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Search Results (853)

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Keywords = urban thermal environment

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24 pages, 42392 KiB  
Article
Investigation on Thermal Environment of Urban Slow Lane Based on Mobile Measurement Method—A Case Study of Swan Lake Area in Hefei, China
by Mengyuan Li, Taotao Shui, Linpo Shi and Ruxue Cao
Buildings 2025, 15(3), 388; https://doi.org/10.3390/buildings15030388 (registering DOI) - 26 Jan 2025
Viewed by 30
Abstract
Abstract: Numerous issues with the urban thermal environment have been brought on by the rapid development of urbanization. The thermal climate of the slow lane, a major urban activity area, is directly tied to the well-being and comfort of city dwellers. The [...] Read more.
Abstract: Numerous issues with the urban thermal environment have been brought on by the rapid development of urbanization. The thermal climate of the slow lane, a major urban activity area, is directly tied to the well-being and comfort of city dwellers. The Swan Lake area in Hefei was chosen as the research site for this paper. The mobile measurement method was used to determine the heat island intensity distribution of the slow lane in each season of the year. The effects of building density, the percentage of permeable underlying surface, and shading on the slow lane’s thermal environment were then thoroughly examined. According to the study, the distribution of heat island intensities along the mobile measurement route varies significantly depending on season, as well as time of year. Summer and winter have the most notable variations in the distribution of heat island intensities along the mobile measurement route; the summer values range from 0.1 to 4, while the winter values range from −0.3 to 3. The results showed a maximum difference of 30.2 °C in surface temperature (Ts) readings and 11.9 °C in air temperature (Ta) readings between the identical sites with and without shading, according to tests conducted at four typical mobile measurement locations along the mobile measuring route. The shading factor has a greater effect on the slow lane’s thermal environment than permeable underlying surface and building density, as seen by the standardized coefficient of shading being significantly higher than both of these factors. With a standardized coefficient of shading of −0.493 in the winter and a standardized coefficient of shading of −0.517 in the summer, the effect of the shading factor on the thermal environment is more noticeable in the summer. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Urban Climatic Suitability Design and Risk Management)
17 pages, 12454 KiB  
Article
Digital Twin Smart City Visualization with MoE-Based Personal Thermal Comfort Analysis
by Hoang-Khanh Lam, Phuoc-Dat Lam, Soo-Yol Ok and Suk-Hwan Lee
Sensors 2025, 25(3), 705; https://doi.org/10.3390/s25030705 - 24 Jan 2025
Viewed by 375
Abstract
Digital twin technology us used to create accurate virtual representations of objects or systems. Digital twins span the object’s life cycle and keep updated with real-time data. Therefore, their simulation capabilities can be combined with deep learning to create a system that simulates [...] Read more.
Digital twin technology us used to create accurate virtual representations of objects or systems. Digital twins span the object’s life cycle and keep updated with real-time data. Therefore, their simulation capabilities can be combined with deep learning to create a system that simulates scenarios, enabling analysis. As cities continue to grow and the demand for sustainable development increases, digital twin technology, combined with AI-driven analysis, will play a critical role in shaping the future of urban environments. The ability to accurately simulate and manage complex systems in real time opens up new possibilities for optimizing energy usage, reducing costs, and improving the quality of life for urban residents. In this study, a digital twin application is built to visualize a smart area in South Korea, utilizing a deep learning model for personal thermal comfort analysis, which can be useful for managing and saving building and household energy consumption. Using Cesium for Unreal, a powerful tool for integrating 3D geospatial data, and leveraging DataSmith to convert 3D data into Unreal Engine format, this study also contributes a roadmap for smart city application development, which is currently considered to be lacking. By creating a robust framework for smart city applications, this research not only addresses current challenges but also lays the groundwork for future innovations in urban planning and management. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Intelligent Sensors)
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<p>Main components of a smart city.</p>
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<p>Distribution and concentration of studies on DT-supported SCs [<a href="#B5-sensors-25-00705" class="html-bibr">5</a>].</p>
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<p>Popular thermal comfort metrics.</p>
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<p>Overview of the proposed Smart City Platform.</p>
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<p>Leveraging Cesium support in Unreal Engine.</p>
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<p>Three-dimensional houses and buildings visualized in Unreal Engine with DataSmith support.</p>
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<p>Details of house components shown by clicking (ray tracing is activated).</p>
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<p>Temperature visualization in the smart city platform.</p>
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<p>Humidity visualization in the smart city platform.</p>
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<p>Wind visualization in the smart city platform.</p>
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<p>Personal thermal comfort model structure.</p>
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<p>Overview of the connection between the personal thermal comfort model and the smart city platform.</p>
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<p>Overview of the smart city platform dashboard. Korean word in the Meta Data board means “new configuration” in English.</p>
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<p>Thermal comfort information board.</p>
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46 pages, 25878 KiB  
Review
A Review of Research Progress in Vertical Farming on Façades: Design, Technology, and Benefits
by Xuepeng Shi, Chengfei Shi, Abel Tablada, Xiaoyu Guan, Mingfeng Cui, Yangxiao Rong, Qiqi Zhang and Xudong Xie
Sustainability 2025, 17(3), 921; https://doi.org/10.3390/su17030921 - 23 Jan 2025
Viewed by 424
Abstract
The surging global population and urbanization trends present new challenges to food production systems and energy, especially in resource-limited urban environments. Vertical farming on façades (VFOF) is an innovative strategy to address this challenge by growing crops on building skins, efficiently using urban [...] Read more.
The surging global population and urbanization trends present new challenges to food production systems and energy, especially in resource-limited urban environments. Vertical farming on façades (VFOF) is an innovative strategy to address this challenge by growing crops on building skins, efficiently using urban space, increasing food self-sufficiency, and reducing the environmental impact of carbon emissions. This article is a comprehensive review of VFOF and closely related topics based on 166 journal articles. It covers the latest research advances in design, technology, social impact, and environmental benefits. In addition to enhancing the autonomy of urban food supply and improving residents’ quality of life, VFOF also has the potential to optimize the thermal performance of buildings and promote energy conservation by having some of the qualities of vertical greening systems (VGS). The planting system design and technical support factors for different façade locations are explained in detail. The symbiotic relationship between VFOF and architecture is examined to enhance sustainability. The popularity of VFOF is increasing in terms of social acceptance, and the government, together with the private sector and communities, play a vital role in promoting its development. In addition, this review also collates the cases of VFOF implementation in recent years. Research shows that the implementation of VFOF has many advantages, especially when considering future urban challenges under climate change scenarios and the need to provide solutions to achieve carbon neutral buildings and cities. Still, high initial investment, operating costs, technical complexity, security issue, policy and regulatory constraints, and public acceptance are all challenges to overcome. Further research should be carried out in the above fields. Full article
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<p>VFOF affiliations with related fields [<a href="#B17-sustainability-17-00921" class="html-bibr">17</a>].</p>
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<p>The process of article selection in the review. Source: the authors.</p>
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<p>Composite graphical representation of the co-occurrence analysis for all identified keywords. Source: the authors.</p>
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<p>Soilless cultivation method: (<b>a</b>) nutrient film technique, (<b>b</b>) aeroponics, (<b>c</b>) hydroponics, (<b>d</b>) aquaponics. Adapted from [<a href="#B114-sustainability-17-00921" class="html-bibr">114</a>,<a href="#B115-sustainability-17-00921" class="html-bibr">115</a>].</p>
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<p>Proposed phases for the implementation of VFOF. Source: the authors.</p>
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24 pages, 9488 KiB  
Article
Long-Term Spatiotemporal Heterogeneity and Influencing Factors of Remotely Sensed Regional Heat Island Effect in the Central Yunnan Urban Agglomeration
by Yunling He, Ning Pu, Xiaohua Zhang, Chunyan Wu and Wu Tang
Land 2025, 14(2), 232; https://doi.org/10.3390/land14020232 - 23 Jan 2025
Viewed by 313
Abstract
The urban heat island effect (UHI) has become a major challenge for sustainable urban development. In recent decades, the significant development of urban agglomerations has intensified the complex interaction and comprehensive impact of the UHI effect, but the spatiotemporal pattern of regional heat [...] Read more.
The urban heat island effect (UHI) has become a major challenge for sustainable urban development. In recent decades, the significant development of urban agglomerations has intensified the complex interaction and comprehensive impact of the UHI effect, but the spatiotemporal pattern of regional heat islands has been poorly understood. Based on the land surface temperature (LST) from 2001 to 2020, this study uses the relative land surface temperature (RLST) method to quantify the regional heat island (RHI) of the Central Yunnan Urban Agglomeration (CYUA) beyond a single city, combines a variety of spatial analysis tools to identify the multi-scale spatiotemporal pattern, and explores the multidimensional driving factors of RHIs. The combined effects of indicators such as urbanization intensity, blue–green space intensity (2D), and building height characteristics (3D) on the mitigation or exacerbation of RHIs are included. The results are as follows: (1) The RHI was significantly enhanced, especially during 2011–2014, when the heat island intensity and influence range expanded rapidly, especially in the core areas such as Kunming and Qujing. (2) The main urban areas of prefecture-level cities have a greater contribution to the RHI, and the intercity heat interaction further intensifies the heat island effect on county-level regions. (3) Different land cover types have different effects on RHI. The human and social factors have a positive effect on the RHI, the blue–green intensity has a strong inhibitory effect, and the cooling effect of blue space is better than that of green space. Topographic and meteorological factors have little influence. To effectively address the challenge of UHI, the CYUA must strengthen the construction of green infrastructure, optimize urban planning, promote energy conservation and emission reduction, and improve climate adaptation planning. This paper discusses the spatiotemporal variation in the heat island effect and the influencing factors from a new regional perspective, which enriches the research content of urban agglomeration thermal environment and improves the research system of the heat island effect. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Climate Adaptation Planning in Urban Areas)
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<p>Location of the Central Yunnan Urban Agglomeration in China.</p>
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<p>Framework of the study.</p>
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<p>Land surface temperature (LST) of the CYUA from 2001 to 2020.</p>
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<p>Relative land surface temperature (RLST) of the CYUA from 2001 to 2020.</p>
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<p>Annual percentage change in each RHI level in the CYUA.</p>
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<p>Annual variation in the RHI proportion in the CYUA from 2001 to 2020.</p>
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<p>The CI of each county to RHI in the CYUA from 2001 to 2020. (<b>a</b>) Proportion of RHI area in each county. (<b>b</b>) The heat island CI in each county.</p>
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<p>The SDE of the RHI for the CYUA from 2001 to 2020.</p>
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<p>Sen + MK test trend results of average RLST in the CYUA from 2001 to 2020.</p>
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<p>Land-use change map of the CYUA from 2001 to 2020.</p>
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<p>Average RLST of each land-use type and their annual variations.</p>
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<p>Pearson correlation matrix between the various indicators (**/* indicates that the correlation was significant at the 0.01/0.05 level).</p>
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<p>Linear relationship between each influencing factor and RHI area ratio.</p>
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45 pages, 3628 KiB  
Review
Towards the Necessary Decarbonization of Historic Buildings: A Review
by Manuela Almeida, Fabrizio Ascione, Anna Iaccheo, Teresa Iovane and Margherita Mastellone
Energies 2025, 18(3), 502; https://doi.org/10.3390/en18030502 - 22 Jan 2025
Viewed by 262
Abstract
The critical and urgent issue of decarbonization by 2050 needs to include the existing historical built environment in the process of energy requalification. These buildings, subjected to heritage preservation, are extremely inadequate to the modern standards of energy efficiency and thermal comfort, and [...] Read more.
The critical and urgent issue of decarbonization by 2050 needs to include the existing historical built environment in the process of energy requalification. These buildings, subjected to heritage preservation, are extremely inadequate to the modern standards of energy efficiency and thermal comfort, and they exhibit the poorest energy performance. In this study, a review of the existing scientific literature on the matter of energy renovation processes applied to historic buildings is provided. The reviewed papers, selected from scientific databases, were initially categorized according to their reference scale—either individual buildings or urban contexts. Subsequently, the papers were grouped on the basis of the main energy efficiency levels they investigated. The goal is to offer a comprehensive overview of the materials, technologies and strategies currently in use, as well as future perspectives, to aid the ecological transition and foster sustainable development, all while preserving the artistic, cultural and architectural heritage of these buildings. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section G: Energy and Buildings)
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<p>Organization of the review study.</p>
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<p>Trends of vapor partial pressure (solid line) and vapor partial saturation pressure (dotted line): external tuff wall not-retrofitted (<b>A</b>), inside thermal insulation with polystyrene panels (<b>B</b>), and inside thermal insulation with thermal plaster (<b>C</b>).</p>
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<p>Ancient building with old wooden window frames. In the circle, an example of the addition of double glass (not referred to the same building) is depicted.</p>
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<p>Piazza Roma 21 in Benevento, images from Google: (<b>A</b>) Google Street View© 2025 Google, September 2015; and (<b>B</b>) Google Earth © 2025 Google, 12 July 2023.</p>
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<p>Materials, systems and technologies commonly adopted and discussed in the scientific literature for the energy efficiency of the historical buildings.</p>
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<p>Word cloud 1: literature keywords regarding the matter of historic building retrofit (developed in WordArt online tool).</p>
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<p>Word cloud 2: literature energy efficient interventions for historic building retrofit (developed in WordArt online tool).</p>
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27 pages, 7928 KiB  
Article
A Novel Solar Rooftop Agriculture System Integrated with CNT Nanofluid Spectral Splitter for Efficient Food Production
by Wei Wei, Jiayi Luo, Yiyu Shi, Chenlei Yu, Niansi Li, Jie Ji and Bendong Yu
Buildings 2025, 15(3), 314; https://doi.org/10.3390/buildings15030314 - 21 Jan 2025
Viewed by 376
Abstract
Traditional rooftop greenhouses offer a promising solution for urban vegetable supply but have the disadvantages of overheating during the daytime and supercooling during the nighttime. To address these issues, a novel solar greenhouse system using nanofluid spectral splitting and phase change materials (NSS-PCMs) [...] Read more.
Traditional rooftop greenhouses offer a promising solution for urban vegetable supply but have the disadvantages of overheating during the daytime and supercooling during the nighttime. To address these issues, a novel solar greenhouse system using nanofluid spectral splitting and phase change materials (NSS-PCMs) was developed. In this study, a 75-day thermal environment test experiment was conducted on the novel solar greenhouse, and the growth status and nutrient composition of three typical plants were evaluated. By optimizing the greenhouse structure parameters through the model, over 80% of 300–800 nm wavelengths for vegetable photosynthesis were transmitted to the greenhouse, while the remaining spectrum was used for heat storage to maintain warmth during nighttime. The novel solar greenhouse reduced daytime temperatures by 5.2 °C and increased nighttime temperatures by 6.9 °C, reaching a maximum thermal efficiency of 53.4% compared to traditional greenhouses. The 75-day temperature detection showed that optimal temperature ranges were maintained for approximately 60 days, both during daytime and nighttime, with an 80% assurance rate. The growth rates of three vegetables in the novel solar greenhouse improved by 55%, 35%, and 40%, and the nutrient composition doubled compared to the control group. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Building Energy, Physics, Environment, and Systems)
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<p>The concept and structure diagram of a solar greenhouse with NSS-PCMs.</p>
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<p>The thermal model of the NSS-PCM system during daytime (<b>a</b>) and nighttime (<b>b</b>), the temperature difference during the daytime (<b>c</b>), and the increase in temperature difference during nighttime (<b>d</b>).</p>
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<p>The model (<b>a</b>), the digital representation (<b>b</b>) and the side (<b>c</b>) and front (<b>d</b>) of the solar greenhouse with NSS-PCMs.</p>
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<p>Model for the thermal model system.</p>
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<p>The calculation process for the thermal model system.</p>
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<p>The weather parameters (<b>a</b>), comparison of greenhouse indoor air and outside ambient temperature (<b>b</b>), the temperature of PCMs (<b>c</b>), the photothermal conversion efficiency and thermal efficiency (<b>d</b>), the heat gain of nanofluids and PCMs during daytime (<b>e</b>), and the light intensity distribution inside the greenhouse (<b>f</b>).</p>
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<p>The average transmittance of light (<b>a</b>) and transmittance at 9:00 (<b>b</b>), 12:00 (<b>c</b>), and 17:00 (<b>d</b>).</p>
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<p>The temperature of the glass cover (<b>a</b>), glass plate (<b>b</b>), aluminum plate on the inner wall of the PCM container (<b>c</b>), and the R<sup>2</sup> of other parts (<b>d</b>).</p>
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<p>Comparison of indoor air temperature (<b>a</b>), PCM temperature (<b>b</b>), thermal efficiency (<b>c</b>), and heat gain (<b>d</b>) of three different PCM layer thicknesses after optimization.</p>
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<p>Comparison of indoor air (<b>a</b>) and PCM temperature (<b>b</b>) after optimization and thermal efficiency (<b>c</b>) of the system of three different phase transition temperatures and comparison of indoor air in two solar greenhouse systems (<b>d</b>).</p>
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<p>The outdoor parameters (<b>a</b>) and comparison of indoor and outdoor air temperature of the novel greenhouse (<b>b</b>).</p>
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<p>The indoor and outdoor temperature changes of the novel rooftop greenhouse during daytime and nighttime from 16 March to 20 March (<b>a</b>), 9 April to 13 April (<b>b</b>), 29 April to 3 May (<b>c</b>), and 12 May to 16 May (<b>d</b>).</p>
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<p>Comparison of growth status (<b>a</b>) and height of purslane (<b>b</b>), asparagus (<b>c</b>), and lettuce (<b>d</b>) between experimental and control groups.</p>
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<p>The content of trace elements of purslane (<b>a</b>) and lettuce (<b>b</b>) and the organic content of purslane (<b>c</b>) and lettuce (<b>d</b>) in vegetables of the experimental and control groups.</p>
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<p>Experimental diagram of each part of the vegetable (<b>a</b>) and comparison of fresh weight (<b>b</b>), dry weight (<b>c</b>), and solid content (<b>d</b>) of each part of vegetables in the experimental and control groups.</p>
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19 pages, 31635 KiB  
Article
Reflectance and Thermal Micrometeorological Characteristics of an Urban Green Space in the Mediterranean During July’s 2023 Heatwave
by Nikolaos D. Proutsos, Alexandra D. Solomou, Stefanos P. Stefanidis and Ioannis X. Tsiros
Land 2025, 14(1), 194; https://doi.org/10.3390/land14010194 - 18 Jan 2025
Viewed by 558
Abstract
The thermal and optical behavior of different elements in the urban environment is critical for urban climate regulation and planning. This study investigates the micrometeorological conditions prevailing in an urban green space (UGS) in Greece, during the heatwave of July 2023, addressing the [...] Read more.
The thermal and optical behavior of different elements in the urban environment is critical for urban climate regulation and planning. This study investigates the micrometeorological conditions prevailing in an urban green space (UGS) in Greece, during the heatwave of July 2023, addressing the effects of various surface materials on thermal dynamics and the urban heat island (UHI) phenomenon. The research is based on ground surface temperature and albedo measurements on different materials in the UGS, in the morning and at noon, showing great temperature differences between the different types of materials. The findings highlight the complex interaction between high-albedo surfaces and surface temperature values, suggesting that the proper selection of materials can highly affect the optical and thermal behavior of the urban environment. Artificial materials absorb more heat compared to natural vegetation, leading to high surface temperature values, reaching at noon, for example, 58.9 °C for asphalt. For the natural surfaces, dry bare soil presents similar thermal behavior (64.1 °C at noon), while green surfaces had much lower temperatures (e.g., 38.3 °C for grass). Thermal comfort indices revealed that July 2023 experienced extensive “very hot” conditions, imposing the urgent need for strategic urban planning to mitigate heat impacts. The study highlights that in order to create climate-resilient environments and improve thermal comfort, it is crucial to include suitable materials and a variety of vegetation in urban design. Such insights into the complex nature of urban microclimate indicates also the issue of the careful selection of materials and plant species in urban greening initiatives to help cities face the UHI phenomenon. Full article
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<p>General map of the urban green area in the study site of Amaroussion, depicting also the meteorological station installed in the area and the different types of materials occupying the area.</p>
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<p>Diurnal distribution of (<b>a</b>) the annual hours of 2023 and (<b>b</b>) the monthly hours of July 2023 per thermal comfort categories according to the PET values in the site of Amaroussion.</p>
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<p>Hourly averages of (<b>a</b>) air temperature, (<b>b</b>) relative humidity, (<b>c</b>) wind speed, and (<b>d</b>) soil temperature during the campaign day (26 July 2023) at the urban green site of Amaroussion. The data are presented in conjunction with the July averages of the year 2023 and of the respective average of the period 2020–2023.</p>
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<p>Albedo (reflectance) values of the urban green space in Amaroussion at noon (13:00–15:00 local time).</p>
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<p>Surface temperatures (Tc) in the urban green space of Amaroussion in morning (08:30–10:30 local time) and noon (13:00–15:00 local time).</p>
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<p>Differences between surface (Tc) and air (Tair) temperatures in the urban green space of Amaroussion in morning (08:30–10:30 local time) and noon (13:00–15:00 local time).</p>
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<p>Optical and thermal photographs of the site in the morning and at noon depicting the temperature ranges of the asphalt and the paved and green surfaces of the urban green space in Amaroussion during the 26 July 2023 heatwave. Blue and red cycles indicate the minimum and maximum temperatures, whereas white cycles show the temperature at the center of the photograph.</p>
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<p>Optical and thermal photographs of the site at noon depicting the temperature ranges of the old concrete and dry soil, a human, green trees, and green surfaces of the urban green space in Amaroussion during the 26 July 2023 heatwave. Blue and red cycles indicate the minimum and maximum temperatures, whereas white cycles show the temperature at the center of the photograph.</p>
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<p>Optical and thermal photographs of the site in the morning and at noon depicting the temperature ranges of the old concrete and dry soil and green surfaces of the urban green space in Amaroussion during the 26 July 2023 heatwave. Blue and red cycles indicate the minimum and maximum temperatures, whereas white cycles show the temperature at the center of the photograph.</p>
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<p>Optical and thermal photographs of the site at noon depicting the temperature ranges of the internal paved corridors and green surfaces of the urban green space in Amaroussion during the 26 July 2023 heatwave. Blue and red cycles indicate the minimum and maximum temperatures, whereas white cycles show the temperature at the center of the photograph.</p>
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21 pages, 12342 KiB  
Article
Field Measurements of Building Air-Conditioning Heat Rejection and the Thermal Environment in Urban Areas
by Kang Mu, Qiong Suo, Fangliang Ding, Changwei Jiang, Xiaofeng Zhang and Jing Ye
Atmosphere 2025, 16(1), 100; https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos16010100 - 17 Jan 2025
Viewed by 318
Abstract
In recent years, the surge in air-conditioning ownership and usage has led to significant heat rejection, impacting the surrounding atmosphere. Despite this, studies examining the spatiotemporal effects of air-conditioning heat rejection at a block scale remain limited. Additionally, comparative studies on the role [...] Read more.
In recent years, the surge in air-conditioning ownership and usage has led to significant heat rejection, impacting the surrounding atmosphere. Despite this, studies examining the spatiotemporal effects of air-conditioning heat rejection at a block scale remain limited. Additionally, comparative studies on the role of building areas with air-conditioning systems versus natural underlying surfaces in the urban thermal environment are relatively scarce. This study employs field measurements and ArcGIS technology to investigate the local thermal and humidity environments, as well as the spatiotemporal distribution of heat rejection from air-conditioning systems in Wuyi Square, Changsha. Results show that cooling tower exhausts in commercial buildings maintain relative humidity levels of 95.2% to 99.8% during the day, enhancing surrounding humidity. At night, the humidity aligns with atmospheric levels (from 50.3% to 62.5%). The cooling tower exhaust temperature is approximately 2.2 °C lower during the day and 2.4 °C higher at night compared to the surrounding temperatures. In contrast, exhausts from split-type air-conditioning units in residential buildings have an average relative humidity about 14.2% lower than the atmosphere humidity, with temperature averages being 5.2 °C higher during the day and 6.5 °C higher at night, raising surrounding temperatures. The study also finds that natural surface areas are up to 3.1 °C cooler and 9.6% more humid compared to built environment surfaces. Furthermore, residential areas have air temperatures about 0.3 °C higher than commercial zones, with a humidity distribution approximately 0.5% lower. These findings offer a theoretical foundation for enhancing urban thermal environments and informing urban planning and design. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Biometeorology and Bioclimatology)
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<p>Study area. Case 1 denotes commercial buildings; case 2 denotes residential buildings.</p>
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<p>Regional distribution. Zones 1 to 10 represent these sub-regions.</p>
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<p>The measurement for air-conditioning heat rejection. The upper part of the picture shows the cooling tower measurement points, and the lower part of the picture shows the air-conditioning outdoor unit measurement points.</p>
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<p>Mobile route and fixed weather station locations. The four numbers denote the locations of the fixed weather stations placed in different regions. The red line denotes the track of the move.</p>
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<p>The setting of mobile measurements. The left half of the picture shows a mobile measuring platform; the right half of the picture shows a weather station.</p>
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<p>Changes in the temperature of the exhaust air from the air-conditioning system: (<b>a</b>) trends in the temperature of the exhaust air from the air-conditioning system; (<b>b</b>) range of variation in the temperature of the exhaust air from the air-conditioning system. Case 1 denotes the exhaust air temperature from the cooling towers of commercial buildings; Case 2 denotes the exhaust air temperature from the outdoor air-conditioning units of residential buildings.</p>
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<p>Changes in relative the humidity of the exhaust air from the air-conditioning system: (<b>a</b>) trends in the humidity of the exhaust air from the air-conditioning system; (<b>b</b>) range of variation in the humidity of the exhaust air from the air-conditioning system. Case 1 denotes the exhaust air relative humidity from the cooling tower of commercial buildings; Case 2 denotes the exhaust air relative humidity from the outdoor air-conditioning units of residential buildings.</p>
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<p>Linear relationship between ∆Ta and ∆T2. ∆Ta denotes the temperature difference between the outdoor unit and the atmosphere; ∆T2 denotes the temperature difference between the residential building area meteorological Station 2 and the suburban meteorological station.</p>
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<p>Linear relationship between ∆RHc and ∆RH1. ∆RHc denotes the relative humidity difference between the cooling tower and the atmosphere; ∆RH1 denotes the relative humidity difference between the commercial building area meteorological Station 1 and the suburban meteorological station.</p>
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<p>Temperature correction for mobile test data.</p>
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<p>Relative humidity correction for mobile test data.</p>
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<p>Distribution of temperature on mobile test routes. ∆T denotes the temperature differences between the mobile route and the suburban area.</p>
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<p>Distribution of relative humidity on mobile test routes. ∆RH denotes the relative humidity differences between the mobile route and the suburban area.</p>
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<p>Spatial and temporal distribution of temperature. ∆T denotes the temperature differences between the study area and the suburban area.</p>
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<p>Spatial and temporal distribution of relative humidity. ∆RH denotes the relative humidity differences between the study area and the suburban area.</p>
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<p>Average temperature and humidity difference in the neighborhood thermal environment. (<b>a</b>) Average temperature difference in the thermal environment of the neighborhood; (<b>b</b>) Average relative humidity difference in the thermal environment of the neighborhood.</p>
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15 pages, 7758 KiB  
Article
The Impact of Courtyard Spatial Characteristics Across Historical Periods on Summer Microclimates: A Case Study from China
by Qian Zhang, Xuan Ma, Duo Xu, Dian Zhou, Yujun Yang and Weile Jiang
Buildings 2025, 15(2), 224; https://doi.org/10.3390/buildings15020224 - 14 Jan 2025
Viewed by 394
Abstract
This study investigates the impact of spatial changes over a 400-year period on the summer microclimate of a residential courtyard in China. Using ENVI-met simulations, we analyze how factors such as courtyard orientation, building height, and opening positions affect the thermal environment. The [...] Read more.
This study investigates the impact of spatial changes over a 400-year period on the summer microclimate of a residential courtyard in China. Using ENVI-met simulations, we analyze how factors such as courtyard orientation, building height, and opening positions affect the thermal environment. The results show that east–west-oriented courtyards experienced 0.2–0.4 °C lower daytime temperatures compared to north–south ones. Additionally, taller surrounding buildings increased the courtyard’s average daytime temperature by approximately 0.3–0.5 °C, while courtyards with a single opening facing the prevailing wind maintained the lowest temperatures. These findings underscore the importance of historical spatial characteristics in shaping microclimates and offer key insights for contemporary urban planning. By incorporating design strategies based on these historical spatial features, such as optimizing courtyard orientation, enhancing building height variability, and creating appropriate openings for natural ventilation, urban planners can improve microclimate conditions, reduce reliance on mechanical cooling, and enhance energy efficiency. This approach not only contributes to lowering carbon emissions but also boosts resilience to extreme heat events in urban areas, especially in regions facing rapid urbanization and climate change challenges. Full article
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<p>The location of Xi’an in China.</p>
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<p>Spatial comparison models of the Ma family courtyard in different historical periods.</p>
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<p>Comparison diagram and unitary regression analysis results of measured data and simulated data.</p>
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<p>Simulated thermal environment of the Ma Family Courtyard in different periods.</p>
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<p>Simulated thermal environment at 1.5 m height of the Ma Family Courtyard in 1600.</p>
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<p>Comparison of thermal environments in courtyards with different orientations.</p>
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<p>Comparison diagram of thermal environment of courtyards with different surrounding building heights.</p>
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<p>Comparison of the thermal environments of courtyards with different opening positions.</p>
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25 pages, 14621 KiB  
Article
Thermal Environmental Impact of Urban Development Scenarios from a Low Carbon Perspective: A Case Study of Wuhan
by Kai Lin, Qingming Zhan, Wei Xue, Yulong Shu and Yixiao Lu
Buildings 2025, 15(2), 208; https://doi.org/10.3390/buildings15020208 - 12 Jan 2025
Viewed by 598
Abstract
Amidst the increasingly escalating global concern regarding climate change, adopting a low-carbon approach has become crucial for charting the future developmental trajectory of urban areas. It also offers a novel angle for cities to avoid high-temperature risks. This paper estimates carbon emissions in [...] Read more.
Amidst the increasingly escalating global concern regarding climate change, adopting a low-carbon approach has become crucial for charting the future developmental trajectory of urban areas. It also offers a novel angle for cities to avoid high-temperature risks. This paper estimates carbon emissions in Wuhan City from both direct and indirect aspects. Then, the ANN (artificial neural network)–CA (Cellular Automata) model is employed to establish three distinct development scenarios (Ecological Priority, Tight Growth, and Natural Growth) to predict future urban expansion. Additionally, the WRF (Weather Research and Forecasting Model)—UCM (Urban Canopy Model) model is used to investigate the thermal environmental impacts of varying urban development scenarios. This study uses a low-carbon perspective to explore how cities can develop scientifically sound urban strategies to meet climate change challenges and achieve sustainable development goals. The conclusions are as follows: (1) The net carbon emission for Wuhan in 2022 is estimated to be approximately 20.8353 million tonnes. Should the city maintain an average annual emission reduction rate of 10%, the carbon sink capacity of Wuhan would need to be enhanced by 382,200 tonnes by 2060. (2) In the absence of anthropogenic influence, there is a propensity for the urban construction zone of Wuhan to expand primarily towards the southeast and western sectors. (3) The Ecological Priority (EP) and Tight Growth (TG) scenarios are effective in alleviating the urban thermal environment, achieving a reduction of 0.88% and 2.48%, respectively, in the urban heat island index during afternoon hours. In contrast, the Natural Growth (NG) scenario results in a degradation of the urban thermal environment, with a significant increase of over 4% in the urban heat island index during the morning and evening periods. (4) An overabundance of urban green spaces and water bodies could exacerbate the urban heat island effect during the early morning and at night. The findings of this study enhance the comprehension of the climatic implications associated with various urban development paradigms and are instrumental in delineating future trajectories for low-carbon sustainable urban development models. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue New Challenges in Digital City Planning)
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<p>Location of Wuhan City and distribution of urban thermal environment. Areas within the urban built-up area where the temperature difference is greater than 2 °C compared to the suburbs are considered heat island areas. Areas with a temperature difference of less than 2 °C are considered cold island areas.</p>
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<p>Research framework and technical route of this study.</p>
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<p>Spatial constraint factors used for scenario prediction.</p>
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<p>The range and location relationship of the three domains. Urban blue-green spaces are areas within cities that include water bodies and vegetation. Domain refers to the specific geographical area and the grid system defined for numerical weather prediction simulations.</p>
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<p>Comparison of daily temperature change and WRF-UCM simulation in Wuhan Meteorological Station (Jiangxia, Caidian and Huangpi). This figure verifies the error between simulation results and observation results by presenting the trend of temperature changes.</p>
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<p>Measurement and prediction results of carbon emission in Wuhan. (<b>a</b>) Correlation analysis of carbon emissions in land use type. (<b>b</b>) Carbon emission measurement results in historical years. (<b>c</b>) Forecast results of carbon emission in future years.</p>
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<p>Comparison of land use distribution and scale in 2015 and future scenarios. (<b>a</b>) Land use distribution in various development scenarios; (<b>b</b>) the quantitative structure of land use in various development scenarios.</p>
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<p>Temperature curve and temperature difference curve. (<b>a</b>) Air temperature, (<b>b</b>) air temperature difference, (<b>c</b>) surface temperature, (<b>d</b>) surface temperature difference.</p>
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<p>Temperature difference field and wind difference field at 6:00.</p>
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<p>Temperature difference field and wind difference field at 16:00.</p>
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<p>Urban heat island intensity in the simulated region. This figure is obtained by processing the surface temperature data output by WRF-UCM through the NCAR Command Language (NCL). It shows the heat island intensity of various urban scenarios at four different times throughout the day: early morning, morning, afternoon, and night.</p>
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<p>The energy curves and difference curves of SWDOWN, HFX, LH, and GRDFLX.</p>
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22 pages, 5691 KiB  
Article
Optimizing Thermal Comfort in Urban Squares of Hot-Humid Regions: A Case Study Considering Tree Growth, Species, and Planting Intervals
by Yixuan Xiao, Yong Huang and Xinchen Pan
Atmosphere 2025, 16(1), 63; https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos16010063 - 9 Jan 2025
Viewed by 433
Abstract
The worsening urban thermal environment has become a critical challenge in many cities. Trees, as vital components of urban green spaces, provide multiple ecosystem services, especially in improving the microclimate. However, limited studies address how morphological changes during tree growth influence their cooling [...] Read more.
The worsening urban thermal environment has become a critical challenge in many cities. Trees, as vital components of urban green spaces, provide multiple ecosystem services, especially in improving the microclimate. However, limited studies address how morphological changes during tree growth influence their cooling benefits. This study combined the tree growth model with ENVI-met to simulate 27 scenarios in a subtropical urban square, considering three planting intervals, three urban tree species, and three growth stages to evaluate their daytime thermal impacts. The key findings include: (1) Tree size and planting intervals are more important than tree quantity in enhancing thermal comfort. (2) Reducing intervals by 2 m enhances cooling effects but minimally affects PET (physiological equivalent temperature). (3) Increasing DBH (diameter at breast height) significantly improves cooling. For every 10 cm increase in DBH, Michelia alba, Mangifera indica, and Ficus microcarpa L. f. reduced solar radiation by 19.54, 18.09, and 34.50 W/m2, and mean radiant temperature by 0.61 °C, 0.68 °C, and 1.35 °C, respectively, while decreasing PET by 0.23 °C, 0.23 °C, and 0.46 °C. These findings provide empirical evidence and practical recommendations for designing comfortable open spaces in subtropical cities. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Biometeorology and Bioclimatology)
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<p>(<b>a</b>) Aerial view of the study area, (<b>b</b>) measurement points, and (<b>c</b>) ENVI-met modeling of the study area.</p>
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<p>Meteorological parameters used in ENVI-met simulations and validations. The vertical axes of the subgraphs represent the following parameters: SR<sub>dir</sub> (direct solar radiation, W/m<sup>2</sup>), SR<sub>dif</sub> (diffuse solar radiation, W/m<sup>2</sup>), LR (longwave radiation emitted by the sky, W/m<sup>2</sup>), Ta (air temperature, °C), RH (relative humidity, %), and Va (wind speed, m/s).</p>
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<p>ENVI-met validation results. The first and second rows of subgraphs depict the comparison between measured and simulated values at Point 1 and Point 2, respectively. The x-axis of each subgraph represents the measured values, while the y-axis represents the ENVI-met simulated values.</p>
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<p>Solar radiation difference (ΔSR) compared to no-tree scenario (Case_0) for different tree species, planting intervals, and DBH: (<b>a</b>) for planting MA (<span class="html-italic">Michelia alba</span>), (<b>b</b>) for planting MI (<span class="html-italic">Mangifera indica</span>), and (<b>c</b>) for planting FM (<span class="html-italic">Ficus microcarpa</span> L. <span class="html-italic">f.</span>).</p>
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<p>Cooling effect (ΔTa) compared to the no-tree scenario (Case_0) for different tree species, planting intervals, and DBH: (<b>a</b>) for planting MA (<span class="html-italic">Michelia alba</span>), (<b>b</b>) for planting MI (<span class="html-italic">Mangifera indica</span>), and (<b>c</b>) for planting FM (<span class="html-italic">Ficus microcarpa</span> L. <span class="html-italic">f.</span>).</p>
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<p>Humidifying effect (ΔRH) compared to the no-tree scenario (Case_0) for different tree species, planting intervals, and DBH: (<b>a</b>) for planting MA (<span class="html-italic">Michelia alba</span>), (<b>b</b>) for planting MI (<span class="html-italic">Mangifera indica</span>), and (<b>c</b>) for planting FM (<span class="html-italic">Ficus microcarpa</span> L. <span class="html-italic">f.</span>).</p>
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<p>Mean radiant temperature reduction (ΔMRT) compared to the no-tree scenario (Case_0) for different tree species, planting intervals, and DBH: (<b>a</b>) for planting MA (<span class="html-italic">Michelia alba</span>), (<b>b</b>) for planting MI (<span class="html-italic">Mangifera indica</span>), and (<b>c</b>) for planting FM (<span class="html-italic">Ficus microcarpa</span> L. <span class="html-italic">f.</span>).</p>
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<p>Variation in daytime (local time 8:00–18:00) average PET values in different scenarios.</p>
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<p>Effects of tree species and planting intervals on the reduction in physiological equivalent temperature (ΔPET) under different DBH conditions: (<b>a</b>) effect of tree species and (<b>b</b>) effect of planting intervals.</p>
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24 pages, 35926 KiB  
Article
Influence of Urban Commercial Street Interface Morphology on Surrounding Wind Environment and Thermal Comfort
by Yijie Zhang and Bin Huang
Atmosphere 2025, 16(1), 53; https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos16010053 - 7 Jan 2025
Viewed by 382
Abstract
In recent climate-adaptive design strategies, there has been a growing interest in creating healthy and comfortable urban microclimates. However, not enough attention has been paid to the influence of street interface morphology in order to better understand the wind–thermal conditions of various commercial [...] Read more.
In recent climate-adaptive design strategies, there has been a growing interest in creating healthy and comfortable urban microclimates. However, not enough attention has been paid to the influence of street interface morphology in order to better understand the wind–thermal conditions of various commercial streets within the city and create a sustainable built environment. This research summarizes and categorizes commercial streets according to their functions and types of attributes and then abstracts the ideal models of three types of typical commercial streets to explore the effects of changes in specific morphological parameters on their wind–thermal environments. Firstly, this study selects out design parameters that affect the street interface morphology. Then, it uses the numerical simulation software PHOENICS2019 to simulate and investigate the effects of three types of typical commercial street interface morphology on their wind environment and thermal comfort. The results show that (1) in neighborhood-commercial streets, reducing void ratio and variance of height fluctuations can enhance the average wind speed of the street while reducing average temperature and improving the thermal comfort; (2) in business-office streets, the value of the void ratio is negatively correlated with the wind environment and thermal comfort, while the changes in the variance of height fluctuations and the average aspect ratio are positively correlated; and (3) in comprehensive-commercial streets, the decrease of the void ratio will reduce the average wind speed of its street and increase the average temperature, thus weakening the thermal comfort of pedestrians. In contrast, the variance of height fluctuations as well as the average aspect ratio do not significantly affect its wind–thermal environment. These conclusions from this research provide a theoretical basis and methodological reference for the creation of safer, resilient and sustainable built environments. Full article
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<p>Schematic diagram of void ratio.</p>
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<p>Schematic diagram of changes in variance of height fluctuations.</p>
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<p>Schematic diagram of average aspect ratio.</p>
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<p>Schematic diagram of the ideal model of a neighborhood-commercial street.</p>
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<p>Schematic diagram of the ideal model of a business-office street.</p>
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<p>Schematic diagram of the ideal model of a comprehensive-commercial street.</p>
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<p>Map of wind speed on three types of commercial streets corresponding to changes in void ratio.</p>
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<p>Map of air temperature on three types of commercial streets corresponding to changes in void ratio.</p>
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<p>Map of PMV on three types of commercial streets corresponding to changes in void ratio.</p>
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<p>Mean values of wind speed, temperature and PMV at pedestrian heights for three types of commercial streets.</p>
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<p>Map of wind speed on three types of commercial streets corresponding to changes in variance of height fluctuations.</p>
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<p>Map of air temperature on three types of commercial streets corresponding to changes in variance of height fluctuations.</p>
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<p>Map of PMV on three types of commercial streets corresponding to changes in variance of height fluctuations.</p>
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<p>Mean values of wind speed, temperature and PMV at pedestrian heights for three types of commercial streets.</p>
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<p>Map of wind speed on three types of commercial streets corresponding to changes in average aspect ratio.</p>
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<p>Map of air temperature on three types of commercial streets corresponding to changes in average aspect ratio.</p>
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<p>Map of PMV on three types of commercial streets corresponding to changes in average aspect ratio.</p>
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<p>Mean values of wind speed, temperature and PMV at pedestrian heights for three types of commercial streets.</p>
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24 pages, 21981 KiB  
Article
Tourism-Induced Land Use Transformations, Urbanisation, and Habitat Degradation in the Phu Quoc Special Economic Zone
by Can Trong Nguyen, Nigel K. Downes, Asamaporn Sitthi and Chudech Losiri
Urban Sci. 2025, 9(1), 11; https://doi.org/10.3390/urbansci9010011 - 6 Jan 2025
Viewed by 1059
Abstract
Dynamic development of tourism activities and rapid urbanisation in Special Economic Zones (SEZs) can lead to significant land use and land cover changes (LULCCs) and environmental degradation, particularly in ecologically sensitive areas. This study examines the transformation of land use and its associated [...] Read more.
Dynamic development of tourism activities and rapid urbanisation in Special Economic Zones (SEZs) can lead to significant land use and land cover changes (LULCCs) and environmental degradation, particularly in ecologically sensitive areas. This study examines the transformation of land use and its associated impacts on habitat quality and thermal environment in Phu Quoc Island (Vietnam) over a 20-year period (2003–2023). Using multi-temporal Landsat satellite imagery and random forest classification, we quantify LULCCs and assess the environmental consequences of urban expansion on habitat degradation and intensification of the island’s thermal environment, focusing on land surface temperature (LST) changes. Our analysis reveals that rapid urbanisation, driven by large-scale tourism and infrastructure developments, has led to a significant loss of forest and farmland, leading to a 5.6% decline in habitat quality and a marked increase in LST. The study also highlights the uneven distribution of urban growth, with the majority of expansion occurring in the southern and central regions of the island. By applying the InVEST Habitat Quality Model, we identify key zones of habitat degradation and offer insights into the spatial patterns of environmental sensitivity and changes. Our findings underscore the need for integrated land use planning and sustainable development strategies to mitigate the negative environmental impacts of SEZ-driven urbanisation on island ecosystems. This research provides critical guidance for policymakers, planners, and environmental managers to balance economic growth with environmental conservation in fragile island environments. Full article
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<p>Maps illustrating the characteristics of Phu Quoc Island. (<b>A</b>) Phu Quoc is located in southwest Vietnam within the Gulf of Thailand. (<b>B</b>) Zoning development map of Phu Quoc defining twelve subdivision zones and highlighting the main urban centre of Duong Dong town and key supporting infrastructures. (<b>C</b>) Cloud-free composite image from Landsat 9 in 2023 of the entire Phu Quoc mainland (false colour composite: SWIR/NIR/Blue). R0–R12 are subdivisions in <a href="#urbansci-09-00011-t001" class="html-table">Table 1</a>.</p>
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<p>Spatial distribution of LULC categories in Phu Quoc from 2003 to 2023. R0–R11 are subdivisions in <a href="#urbansci-09-00011-t001" class="html-table">Table 1</a>.</p>
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<p>Converted areas between LULC categories for the periods 2003–2013 and 2013–2023. Vertical LULC categories are current LULC at the end of the period. Negative converted area and positive converted area are LUCC loss and gain, respectively.</p>
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<p>Simulated habitat quality in Phu Quoc in each year (<b>top panel</b>) and habitat quality changes over each ten-year period (<b>bottom panel</b>). R0–R11 are subdivisions in <a href="#urbansci-09-00011-t001" class="html-table">Table 1</a>.</p>
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<p>LST changes in Phu Quoc for each ten-year period classified in major intervals. R0–R11 are subdivisions in <a href="#urbansci-09-00011-t001" class="html-table">Table 1</a>.</p>
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<p>Relationships between (<b>A</b>) habitat quality and (<b>B</b>) thermal environment changes (LST, °C) and potential controlling factors. Vertical axes are HQ changes and LST changes, and horizontal axes are values of corresponding variables.</p>
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<p>Heatmap of tourist and attractive locations with colour shades from blue to red represents low to high density of tourist locations ((<b>left</b>), locations were extracted from Open Street Map) compared to current thermal environment changes (<b>middle</b>) and habitat quality (<b>right</b>). Current conditions of thermal environment in 2013–2023 and habitat quality in 2023 extracted from <a href="#urbansci-09-00011-f004" class="html-fig">Figure 4</a> and <a href="#urbansci-09-00011-f005" class="html-fig">Figure 5</a>.</p>
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<p>Examples from Google Earth: high-resolution images highlight the dynamics of LULCC and interconversion between LULC categories—(<b>A</b>–<b>D</b>) urban development and regreening on barren/construction lands and (<b>E</b>–<b>G</b>) wetland changes on Phu Quoc Island during the study period.</p>
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30 pages, 2462 KiB  
Article
Research on the Thermal Comfort Experience of Metro Passengers Under Sustainable Transportation: Theory of Stimulus-Organism-Response Integration with a Technology Acceptance Model
by Tao Zou, Jiawei Guan, Yuhui Wang, Fangyuan Zheng, Yuwen Lin and Yifan Zhao
Sustainability 2025, 17(1), 362; https://doi.org/10.3390/su17010362 - 6 Jan 2025
Viewed by 572
Abstract
(1) Background: Metro is an important part of urban transportation, carrying huge passenger volume every day. With improvements in people’s living standards, passengers’ demand for a comfortable Metro experience is increasing. In the context of urban development, maintaining a good thermal comfort level [...] Read more.
(1) Background: Metro is an important part of urban transportation, carrying huge passenger volume every day. With improvements in people’s living standards, passengers’ demand for a comfortable Metro experience is increasing. In the context of urban development, maintaining a good thermal comfort level of Metro cars is not only conducive to providing a comfortable and healthy environment for passengers, but also has great significance for reducing energy consumption and sustainable urban transportation development. This study provides empirical evidence for Metro design and operation strategies, aiming at creating a safer and more comfortable passenger experience. (2) Methods: By combining passengers’ comfort perception (cognitive value of thermal environment) and rideability perception (confidence in thermal comfort control), this study established a correlation model between thermal comfort and passenger unsafe behavior, namely the integration of SOR (Stimulus-Organism-Response) and TAM (Technology Acceptance Model). This study used methods such as field surveys, structural equation modeling, and reliability and validity analyses to investigate the impact of Metro thermal comfort on passenger behavior safety. (3) Results: This study found that the Metro thermal environment, including temperature, humidity, and airflow velocity, significantly affects passengers’ comfort perception and behavior choices. (4) Conclusions: Passengers may exhibit avoidance behavior in uncomfortable thermal environments, leading to uneven distribution of people in the train car and increasing safety risks. Improving Metro thermal environments can effectively enhance passengers’ perceived comfort and reduce unsafe behavior motivation, which is of great significance for safe Metro operations. Full article
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<p>Modeling behavioral responses to passenger thermal comfort.</p>
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<p>Confirmatory Factor Analysis (CFA) model diagram for questionnaire.</p>
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<p>SEM diagram of passenger thermal comfort response behavior questionnaire for Metro passengers.</p>
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22 pages, 2254 KiB  
Article
LSN-GTDA: Learning Symmetrical Network via Global Thermal Diffusion Analysis for Pedestrian Trajectory Prediction in Unmanned Aerial Vehicle Scenarios
by Ling Mei, Mingyu Fu, Bingjie Wang, Lvxiang Jia, Mingyu Yu, Yu Zhang and Lijun Zhang
Remote Sens. 2025, 17(1), 154; https://doi.org/10.3390/rs17010154 - 4 Jan 2025
Viewed by 745
Abstract
The integration of pedestrian movement analysis with Unmanned Aerial Vehicle (UAV)-based remote sensing enables comprehensive monitoring and a deeper understanding of human dynamics within urban environments, thereby facilitating the optimization of urban planning and public safety strategies. However, human behavior inherently involves uncertainty, [...] Read more.
The integration of pedestrian movement analysis with Unmanned Aerial Vehicle (UAV)-based remote sensing enables comprehensive monitoring and a deeper understanding of human dynamics within urban environments, thereby facilitating the optimization of urban planning and public safety strategies. However, human behavior inherently involves uncertainty, particularly in the prediction of pedestrian trajectories. A major challenge lies in modeling the multimodal nature of these trajectories, including varying paths and targets. Current methods often lack a theoretical framework capable of fully addressing the multimodal uncertainty inherent in trajectory predictions. To tackle this, we propose a novel approach that models uncertainty from two distinct perspectives: (1) the behavioral factor, which reflects historical motion patterns of pedestrians, and (2) the stochastic factor, which accounts for the inherent randomness in future trajectories. To this end, we introduce a global framework named LSN-GTDA, which consists of a pair of symmetrical U-Net networks. This framework symmetrically distributes the semantic segmentation and trajectory prediction modules, enhancing the overall functionality of the network. Additionally, we propose a novel thermal diffusion process, based on signal and system theory, which manages uncertainty by utilizing the full response and providing interpretability to the network. Experimental results demonstrate that the LSN-GTDA method outperforms state-of-the-art approaches on benchmark datasets such as SDD and ETH-UCY, validating its effectiveness in addressing the multimodal uncertainty of pedestrian trajectory prediction. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Remote Sensing Image Processing)
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<p>Illustration of the research process for pedestrian trajectory prediction from a UAV perspective. (<b>a</b>) Multi-modality of the trajectory prediction; (<b>b</b>) the behavioral factor in the prediction over the target nodes of the zero-input response; (<b>c</b>) the stochastic factor over the path nodes of the zero-state response; (<b>d</b>) the thermal distribution in the prediction; (<b>e</b>) each color indicates predicted trajectories for different target modality. The pentacle and triangle symbols mean the targets and nodes in a trajectory, respectively.</p>
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<p>The framework of the proposed LSN-GTDA pedestrian trajectory prediction method. LSN-GTDA comprises a scene segmentation module and a trajectory heatmap module, which constitutes symmetrical U-Net architectures including both target and trajectory branches. The decoding output uses the global thermal diffusion process including zero-input and zero-state response to predict the future trajectory, and TMSS and PNMSS are used to handle the target and path diversity of multimodality, respectively.</p>
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<p>Visualization of the proposed LSN-GTDA pedestrian trajectory prediction method on SDD. (<b>a</b>) Historical path nodes and the motion target marked as a yellow star; (<b>b</b>) diverse waypoint distribution; (<b>c</b>) resulting waypoint distribution; (<b>d</b>) the predicted trajectory result to the goal.</p>
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<p>A structural diagram of the TMSS and PNMSS strategy in the proposed global thermal diffusion process. Different colors and lines denote diverse prediction modalities.</p>
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<p>Visualization of predicted trajectories compared with the state-of-the-art on the ETH-UCY dataset.</p>
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<p>Benchmarking performance against time horizons.</p>
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<p>Evolution performance of two multimodal uncertainty parameters for the proposed LSN-GTDA on the SDD long-term benchmark. We fix the amount of the target modality (<math display="inline"><semantics> <msub> <mi>M</mi> <mi>b</mi> </msub> </semantics></math>) to observe the effect of the multi-modality path.</p>
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