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- research-articleFebruary 2023
Spatial-temporal meta-path guided explainable crime prediction
AbstractExposure to crime and violence can harm individuals’ quality of life and the economic growth of communities. In light of the rapid development in machine learning, there is a rise in the need to explore automated solutions to crime prevention. The ...
- research-articleNovember 2022
Research on prediction of multi-class theft crimes by an optimized decomposition and fusion method based on XGBoost
Expert Systems with Applications: An International Journal (EXWA), Volume 207, Issue Chttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.eswa.2022.117943AbstractThe number of theft cases is much higher than that of other criminal cases, which frequently occurs in daily life and is seriously destructive to social order. Studying the law of theft cases has a positive impact on social governance ...
- ArticleSeptember 2022
Spatial-Temporal Attention Network for Crime Prediction with Adaptive Graph Learning
Artificial Neural Networks and Machine Learning – ICANN 2022Pages 656–669https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-15931-2_54AbstractIt is important but challenging to accurately predict urban crimes. Existing studies rely on domain knowledge specific, pre-defined inter-dependency graphs using extra urban data and have many disadvantages. We propose a novel framework, AGL-STAN, ...
- research-articleAugust 2022
A deep learning framework for predicting burglaries based on multiple contextual factors
Expert Systems with Applications: An International Journal (EXWA), Volume 199, Issue Chttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.eswa.2022.117042AbstractOne of the most common types of crime, burglary often results in serious psychological trauma and has financial consequences. Predicting burglaries is a challenging task due to their high degree of randomness. In this study, we propose ...
Highlights- A novel attention-based deep learning framework for burglary prediction.
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- research-articleMay 2022
Towards hour-level crime prediction: A neural attentive framework with spatial–temporal-categorical fusion
Neurocomputing (NEUROC), Volume 486, Issue CPages 286–297https://doi.org/10.1016/j.neucom.2021.11.052AbstractAs one of the most complex social problems around the world, crime may bring the risk of dying or losing property to the public if not handled properly. Crime prediction which aims at predicting crime incidents before they happen is of ...
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- research-articleMarch 2022
CrimeTensor: Fine-Scale Crime Prediction via Tensor Learning with Spatiotemporal Consistency
ACM Transactions on Intelligent Systems and Technology (TIST), Volume 13, Issue 2Article No.: 33, Pages 1–24https://doi.org/10.1145/3501807Crime poses a major threat to human life and property, which has been recognized as one of the most crucial problems in our society. Predicting the number of crime incidents in each region of a city before they happen is of great importance to fight ...
- ArticleMay 2021
Interpreting a Conditional Generative Adversarial Network Model for Crime Prediction
Progress in Pattern Recognition, Image Analysis, Computer Vision, and ApplicationsPages 281–290https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-93420-0_27AbstractCrime prediction models seek to assist policymakers and law enforcement agencies in the allocation of scarce resources intended to prevent crime occurrences. This paper proposes an extension and two interpretation methods for a novel conditional ...
- ArticleJanuary 2021
Deep Multi-view Spatio-Temporal Network for Urban Crime Prediction
AbstractCrimes sabotage various societal aspects, such as social stability, public safety, economic development, and individuals’ quality of life. To accurately predict crime occurrences can not only bring the peace of mind to individuals but also help ...
- research-articleJanuary 2021
DuroNet: A Dual-robust Enhanced Spatial-temporal Learning Network for Urban Crime Prediction
ACM Transactions on Internet Technology (TOIT), Volume 21, Issue 1Article No.: 24, Pages 1–24https://doi.org/10.1145/3432249Urban crime is an ongoing problem in metropolitan development and attracts general concern from the international community. As an effective means of defending urban safety, crime prediction plays a crucial role in patrol force allocation and public ...
- research-articleDecember 2020
Analysis of street crime predictors in web open data
Journal of Intelligent Information Systems (JIIS), Volume 55, Issue 3Pages 535–559https://doi.org/10.1007/s10844-019-00587-4AbstractCrime predictors have been sought after by governments and citizens alike for preventing or avoiding crimes. In this paper, we attempt to thoroughly analyze crime predictors from three Web open data sources: Google Street View (GSV), Twitter, and ...
- research-articleNovember 2020
Addressing Under-Reporting to Enhance Fairness and Accuracy in Mobility-based Crime Prediction
SIGSPATIAL '20: Proceedings of the 28th International Conference on Advances in Geographic Information SystemsPages 325–336https://doi.org/10.1145/3397536.3422205Traditionally, historical crimes and socioeconomic data have been used to understand crime in cities and to build crime prediction models. Nevertheless, the increasing availability of mobility data from cell phones to location-based services, has ...
- ArticleNovember 2020
Deep Temporal Multi-Graph Convolutional Network for Crime Prediction
AbstractUrban safety and security play a crucial role in improving life quality of citizen and the sustainable development of urban. In this paper, we propose a Deep Temporal Multi-Graph Convolutional Network (DT-MGCN) model which integrates graph ...
- research-articleApril 2020
Analysis of Crime Rates in Rizal Province using Crime Forecasting Models
ICCMB '20: Proceedings of the 2020 the 3rd International Conference on Computers in Management and BusinessPages 64–69https://doi.org/10.1145/3383845.3383884Crime is one of the major problems of countries all over the world, and the Philippines is no exception. Crime prediction and prevention strategies are vital for police forces to face inevitable increases in the crime rate as a side effect of the growth ...
- research-articleMarch 2020
Prediction, Visualization, and Optimization of Resources Using Time-Series Forecasting Models and Simplex Linear Programming
APIT '20: Proceedings of the 2020 2nd Asia Pacific Information Technology ConferencePages 136–142https://doi.org/10.1145/3379310.3379315Crime is one of the major problems of countries all over the world, and the Philippines is no exception. Crime prediction and prevention strategies are vital for police forces to face inevitable increases in the crime rate as a side effect of the growth ...
- research-articleSeptember 2019
LASSO-based feature selection and naïve Bayes classifier for crime prediction and its type
Service Oriented Computing and Applications (SPSOCA), Volume 13, Issue 3Pages 187–197https://doi.org/10.1007/s11761-018-0251-3AbstractFor centuries, crime has been viewed as random because it is based on human behavior; even now, it incorporates an excessive number of factors for current machine learning models to forecast accurately. In this work, we tend to discuss the early ...
- ArticleJuly 2019
Automating Crime Informatics to Inform Public Policy
AbstractViolent crime is a critically important community issue. Government has attempted to address this problem in a variety of ways, with varied levels of success. However, there are only a certain number and type of factors that can be addressed by ...
- posterJune 2019
Crime Prediction Model using Deep Neural Networks
dg.o '19: Proceedings of the 20th Annual International Conference on Digital Government ResearchPages 512–514https://doi.org/10.1145/3325112.3328221This project investigates the feasibility of using machine learning techniques, specifically neural networks, to make prediction on criminal behavior based on the history of the arrest bookings. The experiment will have to handle imbalanced data ...
- research-articleJune 2019
Using Machine Learning for Prediction of Factors Affecting Crimes in Saudi Arabia
BDE '19: Proceedings of the 2019 International Conference on Big Data EngineeringPages 57–62https://doi.org/10.1145/3341620.3341634Crime rates are expected to increase in the whole world as the growth of many complex factors like: unemployment, poverty, weather, violent ideologies and religion and etc. Obviously crimes have negatively influenced the development of society, economic ...
- ArticleJune 2019
Time and Location Recommendation for Crime Prevention
AbstractIn recent years we have seen more and more open government and administrative data made available on the Web. Crime data, for example, allows civic organizations and ordinary citizens to obtain safety-related information on their surroundings. In ...
- research-articleApril 2019
Public decision support for low population density areas: An imbalance-aware hyper-ensemble for spatio-temporal crime prediction
Decision Support Systems (DSSY), Volume 119, Issue CPages 107–117https://doi.org/10.1016/j.dss.2019.03.001AbstractCrime events are known to reveal spatio-temporal patterns, which can be used for predictive modeling and subsequent decision support. While the focus has hitherto been placed on areas with high population density, we address the ...
Highlights- Predictive policing reduces crime rates through prediction and decision support.