United States Senate election in Arkansas, 2022
← 2020
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U.S. Senate, Arkansas |
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Democratic primary Republican primary General election |
Election details |
Filing deadline: March 1, 2022 |
Primary: May 24, 2022 Primary runoff: June 21, 2022 General: November 8, 2022 |
How to vote |
Poll times: 7:30 a.m. to 7:30 p.m. Voting in Arkansas |
Race ratings |
Inside Elections: Solid Republican Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Republican |
Ballotpedia analysis |
U.S. Senate battlegrounds U.S. House battlegrounds Federal and state primary competitiveness Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2022 |
See also |
U.S. Senate • 1st • 2nd • 3rd • 4th Arkansas elections, 2022 U.S. Congress elections, 2022 U.S. Senate elections, 2022 U.S. House elections, 2022 |
Voters in Arkansas elected one member to the U.S. Senate in the general election on November 8, 2022. The primary was scheduled for May 24, 2022, and a primary runoff was scheduled for June 21, 2022. The filing deadline was March 1, 2022.
The election filled the Class III Senate seat held by John Boozman (R), who first took office in 2011.
For more information about the Democratic primary, click here.
For more information about the Republican primary, click here.
The outcome of this race affected the partisan balance of the U.S. Senate in 2022. Democrats retained their majority and gained one net seat, with the Senate's post-election partisan balance at 51 Democrats and 49 Republicans.
Thirty-five of 100 seats were up for election, including one special election.[1] At the time of the election, Democrats had an effective majority, with the chamber split 50-50 and Vice President Kamala Harris (D) having the tie-breaking vote.[2] Of the seats up for election in 2022, Democrats held 14 and Republicans held 21.
For more information about the primaries in this election, click on the links below:
- United States Senate election in Arkansas, 2022 (May 24 Democratic primary)
- United States Senate election in Arkansas, 2022 (May 24 Republican primary)
Candidates and election results
General election
General election for U.S. Senate Arkansas
Incumbent John Boozman defeated Natalie James, Kenneth Cates, Richard Gant, and James Garner in the general election for U.S. Senate Arkansas on November 8, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | John Boozman (R) | 65.7 | 592,437 | |
Natalie James (D) | 31.1 | 280,187 | ||
Kenneth Cates (L) | 3.2 | 28,682 | ||
Richard Gant (Independent) (Write-in) | 0.0 | 0 | ||
James Garner (Independent) (Write-in) | 0.0 | 0 |
Total votes: 901,306 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Stuart Shirrell (Independent)
Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. Senate Arkansas
Natalie James defeated Dan Whitfield and Jack Foster in the Democratic primary for U.S. Senate Arkansas on May 24, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Natalie James | 54.1 | 49,722 | |
Dan Whitfield | 30.8 | 28,319 | ||
Jack Foster | 15.1 | 13,891 |
Total votes: 91,932 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. Senate Arkansas
Incumbent John Boozman defeated Jake Bequette, Jan Morgan, and Heath Loftis in the Republican primary for U.S. Senate Arkansas on May 24, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | John Boozman | 58.0 | 201,677 | |
Jake Bequette | 20.7 | 71,809 | ||
Jan Morgan | 19.0 | 65,958 | ||
Heath Loftis | 2.3 | 8,112 |
Total votes: 347,556 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Michael Deel (R)
Libertarian convention
Libertarian convention for U.S. Senate Arkansas
Kenneth Cates advanced from the Libertarian convention for U.S. Senate Arkansas on February 20, 2022.
Candidate | ||
✔ | Kenneth Cates (L) |
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
Results analysis
Echelon Insights, a polling and data analysis firm, published an analysis deck called Split Ticket Atlas: Comparative Republican Presidential, Gubernatorial, and Senate Candidate Performance, 2020-2022 in March 2023. The report compared the performance of Republican candidates in 2022 statewide elections. Click here to view the full analysis.
This analysis found that, compared to 2022 gubernatorial candidate Sarah Huckabee Sanders (R), Boozman received 61,897 more votes. The largest differences were in Pulaski (13,442) and Benton (7,770) counties. Huckabee Sanders came closest to Boozman's vote total in Little River County (24 votes).
Know of additional analysis related to this election? Please email us.
Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey responses
Ballotpedia asks all federal, state, and local candidates to complete a survey and share what motivates them on political and personal levels. The section below shows responses from candidates in this race who completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey. Candidates are asked three required questions for this survey, but they may answer additional optional questions as well.
Survey responses from candidates in this race
Click on a candidate's name to visit their Ballotpedia page.
Note: Ballotpedia reserves the right to edit Candidate Connection survey responses. Any edits made by Ballotpedia will be clearly marked with [brackets] for the public. If the candidate disagrees with an edit, he or she may request the full removal of the survey response from Ballotpedia.org. Ballotpedia does not edit or correct typographical errors unless the candidate's campaign requests it.
Collapse all
|Natalie James (D)
During the social unrest of the summer of 2020, She took an active role in bridging the gap of communication between communities of color, local police department, and local elected leaders. These events let her know that it was her time to serve & help others make sense of it all.
Natalie started her career as a Realtor and used her new occupation to drive her passion for helping families obtain stable and affordable homes. Using her space of influence to teach the importance financial stability in communities often left behind. She made it her mission to help Arkansans accomplish its first step in the American Dream.
Natalie James (D)
Natalie James (D)
In the footsteps of Hiram Revels, the First African American elected to the United States Senate;
And As a woman, I find myself walking in the shoes of Carol Moseley Braun, the first African American woman elected to the United States Senate.
Natalie James (D)
Natalie James (D)
Natalie James (D)
Natalie James (D)
Natalie James (D)
Natalie James (D)
Natalie James (D)
Natalie James (D)
Natalie James (D)
Natalie James (D)
Natalie James (D)
Voting information
- See also: Voting in Arkansas
Campaign finance
This section contains campaign finance figures from the Federal Election Commission covering all candidate fundraising and spending in this election.[3] It does not include information on fundraising before the current campaign cycle or on spending by satellite groups. The numbers in this section are updated as candidates file new campaign finance reports. Candidates for Congress are required to file financial reports on a quarterly basis, as well as two weeks before any primary, runoff, or general election in which they will be on the ballot and upon the termination of any campaign committees.[4] Click here to view the reporting schedule for candidates for U.S. Congress in 2022.
U.S. Congress campaign reporting schedule, 2022 | ||
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Report | Close of books | Filing deadline |
Year-end 2021 | 12/31/2021 | 1/31/2022 |
April quarterly | 3/31/2022 | 4/15/2022 |
July quarterly | 6/30/2022 | 7/15/2022 |
October quarterly | 9/30/2022 | 10/15/2022 |
Pre-general | 10/19/2022 | 10/27/2022 |
Post-general | 11/28/2022 | 12/08/2022 |
Year-end 2022 | 12/31/2022 | 1/31/2023 |
Name | Party | Receipts* | Disbursements** | Cash on hand | Date |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
John Boozman | Republican Party | $7,768,918 | $7,335,379 | $892,220 | As of December 31, 2022 |
Jack Foster | Democratic Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
Natalie James | Democratic Party | $81,481 | $81,266 | $215 | As of December 31, 2022 |
Dan Whitfield | Democratic Party | $33,702 | $54,002 | $9 | As of December 31, 2022 |
Jake Bequette | Republican Party | $1,395,154 | $1,390,351 | $4,803 | As of December 31, 2022 |
Heath Loftis | Republican Party | $39,678 | $40,178 | $0 | As of May 25, 2022 |
Jan Morgan | Republican Party | $622,789 | $622,789 | $0 | As of July 27, 2022 |
Kenneth Cates | Libertarian Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
Richard Gant | Independent | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
James Garner | Independent | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2022. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).
* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee." |
General election race ratings
- See also: Race rating definitions and methods
Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:
- Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
- Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
- Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[5]
- Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.
Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[6][7][8]
Race ratings: U.S. Senate election in Arkansas, 2022 | |||||||||
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Race tracker | Race ratings | ||||||||
November 8, 2022 | November 1, 2022 | October 25, 2022 | October 18, 2022 | ||||||
The Cook Political Report with Amy Walter | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | |||||
Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | |||||
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | |||||
Note: Ballotpedia reviews external race ratings every week throughout the election season and posts weekly updates even if the media outlets have not revised their ratings during that week. |
Ballot access
The table below details filing requirements for U.S. Senate candidates in Arkansas in the 2022 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Arkansas, click here.
Filing requirements for U.S. Senate candidates, 2022 | ||||||
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State | Office | Party | Signatures required | Filing fee | Filing deadline | Source |
Arkansas | U.S. Senate | Ballot-qualified party | N/A | Fixed by party | 3/1/2022 | Source |
Arkansas | U.S. Senate | Unaffiliated | 3% of total votes cast for governor in 2018 or 10,000, whichever is less | N/A | 5/1/2022 | Source |
Election history
2020
General election
General election for U.S. Senate Arkansas
Incumbent Tom Cotton defeated Ricky Dale Harrington Jr. in the general election for U.S. Senate Arkansas on November 3, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Tom Cotton (R) | 66.5 | 793,871 | |
Ricky Dale Harrington Jr. (L) | 33.5 | 399,390 |
Total votes: 1,193,261 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Dan Whitfield (Independent)
Democratic primary election
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Joshua Mahony (D)
Republican primary election
The Republican primary election was canceled. Incumbent Tom Cotton advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. Senate Arkansas.
2016
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | John Boozman Incumbent | 59.8% | 661,984 | |
Democratic | Connor Eldridge | 36.2% | 400,602 | |
Libertarian | Frank Gilbert | 4% | 43,866 | |
N/A | Write-in | 0.1% | 1,070 | |
Total Votes | 1,107,522 | |||
Source: Arkansas Secretary of State |
Candidate | Vote % | Votes | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
John Boozman Incumbent | 76.5% | 298,039 | ||
Curtis Coleman | 23.5% | 91,795 | ||
Total Votes | 389,834 | |||
Source: Arkansas Secretary of State |
2014
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Tom Cotton | 56.5% | 478,819 | |
Democratic | Mark Pryor Incumbent | 39.5% | 334,174 | |
Libertarian | Nathan LaFrance | 2% | 17,210 | |
Green | Mark Swaney | 2% | 16,797 | |
Total Votes | 847,000 | |||
Source: Arkansas Secretary of State |
Note: No primaries were held for Arkansas' U.S. Senate seat in 2014.
2010
On November 2, 2010, John Boozman won election to the United States Senate. He defeated incumbent Blanche L. Lincoln (D), Trevor Drown (I) and John Laney Gray, III (G) in the general election.[9]
United States Senate Democratic Primary, 2010 | ||||
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Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
Democratic | Blanche Lambert Lincoln Incumbent | 44.5% | 146,579 | |
Democratic | Bill Halter | 42.5% | 140,081 | |
Democratic | DC Morrison | 13% | 42,695 | |
Total Votes | 329,355 | |||
Source: https://www.ark.org/arelections/index.php?ac:show:contest_statewide=1&elecid=211&contestid=3 |
United States Senate Republican Primary, 2010 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
Republican | John Boozman | 52.7% | 75,010 | |
Republican | Jim Holt | 17.5% | 24,826 | |
Republican | Gilbert Baker | 11.6% | 16,540 | |
Republican | Conrad Reynolds | 5% | 7,128 | |
Republican | Curtis Coleman | 4.9% | 6,928 | |
Republican | Kim Hendren | 3.9% | 5,551 | |
Republican | Randy Alexander | 3.1% | 4,389 | |
Republican | Fred Ramey | 1.3% | 1,888 | |
Total Votes | 142,260 | |||
Source: https://www.ark.org/arelections/index.php?ac:show:contest_statewide=1&elecid=211&contestid=1 |
Election analysis
Click the tabs below to view information about demographics, past elections, and partisan control of the state.
- Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the state.
- Statewide elections - Information about recent U.S. Senate and gubernatorial elections in the state.
- State partisanship - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.
- Demographics - Information about the state's demographics and how they compare to the country as a whole.
Presidential elections
Cook PVI by congressional district
Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index for Arkansas, 2022 | |||
---|---|---|---|
District | Incumbent | Party | PVI |
Arkansas' 1st | Rick Crawford | Republican | R+22 |
Arkansas' 2nd | French Hill | Republican | R+9 |
Arkansas' 3rd | Steve Womack | Republican | R+15 |
Arkansas' 4th | Bruce Westerman | Republican | R+20 |
2020 presidential results by 2022 congressional district lines
2020 presidential results in congressional districts based on 2022 district lines, Arkansas[10] | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
District | Joe Biden | Donald Trump | ||
Arkansas' 1st | 28.1% | 69.0% | ||
Arkansas' 2nd | 42.1% | 55.2% | ||
Arkansas' 3rd | 36.8% | 60.2% | ||
Arkansas' 4th | 31.0% | 66.2% |
2012-2020
How a state's counties vote in a presidential election and the size of those counties can provide additional insights into election outcomes at other levels of government including statewide and congressional races. Below, four categories are used to describe each county's voting pattern over the 2012, 2016, and 2020 presidential elections: Solid, Trending, Battleground, and New. Click [show] on the table below for examples:
County-level voting pattern categories | |||||||
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Democratic | |||||||
Status | 2012 | 2016 | 2020 | ||||
Solid Democratic | D | D | D | ||||
Trending Democratic | R | D | D | ||||
Battleground Democratic | D | R | D | ||||
New Democratic | R | R | D | ||||
Republican | |||||||
Status | 2012 | 2016 | 2020 | ||||
Solid Republican | R | R | R | ||||
Trending Republican | D | R | R | ||||
Battleground Republican | R | D | R | ||||
New Republican | D | D | R |
Following the 2020 presidential election, 80.4% of Arkansans lived in one of the state's 66 Solid Republican counties, which voted for the Republican presidential candidate in every election from 2012 to 2020, and 19.4% lived in one of eight Solid Democratic counties. Overall, Arkansas was Solid Republican, having voted for Mitt Romney (R) in 2012, Donald Trump (R) in 2016, and Donald Trump (R) in 2020. Use the table below to view the total number of each type of county in Arkansas following the 2020 election as well as the overall percentage of the state population located in each county type.
Arkansas county-level statistics, 2020 | |||||||
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Solid Republican | 66 | 80.4% | |||||
Solid Democratic | 8 | 19.4% | |||||
Trending Republican | 1 | 0.2% | |||||
Total voted Democratic | 8 | 19.4% | |||||
Total voted Republican | 67 | 80.6% |
Historical voting trends
Arkansas presidential election results (1900-2020)
- 20 Democratic wins
- 10 Republican wins
- 1 other win
Year | 1900 | 1904 | 1908 | 1912 | 1916 | 1920 | 1924 | 1928 | 1932 | 1936 | 1940 | 1944 | 1948 | 1952 | 1956 | 1960 | 1964 | 1968 | 1972 | 1976 | 1980 | 1984 | 1988 | 1992 | 1996 | 2000 | 2004 | 2008 | 2012 | 2016 | 2020 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Winning Party | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | AI[11] | R | D | R | R | R | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R |
Statewide elections
This section details the results of the five most recent U.S. Senate and gubernatorial elections held in the state.
U.S. Senate elections
The table below details the vote in the five most recent U.S. Senate races in Arkansas.
U.S. Senate election results in Arkansas | ||
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Race | Winner | Runner up |
2020 | 66.5% | 33.5% |
2016 | 59.7% | 36.3% |
2014 | 56.5% | 39.4% |
2010 | 58.0% | 36.9% |
2008 | 79.5% | 20.5% |
Average | 64.0 | 33.3 |
Gubernatorial elections
- See also: Governor of Arkansas
The table below details the vote in the five most recent gubernatorial elections in Arkansas.
Gubernatorial election results in Arkansas | ||
---|---|---|
Race | Winner | Runner up |
2018 | 65.3% | 31.8% |
2014 | 55.4% | 41.5% |
2010 | 64.4% | 33.6% |
2006 | 55.6% | 40.7% |
2002 | 52.0% | 47.0% |
Average | 58.5 | 38.9 |
State partisanship
Congressional delegation
The table below displays the partisan composition of Arkansas' congressional delegation as of November 2022.
Congressional Partisan Breakdown from Arkansas, November 2022 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Party | U.S. Senate | U.S. House | Total |
Democratic | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Republican | 2 | 4 | 6 |
Independent | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Vacancies | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Total | 2 | 4 | 6 |
State executive
The table below displays the officeholders in Arkansas' top four state executive offices as of November 2022.
State executive officials in Arkansas, November 2022 | |
---|---|
Office | Officeholder |
Governor | Asa Hutchinson |
Lieutenant Governor | Tim Griffin |
Secretary of State | John Thurston |
Attorney General | Leslie Rutledge |
State legislature
The tables below highlight the partisan composition of the Arkansas State Legislature as of November 2022.
Arkansas State Senate
Party | As of November 2022 | |
---|---|---|
Democratic Party | 7 | |
Republican Party | 27 | |
Independent | 1 | |
Vacancies | 0 | |
Total | 35 |
Arkansas House of Representatives
Party | As of November 2022 | |
---|---|---|
Democratic Party | 22 | |
Republican Party | 78 | |
Vacancies | 0 | |
Total | 100 |
Trifecta control
As of November 2022, Arkansas was a Republican trifecta, with majorities in both chambers of the state legislature and control of the governorship. The table below displays the historical trifecta status of the state.
Arkansas Party Control: 1992-2022
Eleven years of Democratic trifectas • Eight years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.
Year | 92 | 93 | 94 | 95 | 96 | 97 | 98 | 99 | 00 | 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Governor | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
Senate | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
House | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
Demographics
The table below details demographic data in Arkansas and compares it to the broader United States as of 2019.
Demographic Data for Arkansas | ||
---|---|---|
Arkansas | United States | |
Population | 2,915,918 | 308,745,538 |
Land area (sq mi) | 51,990 | 3,531,905 |
Race and ethnicity** | ||
White | 76.7% | 72.5% |
Black/African American | 15.3% | 12.7% |
Asian | 1.5% | 5.5% |
Native American | 0.7% | 0.8% |
Pacific Islander | 0.3% | 0.2% |
Two or more | 2.7% | 3.3% |
Hispanic/Latino | 7.5% | 18% |
Education | ||
High school graduation rate | 86.6% | 88% |
College graduation rate | 23% | 32.1% |
Income | ||
Median household income | $47,597 | $62,843 |
Persons below poverty level | 17% | 13.4% |
Source: population provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "Decennial Census" (2010). Other figures provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2014-2019). | ||
**Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here. |
See also
External links
Footnotes
- ↑ The special Senate election in California was for the same seat up for regular election. There were, then, 36 total Senate elections for 35 total seats.
- ↑ Two independents who caucus with Democrats are included with Democrats in the 50-50 split count.
- ↑ Fundraising by primary candidates can be found on the race's respective primary election page. Fundraising by general election candidates can be found on the race's general election page.
- ↑ Federal Election Commission, "2022 Quarterly Reports," accessed March 2, 2022
- ↑ Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
- ↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010," accessed March 28, 2013
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' presidential results by congressional district for 2020, 2016, and 2012," accessed September 9, 2022
- ↑ American Independent Party
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