Basically just wanted to save my work, so we're doing a little copy/paste action.
Anyone, feel free to jump in and suggest improvements for refining the formula, or just creating a whole new one that would, at least theoretically, be a better indicator.
So, since we're sitting here talking about it and acting like assholes towards one another over it, let's do some math, shall we? The Penguins were 30th in the league with 40 PPG, 15.27%. Let's crank that # up a bit, shall we? At 15th in the league, Arizona came in at 21.99%. A difference, roughly, of 6.7%. So, we take that number, and we go back to the number of PP opportunities the Penguins had, 262. 6.7% of 262 is 17.5 goals. Alright, now... I concede that we cannot know in which games these PPGs would have been scored, so... I'll start at the very first game of the season, and for every game that the Penguins lost, I'll add the necessary # of goals to get to OT. Sound fair?
Game #1 of the season, Chicago Blackhawks, lost 4-2. Subtract 2 from 17.5, add 1 point to the Penguins season total.
Game #2 was a W.
Game #3 was a W.
Game #4, Detroit Red Wings, 6-3 loss. Subtract 3 from 15.5, add another point.
Game #5, St. Louis Blues, 4-2L. Subtract 2 from 12.5, add another point.
Game #6, Dallas Stars, 4-1L. Subtract 3 from 10.5, add another point.
Game #7, W.
Game #8, Ottawa Senators, 5-2L. Subtract 3 from 7.5, add another point.
Game #9, Anaheim Ducks, 4-3L. Subtract 1 from 4.5, add another point.
Game #10-14, W.
Game #15, New Jersey Devils, 5-2L. Subtract 3 from 3.5, add another point.
You've gained 7 points, add that to 88, puts the Penguins at 95, and into the playoffs.
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