figure BDA0002983456120000068
分别为第i台常规发电机的最小开机时间和最小停机时间;In formulas (5) and (6)
Figure BDA0002983456120000068
are the minimum startup time and minimum shutdown time of the ith conventional generator, respectively;

④常规发电机组冷热启动约束④Constraints on cold and hot start of conventional generator sets

Figure BDA0002983456120000069
Figure BDA0002983456120000069

Figure BDA00029834561200000610
Figure BDA00029834561200000610

式(7)、(8)为j时刻对第i台常规发电机冷启动和热启动的约束,

Figure BDA00029834561200000611
为第i台常规发电机的冷启动时间;Equations (7) and (8) are the constraints on the cold start and hot start of the ith conventional generator at time j,
Figure BDA00029834561200000611
is the cold start time of the ith conventional generator;

⑤快速启停机组最大最小功率及爬坡功率约束⑤Maximum and minimum power and climbing power constraints of quick start and stop groups

Figure BDA00029834561200000612
Figure BDA00029834561200000612

Figure BDA00029834561200000613
Figure BDA00029834561200000613

式(9)是快速启动发电机最小、最大功率约束,

Figure BDA00029834561200000614
分别为第i台快速启停机组的最小和最大功率,
Figure BDA00029834561200000615
为0-1变量,为“1”表示j时刻第i台快速机组处于开机状态,为“0”则表示处于停机状态;式(10)是快速机组向下、向上爬坡功率约束,
Figure BDA0002983456120000071
分别表示第i台快速启停机组向下和向上爬坡功率的极限值;Equation (9) is the minimum and maximum power constraints of the fast-start generator,
Figure BDA00029834561200000614
are the minimum and maximum power of the i-th fast start-stop group, respectively,
Figure BDA00029834561200000615
It is a variable of 0-1, "1" means that the ith fast unit is in the starting state at time j, and "0" means it is in a shutdown state; Equation (10) is the power constraint of the fast unit climbing down and up,
Figure BDA0002983456120000071
Respectively represent the limit value of the down and up climbing power of the i-th fast start-stop group;

⑥快速机组最小开机时间最小停机时间约束⑥The minimum start-up time of the fast unit and the minimum shutdown time constraint

Figure BDA0002983456120000072
Figure BDA0002983456120000072

Figure BDA0002983456120000073
Figure BDA0002983456120000073

式(11)、式(12)分别为j时刻对第i台快速机组最小开机时间

Figure BDA0002983456120000074
最小停机时间
Figure BDA0002983456120000075
的约束,
Figure BDA0002983456120000076
为截止j时刻第i台快速机组的连续运行时间,
Figure BDA0002983456120000077
为截止j时刻第i台快速机组的连续停机时间;Equation (11) and Equation (12) are the minimum start-up time of the i-th fast unit at time j, respectively.
Figure BDA0002983456120000074
Minimum downtime
Figure BDA0002983456120000075
constraints,
Figure BDA0002983456120000076
is the continuous running time of the i-th fast unit up to time j,
Figure BDA0002983456120000077
is the continuous shutdown time of the i-th fast unit up to time j;

⑦弃风约束⑦Abandoned wind constraint

Figure BDA0002983456120000078
Figure BDA0002983456120000078

式(13)中

Figure BDA0002983456120000079
分别为日前调度中j时刻削减的风功率及风功率波动区间下界;In formula (13)
Figure BDA0002983456120000079
are the wind power cut at time j in the previous scheduling and the lower bound of the wind power fluctuation interval, respectively;

⑧柔性负荷约束⑧Flexible load restraint

Figure BDA00029834561200000710
Figure BDA00029834561200000710

Figure BDA00029834561200000711
Figure BDA00029834561200000711

Figure BDA00029834561200000712
Figure BDA00029834561200000712

其中,Pila,s,j、Pilb,s,j、Pilc,s,j为j时刻A、B、C三类柔性负荷s档调控功率,

Figure BDA00029834561200000713
为A、B、C三类柔性负荷s档的调控功率最大值,
Figure BDA00029834561200000714
Figure BDA00029834561200000715
分别为A、B、C三类柔性负荷s档响应系数的弹性波动区间;Among them, P ila,s,j , P ilb,s,j , P ilc,s,j are the three types of flexible loads A, B, and C at the time of j time.
Figure BDA00029834561200000713
is the maximum regulated power of the s-gear of the three types of flexible loads A, B, and C,
Figure BDA00029834561200000714
and
Figure BDA00029834561200000715
are the elastic fluctuation intervals of the s-gear response coefficients of the three types of flexible loads A, B, and C, respectively;

⑨正、负备用功率约束⑨ Positive and negative backup power constraints

Figure BDA00029834561200000716
Figure BDA00029834561200000716

Figure BDA00029834561200000717
Figure BDA00029834561200000717

Figure BDA00029834561200000718
Figure BDA00029834561200000718

Figure BDA00029834561200000719
Figure BDA00029834561200000719

其中

Figure BDA00029834561200000720
为j时刻常规机组和快速机组所能提供的正备用功率,r为备用系数,
Figure BDA00029834561200000721
Figure BDA00029834561200000722
为j时刻常规机组和快速机组所能提供的负备用功率,
Figure BDA00029834561200000723
为负荷向上、风速向下波动时的波动区间,
Figure BDA00029834561200000724
为负荷向下、风速向上波动时的波动区间。in
Figure BDA00029834561200000720
is the positive standby power provided by conventional units and fast units at time j, r is the standby coefficient,
Figure BDA00029834561200000721
Figure BDA00029834561200000722
is the negative standby power that conventional units and fast units can provide at time j,
Figure BDA00029834561200000723
is the fluctuation interval when the load fluctuates upward and the wind speed fluctuates downward,
Figure BDA00029834561200000724
It is the fluctuation range when the load is down and the wind speed is fluctuated up.

由此,前述公式(1)-(20)共同构成了日前调度区间优化问题的数学模型。Therefore, the aforementioned formulas (1)-(20) together constitute the mathematical model of the day-ahead scheduling interval optimization problem.

步骤三、确定日前调度方案及日内调度的边界条件Step 3. Determine the day-ahead scheduling scheme and the boundary conditions for intra-day scheduling

式(1)所描述的电力系统日前调度区间优化问题目标函数f1为区间函数,设其上下界分别为

Figure BDA0002983456120000081
其中:The objective function f 1 of the day-ahead scheduling interval optimization problem of the power system described by equation (1) is an interval function, and its upper and lower bounds are set as
Figure BDA0002983456120000081
in:

Figure BDA0002983456120000082
Figure BDA0002983456120000082

Figure BDA0002983456120000083
Figure BDA0002983456120000083

设区间目标函数均值为

Figure BDA0002983456120000084
目标函数半径为
Figure BDA0002983456120000085
将区间目标函数转换为
Figure BDA0002983456120000086
β1为加权系数;Let the mean of the interval objective function be
Figure BDA0002983456120000084
The radius of the objective function is
Figure BDA0002983456120000085
Convert the interval objective function to
Figure BDA0002983456120000086
β 1 is the weighting coefficient;

再将电力系统日前调度区间优化问题中式(2)、式(17)及(19)所描述的区间不等式约束在预设的区间可能度下,转换为确定性不等式,设有功功率平衡、备用约束方程成立的区间可能度分别为ζ11、ζ12及ζ13,则根据区间可能度理论,式(2)、式(17)及(19)可分别转化为:Then, the interval inequalities described by equations (2), (17) and (19) in the day-ahead scheduling interval optimization problem of the power system are constrained under the preset interval probability and converted into deterministic inequalities, with power balance and reserve constraints. The interval possibilities for the establishment of the equation are ζ 11 , ζ 12 and ζ 13 respectively, then according to the interval possibility theory, equations (2), (17) and (19) can be transformed into:

Figure BDA0002983456120000087
Figure BDA0002983456120000087

Figure BDA0002983456120000088
Figure BDA0002983456120000088

Figure BDA0002983456120000089
Figure BDA0002983456120000089

由此,日前调度区间优化问题可转化为如下确定性问题:Therefore, the day-ahead scheduling interval optimization problem can be transformed into the following deterministic problem:

min F1 (24)min F 1 (24)

其约束条件包括式(3)-(16)、式(18)、(20)以及式(21)-(23);Its constraints include formulas (3)-(16), formulas (18), (20) and formulas (21)-(23);

再应用混合整数线性规划方法求解上述确定性问题,得出日前调度区间优化方案,由此可确定日内调度问题的边界条件,即:常规机组的开机状态保持不变,A类柔性负荷的调控量保持不变,而快速启停机组的启停状态以及B、C两类柔性负荷的柔性负荷则需要在日内调度中调整。Then, the mixed integer linear programming method is used to solve the above deterministic problem, and the optimization scheme of the day-ahead scheduling interval is obtained. From this, the boundary conditions of the intra-day scheduling problem can be determined, that is, the startup state of the conventional unit remains unchanged, and the control amount of the class A flexible load It remains unchanged, while the start-stop status of the rapid start-stop group and the flexible loads of B and C flexible loads need to be adjusted in the intraday scheduling.

步骤四、获取新能源及负荷日内滚动预测数据Step 4. Obtain daily rolling forecast data of new energy and load

每隔15分钟对未来2小时的风电、光伏及负荷功率进行1次超短期预测,时间尺度为15分钟,从第一个调度周期k=1开始,获取预测数据。如前述的,调度周期为96个。假设新能源发电日内预测值为

Figure BDA0002983456120000091
其日内预测误差
Figure BDA0002983456120000092
位于区间
Figure BDA0002983456120000093
内,由此可以推出新能源发电功率PN2的上界为
Figure BDA0002983456120000094
下界为
Figure BDA0002983456120000095
PN2的日内区间数模型为
Figure BDA0002983456120000096
由此可分别建立风力及光伏发电的日内区间数模型
Figure BDA0002983456120000097
The ultra-short-term forecast of wind power, photovoltaic and load power in the next 2 hours is carried out every 15 minutes, the time scale is 15 minutes, and the forecast data is obtained from the first scheduling period k=1. As mentioned above, the scheduling period is 96. Assuming that the intraday forecast of new energy power generation is
Figure BDA0002983456120000091
its intraday forecast error
Figure BDA0002983456120000092
in the interval
Figure BDA0002983456120000093
From this, it can be deduced that the upper bound of the new energy power generation power P N2 is
Figure BDA0002983456120000094
The lower bound is
Figure BDA0002983456120000095
The intraday interval number model of P N2 is
Figure BDA0002983456120000096
From this, the intra-day interval number models of wind power and photovoltaic power generation can be established respectively.
Figure BDA0002983456120000097

假设负荷日内预测值为

Figure BDA0002983456120000098
其日内预测误差
Figure BDA0002983456120000099
位于区间
Figure BDA00029834561200000910
内,由此可以推出负荷功率Pl2的上界为
Figure BDA00029834561200000911
下界为
Figure BDA00029834561200000912
则负荷功率的日内区间数模型为
Figure BDA00029834561200000913
Assume that the intraday forecast of load is
Figure BDA0002983456120000098
its intraday forecast error
Figure BDA0002983456120000099
in the interval
Figure BDA00029834561200000910
, it can be deduced that the upper bound of load power P l2 is
Figure BDA00029834561200000911
The lower bound is
Figure BDA00029834561200000912
Then the intraday interval number model of load power is
Figure BDA00029834561200000913

步骤五、建立日内调度问题数学模型并求解日内调度方案。Step 5: Establish a mathematical model of the intraday scheduling problem and solve the intraday scheduling scheme.

基于步骤三所确定的日内调度方案边界条件,以及步骤四获取的新能源及负荷日内区间数模型,建立日内优化调度问题数学模型;其目标函数为Based on the boundary conditions of the intraday dispatch scheme determined in step 3, and the intraday interval number model of new energy and load obtained in step 4, a mathematical model of intraday optimal dispatch problem is established; its objective function is:

f2=f21+f22+f23+f24 (25)f 2 =f 21 +f 22 +f 23 +f 24 (25)

Figure BDA00029834561200000914
为常规发电机组发电成本,对于日内调度而言T2=8;
Figure BDA00029834561200000915
为快速启停机组运行成本;
Figure BDA00029834561200000914
is the power generation cost of conventional generator sets, for intraday dispatch, T 2 =8;
Figure BDA00029834561200000915
To quickly start and stop group operating costs;

Figure BDA00029834561200000916
为弃风成本;
Figure BDA00029834561200000916
for the cost of wind abandonment;

Figure BDA00029834561200000917
Figure BDA00029834561200000917

其中,确定日内优化调度问题的约束条件包含:Among them, the constraints for determining the intraday optimal scheduling problem include:

①有功功率平衡方程① Active power balance equation

Figure BDA00029834561200000918
Figure BDA00029834561200000918

②弃风约束②Abandoned wind restraint

Figure BDA00029834561200000919
Figure BDA00029834561200000919

③正、负备用功率约束③ Positive and negative backup power constraints

Figure BDA00029834561200000920
Figure BDA00029834561200000920

Figure BDA00029834561200000921
Figure BDA00029834561200000921

Figure BDA00029834561200000922
Figure BDA00029834561200000922

Figure BDA0002983456120000101
Figure BDA0002983456120000101

其中,

Figure BDA0002983456120000102
为负荷向上、风速向下波动时的波动区间,
Figure BDA0002983456120000103
为负荷向下、风速向上波动时的波动区间;in,
Figure BDA0002983456120000102
is the fluctuation interval when the load fluctuates upward and the wind speed fluctuates downward,
Figure BDA0002983456120000103
is the fluctuation interval when the load is downward and the wind speed is upward;

此外,日内优化调度问题的约束条件还包含:常规发电机出力及爬坡功率约束不等式(3)-(4)、快速启停机组约束不等式(9)-(12)、柔性负荷约束方程(15)-(16);In addition, the constraints of the intraday optimal scheduling problem also include: conventional generator output and ramping power constraint inequalities (3)-(4), fast start-stop group constraint inequalities (9)-(12), flexible load constraint equations (15) )-(16);

其中,式(25)所描述的电力系统日内调度区间优化问题目标函数f2为区间函数,设其上下界分别为

Figure BDA0002983456120000104
其中:Among them, the objective function f 2 of the power system intraday dispatch interval optimization problem described by equation (25) is an interval function, and its upper and lower bounds are set as
Figure BDA0002983456120000104
in:

Figure BDA0002983456120000105
Figure BDA0002983456120000105

Figure BDA0002983456120000106
Figure BDA0002983456120000106

设区间目标函数均值为

Figure BDA0002983456120000107
目标函数半径为
Figure BDA0002983456120000108
将区间目标函数转换为
Figure BDA0002983456120000109
β2为加权系数;Let the mean of the interval objective function be
Figure BDA0002983456120000107
The radius of the objective function is
Figure BDA0002983456120000108
Convert the interval objective function to
Figure BDA0002983456120000109
β 2 is the weighting coefficient;

设电力系统日内调度区间优化问题的有功功率平衡方程(26)、备用频率约束方程(28)及式(30)成立的区间可能度分别为ζ21、ζ22及ζ23,根据区间可能度理论,式(26)、式(28)及(30)可分别转化为:Assuming that the active power balance equation (26), the standby frequency constraint equation (28) and the equation (30) of the power system intraday dispatch interval optimization problem are established as ζ 21 , ζ 22 and ζ 23 respectively, according to the interval possibility theory , formulas (26), (28) and (30) can be transformed into:

Figure BDA00029834561200001010
Figure BDA00029834561200001010

Figure BDA00029834561200001011
Figure BDA00029834561200001011

Figure BDA00029834561200001012
Figure BDA00029834561200001012

由此,日前调度区间优化问题可转化为如下确定性问题:Therefore, the day-ahead scheduling interval optimization problem can be transformed into the following deterministic problem:

min F2 (35)其约束条件包括式(3)-(4)、式(9)-(12)、式(15)-(16)、式(27)、(29)、(31)以及式(32)-(34);min F 2 (35) and its constraints include equations (3)-(4), (9)-(12), (15)-(16), (27), (29), (31) and Formulas (32)-(34);

将步骤四中求得的常规机组的开机状态保持及A类柔性负荷的调控量作为边界条件代入计算,应用混合整数线性规划方法求解上述确定性问题,得出日内调度区间优化方案;Substitute the power-on state maintenance of the conventional unit and the control amount of the A-type flexible load obtained in step 4 as boundary conditions into the calculation, apply the mixed integer linear programming method to solve the above deterministic problem, and obtain the intraday scheduling interval optimization plan;

由此生成k时刻的日前-日内协同调度方案,若k=96,则输出协同调度方案,若k<96,则k=k+1,并转步骤四继续处理,直到k达到96。From this, the day-to-day collaborative scheduling scheme at time k is generated. If k=96, output the collaborative scheduling scheme. If k<96, then k=k+1, and go to step 4 to continue processing until k reaches 96.

在进一步优选的方案中,在k达到96确定协同调度方案后,还校核日前-日内协同调度方案的经济性及安全性。In a further preferred solution, after k reaches 96 to determine the coordinated scheduling solution, the economy and safety of the day-to-day coordinated scheduling solution are also checked.

将步骤三求出的日前优化调度方案作为方案A,步骤五求出的日前-日内协同调度方案作为方案B,比较两种方案的运行费用及违约概率。Take the day-ahead optimal scheduling scheme obtained in step 3 as scheme A, and the day-ahead-day collaborative scheduling scheme obtained in step 5 as scheme B, and compare the operating costs and default probability of the two schemes.

假设新能源及负荷预测误差在各自区间内服从均匀分布,各变量相互独立,且不考虑不同时刻场景之间的相关性,应用蒙特卡洛方法,对风电功率及负荷功率日内预测误差在其波动区间内进行抽样,每个时刻生成Ns=30000个不同场景,构成测试样本集;设在j时刻的Ns个场景中,发生正备用功率约束不等式(28)违约的场景个数为

Figure BDA0002983456120000111
发生负备用功率约束不等式(30)违约的场景个数为
Figure BDA0002983456120000112
则在一个调度日内发生正备用不足的概率Probu为:Assuming that the forecast errors of new energy and load are uniformly distributed in their respective intervals, the variables are independent of each other, and the correlation between scenarios at different times is not considered. Sampling is performed within the interval, and N s =30000 different scenarios are generated at each moment to form a test sample set; set in the N s scenarios at time j, the number of scenarios in which the positive standby power constraint inequality (28) is violated is
Figure BDA0002983456120000111
The number of scenarios in which the negative backup power constraint inequality (30) is violated is
Figure BDA0002983456120000112
Then the probability Prob u of a shortage of positive reserves in a scheduling day is:

Figure BDA0002983456120000113
Figure BDA0002983456120000113

以及发生负备用不足的概率Probd为:And the probability Prob d of the occurrence of negative reserve shortage is:

Figure BDA0002983456120000114
Figure BDA0002983456120000114

统计A、B两种方案的违约概率及日运营费用,对其经济性及安全性进行比较验证。Calculate the default probability and daily operating expenses of the two schemes A and B, and compare and verify their economy and safety.

图2是本发明的一个实施例的IEEE10机39节点算例系统结构图,该实施例将本发明方法应用于含新能源及快速启停机组的IEEE10机39节点算例系统,对系统进行了日前-日内协同优化调度,并分析了本发明所提出的日前日内优化调度方案的综合性能。2 is a structural diagram of an IEEE10 machine 39 node calculation example system according to an embodiment of the present invention. In this embodiment, the method of the present invention is applied to an IEEE10 machine 39 node calculation example system including a new energy source and a fast start and stop group, and the system is carried out. Day-ahead-day-day coordinated optimal scheduling, and the comprehensive performance of the day-ahead and day-day optimal scheduling scheme proposed by the present invention is analyzed.

结合图1所示的流程,实施步骤如下:Combined with the process shown in Figure 1, the implementation steps are as follows:

步骤1、获取电力系统数据以及新能源和负荷日前预测数据Step 1. Obtain power system data and day-ahead forecast data for new energy and load

本实施例的含新能源及快速启停机组的IEEE10机39节点算例系统结构如图2所示。在IEEE10机39节点系统标准算例的基础上,加装了风电场及快速启停机组,对发电机功率进行了调整,使得修改前后,系统总发电功率保持不变。Figure 2 shows the system structure of the IEEE10-machine 39-node calculation example including the new energy source and the fast start-stop group in this embodiment. On the basis of the standard example of IEEE10-machine 39-node system, wind farms and quick start-stop groups are installed, and the generator power is adjusted, so that the total power generation of the system remains unchanged before and after the modification.

常规发电机组各发电机的最大和最小输出功率

Figure BDA0002983456120000115
Figure BDA0002983456120000116
运行费用参数
Figure BDA0002983456120000117
Figure BDA0002983456120000118
发电机的热启动费用Chot,i和冷启动费用Ccold,i,发电机最小开机时间
Figure BDA0002983456120000119
最小停机时间
Figure BDA00029834561200001110
冷启动时间Tcold,i,爬坡功率
Figure BDA00029834561200001111
参数如表1所示。Maximum and minimum output power of each generator of a conventional generator set
Figure BDA0002983456120000115
and
Figure BDA0002983456120000116
Running Cost Parameters
Figure BDA0002983456120000117
and
Figure BDA0002983456120000118
The hot start cost C hot,i and the cold start cost C cold,i of the generator, the minimum start time of the generator
Figure BDA0002983456120000119
Minimum downtime
Figure BDA00029834561200001110
Cold start time T cold,i , ramp power
Figure BDA00029834561200001111
The parameters are shown in Table 1.

快速启停机组最大和最小输出功率

Figure BDA00029834561200001112
Figure BDA00029834561200001113
运行成本系数
Figure BDA00029834561200001114
启动成本
Figure BDA00029834561200001115
发电机最小运行时间
Figure BDA0002983456120000121
最小停机时间
Figure BDA0002983456120000122
爬坡功率
Figure BDA0002983456120000123
参数如表2所示。Quick start and stop group maximum and minimum output power
Figure BDA00029834561200001112
and
Figure BDA00029834561200001113
running cost factor
Figure BDA00029834561200001114
start-up cost
Figure BDA00029834561200001115
Generator Minimum Running Time
Figure BDA0002983456120000121
Minimum downtime
Figure BDA0002983456120000122
Climbing power
Figure BDA0002983456120000123
The parameters are shown in Table 2.

表1.常规发电机参数Table 1. General generator parameters

Figure BDA0002983456120000124
Figure BDA0002983456120000124

表2.快速启停发电机参数Table 2. Fast start and stop generator parameters

Figure BDA0002983456120000125
Figure BDA0002983456120000125

未来24小时的系统日前预测负荷曲线如图3所示,其预测值如表3所示;未来24小时风电曲线如图4所示,其预测值如表4所示,弃风惩罚因子Cw取100$/MW;A、B、C三类柔性负荷的分档数和每档的最大容量、成本系数、需求响应的弹性系数如表5所示。The day-ahead forecast load curve of the system in the next 24 hours is shown in Figure 3, and its predicted value is shown in Table 3; the wind power curve in the next 24 hours is shown in Figure 4, and its predicted value is shown in Table 4. The wind abandonment penalty factor Cw Take 100$/MW; the number of grades of three types of flexible loads A, B, and C, the maximum capacity of each grade, the cost coefficient, and the elastic coefficient of demand response are shown in Table 5.

表3.未来24小时系统负荷功率日前预测值Table 3. Day-ahead predictions of system load power in the next 24 hours

Figure BDA0002983456120000126
Figure BDA0002983456120000126

表4.未来24小时风电场功率日前预测值Table 4. Day-ahead forecast values of wind farm power in the next 24 hours

Figure BDA0002983456120000127
Figure BDA0002983456120000127

表5.A、B、C三类柔性负荷参数Table 5. Three types of flexible load parameters A, B and C

Figure BDA0002983456120000131
Figure BDA0002983456120000131

步骤2、建立日前调度区间优化问题数学模型Step 2. Establish a mathematical model for the optimization problem of day-ahead scheduling interval

本实施例未来24小时每小时系统日前预测负荷功率Pl1如表3所示,假设日前预测误差

Figure BDA0002983456120000132
Figure BDA0002983456120000133
由此可以推出负荷功率Pl1的上界为
Figure BDA0002983456120000134
下界为
Figure BDA0002983456120000135
则负荷功率的日前区间数模型为
Figure BDA0002983456120000136
In this embodiment, the day-ahead forecasted load power P l1 of the system every hour for the next 24 hours is shown in Table 3. It is assumed that the day-ahead prediction error
Figure BDA0002983456120000132
which is
Figure BDA0002983456120000133
From this, it can be deduced that the upper bound of load power P l1 is
Figure BDA0002983456120000134
The lower bound is
Figure BDA0002983456120000135
Then the day-ahead interval number model of load power is
Figure BDA0002983456120000136

风电场功率未来24小时日前预测值Pwt1如表5所示,假设预测误差

Figure BDA0002983456120000137
由此可以推出风电场输出功率的日前区间数模型为
Figure BDA0002983456120000138
The predicted value P wt1 of wind farm power in the next 24 hours is shown in Table 5, assuming the prediction error
Figure BDA0002983456120000137
From this, it can be deduced that the day-ahead interval number model of the output power of the wind farm is:
Figure BDA0002983456120000138

将所述的电力系统日前调度优化问题的目标函数描述为:The objective function of the day-ahead scheduling optimization problem of the power system is described as:

min f1=f11+f12+f13+f14 (1)min f 1 =f 11 +f 12 +f 13 +f 14 (1)

其中,

Figure BDA0002983456120000139
为常规发电机组的运行费用,右边第1项为常规机组启停成本,第2项为发电成本,
Figure BDA00029834561200001310
为常规发电机台数,T1为调度周期,由于日前调度时间尺度取为15分钟,故T1=96,
Figure BDA00029834561200001311
分别为j时刻第i台常规发电机的启动控制0-1变量、冷启动控制0-1变量,
Figure BDA00029834561200001312
为“1”分别表示j时刻第i台常规发电机接受启动或冷启动指令,
Figure BDA00029834561200001313
为“0”则表示j时刻无启动或冷启动指令,Chot,i、Ccold,i分别为第i台常规发电机的热启动费用和冷启动费用,
Figure BDA00029834561200001314
为0-1变量,为“1”表示j时刻第i台常规发电机处于开机状态,为“0”则表示处于停机状态,
Figure BDA00029834561200001315
为第i台常规发电机的发电成本系数,
Figure BDA00029834561200001316
为j时刻第i台常规发电机的功率;in,
Figure BDA0002983456120000139
is the operating cost of the conventional generator set, the first item on the right is the start and stop cost of the conventional generator set, the second item is the power generation cost,
Figure BDA00029834561200001310
is the number of conventional generators, and T 1 is the scheduling period. Since the day-ahead scheduling time scale is taken as 15 minutes, T 1 =96,
Figure BDA00029834561200001311
are the starting control 0-1 variable and the cold starting control 0-1 variable of the ith conventional generator at time j, respectively,
Figure BDA00029834561200001312
"1" means that the ith conventional generator at time j receives the start or cold start command, respectively.
Figure BDA00029834561200001313
If it is "0", it means that there is no start or cold start command at time j. C hot,i and C cold,i are the hot start cost and cold start cost of the ith conventional generator, respectively.
Figure BDA00029834561200001314
It is a 0-1 variable, "1" means that the ith conventional generator is in the starting state at time j, and "0" means it is in a shutdown state,
Figure BDA00029834561200001315
is the power generation cost coefficient of the ith conventional generator,
Figure BDA00029834561200001316
is the power of the ith conventional generator at time j;

Figure BDA00029834561200001317
为快速启停机组运行成本,
Figure BDA00029834561200001318
为快速启动发电机台数;
Figure BDA00029834561200001319
为第i台快速启停机组的运行成本系数,
Figure BDA00029834561200001320
为j时刻第i台快速启停机组的功率,
Figure BDA00029834561200001321
为快速启停机组的启动控制0-1变量,
Figure BDA0002983456120000141
为“1”分别表示j时刻第i台快速启停机组接受启动指令,
Figure BDA0002983456120000142
为第i台快速启停机组的启动成本;
Figure BDA0002983456120000143
为弃风惩罚费用,其中
Figure BDA0002983456120000144
为j时刻削减的风电功率,Cw为弃风惩罚因子;
Figure BDA0002983456120000145
为A、B、C三类柔性负荷的调控费用,ns为柔性负荷的分档数,其中
Figure BDA0002983456120000146
分别为j时刻A、B、C三类柔性负荷s档的调控功率,由于柔性负荷响应具有弹性,故
Figure BDA0002983456120000147
为区间数,
Figure BDA0002983456120000148
分别为A、B、C三类柔性负荷以s档参与调控时的代价因子;
Figure BDA00029834561200001317
In order to quickly start and stop the operating cost of the group,
Figure BDA00029834561200001318
is the number of quick-start generators;
Figure BDA00029834561200001319
is the operating cost coefficient of the i-th rapid start-up and stop group,
Figure BDA00029834561200001320
is the power of the i-th fast start-stop group at time j,
Figure BDA00029834561200001321
To control the 0-1 variable for the start-up of the fast start-stop group,
Figure BDA0002983456120000141
"1" means that the i-th fast start-stop group accepts the start-up command at time j, respectively.
Figure BDA0002983456120000142
is the start-up cost of the i-th rapid start-up and stop group;
Figure BDA0002983456120000143
It is the penalty fee for wind abandonment, of which
Figure BDA0002983456120000144
is the wind power cut at time j, and C w is the wind curtailment penalty factor;
Figure BDA0002983456120000145
is the regulation cost of three types of flexible loads A, B and C, ns is the number of grades of flexible loads, where
Figure BDA0002983456120000146
are the regulated powers of the three types of flexible loads A, B, and C at time j at the s-gear respectively. Since the response of the flexible load is elastic, so
Figure BDA0002983456120000147
is the interval number,
Figure BDA0002983456120000148
are the cost factors when three types of flexible loads, A, B, and C, participate in regulation in s-level;

所述的电力系统日前调度优化问题约束条件包括:The constraints of the day-ahead scheduling optimization problem of the power system include:

①有功功率平衡方程① Active power balance equation

Figure BDA0002983456120000149
Figure BDA0002983456120000149

式(2)中,左边为常规发电机组、快速启停机组及风力发电的总和,右边为系统总负荷减去3类柔性负荷的削减量,该有功功率平衡方程为区间等式;In formula (2), the left side is the sum of conventional generator sets, quick start and stop units and wind power generation, and the right side is the total system load minus the reduction of the three types of flexible loads. The active power balance equation is an interval equation;

②常规发电机出力及爬坡功率约束②Constraints on conventional generator output and ramping power

Figure BDA00029834561200001410
Figure BDA00029834561200001410

Figure BDA00029834561200001411
Figure BDA00029834561200001411

式(3)中

Figure BDA00029834561200001412
分别为第i台常规发电机的最小和最大功率,
Figure BDA00029834561200001413
分别表示第i台常规发电机向下和向上爬坡功率的极限值;In formula (3)
Figure BDA00029834561200001412
are the minimum and maximum power of the ith conventional generator, respectively,
Figure BDA00029834561200001413
Respectively represent the limit value of the i-th conventional generator's downward and upward climbing power;

③常规发电机最小开停机时间约束③Constraints on the minimum start and stop time of conventional generators

Figure BDA00029834561200001414
Figure BDA00029834561200001414

Figure BDA00029834561200001415
Figure BDA00029834561200001415

式(5)、(6)中

Figure BDA00029834561200001416
分别为第i台常规发电机的最小开机时间和最小停机时间;In formulas (5) and (6)
Figure BDA00029834561200001416
are the minimum startup time and minimum shutdown time of the ith conventional generator, respectively;

④常规发电机组冷热启动约束④Constraints on cold and hot start of conventional generator sets

Figure BDA00029834561200001417
Figure BDA00029834561200001417

Figure BDA00029834561200001418
Figure BDA00029834561200001418

式(7)、(8)为j时刻对第i台常规发电机冷启动和热启动的约束,

Figure BDA00029834561200001419
为第i台常规发电机的冷启动时间;Equations (7) and (8) are the constraints on the cold start and hot start of the ith conventional generator at time j,
Figure BDA00029834561200001419
is the cold start time of the ith conventional generator;

⑤快速启停机组最大最小功率及爬坡功率约束⑤Maximum and minimum power and climbing power constraints of quick start and stop groups

Figure BDA0002983456120000151
Figure BDA0002983456120000151

Figure BDA0002983456120000152
Figure BDA0002983456120000152

式(9)是快速启动发电机最小、最大功率约束,

Figure BDA0002983456120000153
分别为第i台快速启停机组的最小和最大功率,
Figure BDA0002983456120000154
为0-1变量,为“1”表示j时刻第i台快速机组处于开机状态,为“0”则表示处于停机状态;式(10)是快速机组向下、向上爬坡功率约束,
Figure BDA0002983456120000155
分别表示第i台快速启停机组向下和向上爬坡功率的极限值;Equation (9) is the minimum and maximum power constraints of the fast-start generator,
Figure BDA0002983456120000153
are the minimum and maximum power of the i-th fast start-stop group, respectively,
Figure BDA0002983456120000154
It is a variable of 0-1, "1" means that the ith fast unit is in the starting state at time j, and "0" means it is in a shutdown state; Equation (10) is the power constraint of the fast unit climbing down and up,
Figure BDA0002983456120000155
Respectively represent the limit value of the down and up climbing power of the i-th fast start-stop group;

⑥快速机组最小开机时间最小停机时间约束⑥The minimum start-up time of the fast unit and the minimum shutdown time constraint

Figure BDA0002983456120000156
Figure BDA0002983456120000156

Figure BDA0002983456120000157
Figure BDA0002983456120000157

式(11)、式(12)分别为j时刻对第i台快速机组最小开机时间

Figure BDA0002983456120000158
最小停机时间
Figure BDA0002983456120000159
的约束,
Figure BDA00029834561200001510
为截止j时刻第i台快速机组的连续运行时间,
Figure BDA00029834561200001511
为截止j时刻第i台快速机组的连续停机时间;Equation (11) and Equation (12) are the minimum start-up time of the i-th fast unit at time j, respectively.
Figure BDA0002983456120000158
Minimum downtime
Figure BDA0002983456120000159
constraints,
Figure BDA00029834561200001510
is the continuous running time of the i-th fast unit up to time j,
Figure BDA00029834561200001511
is the continuous shutdown time of the i-th fast unit up to time j;

⑦弃风约束⑦Abandoned wind constraint

Figure BDA00029834561200001512
Figure BDA00029834561200001512

式(13)中

Figure BDA00029834561200001513
分别为日前调度中j时刻削减的风功率及风功率波动区间下界;In formula (13)
Figure BDA00029834561200001513
are the wind power cut at time j in the previous scheduling and the lower bound of the wind power fluctuation interval, respectively;

⑧柔性负荷约束⑧Flexible load restraint

Figure BDA00029834561200001514
Figure BDA00029834561200001514

Figure BDA00029834561200001515
Figure BDA00029834561200001515

Figure BDA00029834561200001516
Figure BDA00029834561200001516

其中,Pila,s,j、Pilb,s,j、Pilc,s,j为j时刻A、B、C三类柔性负荷s档调控功率,

Figure BDA00029834561200001517
为A、B、C三类柔性负荷s档的调控功率最大值,
Figure BDA00029834561200001518
Figure BDA00029834561200001519
分别为A、B、C三类柔性负荷s档响应系数的弹性波动区间;Among them, P ila,s,j , P ilb,s,j , P ilc,s,j are the three types of flexible loads A, B, and C at the time of j time.
Figure BDA00029834561200001517
is the maximum regulated power of the s-gear of the three types of flexible loads A, B, and C,
Figure BDA00029834561200001518
and
Figure BDA00029834561200001519
are the elastic fluctuation intervals of the s-gear response coefficients of the three types of flexible loads A, B, and C, respectively;

⑨正、负备用功率约束⑨ Positive and negative backup power constraints

Figure BDA00029834561200001520
Figure BDA00029834561200001520

Figure BDA00029834561200001521
Figure BDA00029834561200001521

Figure BDA0002983456120000161
Figure BDA0002983456120000161

Figure BDA0002983456120000162
Figure BDA0002983456120000162

其中

Figure BDA0002983456120000163
为j时刻常规机组和快速机组所能提供的正备用功率,r为备用系数,
Figure BDA0002983456120000164
Figure BDA0002983456120000165
为j时刻常规机组和快速机组所能提供的负备用功率,
Figure BDA0002983456120000166
为负荷向上、风速向下波动时的波动区间,
Figure BDA0002983456120000167
为负荷向下、风速向上波动时的波动区间;方程(1)-(20)共同构成了日前调度区间优化问题的数学模型。in
Figure BDA0002983456120000163
is the positive standby power provided by conventional units and fast units at time j, r is the standby coefficient,
Figure BDA0002983456120000164
Figure BDA0002983456120000165
is the negative standby power that conventional units and fast units can provide at time j,
Figure BDA0002983456120000166
is the fluctuation interval when the load fluctuates upward and the wind speed fluctuates downward,
Figure BDA0002983456120000167
is the fluctuation interval when the load is down and the wind speed fluctuates up; equations (1)-(20) together constitute the mathematical model of the optimization problem of the day-ahead scheduling interval.

步骤3、确定日前调度方案及日内调度的边界条件Step 3. Determine the day-ahead scheduling scheme and the boundary conditions for intra-day scheduling

式(1)所描述的电力系统日前调度区间优化问题目标函数f1为区间函数,设其上下界分别为

Figure BDA0002983456120000168
其中:The objective function f 1 of the day-ahead scheduling interval optimization problem of the power system described by equation (1) is an interval function, and its upper and lower bounds are set as
Figure BDA0002983456120000168
in:

Figure BDA0002983456120000169
Figure BDA0002983456120000169

Figure BDA00029834561200001610
Figure BDA00029834561200001610

设区间目标函数均值为

Figure BDA00029834561200001611
目标函数半径为
Figure BDA00029834561200001612
将区间目标函数转换为
Figure BDA00029834561200001613
β1为加权系数,此处取值β1=0.1;Let the mean of the interval objective function be
Figure BDA00029834561200001611
The radius of the objective function is
Figure BDA00029834561200001612
Convert the interval objective function to
Figure BDA00029834561200001613
β 1 is a weighting coefficient, and the value here is β 1 =0.1;

其次,将电力系统日前调度区间优化问题中式(2)、式(17)及(19)所描述的区间不等式约束在一定的区间可能度下转换为确定性不等式,设有功功率平衡、备用约束方程成立的区间可能度分别为ζ11=0.85、ζ12=0.85及ζ13=0.85,则根据区间可能度理论,式(2)、式(17)及(19)可分别转化为:Secondly, the interval inequality constraints described by equations (2), (17) and (19) in the day-ahead scheduling interval optimization problem of the power system are converted into deterministic inequalities under a certain interval possibility, and there are power balance and standby constraint equations. The established interval possibilities are ζ 11 =0.85, ζ 12 =0.85 and ζ 13 =0.85 respectively, then according to the interval possibility theory, equations (2), (17) and (19) can be transformed into:

Figure BDA00029834561200001614
Figure BDA00029834561200001614

Figure BDA00029834561200001615
Figure BDA00029834561200001615

Figure BDA00029834561200001616
Figure BDA00029834561200001616

由此,日前调度区间优化问题可转化为如下确定性问题:Therefore, the day-ahead scheduling interval optimization problem can be transformed into the following deterministic problem:

min F1 (24)min F 1 (24)

约束条件包括式(3)-(16)、式(18)、(20)以及式(21)-(23);应用混合整数线性规划方法求解上述确定性问题,得出日前调度区间优化方案,作为方案A;由此可确定日内调度问题的边界条件,即:常规机组的开机状态保持不变,A类柔性负荷的调控量保持不变,而快速启停机组的启停状态以及B、C两类柔性负荷的柔性负荷则需要在日内调度中调整。Constraints include equations (3)-(16), (18), (20), and equations (21)-(23); the mixed integer linear programming method is used to solve the above deterministic problem, and the optimization scheme of the day-ahead scheduling interval is obtained, As scheme A; from this, the boundary conditions of the intraday scheduling problem can be determined, that is, the start-up state of the conventional unit remains unchanged, the control amount of the A-type flexible load remains unchanged, and the start-stop state of the rapid start-stop group and the start-up and stop states of B and C units remain unchanged. The flexible loads of the two types of flexible loads need to be adjusted in intraday scheduling.

步骤4、获取新能源及负荷日内滚动预测数据Step 4. Obtain daily rolling forecast data of new energy and load

每隔15分钟对未来2小时的风电及负荷功率进行1次超短期预测,时间尺度为15分钟,系统日内超短期预测负荷曲线如图3所示,预测值如表6所示;日内超短期预测风电功率曲线如图4所示,预测值如表7所示;在超短期预测中,预测精度更准确,预测误差较日前预测误差小;假设

Figure BDA0002983456120000171
由此可以推出新能源发电功率PN2的上界为
Figure BDA0002983456120000172
下界为
Figure BDA0002983456120000173
PN2的日内区间数模型为
Figure BDA0002983456120000174
假设
Figure BDA0002983456120000175
由此可以推出负荷功率的日内区间数模型为
Figure BDA0002983456120000176
The ultra-short-term forecast of wind power and load power for the next 2 hours is carried out every 15 minutes, and the time scale is 15 minutes. The predicted wind power curve is shown in Figure 4, and the predicted value is shown in Table 7; in the ultra-short-term prediction, the prediction accuracy is more accurate, and the prediction error is smaller than that of the previous prediction;
Figure BDA0002983456120000171
From this, it can be deduced that the upper bound of the new energy power generation power P N2 is
Figure BDA0002983456120000172
The lower bound is
Figure BDA0002983456120000173
The intraday interval number model of P N2 is
Figure BDA0002983456120000174
Assumption
Figure BDA0002983456120000175
From this, it can be deduced that the intra-day interval number model of load power is:
Figure BDA0002983456120000176

表6.系统负荷功率日内预测值Table 6. Intraday predicted values of system load power

Figure BDA0002983456120000177
Figure BDA0002983456120000177

表7.风电场功率日内预测值Table 7. Intraday forecast of wind farm power

Figure BDA0002983456120000181
Figure BDA0002983456120000181

步骤5、建立日内调度问题数学模型并求解日内调度方案Step 5. Establish a mathematical model of the intraday scheduling problem and solve the intraday scheduling scheme

基于步骤3所确定的日内调度方案边界条件,以及步骤4获取的新能源及负荷功率日内区间数模型,建立日内优化调度问题数学模型;其目标函数为Based on the boundary conditions of the intraday dispatch scheme determined in step 3, and the intraday interval number model of new energy and load power obtained in step 4, a mathematical model of intraday optimal dispatch problem is established; its objective function is:

f2=f21+f22+f23+f24 (25)f 2 =f 21 +f 22 +f 23 +f 24 (25)

其中,

Figure BDA0002983456120000182
为常规发电机组发电成本,对于日内调度而言T2=8;
Figure BDA0002983456120000183
为快速启停机组运行成本;
Figure BDA0002983456120000184
为弃风成本;
Figure BDA0002983456120000185
in,
Figure BDA0002983456120000182
is the power generation cost of conventional generator sets, for intraday dispatch, T 2 =8;
Figure BDA0002983456120000183
To quickly start and stop group operating costs;
Figure BDA0002983456120000184
for the cost of wind abandonment;
Figure BDA0002983456120000185

日内优化调度问题的约束条件包含:The constraints of the intraday optimal scheduling problem include:

①有功功率平衡方程① Active power balance equation

Figure BDA0002983456120000191
Figure BDA0002983456120000191

②弃风约束②Abandoned wind restraint

Figure BDA0002983456120000192
Figure BDA0002983456120000192

③正、负备用功率约束③ Positive and negative backup power constraints

Figure BDA0002983456120000193
Figure BDA0002983456120000193

Figure BDA0002983456120000194
Figure BDA0002983456120000194

Figure BDA0002983456120000195
Figure BDA0002983456120000195

Figure BDA0002983456120000196
Figure BDA0002983456120000196

其中,

Figure BDA0002983456120000197
为负荷向上、风速向下波动时的波动区间,
Figure BDA0002983456120000198
为负荷向下、风速向上波动时的波动区间;in,
Figure BDA0002983456120000197
is the fluctuation interval when the load fluctuates upward and the wind speed fluctuates downward,
Figure BDA0002983456120000198
is the fluctuation interval when the load is downward and the wind speed is upward;

此外,日内优化调度问题的约束条件还包含:常规发电机出力及爬坡功率约束不等式(3)-(4)、快速启停机组约束不等式(9)-(12)、柔性负荷约束方程(15)-(16);In addition, the constraints of the intraday optimal scheduling problem also include: conventional generator output and ramping power constraint inequalities (3)-(4), fast start-stop group constraint inequalities (9)-(12), flexible load constraint equations (15) )-(16);

式(25)所描述的电力系统日内调度区间优化问题目标函数f2为区间函数,设其上下界分别为

Figure BDA0002983456120000199
其中:The objective function f 2 of the interval optimization problem of intraday dispatching of the power system described by equation (25) is an interval function, and its upper and lower bounds are set as
Figure BDA0002983456120000199
in:

Figure BDA00029834561200001910
Figure BDA00029834561200001910

设区间目标函数均值为

Figure BDA00029834561200001911
目标函数半径为
Figure BDA00029834561200001912
将区间目标函数转换为
Figure BDA00029834561200001913
β2为加权系数,此处取β2=0.1;Let the mean of the interval objective function be
Figure BDA00029834561200001911
The radius of the objective function is
Figure BDA00029834561200001912
Convert the interval objective function to
Figure BDA00029834561200001913
β 2 is a weighting coefficient, and β 2 =0.1 is taken here;

设电力系统日内调度区间优化问题的有功功率平衡方程(26)、备用约束方程(28)及式(30)成立的区间可能度分别为为ζ21=0.95、ζ22=0.99及ζ23=0.99,根据区间可能度理论,式(26)、式(28)及(30)可分别转化为:Assuming that the active power balance equation (26), the standby constraint equation (28) and the equation (30) of the power system intraday dispatch interval optimization problem are established, the interval possibilities are ζ 21 =0.95, ζ 22 =0.99 and ζ 23 =0.99, respectively. , according to the interval possibility theory, equations (26), (28) and (30) can be transformed into:

Figure BDA00029834561200001914
Figure BDA00029834561200001914

Figure BDA0002983456120000201
Figure BDA0002983456120000201

Figure BDA0002983456120000202
Figure BDA0002983456120000202

由此,日前调度区间优化问题可转化为如下确定性问题:Therefore, the day-ahead scheduling interval optimization problem can be transformed into the following deterministic problem:

min F2 (35)min F 2 (35)

约束条件包括式(3)-(4)、式(9)-(12)、式(15)-(16)、式(27)、(29)、(31)以及式(32)-(34);将步骤4中求得的常规机组的开机状态保持及A类柔性负荷的调控量作为边界条件代入计算,应用混合整数线性规划方法求解上述确定性问题,得出日内调度区间优化方案。Constraints include equations (3)-(4), (9)-(12), (15)-(16), (27), (29), (31) and (32)-(34) ); Substitute the power-on state maintenance of the conventional unit and the control amount of the A-type flexible load obtained in step 4 into the calculation as boundary conditions, apply the mixed integer linear programming method to solve the above deterministic problem, and obtain the intraday scheduling interval optimization plan.

我们在本例中按照前述实施例的方式进行经济性及安全性的校核。In this example, we carry out the check of economy and safety in the manner of the previous embodiment.

表8给出了A、B两种方案的综合性能对比,由表8可见,方案B的系统日运营费用显著降低,且波动区间均值与波动范围小,即方案B的经济性更好;同时方案B发生正、负备用不足的概率较方案A低,表明日前-日内协同调度可以充分利用发电机组和柔性负荷的多时间尺度特性,有效平抑新能源功率及负荷功率不确定性所引起的功率不平衡量,可以兼顾经济性和安全性需求。Table 8 shows the comprehensive performance comparison of the two schemes A and B. It can be seen from Table 8 that the system daily operating cost of scheme B is significantly reduced, and the mean value of the fluctuation interval and the fluctuation range are small, that is, the economy of scheme B is better; The probability of insufficient positive and negative reserves in scheme B is lower than that in scheme A, indicating that day-to-day coordinated scheduling can make full use of the multi-time scale characteristics of generator sets and flexible loads, and effectively suppress the power caused by the uncertainty of new energy power and load power. The unbalanced amount can take into account the needs of economy and safety.

表8.日前调度与日前-日内协同调度方案的综合性能对比Table 8. Comprehensive performance comparison of day-ahead scheduling and day-ahead-day collaborative scheduling schemes

Figure BDA0002983456120000203
Figure BDA0002983456120000203

A---日前调度方案;B---日前-日内协同调度方案;A---day-ahead scheduling scheme; B---day-a-day collaborative scheduling scheme;

方案A与方案B的常规发电机总发电量对比图如图5所示,弃风量对比图如图6所示,由图5、6可见,方案B常规发电机总发电量及弃风量都小于方案A的总发电量和弃风量,表明方案B能更多地消纳新能源,减少能源浪费并降低运营成本,缓解了常规发电机组的调峰压力并减小其发电成本,提高了系统运营的经济性。The comparison chart of the total power generation of conventional generators of scheme A and scheme B is shown in Figure 5, and the comparison chart of abandoned air volume is shown in Figure 6. From Figures 5 and 6, it can be seen that the total power generation and abandoned air volume of conventional generators of scheme B are less than The total power generation and abandoned air volume of scheme A shows that scheme B can consume more new energy, reduce energy waste and reduce operating costs, ease the peak regulation pressure of conventional generator sets, reduce their power generation costs, and improve system operation. economy.

方案B系统的功率平衡示意图如图7所示,由图7可见,调度后的系统总发电功率与总负荷功率均在一定区间内波动,在整个调度周期内,发电功率大于负荷功率的可能度大于预设值;在调度方案B下,各时刻系统满足功率平衡及正、负备用约束的区间可能度如图8所示,由图8可见,夜间0:00-5:00,由于风电功率在此时间段内较为充足,因此系统主要问题在于向下调节的备用功率不足,即系统易发生负备用不足的现象;在日间13:00-17:00,由于此时间段内负荷功率较高,且风电在白天出力较小,因此系统正备用功率不足的问题较为突出。The schematic diagram of the power balance of the scheme B system is shown in Figure 7. It can be seen from Figure 7 that the total generated power and total load power of the dispatched system fluctuate within a certain interval. During the entire dispatching period, the probability that the generated power is greater than the load power is greater than the preset value; under the scheduling scheme B, the interval probability of the system meeting the power balance and positive and negative reserve constraints at each moment is shown in Figure 8. It can be seen from Figure 8 that at night 0:00-5:00, due to the wind power It is sufficient during this time period, so the main problem of the system is that the reserve power for downward adjustment is insufficient, that is, the system is prone to the phenomenon of insufficient negative reserve. high, and the wind power output is small during the day, so the problem of insufficient backup power of the system is more prominent.

根据本发明另一方面的实施例,结合图1所示的实例,还提出一种电力系统日前-日内协同调度系统,例如以服务器或者服务器阵列的方式实施,其包括:According to an embodiment of another aspect of the present invention, combined with the example shown in FIG. 1 , a day-to-day coordinated scheduling system for a power system is also proposed, for example, implemented in the form of a server or a server array, which includes:

一个或多个处理器;one or more processors;

存储器,存储可被操作的指令,所述指令在通过所述一个或多个处理器执行时使得所述一个或多个处理器执行操作,所述操作包括执行前述任意实施例的电力系统日前-日内协同调度方法的实现过程,尤其是图1实施例的具体实现过程。a memory storing instructions operable that, when executed by the one or more processors, cause the one or more processors to perform operations comprising executing the power system of any of the preceding embodiments- The implementation process of the intraday collaborative scheduling method, especially the specific implementation process of the embodiment in FIG. 1 .

综上所述,本发明的计及新能源及负荷区间不确定性的电力系统日前-日内协同调度方法克服了现有技术所存在的需要确知新能源及负荷不确定性变量的概率分布、计算量大以及日前调度方案不够精细的技术缺陷,在新能源及负荷日前与日内预测数据的基础上,利用新能源及负荷的预测误差随时间尺度减小而减小的特点,考虑各类机组的灵活性及柔性负荷的多时间尺度特性,综合考虑发电机运行成本、新能源弃风、弃光惩罚代价以及柔性负荷参与电力系统调度所需费用,构建了电力系统日前-日内协同调度的区间问题数学模型;运用区间优化理论,将不确定性目标函数及约束函数转化为确定性问题求解,与机会约束规划方法相比,具有对输入数据信息要求较低、决策灵活性好、计算速度快的等优点;最后,对日前-日内协同调度方案进行了仿真校核,验证了本发明所提出的日前-日内协同调度方案可以更好地消纳新能源,减少资源浪费,在不确定性场景下兼顾了系统运行的经济性和安全性。To sum up, the day-to-day coordinated scheduling method of the power system considering the uncertainty of the new energy and load interval of the present invention overcomes the need to know the probability distribution, The technical defects of the large amount of calculation and the inaccurate day-ahead scheduling plan are based on the day-ahead and intra-day forecast data of new energy and load, taking advantage of the characteristics that the prediction error of new energy and load decreases with the reduction of the time scale, considering various types of units. The multi-time scale characteristics of flexible load and flexible load, comprehensively considering the operating cost of generators, the penalty cost of new energy curtailment, curtailment of light, and the cost of flexible load participating in power system scheduling, the interval of day-to-day coordinated scheduling of the power system is constructed. Mathematical model of the problem; using interval optimization theory, the uncertain objective function and constraint function are transformed into deterministic problem solving. Compared with the chance-constrained programming method, it has lower requirements for input data information, good decision-making flexibility, and fast calculation speed. Finally, the simulation check is carried out on the day-a-day collaborative scheduling scheme, which verifies that the day-a-day collaborative scheduling scheme proposed by the present invention can better absorb new energy, reduce resource waste, and can be used in uncertain scenarios. Taking into account the economy and safety of system operation.

虽然本发明已以较佳实施例揭露如上,然其并非用以限定本发明。本发明所属技术领域中具有通常知识者,在不脱离本发明的精神和范围内,当可作各种的更动与润饰。因此,本发明的保护范围当视权利要求书所界定者为准。Although the present invention has been disclosed above with preferred embodiments, it is not intended to limit the present invention. Those skilled in the art to which the present invention pertains can make various changes and modifications without departing from the spirit and scope of the present invention. Therefore, the protection scope of the present invention should be determined according to the claims.

Claims (9)

1. A day-ahead and day-in cooperative scheduling method for a power system considering uncertainty of new energy and load intervals is characterized by comprising the following steps:
step 1, acquiring power system data and new energy and load day-ahead prediction data;
step 2, constructing a mathematical model of a scheduling interval optimization problem in the day ahead;
step 3, determining a day-ahead scheduling scheme and boundary conditions of day-in scheduling;
step 4, acquiring new energy and load rolling prediction data in the day; and
step 5, constructing a mathematical model of the in-day scheduling problem and solving the in-day scheduling scheme based on the boundary conditions of the in-day scheduling scheme determined in the step 3 and the model of the new energy and load in-day intervals acquired in the step 4;
the power system data comprises maximum and minimum output power of a conventional generator set and a quick start-stop unit, start-stop cost of the generator set, an operation cost coefficient, climbing power, minimum start-up and stop time, and A, B, C three types of flexible loads Pila、Pilb、PilcThe grade number and the elastic coefficient of each grade capable of reducing the maximum capacity, the cost coefficient, the demand response and the maximum accumulated interruption time of the load, wherein the class A flexible load needs to be informed to the user 24h in advance, the class B flexible load needs to be informed to the user 15min-2h in advance, and the class C flexible load needs to be informed to the user 5-15min in advance;
the new energy and load day-ahead prediction data comprise the output power P of a wind power plant and a photovoltaic power plant 24 hours in the futurewt、PpvThe predicted value per hour and the fluctuation interval of the prediction error before the day, and the system load P of 24 hours in the futurelThe predicted value of each hour and the fluctuation interval of the prediction error before the hour.
2. The method for day-ahead and day-inside collaborative scheduling of an electric power system considering uncertainty of a new energy and a load interval according to claim 1, wherein in the step 2, the process of constructing a mathematical model of a day-ahead scheduling interval optimization problem comprises:
the predicted value before the new energy power generation day is assumed to be
Figure FDA0002983456110000011
Its prediction error in the day ahead
Figure FDA0002983456110000012
Located in a section
Figure FDA0002983456110000013
The upper mark "+" represents the upper boundary of the interval number, and the upper mark "-" represents the lower boundary of the interval number, so that the new energy power generation power P is obtainedN1Has an upper bound of
Figure FDA0002983456110000014
Lower boundary is
Figure FDA0002983456110000015
PN1The model of the number of the day-ahead intervals is
Figure FDA0002983456110000016
So as to respectively establish a model of the number of the day-ahead intervals of wind power generation and photovoltaic power generation
Figure FDA0002983456110000017
Assume a predicted value of the load before the day is
Figure FDA0002983456110000018
Its prediction error in the day ahead
Figure FDA0002983456110000019
Located in a section
Figure FDA00029834561100000110
From which the load power P is derivedl1Has an upper bound of
Figure FDA00029834561100000111
Lower boundary is
Figure FDA00029834561100000112
The number of the load power in the day-ahead interval model is
Figure FDA00029834561100000113
Taking the time scale of day-ahead scheduling as 15 minutes and the time scale of day-in-day scheduling as 15 minutes, carrying out linear interpolation on the predicted values of new energy and load every hour, taking the linear interpolation as the day-ahead predicted value every 15 minutes, and carrying out day-ahead scheduling on the basis;
thus, the objective function of the power system day-ahead scheduling optimization problem is described as:
min f1=f11+f12+f13+f14 (1)
wherein f is11Representing the operating costs of a conventional generator set, f12Representing the operating cost of the unit, f13Represents a wind curtailment penalty charge, f14The control cost is represented as A, B, C three types of flexible load;
meanwhile, determining the constraint conditions of the day-ahead scheduling optimization problem of the power system comprises the following steps:
active power balance;
restraining the output of a conventional generator and the climbing power;
a conventional generator minimum on-off time constraint;
the cold and hot start of the conventional generator set is restricted;
restraining the maximum and minimum power and the climbing power of the quick start-stop unit;
the minimum starting time and the minimum stopping time of the quick start-stop unit are restricted;
a flexible load constraint;
wind abandon restriction; and
positive and negative standby power constraints;
and (3) forming a mathematical model of the day-ahead scheduling interval optimization problem by the formula (1) and the nine constraint conditions.
3. The method of claim 2, wherein the expression of the objective function is a running cost f of a conventional generator set11Quick start-stop unit operation cost f12And represents a wind curtailment penalty cost f13And A, B, C control cost f of flexible load14The obtaining comprises the following steps:
1) operating costs f of conventional generator sets11
Figure FDA0002983456110000021
Figure FDA0002983456110000022
Representing the starting and stopping cost of a conventional unit;
Figure FDA0002983456110000023
expressed as the cost of electricity generation;
wherein,
Figure FDA0002983456110000024
is the number of conventional generators, T1For scheduling periods, T1=96,
Figure FDA0002983456110000025
Respectively setting a starting control 0-1 variable and a cold starting control 0-1 variable of the ith conventional generator at the moment j;
Figure FDA0002983456110000026
a "1" indicates that the ith conventional generator receives a start or cold start command at time j,
Figure FDA0002983456110000027
if the value is 0, no starting or cold starting instruction is given at the moment j;
Chot,i、Ccold,ithe hot start cost and the cold start cost of the ith conventional generator respectively,
Figure FDA0002983456110000028
the variable is 0-1, the 1 indicates that the ith conventional generator is in a starting state at the moment j, and the 0 indicates that the ith conventional generator is in a stopping state;
Figure FDA0002983456110000031
for the power generation cost coefficient of the ith conventional generator,
Figure FDA0002983456110000032
the power of the ith conventional generator at the moment j;
Figure FDA0002983456110000033
in order to quickly start and stop the running cost of the unit,
Figure FDA0002983456110000034
the number of the generators is rapidly started;
Figure FDA0002983456110000035
for the operation cost coefficient of the ith quick start-stop unit,
Figure FDA0002983456110000036
the power of the ith station for quickly starting and stopping the unit at the moment j,
Figure FDA0002983456110000037
the variable 0-1 is controlled for starting the quick start-stop unit,
Figure FDA0002983456110000038
the number of the start-up and stop units is 1, the ith quick start-up and stop unit receives the start instruction at the moment j,
Figure FDA0002983456110000039
starting cost of the ith quick start-stop unit is saved;
Figure FDA00029834561100000310
penalizing costs for wind curtailment, wherein
Figure FDA00029834561100000311
Wind power cut down for moment j, CwA penalty factor for wind abandon;
Figure FDA00029834561100000312
the control expense for A, B, C three types of flexible loads, ns is the number of grades of the flexible loads, wherein
Figure FDA00029834561100000313
The regulation power of s gear of three flexible loads at the moment of j A, B, C respectively, and the response of the flexible loads has elasticity, so
Figure FDA00029834561100000314
The number of the intervals is the number of the intervals,
Figure FDA00029834561100000315
a, B, C, respectively, are cost factors when the flexible loads participate in regulation and control in the s-gear.
4. The electric power system day-ahead-day cooperative scheduling method considering uncertainty of new energy and load intervals according to claim 3, wherein the electric power system day-ahead scheduling optimization problem constraint condition comprises:
active power balance equation
Figure FDA00029834561100000316
In the formula (2), the left side is the sum of the conventional generator set, the quick start-stop unit and the wind power generation, the right side is the reduction of the total load of the system minus the 3 types of flexible loads, and the active power balance equation is an interval equation;
② restraining the output and climbing power of the conventional generator
Figure FDA00029834561100000317
Figure FDA00029834561100000318
In the formula (3)
Figure FDA00029834561100000319
The minimum and maximum power of the ith conventional generator respectively,
Figure FDA00029834561100000320
respectively representing the limit values of the downward climbing power and the upward climbing power of the ith conventional generator;
third, the minimum on-off time constraint of the conventional generator
Figure FDA00029834561100000321
Figure FDA0002983456110000041
In formulas (5) and (6)
Figure FDA0002983456110000042
Respectively the minimum starting time and the minimum shutdown time of the ith conventional generator;
fourthly, restraint of cold and hot start of conventional generator set
Figure FDA0002983456110000043
Figure FDA0002983456110000044
Equations (7) and (8) are the constraint of the cold start and the hot start of the ith conventional generator at the moment j,
Figure FDA0002983456110000045
the cold start time of the ith conventional generator is set;
fast start-stop unit maximum and minimum power and climbing power constraint
Figure FDA0002983456110000046
Figure FDA0002983456110000047
Equation (9) is the minimum, maximum power constraint for a fast start generator,
Figure FDA0002983456110000048
respectively the minimum power and the maximum power of the ith quick start-stop unit,
Figure FDA0002983456110000049
the variable is 0-1, the 1 indicates that the ith quick unit is in a starting state at the moment j, and the 0 indicates that the ith quick unit is in a stopping state; the formula (10) is the power constraint of the rapid unit for climbing downwards and upwards,
Figure FDA00029834561100000410
respectively representing the limit values of the downward climbing power and the upward climbing power of the ith quick start-stop unit;
sixthly, quickly starting and stopping unit minimum starting time and minimum stopping time constraint
Figure FDA00029834561100000411
Figure FDA00029834561100000412
The formula (11) and the formula (12) are respectively the minimum starting time of the ith quick unit at the moment j
Figure FDA00029834561100000413
Minimum down time
Figure FDA00029834561100000414
The constraint of (a) to (b),
Figure FDA00029834561100000415
to stop the continuous running time of the ith fast unit at time j,
Figure FDA00029834561100000416
stopping the continuous shutdown time of the ith quick unit at the moment j;
seventh, the wind is abandoned to restrain
Figure FDA00029834561100000417
In the formula (13)
Figure FDA00029834561100000418
Respectively reducing the wind power at the moment j in the day-ahead scheduling and the lower bound of the wind power fluctuation interval;
flexible load constraint
Figure FDA00029834561100000419
Figure FDA00029834561100000420
Figure FDA0002983456110000051
Wherein, Pila,s,j、Pilb,s,j、Pilc,s,jIs j time AB, C the power is regulated and controlled by three kinds of flexible loads in s gear,
Figure FDA0002983456110000052
the maximum value of the regulated power of the s gear of A, B, C three types of flexible loads,
Figure FDA0002983456110000053
and
Figure FDA0002983456110000054
elastic fluctuation intervals of response coefficients of s-gear of A, B, C three types of flexible loads respectively;
ninthly positive and negative standby power constraints
Figure FDA0002983456110000055
Figure FDA0002983456110000056
Figure FDA0002983456110000057
Figure FDA0002983456110000058
Wherein,
Figure FDA0002983456110000059
the positive standby power which can be provided by the conventional unit and the quick unit at the moment j, r is a standby coefficient,
Figure FDA00029834561100000510
Figure FDA00029834561100000511
the negative standby power which can be provided by the conventional unit and the quick unit at the moment j,
Figure FDA00029834561100000512
is a fluctuation interval when the load fluctuates upwards and the wind speed fluctuates downwards,
Figure FDA00029834561100000513
the fluctuation interval is when the load is downward and the wind speed is upward.
5. The method of claim 4, wherein the determining the day-ahead scheduling scheme and the boundary conditions of day-ahead scheduling comprises:
first, the power system day-ahead scheduling interval optimization problem objective function f described by equation (1)1For interval functions, the upper and lower bounds are set to f1 +、f1 -Wherein:
Figure FDA00029834561100000514
Figure FDA00029834561100000515
setting the mean value of the interval objective function as
Figure FDA00029834561100000516
Radius of the objective function of
Figure FDA00029834561100000517
Converting an interval objective function to F1=(1-β1)f1 m1f1 w,β1Is a weighting coefficient;
then, the interval inequality constraints determined by the formula (2), the formula (17) and the formula (19) in the power system day-ahead scheduling interval optimization problem are converted into deterministic inequalities under the preset interval possibility, and the interval possibility with work power balance and the establishment of a standby constraint equation is zeta11、ζ12And ζ13Then, according to the interval probability principle, the equations (2), (17) and (19) are respectively converted into:
Figure FDA0002983456110000061
Figure FDA0002983456110000062
Figure FDA0002983456110000063
therefore, the day-ahead scheduling interval optimization problem is converted into the following deterministic problem:
min F1 (24)
the constraints of formula (24) include formulas (3) - (16), formulas (18), (20), and formulas (21) - (23);
finally, solving the deterministic problem by using a mixed integer linear programming method to obtain a day-ahead scheduling interval optimization scheme, thereby determining boundary conditions of the scheduling problem in the day, namely: the starting state of the conventional unit is kept unchanged, the regulation and control quantity of the A-type flexible load is kept unchanged, and the starting and stopping state of the quick start-stop unit and the flexible loads of the B, C-type flexible loads need to be adjusted in daily scheduling.
6. The method of claim 5, wherein obtaining new energy and load intra-day rolling prediction data comprises obtaining new energy and load intra-day rolling prediction data
Carrying out 1-time ultra-short-term prediction on wind power, photovoltaic power and load power for 2 hours in the future every 15 minutes, wherein the time scale is 15 minutes;
the predicted value in the new energy power generation day is assumed to be
Figure FDA0002983456110000064
Error of prediction in day
Figure FDA0002983456110000065
Located in a section
Figure FDA0002983456110000066
In the method, the new energy power generation power P is obtainedN2Has an upper bound of
Figure FDA0002983456110000067
Lower boundary is
Figure FDA0002983456110000068
PN2The model of the number of intervals in the day is
Figure FDA0002983456110000069
The model of the day-to-day interval digital model of wind power and photovoltaic power generation is established
Figure FDA00029834561100000610
Assume a predicted value of load in the day of
Figure FDA00029834561100000611
Error of prediction in day
Figure FDA00029834561100000612
Located in a section
Figure FDA00029834561100000613
From which the load power P is derivedl2Has an upper bound of
Figure FDA00029834561100000614
Lower boundary is
Figure FDA00029834561100000615
The number of intervals per day model of the load power is
Figure FDA00029834561100000616
7. The electric power system day-ahead-day cooperative scheduling method considering uncertainty of new energy and load intervals as claimed in claim 5, wherein the constructing a mathematical model of a day-ahead scheduling problem and solving a day-ahead scheduling scheme comprises:
establishing a mathematical model of the intraday optimization scheduling problem, wherein an objective function is as follows:
f2=f21+f22+f23+f24 (25)
Figure FDA0002983456110000071
for the cost of power generation of conventional generator sets, T2=8;
Figure FDA0002983456110000072
The running cost of the unit is quickly started and stopped;
Figure FDA0002983456110000073
cost for wind abandon;
Figure FDA0002983456110000074
determining the constraint condition of the optimization scheduling problem in the day, comprising the following steps:
active power balance;
wind abandon restriction;
positive and negative standby power constraints;
restraining the output of a conventional generator and the climbing power;
restraining the quick start-stop unit; and
flexible load restraint.
8. The electric power system day-ahead-day cooperative scheduling method taking into account uncertainty of new energy and load interval according to claim 7, wherein the constraint condition of the day-ahead optimization scheduling problem comprises:
active power balance equation
Figure FDA0002983456110000075
Wind abandon restriction
Figure FDA0002983456110000076
Positive and negative standby power constraints
Figure FDA0002983456110000077
Figure FDA0002983456110000078
Figure FDA0002983456110000079
Figure FDA00029834561100000710
Wherein,
Figure FDA00029834561100000711
is a fluctuation interval when the load fluctuates upwards and the wind speed fluctuates downwards,
Figure FDA0002983456110000081
the fluctuation interval is when the load fluctuates downwards and the wind speed fluctuates upwards;
conventional generator contribution and hill climb power constraints, i.e. constraints determined by said equations (3) - (4);
a fast start-stop train constraint, i.e. a constraint determined by said equations (9) - (12); and
a flexible load constraint equation, i.e., a constraint determined by the equations (15) - (16);
thus, the power system intra-day scheduling interval optimization problem objective function f described by equation (25)2For the interval function, the upper and lower bounds are set to
Figure FDA0002983456110000082
Wherein:
Figure FDA0002983456110000083
Figure FDA0002983456110000084
setting the mean value of the interval objective function as
Figure FDA0002983456110000085
Radius of the objective function of
Figure FDA0002983456110000086
Converting an interval objective function to
Figure FDA0002983456110000087
β2Is a weighting coefficient;
the interval possibility degrees of establishment of an active power balance equation (26), a standby power constraint equation (28) and a standby power constraint equation (30) of the scheduling interval optimization problem in the day of the power system are respectively zeta21、ζ22And ζ23Equations (26), (28) and (30) are converted to:
Figure FDA0002983456110000088
Figure FDA0002983456110000089
Figure FDA00029834561100000810
then, according to the interval probability principle, converting the day-ahead scheduling interval optimization problem into the following deterministic problem:
min F2 (35)
the constraints include formulae (3) to (4), formulae (9) to (12), formulae (15) to (16), formulae (27), (29), (31), and formulae (32) to (34);
substituting the startup state maintenance of the conventional unit and the regulation and control quantity of the A-type flexible load obtained in the step 4 into a boundary condition for calculation, and solving the deterministic problem by using a mixed integer linear programming method to obtain an intra-day scheduling interval optimization scheme;
and generating a day-ahead and day-inside cooperative scheduling scheme at the time k, further judging whether k reaches 96, if so, outputting the day-ahead and day-inside cooperative scheduling scheme, otherwise, making k equal to k +1, and returning to the step 4 for processing until k reaches 96.
9. A day-ahead-day cooperative scheduling system for a power system, which takes new energy and load interval uncertainty into account, is characterized by comprising:
one or more processors;
a memory storing instructions that are operable, when executed by the one or more processors, to cause the one or more processors to perform operations comprising performing a process of any one of claims 1-8.
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