Cardinals Analysis
Weather Applied Metrics, Ballpark Village, and going where the wind takes you
Soon we might actually have some data on the wind!
Analyzing 2025 MLB Projections: St Louis Cardinals Edition... & Pitchers and Catchers Report Day!
Where I look at all of the projections and read the tea leaves on the first official day of spring training 2025
A hunger for shock and success
The Cardinals had a keyword they were pushing Winter Warm Up weekend and in their mind it will help them define the season
Looking back on the 2024 Cardinals season
What better day than the final one of 2024 to look back on some highlights of the season and track the season that was!
Gone for Miles
Exploring the curious case of Miles Mikolas
An Early Look at 2025 Payroll
Payroll. Now with fewer spreadsheets!
The Cardinals Should Embrace a Rebuild
Change is coming to the Cardinals. They might as well start it now.
Three First Basemen
A stream-of-consciousness look at Walker, Burleson, and Gorman.
How Good is Masyn Winn (a fWAR vs. bWAR dialogue)
Using Masyn Winn to discuss the differences in bWAR and fWAR and what they mean for player analysis.
Cardinals’ Attendance is Down (and What That Means For Payroll)
Lower attendance means lower payroll.
Wednesday SOC: Too Much to Overcome?
Reality is starting to settle in.
A Look Forward at the 2025 Rotation
While the Cards focus on winning now, we can still glance ahead to next season.
What Do the Cardinals Need? (A Season in Three Parts: Part 2)
We return to our ongoing series to talk trade deadline and roster deployment in the second half.
A Season in Three Parts: What Do the Cardinals Have? (Part 1)
Let’s evaluate the roster to prepare it for the season’s second part.
The Cardinals’ Offense is Improving but Still Lags in Critical Spots
Most of the lineup has reached projected norms. It won’t matter until the team’s stars get things going again.
Burly isn’t so Burly (But He is a Good Hitter)
Burleson is starting to put it all together, even if his batting profile doesn’t quite match his nickname.
Swing Data is Now Available! What Does It Say About the Cardinals?
Baseball Savant now measures swing speed and squared up contact, among other stats!
Quick ‘n Dirty Analysis: Catching Up on the Rotation
How is the rotation doing? Pretty much exactly as expected.
Kyle Gibson is the Key to Making the Rotation Work
Venn diagrams, expectations, and variance.
Quick ‘N Dirty Analysis: Miles Mikolas
Let’s look at Miles Mikolas’ 2023, his outlook for 2024, and learn some things about baseball statistics along the way.
Re-evaluating the Cardinals’ Offseason (In Light of Their Self-Imposed Budget Constraints)
The Cardinals have hit their budget cap. I was way off. What went wrong?
ZiPS Projections: The Cardinals are the Cardinals Again
It’s ZiPS time again! Let’s break down the projections.
Saturday SOC: Should the Cardinals Extend Paul Goldschmidt?
Reports indicate the Cardinals are looking to extend Goldschmidt. Should they?
Winter Meeting Notes: Draft Lottery Results & A Financial Freakout
The Cardinals will pick 7th in the 2024 MLB draft. You can blame Jason Motte.
What is the Most Important Thing for the Cardinals in 2024?
The focus has been on the rotation but this club’s competitive potential rests elsewhere in 2024.
The Master Plan (Part 3): Simulating the Offseason & Final Evaluation
J. P. pretends he is John Mozeliak to figure out how to return this club to championship contention in this 3-part series.
The Master Plan (Part 2): Free Agent & Trade Targets & Tiers for the Rotation & Bullpen
J. P. pretends he is John Mozeliak to figure out how to return this club to championship contention in this 3-part series.
The Master Plan (Part 1): Settling the 40-Man Roster, Depth Chart, and Budget
J. P. pretends he is John Mozeliak to figure out how to return this club to championship contention in this 3-part series.
2024 Cardinals Projected Payroll & Budget – v1.0
A first look at the Cardinal’s projected payroll and budget for the 2024 season.
Saturday SOC: No More Half Measures
The Cardinals have a 20-win gap to return to contention. I offer a stream-of-consciousness look at the extreme commitment it will take to close that gap.
Losing with Players You Love vs. Winning Without Them
Let’s return to a hypothetical question that involves winning, losing, and our favorite players.
Wainwright and the Hall of Fame: What If?
What if we played what if with Wainwright’s career?