Thursday, March 06, 2025 11:03:49 PM
On Wednesday, 05 March 2025, Moderna Inc. (NASDAQ: MRNA) participated in the TD Cowen 45th Annual Healthcare Conference. The discussion, led by Tyler Van Buren from TD Cowen and Steven Hoege, President of Moderna, highlighted the company’s strategic initiatives, including product diversification and cost reduction. While Moderna remains committed to its ambitious growth plans, it also acknowledged potential challenges, such as lower COVID vaccination rates and market uncertainties.
Key Takeaways
Moderna aims for 2025 vaccine sales between $1.5 billion and $2.5 billion.
The company targets cash breakeven by 2028 through diversification and cost management.
Moderna’s product pipeline includes vaccines for RSV, flu COVID combo, norovirus, and CMV.
The individualized neoantigen therapy (INT) program is a key focus in oncology.
Moderna is prepared to advance its bird flu vaccine program as needed.
Financial Results
Moderna reiterated its 2025 sales guidance of $1.5 billion to $2.5 billion, acknowledging potential headwinds.
The company aims to achieve cash breakeven by 2028 through product launches and cost reductions.
Cash investment is projected to decrease from $6.4 billion in 2024 to $5 billion in 2026.
Operational Updates
RSV Vaccine: Contracting discussions are ongoing, with label expansion under review for high-risk 18-59 year olds.
Flu COVID Combo Vaccine: No revenue expected in 2025, with a 2026 opportunity pending efficacy data.
Norovirus Vaccine: Data expected in 2026, with trials paused due to a Guillain Barre syndrome case.
INT Program: Phase 3 melanoma trial fully enrolled, with potential approval in 2027.
Bird Flu Vaccine: Phase 3 study in the U.S. under agreement, with a proactive approach to pandemic preparedness.
Future Outlook
Product Launches: Aiming to launch 10 products in three years, with three files under FDA review.
Cost Discipline: Continued cost reductions to balance investment and revenue by 2028.
Q&A Highlights
RSV Competition: Moderna aims to offer the broadest label and strong efficacy for its RSV vaccine.
Flu Season: Challenges include declining vaccine coverage and evolving influenza viruses.
Flu COVID Combo vs. Monotherapy: Two-thirds of the population prefer the combination vaccine, though monovalent products will remain significant.
Full transcript - TD Cowen 45th Annual Healthcare Conference:
https://www.investing.com/news/transcripts/moderna-at-td-cowen-conference-strategic-diversification-focus-93CH-3913103
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