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ER Wk #8

Only 1 week until the first CFP rankings. Philosophically, CFP ranking methodology aligns pretty well with ER methodology (focus on on-field results/wins, de-emphasizing margin of victory, not use rankings which include a pre-season component). However, it is still humans selecting teams and the methodology includes "pedigree" and other loose terms. How they weigh between the best teams (most likely to win) vs. most deserving teams (accomplished the most this season) remains to be seen.

Week 8 highlights

  • Top 4 (CFP field) is the same as last week, albeit with FSU and UW swapping places. UM strength of schedule is still weak but the Rutgers win is looking better each week (#29 ER).
  • A few teams drop out of the top-10 with losses: PSU ("good" loss to OSU but strength of schedule took a big hit with all previous opponents going winless in week 8), NC (with a horrible home loss to Virginia) and Iowa (home loss to Minnesota).
  • Based on that, 3 undefeated G5 teams move up with victories. Probably their high-water-mark for the season as the P5 teams around them mostly have loaded back-half schedules. But, if you hated these teams being ER ranked in week 7, you probably hate it more in week 8. (Note: I believe JMU is not bowl-eligible this year still being in the FCS->FBS transition window. Not sure if they are eligible for CFP rankings)
  • Georgia stayed put with a bye. I don't see how they can crack the ER top 4 by next week so it should be very interesting where they land on the initial CFP rankings. While the AP and Coaches poll have them overwhelmingly #1 (since preseason), most of the stats-based rankings I've seen have them much lower (especially when excluding preseason factors). Great example of best vs. deserving.

Rank (last week)

Team

ER

AP

1 (1)

Michigan

1506

2

2 (2)

Oklahoma

1440

6

3 (4)

Florida State

1436

4

4 (3)

Washington

1405

5

5 (7)

Ohio State

1403

3

6 (6)

Texas

1396

7

7 (t8)

Alabama

1389

9

8 (11)

James Madison

1369

25

9 (12)

Liberty

1354

NR

10 (16)

Air Force

1292

19

11 (21)

Utah

1282

13

12 (17)

Missouri

1281

16

13 (13)

Georgia

1275

1

14 (18)

Ole Miss

1266

12

15 (14)

Notre Dame

1235

14

16 (10)

Penn State

1229

10

17 (5)

North Carolina

1228

17

18 (20)

Oregon State

1223

11

19 (22)

Oregon

1221

8

20 (NR)

Georgia State

1210

NR

21 (t8)

Iowa

1210

NR

22 (15)

USC

1200

24

23 (19)

Louisville

1198

18

24 (24)

LSU

1195

15

25 (25)

Tulane

1192

22