International Commodities Prices, Growth and the Outbreak of Civil War in Sub-Saharan Africa

Markus Brückner and Antonio Ciccone

No 1008, Working Papers from BBVA Bank, Economic Research Department

Abstract: To learn more about the effect of economic conditions on civil war, we examine whether Sub-Saharan civil wars are more likely to start following downturns in the international price of countries’ main export commodities. The data show a robust effect of commodity price downturns on the outbreak of civil wars. We also find that Sub-Saharan countries are more likely to see civil wars following economic downturns in their main OECD export destinations.

Keywords: Sub-Saharan Africa; commodity prices; civil war (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: O0 P0 Q0 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 28 pages
Date: 2010-05
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-afr
References: Add references at CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (173)

Downloads: (external link)
https://www.bbvaresearch.com/wp-content/uploads/mi ... 08_tcm348-220914.pdf (application/pdf)

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:bbv:wpaper:1008

Access Statistics for this paper

More papers in Working Papers from BBVA Bank, Economic Research Department Contact information at EDIRC.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by OSCAR DE LAS PENAS SANCHEZ-CARO ().