[go: up one dir, main page]
More Web Proxy on the site http://driver.im/
create a website
How Costly is it to Ignore Breaks when Forecasting the Direction of a Time Series?. (2003). Timmermann, Allan ; Pesaran, M.
In: CESifo Working Paper Series.
RePEc:ces:ceswps:_875.

Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

Cited: 3

Citations received by this document

Cites: 32

References cited by this document

Cocites: 50

Documents which have cited the same bibliography

Coauthors: 0

Authors who have wrote about the same topic

Citations

Citations received by this document

  1. Economic indicators for the US transportation sector. (2006). yao, vincent ; Lahiri, Kajal.
    In: Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice.
    RePEc:eee:transa:v:40:y:2006:i:10:p:872-887.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  2. Nonrenewable Resource Prices: Deterministic or Stochastic Trends?. (2005). Strazicich, Mark ; list, john ; Lee, Junsoo.
    In: NBER Working Papers.
    RePEc:nbr:nberwo:11487.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  3. Cycles in the Transportation Sector and the Aggregate Economy. (2003). yao, vincent ; Lahiri, Kajal ; Young, Peg.
    In: Discussion Papers.
    RePEc:nya:albaec:03-14.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

References

References cited by this document

  1. Alogoskoufis, G.S. & Smith, R (1991). The Phillips Curve, the persistence of inflation, and the Lucas Critique: Evidence from exchange rate regimes, American Economic Review, 81, 1254-1275.

  2. Andrews, D.W.K. (1993). Tests for parameter instability and structural change with unknown change point, Econometrica, 61, 821-856.

  3. Andrews, D.W.K. & Ploberger, W. (1996). Optimal changepoint tests for normal linear regression.. Journal of Econometrics, 70, 9-38.

  4. Ang A., & Bekaert, G. (2001). International asset allocation with regime shifts, Review of Financial Studies, forthcoming.

  5. Ang, A. & Bekaert, G. (2002). Regime switches in interest rates, Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 20, 163-182.

  6. Bai, J. & Perron, P. (1998). Estimating and testing linear models with multiple structural changes, Econometrica, 66, 47-78.

  7. Bai, J. & Perron, P. (2002). Computation and analysis of multiple structural change models, Journal of Applied Econometrics, forthcoming.

  8. Brown, R.L., Durbin, J., & Evans, J.M. (1975). Techniques for testing the constancy of regression relationships over time, Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series B, 37, 149-192.
    Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
  9. Chib, 5 (1998). Estimation and comparison of multiple change-point models, Journal of Econometrics, 86, 221-242.

  10. Chow, G. (1960). Tests of equality between sets of coefficients in two linear regressions, Econometrica, 28, 591-605.
    Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
  11. Chu, C-S J., Stinchcombe, M., & White, H. (1996). Monitoring structural change,. Econometrica, 64, 1045-1065.

  12. Clements, M.P. & Hendry, D.F. (1998). Forecasting Economic Time Series, Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.

  13. David, A. & Veronesi, P. (2001). Option prices with uncertain fundamentals: Theory and evidence on the dynamics of implied volatilities and over-/underreaction in the options market, mimeo, Federal Reserve Board of Governors and University of Chicago.
    Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
  14. Driffill, J. & Sola, M. (1994). Testing the term Structure of Interest Rates from a Stationary Switching Regime VAR, Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 18, 601-628.

  15. Elliott, G. & Mueller, U. (2002). Optimally testing general breaking processes in linear time series models, Manuscript, University of California, San Diego.
    Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
  16. Garcia, R. &Perron, P. (1996). An analysis of the real interest rate under regime shifts, Review of Economics and Statistics, 78, U 1-125.

  17. Granger, C.W.J. & Pesaran, M.H. (2000). Economic and statistical measures of forecast accuracy, Journal of Forecasting, 19, 537-560.

  18. Gray, 5. (1996). Modeling the conditional distribution of interest rates as regime-switching process, Journal of Financial Economics, 42, 27-62.

  19. Hamilton, J.D. (1989). A new approach to the economic analysis of nonstationary time series and the business cycle, Econometrica, 57, 357-384.

  20. Hansen, B.E. (1992). Tests for parameter instability in regressions with 1(1) processes, Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 10, 321-335.

  21. Henriksson, R.D. & Merton, R.C. (1981). On market timing and investment ierformance. II. statistical procedures for evaluating forecasting skills, Journal of Business, 54, 513-533.

  22. Inclan, C. & Tiao, G.C. (1994). Use of cumulative sums of squares for retrospective detection of changes of variance,. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 89, 913-923.
    Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
  23. Johnson, N.L. & Kotz, 5. (1970). Continuous Univariate Distributions - 2, John Wiley.
    Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
  24. Leitch, G. & Tanner, J.E. (1991). Economic forecast evaluation: profits versus the conventional error measures, American Economic Review, 81, 580-90.

  25. Patnaik, P.B. (1949). The non-central x2- and F-distributions and their 20 applications, Biometrika 36, 202-232.
    Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
  26. Perez-Quiros, G. & Timmermann, A. (2000). Firm size and cyclical variations in stock returns, Journal of Finance, 55, 1229-1262.

  27. Pesaran, M.H. & Timmermann, A. (1992). A simple non-parametric test of predictive performance, Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 10, 46 1-465.

  28. Pesaran, M.H. & Timmermann, A. (2001). Market timing and return prediction under model instability, Journal of Empirical Finance, forthcoming.

  29. Ploberger, W., Kramer, W., & Kontrus, K. (1989). A new test for structural stability in the linear regression model, Journal of Econometrics, 40, 307-318.

  30. Skouras, 5. (1999). On discrete investment rules for financial markets, Ph.D.
    Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
  31. Thesis, European University Institute, Florence, Italy. Stock, J.H. & Watson, M.W. (1996). Evidence on structural instability in macroeconomic time series relations,. Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 14, 11-30.

  32. Timmermann, A. (2001). Structural breaks, incomplete information, and stock prices, Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 19, 299-314.

Cocites

Documents in RePEc which have cited the same bibliography

  1. Long Memory Modelling of Inflation with Stochastic Variance and Structural Breaks. (2007). Ooms, Marius ; Koopman, Siem Jan ; Bos, Charles.
    In: Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers.
    RePEc:tin:wpaper:20070099.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  2. MODELLING THE GERMAN YIELD CURVE AND TESTING THE LUCAS CRITIQUE, 1975-2001. (2007). Santos, Carlos ; Oliveira, Maria Alberta .
    In: Applied Econometrics and International Development.
    RePEc:eaa:aeinde:v:7:y:2007:i:1_5.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  3. Aggregate Wage Flexibility in Selected New EU Member States. (2007). Babecký, Jan.
    In: CESifo Working Paper Series.
    RePEc:ces:ceswps:_1916.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  4. Learning, structural instability and present value calculations. (2006). Timmermann, Allan ; Pettenuzzo, Davide ; Pesaran, M.
    In: Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies.
    RePEc:zbw:bubdp1:4756.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  5. Learning, structural instability and present value calculations. (2006). Timmermann, Allan ; Pettenuzzo, Davide ; Pesaran, M.
    In: Computing in Economics and Finance 2006.
    RePEc:sce:scecfa:529.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  6. Chronicles of a deflation unforetold. (2006). Velde, Francois.
    In: Working Paper Series.
    RePEc:fip:fedhwp:wp-06-12.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  7. Aggregate Wage Flexibility in Selected New EU Member States. (2006). Babecký, Jan ; Babetskii, Ian .
    In: Working Papers.
    RePEc:cnb:wpaper:2006/1.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  8. Learning, Structural Instability and Present Value Calculations. (2006). Timmermann, Allan ; Pettenuzzo, Davide ; Pesaran, M.
    In: Cambridge Working Papers in Economics.
    RePEc:cam:camdae:0602.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  9. UK monetary regimes and macroeconomic stylised facts. (2006). Benati, Luca.
    In: Bank of England working papers.
    RePEc:boe:boeewp:290.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  10. How the gold standard functioned in Portugal: an analysis of some macroeconomic aspects. (2005). Portugal Duarte, António ; Andrade, João.
    In: Method and Hist of Econ Thought.
    RePEc:wpa:wuwpmh:0505002.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  11. The persistence of inflation in OECD countries: A fractionally integrated approach. (2005). Mayoral, Laura.
    In: Economics Working Papers.
    RePEc:upf:upfgen:958.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  12. The Persistence of Inflation in OECD Countries: A Fractionally Integrated Approach. (2005). Mayoral, Laura ; Gadea, María.
    In: MPRA Paper.
    RePEc:pra:mprapa:815.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  13. Optimal Monetary Policy under Hysteresis. (2005). Kapadia, Sujit.
    In: Economics Series Working Papers.
    RePEc:oxf:wpaper:250.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  14. Inflation Persistence and Exchange Rate Regimes: Evidence from Developing Countries. (2005). Francisco, Manuela ; Bleaney, Michael.
    In: NIPE Working Papers.
    RePEc:nip:nipewp:1/2005.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  15. Can Endogenous Changes in Price Flexibility Alter the Relative Welfare Performance of Exchange Rate Regimes?. (2005). Sutherland, Alan ; Senay, Ozge.
    In: NBER Working Papers.
    RePEc:nbr:nberwo:11092.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  16. Learning, Structural Instability and Present Value Calculations. (2005). Timmermann, Allan ; Pettenuzzo, Davide ; Pesaran, M.
    In: CESifo Working Paper Series.
    RePEc:ces:ceswps:_1650.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  17. Inflation Persistence under Semi-Fixed Exchange Rate Regimes:The European Evidence 1974-1998. (2004). Stam, Erik ; Kool, Clemens ; Lammertsma, Alex ; Clemens J. M. Kool, .
    In: Working Papers.
    RePEc:use:tkiwps:0404.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  18. Endogenous Price Flexibility, the Expenditure Switching Effect and Exchange Rate Regime Choice. (2004). Sutherland, Alan ; Senay, Ozge.
    In: Money Macro and Finance (MMF) Research Group Conference 2004.
    RePEc:mmf:mmfc04:68.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  19. Nonlinear inflation dynamics: evidence from the UK. (2004). Milas, Costas ; Martin, Christopher ; Arghyrou, Michael.
    In: Money Macro and Finance (MMF) Research Group Conference 2003.
    RePEc:mmf:mmfc03:59.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  20. Forecasting Time Series Subject to Multiple Structural Breaks. (2004). Timmermann, Allan ; Pettenuzzo, Davide ; Pesaran, M.
    In: IZA Discussion Papers.
    RePEc:iza:izadps:dp1196.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  21. Capital mobility and inflation persistence: theory and evidence from Greece. (2004). Sidiropoulos, Moise ; MOSCHOS, DEMETRIOS ; Karfakis, Costas.
    In: International Journal of Finance & Economics.
    RePEc:ijf:ijfiec:v:9:y:2004:i:2:p:125-133.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  22. Forecasting Time Series Subject to Multiple Structural Breaks. (2004). Timmermann, Allan ; Pettenuzzo, Davide ; Pesaran, M.
    In: CESifo Working Paper Series.
    RePEc:ces:ceswps:_1237.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  23. ‘Forecasting Time Series Subject to Multiple Structural Breaks’. (2004). Timmermann, Allan ; Pettenuzzo, Davide ; Pesaran, M.
    In: Cambridge Working Papers in Economics.
    RePEc:cam:camdae:0433.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  24. Inflation Persistence during Periods of Structural Change: An Assessment Using Greek Data. (2004). Lazaretou, Sophia ; Hondroyiannis, George.
    In: Working Papers.
    RePEc:bog:wpaper:13.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  25. Monetary Policy for Inattentive Economies. (2003). Reis, Ricardo ; Mankiw, N. Gregory ; Ball, Laurence.
    In: NBER Working Papers.
    RePEc:nbr:nberwo:9491.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  26. Monetary Policy for Inattentive Economies. (2003). Reis, Ricardo ; Mankiw, N. Gregory ; Ball, Laurence.
    In: Economics Working Paper Archive.
    RePEc:jhu:papers:491.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  27. Computation and analysis of multiple structural change models. (2003). Perron, Pierre ; Bai, Jushan.
    In: Journal of Applied Econometrics.
    RePEc:jae:japmet:v:18:y:2003:i:1:p:1-22.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  28. Small Sample Properties of Forecasts from Autoregressive Models under Structural Breaks. (2003). Timmermann, Allan ; Pesaran, M.
    In: CESifo Working Paper Series.
    RePEc:ces:ceswps:_990.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  29. How Costly is it to Ignore Breaks when Forecasting the Direction of a Time Series?. (2003). Timmermann, Allan ; Pesaran, M.
    In: CESifo Working Paper Series.
    RePEc:ces:ceswps:_875.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  30. How Costly is it to Ignore Breaks when Forecasting the Direction of a Time Series?. (2003). Timmermann, Allan ; Pesaran, M.
    In: Cambridge Working Papers in Economics.
    RePEc:cam:camdae:0306.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  31. Greek Monetary Economics in Retrospect: The Adventures of the Drachma. (2003). Lazaretou, Sophia ; Sophia, .
    In: Working Papers.
    RePEc:bog:wpaper:02.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  32. Credibility Of Monetary Regimes : Is Inflation Targeting Different?. (2002). Kunter, Kursat ; Janssen, Norbert.
    In: Discussion Papers.
    RePEc:tcb:dpaper:0201.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  33. Central Bank Independence, Exchange Rate Policy and Inflation Persistence Empirical Evidence on Selected EMU Countries. (2001). Sidiropoulos, Moise ; Papadopoulos, Athanasios.
    In: Working Papers.
    RePEc:crt:wpaper:0107.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  34. Near-Rationality and Inflation in Two Monetary Regimes. (2000). Ball, Laurence.
    In: NBER Working Papers.
    RePEc:nbr:nberwo:7988.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  35. Near-Rationality and Inflation in Two Monetary Regimes. (2000). Ball, Laurence.
    In: Economics Working Paper Archive.
    RePEc:jhu:papers:435.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  36. A Return to the Convertibility Principle? Monetary And Fiscal Regimes in Historical Perspective.. (2000). Jonung, Lars ; Bordo, Michael.
    In: SSE/EFI Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance.
    RePEc:hhs:hastef:0415.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  37. Hysteresis and Unemployment: a Preliminary Investigation. (1999). Piscitelli, Laura ; Ireland, Jonathan ; Darby, Julia ; Cross, Rod.
    In: Computing in Economics and Finance 1999.
    RePEc:sce:scecf9:721.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  38. Currency Crisis and Unemployment: Sterling in 1931. (1998). Jeanne, Olivier ; Eichengreen, Barry.
    In: NBER Working Papers.
    RePEc:nbr:nberwo:6563.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  39. The Rise and Fall of a Barbarous Relic: The Role of Gold in the International Monetary SYstem. (1998). Eichengreen, Barry ; Bordo, Michael.
    In: NBER Working Papers.
    RePEc:nbr:nberwo:6436.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  40. Computation and Analysis of Multiple Structural-Change Models. (1998). Perron, Pierre ; Bai, Jushan.
    In: Cahiers de recherche.
    RePEc:mtl:montde:9807.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  41. Capital Accumulation and Unemployment: A Tale of Two Continents. (1998). Moutos, Thomas ; Malley, Jim.
    In: Working Papers.
    RePEc:gla:glaewp:9820.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  42. Did the underlying behaviour of inflation change in the 1980s? A study of 17 countries. (1997). Anderton, Robert.
    In: Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv).
    RePEc:spr:weltar:v:133:y:1997:i:1:p:22-38.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  43. Monetary Regimes, Inflation And Monetary Reform: An Essay in Honor of Axel Leijonhufvud. (1996). Jonung, Lars ; Bordo, Michael.
    In: Departmental Working Papers.
    RePEc:rut:rutres:199407.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  44. The ERM and structural change in European labour markets: A study of 10 countries. (1995). Anderton, Robert ; Barrell, Ray.
    In: Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv).
    RePEc:spr:weltar:v:131:y:1995:i:1:p:47-66.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  45. Inflation and Wage Indexation in the Postwar U.S.. (1994). Holland, Steven.
    In: Macroeconomics.
    RePEc:wpa:wuwpma:9402001.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  46. Are there adverse real effects from monetary policy coordination? Some evidence from Austria, Belgium and the Netherlands. (1994). Tatom, John ; Proske, Dieter .
    In: Working Papers.
    RePEc:fip:fedlwp:1994-018.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  47. The federal funds rate as an indicator of monetary policy: evidence from the 1980s. (1994). Balke, Nathan ; Emery, Kenneth M..
    In: Economic and Financial Policy Review.
    RePEc:fip:fedder:y:1994:i:qi:p:1-15.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  48. The gold standard, Bretton Woods and other monetary regimes: a historical appraisal. (1993). Bordo, Michael.
    In: Review.
    RePEc:fip:fedlrv:y:1993:i:mar:p:123-191.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  49. Three Perspectives on the Bretton Woods System. (1992). Eichengreen, Barry.
    In: NBER Working Papers.
    RePEc:nbr:nberwo:4141.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  50. The Adjustment Mechanism. (1991). Obstfeld, Maurice.
    In: NBER Working Papers.
    RePEc:nbr:nberwo:3943.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

Coauthors

Authors registered in RePEc who have wrote about the same topic

Report date: 2025-01-26 14:42:40 || Missing content? Let us know

CitEc is a RePEc service, providing citation data for Economics since 2001. Sponsored by INOMICS. Last updated October, 6 2023. Contact: CitEc Team.