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The Kernel Hacker's Bookshelf: Ultimate Physical Limits of Computation

The Kernel Hacker's Bookshelf: Ultimate Physical Limits of Computation

Posted Jun 19, 2008 13:35 UTC (Thu) by nix (subscriber, #2304)
In reply to: The Kernel Hacker's Bookshelf: Ultimate Physical Limits of Computation by dskoll
Parent article: The Kernel Hacker's Bookshelf: Ultimate Physical Limits of Computation

I find Vinge's original concept of the technological singularity to be much more interesting
than Kurzweil's accelerating-progress thing, which suffers from severe selection bias: had he
written that book in 1920, it would have been obvious that an avionics singularity was
approaching by, say, 1990. It didn't happen, because progress in single technological fields
follows S-shaped curves, not exponential ones.


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