[go: up one dir, main page]
More Web Proxy on the site http://driver.im/
You seem to have javascript disabled. Please note that many of the page functionalities won't work as expected without javascript enabled.
 
 
Sign in to use this feature.

Years

Between: -

Subjects

remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline

Journals

remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline

Article Types

Countries / Regions

remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline

Search Results (1,385)

Search Parameters:
Keywords = re-visitation study

Order results
Result details
Results per page
Select all
Export citation of selected articles as:
23 pages, 515 KiB  
Article
Key Factors and Configuration Analysis of Improving Tourist Loyalty in Forest Park: Evidence from Yingde National Forest Park, South China
by Hongxian Zhang, Rui Yang, Ladan Gui and Qingsheng Yang
Forests 2025, 16(3), 463; https://doi.org/10.3390/f16030463 - 5 Mar 2025
Abstract
Tourist perceived value is an important antecedent to loyalty by enhancing satisfaction, revisiting intentions, and recommendations, thereby promoting sustainable development of forest parks. However, existing research has not sufficiently examined the configurations of perceived value in relation to increasing tourist loyalty specifically in [...] Read more.
Tourist perceived value is an important antecedent to loyalty by enhancing satisfaction, revisiting intentions, and recommendations, thereby promoting sustainable development of forest parks. However, existing research has not sufficiently examined the configurations of perceived value in relation to increasing tourist loyalty specifically in the context of forest parks, representing a notable gap in the existing literature that requires further investigation. To address this gap, both covariance-based structural equation model (CB-SEM) and fuzzy-set qualitative comparative analysis (fsQCA) models were conducted to explore the joint effects of perceived value on tourist loyalty and identify pathways of perceived value dimensions to increase tourist loyalty, based on the Value-Satisfaction-Loyalty Chain model. A total of 404 valid questionnaires were collected from 436 visitors to the Yingde National Forest Park in southern China. Among the respondents, 54.2% were male, nearly 50% were over 36 years old, and 60% held a university degree. The results indicate that perceived value significantly influences tourist loyalty, with satisfaction playing a crucial mediating role between perceived value and loyalty. Notably, the indirect effect mediated by satisfaction was found to be greater than the direct effect of perceived value on loyalty. Five distinct pathways were identified for enhancing tourist loyalty, categorized into three models: the economic value-driven model, the functional value and epistemic value dual-core driven model, and the emotional and social value dual-core driven model. Additionally, four pathways were identified for enhancing tourist satisfaction, which subsequently improves tourist loyalty. These four pathways were grouped into two modes: the economic value-driven model and the functional value plus driven model. This study introduces an innovative perspective on the relationship between tourist perceived value and loyalty in forest parks, identifying key factors and configurations within the five dimensions of perceived value that enhance both tourist loyalty and satisfaction. Moreover, it extends the application of the Value-Satisfaction-Loyalty Chain theory to a forest park context. The findings provide valuable insights for forest park managers, guiding them in enhancing perceived value through targeted pathways to increase tourist revisit intentions and recommendations, ultimately supporting the park’s sustainable development. The influence of individual items on tourist satisfaction and loyalty, along with the identification of optimal item combinations to enhance loyalty, necessitates further investigation. Furthermore, a deeper exploration of the heterogeneity of factors and pathways for improving tourist loyalty is required. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Forest Economics, Policy, and Social Science)
15 pages, 3129 KiB  
Article
Evaluating Modeling Approaches for Phytoplankton Productivity in Estuaries
by Reed Hoshovsky, Frances Wilkerson, Alexander Parker and Richard Dugdale
Water 2025, 17(5), 747; https://doi.org/10.3390/w17050747 - 4 Mar 2025
Viewed by 30
Abstract
Phytoplankton comprise the base of the food web in estuaries and their biomass and rates of growth (productivity) exert a bottom-up control in pelagic ecosystems. Reliable means to quantify biomass and productivity are crucial for managing estuarine ecosystems. In many estuaries, direct productivity [...] Read more.
Phytoplankton comprise the base of the food web in estuaries and their biomass and rates of growth (productivity) exert a bottom-up control in pelagic ecosystems. Reliable means to quantify biomass and productivity are crucial for managing estuarine ecosystems. In many estuaries, direct productivity measurements are rare and instead are estimated with biomass-based models. A seminal example of this is a light utilization model (LUM) used to predict productivity in the San Francisco Estuary and Delta (SFED) from long timeseries data using an efficiency factor, ψ. Applications of the LUM in the SFED, Chesapeake Bay, and the Dutch Scheldt Estuary highlight significant interannual and regional variability, indicating the model must be recalibrated often. The objectives of this study are to revisit the LUM approach in the SFED and assess a chlorophyll-a to carbon model (CCM) that produces a tuning parameter, Ω. To assess the estimates of primary productivity resulting from the models, productivity was directly measured with a 13C-tracer at nine locations during 22 surveys using field-derived phytoplankton incubations between March and November of 2023. For this study, ψ was determined to be 0.42 ± 0.02 (r2 = 0.89, p < 0.001, CI95 = 319). Modeling productivity using an alternative CCM approach (Ω = 3.47 × 104 ± 1.7 × 103, r2 = 0.84, p < 0.001, CI95 = 375) compared well to the LUM approach, expanding the toolbox for estuarine researchers to cross-examine productivity models. One practical application of this study is that it confirms an observed decline in ψ, suggesting a decline in light utilization by phytoplankton in the SFED. This highlights the importance of occasionally recalibrating productivity models in estuaries and leveraging multiple modeling approaches to validate estimations before application in ecological management decision making. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Biodiversity and Functionality of Aquatic Ecosystems)
Show Figures

Figure 1

Figure 1
<p>Map of the study region (<b>A</b>) showing the two main subregions, major rivers, and station locations where samples were collected. Large sub-embayments of the San Francisco Estuary and Delta are shown in subset map (<b>B</b>). The study region is shown in relation to the state of California, USA, in subset map (<b>C</b>).</p>
Full article ">Figure 2
<p>Regional averaged timeseries for the Yolo Bypass and the northern San Francisco Estuary versus month in 2023 of (<b>A</b>) silicate (SiO<sub>3</sub>), (<b>B</b>) phosphate (PO<sub>4</sub>), (<b>C</b>) nitrate (NO<sub>3</sub>), (<b>D</b>) ammonium (NH<sub>4</sub>), and (<b>E</b>) dissolved inorganic carbon (DIC) all in µM.</p>
Full article ">Figure 3
<p>Daily regional averages for the Yolo Bypass and the northern San Francisco Estuary versus month of (<b>A</b>) biomass, <span class="html-italic">B</span> in mg-Chl m<sup>−3</sup>, (<b>B</b>) C<sub>p</sub> in mg-C m<sup>−3</sup>, (<b>C</b>) ambient photosynthetically active radiation (PAR), <span class="html-italic">E<sub>o</sub></span> as in E m<sup>−2</sup> d<sup>−1</sup>, (<b>D</b>) photic zone depth, <span class="html-italic">Z<sub>p</sub></span> in meters (note: reversed axis), and (<b>E</b>) water temperature in °C.</p>
Full article ">Figure 4
<p>Daily regional averages for the daily regional averages for the Yolo Bypass and the northern San Francisco Estuary of (<b>A</b>) primary productivity, <span class="html-italic">PN<sub>pd</sub></span> in mg-C m<sup>−2</sup> d<sup>−1</sup>, (<b>B</b>) composite parameter, <span class="html-italic">BE<sub>o</sub>Z<sub>p</sub></span> in E mg-Chl m<sup>−4</sup> d<sup>−1</sup>, and (<b>C</b>) ratio <span class="html-italic">B</span>:<span class="html-italic">C<sub>p</sub></span> in units of mg-Chl (mg-C)<sup>−1</sup>.</p>
Full article ">Figure 5
<p>Results of the two modeling approaches, LUM (<b>A</b>) and CCM (<b>B</b>). Summary statistics are shown in the bottom right as text.</p>
Full article ">Figure 6
<p>Monthly averaged PN<sub>pd</sub> from observations made in 2023 in this study and model estimates versus month (<b>top</b>) using ψ reported in 1997 [<a href="#B5-water-17-00747" class="html-bibr">5</a>]—LUM1997, ψ from this study (<a href="#water-17-00747-f005" class="html-fig">Figure 5</a>A)—LUM 2023, and Ω from this study (<a href="#water-17-00747-f005" class="html-fig">Figure 5</a>B)—CCM 2023. Model residuals plotted against the CI<sub>95</sub> error bars for each monthly average (<b>bottom</b>).</p>
Full article ">
17 pages, 602 KiB  
Systematic Review
From Rash Decisions to Critical Conditions: A Systematic Review of Dermatological Presentations in Emergency Departments
by Abdullah S. Algarni, Safinaz M. Alshiakh, Sara M. Alghamdi, Mohammed A. Alahmadi, Abdulah W. Bokhari, Samar N. Aljubayri, Waad M. Almutairy, Najwa M. Alfahmi and Ramy Samargandi
Diagnostics 2025, 15(5), 614; https://doi.org/10.3390/diagnostics15050614 - 4 Mar 2025
Viewed by 91
Abstract
Background: Dermatological emergencies are critical conditions requiring immediate attention due to their potential to escalate into life-threatening scenarios. Accurate diagnosis and timely management are essential to prevent severe complications, including systemic involvement and mortality. This systematic review summarizes findings on dermatological emergencies in [...] Read more.
Background: Dermatological emergencies are critical conditions requiring immediate attention due to their potential to escalate into life-threatening scenarios. Accurate diagnosis and timely management are essential to prevent severe complications, including systemic involvement and mortality. This systematic review summarizes findings on dermatological emergencies in emergency departments (EDs), focusing on diagnostic accuracy, hospitalization rates, systemic complications, and management strategies. Methods: A systematic literature review of studies on dermatological emergencies was conducted, encompassing 24 prospective and retrospective cohort studies, cross-sectional studies, and descriptive analyses. The review included diverse patient populations, examining dermatological presentations, diagnostic methods, treatment strategies, hospitalization rates, and adverse outcomes. Key outcome measures such as diagnostic accuracy, complications, mortality rates, and re-visit frequencies were analyzed. Results: The studies revealed high diagnostic accuracy, particularly in in-person evaluations, with teledermatology showing slightly lower but reliable rates. Systemic complications, including severe drug reactions, bacterial infections, and autoimmune diseases, were common causes of hospitalization. Mortality rates varied, with conditions such as toxic epidermal necrolysis showing the highest risk. Hospitalization rates averaged 4.52%, and re-visit rates ranged from 1% to 6.5%. The results also highlighted the impact of environmental factors and seasonal trends on dermatological presentations. Conclusions: Dermatological emergencies pose significant challenges in emergency care. High diagnostic accuracy and effective management strategies are crucial in preventing severe outcomes. Timely diagnosis, careful management of systemic complications, and teledermatology play critical roles in improving care. Future research should focus on standardized management protocols, telemedicine applications, and the influence of environmental and demographic factors to enhance patient outcomes. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Clinical Diagnosis and Prognosis)
Show Figures

Figure 1

Figure 1
<p>The PRISMA figures showing the steps to choose the studies for systematic review.</p>
Full article ">
13 pages, 2708 KiB  
Article
Changes in the Composition and Richness of Epiphytic Macrolichens Within Cluj-Napoca City (Romania) Between 2000 and 2024
by Florin Crișan, Dan Gafta and Irina Goia
J. Zool. Bot. Gard. 2025, 6(1), 14; https://doi.org/10.3390/jzbg6010014 - 3 Mar 2025
Viewed by 157
Abstract
The present study is based on a follow-up of a survey carried out in 2000, consisting in the revisitation of ten sites, with the scope of assessing changes in the composition and richness of epiphytic macrolichens within Cluj-Napoca city over the past 24 [...] Read more.
The present study is based on a follow-up of a survey carried out in 2000, consisting in the revisitation of ten sites, with the scope of assessing changes in the composition and richness of epiphytic macrolichens within Cluj-Napoca city over the past 24 years. Within this period most of the polluting factories from the city outskirts were closed but in turn, the number of registered cars increased almost six-fold. An increasing compositional homogenization by contribution of generalist, stress-tolerant species was detected over time while total lichen taxa richness declined, which is mostly imputable to the synergic effects of intense car traffic and warmer/drier summers. Most sites displayed a compositional change along a weak, mixed gradient of eutrophication and xerophitization. Only two sites (located on the windy, Someș valley bottom) experienced a compositional change from higher to lower trophicity levels. Other two sites (positioned on more sheltered hillsides) displayed unfavourable dynamics in terms of lost species. Unexpectedly, the number of epiphytic lichen taxa at site level has, on average, increased over time, but the main contributors were poleotolerant species. The warming trend, due to climate change and local heat sources, is expected to worsen the negative effects of air-borne pollutants on the composition of the epiphytic lichen species pool within the Cluj-Napoca urban area. Full article
Show Figures

Figure 1

Figure 1
<p>Distribution of surveyed sites within Cluj-Napoca urban area (the street tree rows and green areas are represented through violet lines and, respectively, polygons). The label numbers match their counterparts and site names reported in <a href="#jzbg-06-00014-t001" class="html-table">Table 1</a>.</p>
Full article ">Figure 2
<p>Ordination of sites in the bidimensional NMDS space determined by the occurring lichen species in 2000 and 2024. The dashed arrows show the direction of within-site change in lichen species composition over time. The solid arrows indicate the inferred environmental/structural gradients along the two axes.</p>
Full article ">Figure 3
<p>Distribution of differences in site-pairwise taxonomic dissimilarities between 2024 and 2000. The observed mean difference and its 95% confidence interval are represented through the solid line and dashed lines, respectively.</p>
Full article ">Figure 4
<p>Distribution of differences in site-pairwise lichen richness between 2024 and 2000. The observed mean difference and its 95% confidence interval are represented through the solid line and dashed lines, respectively.</p>
Full article ">
25 pages, 2303 KiB  
Article
Using Bran of Ancient and Old Grains for Wheat Bread Production
by Oumayma Toumi, Costantino Fadda, Alessandra Del Caro and Paola Conte
Foods 2025, 14(5), 860; https://doi.org/10.3390/foods14050860 - 3 Mar 2025
Viewed by 109
Abstract
In the current era of heightened awareness regarding the impact of food choices, there has been a noticeable shift towards revisiting traditional ingredients. Following the growing interest in ancient grains, this study evaluated their potential use for enriching modern wheat dough and bread. [...] Read more.
In the current era of heightened awareness regarding the impact of food choices, there has been a noticeable shift towards revisiting traditional ingredients. Following the growing interest in ancient grains, this study evaluated their potential use for enriching modern wheat dough and bread. The effects of substituting 20% of wheat flour with the bran of seven ancient grains on dough’s rheological properties and bread quality were assessed. The bran-enriched doughs maintained high stability (ST) values and showed an enhanced elastic behavior compared to the control. Nonetheless, a reduction in dough extensibility (E) was also noted. In terms of bread measurements, all bran-enriched breads exhibited a lower specific volume and a darker crust and crumb compared to the control bread. However, not all of the bran breads showed a harder and chewier loaf texture. The composite breads also exhibited enhanced total dietary fiber (TDF) and polyphenol content. A sensory evaluation revealed that Garfagnana (GAR) and Norberto (NOR) bran-breads received the highest overall liking scores. In conclusion, the incorporation of ancient grain brans presents a promising approach to enhancing modern wheat doughs and breads, offering nutritional benefits without significantly compromising their sensory and textural properties. Full article
Show Figures

Figure 1

Figure 1
<p>Cumulative particle size distribution of the studied wheat bran genotypes.</p>
Full article ">Figure 2
<p>Water retention capacity (expressed in mL g<sup>−1</sup>) of the studied wheat bran genotypes. Histograms with the same letter do not differ significantly from each other according to Tukey HSD test (<span class="html-italic">p</span> &lt; 0.05). Abbreviations: GP (Giovanni Paolo); PP (Padre Pio); MON (Monlis); NOR (Norberto); GAR (Garfagnana); CAP (Cappelli); and KHO (Khorasan).</p>
Full article ">Figure 3
<p>Images of the studied bran-enriched bread samples. (<b>a</b>): Giovanni Paolo; (<b>b</b>): Padre Pio; (<b>c</b>): Monlis; (<b>d</b>): Norberto; (<b>e</b>): Garfagnana; (<b>f</b>): Cappelli; (<b>g</b>): Khorasan; and (<b>h</b>): Control.</p>
Full article ">Figure 4
<p>Images of the crumb of the studied bran-enriched bread samples. (<b>a</b>): Giovanni Paolo; (<b>b</b>): Padre Pio; (<b>c</b>): Monlis; (<b>d</b>): Norberto; (<b>e</b>): Garfagnana; (<b>f</b>): Cappelli; (<b>g</b>): Khorasan; and (<b>h</b>): Control.</p>
Full article ">Figure 5
<p>Cell area distribution of control and fortified breads as percentage of the total area according to the four pre-selected dimensional categories: Class 1 (&lt;1.0 mm<sup>2</sup>); Class 2 (0.1–0.99 mm<sup>2</sup>); Class 3 (1.0–9.99 mm<sup>2</sup>); Class 4 (10–40 mm<sup>2</sup>). Histograms with the same letter do not differ significantly from each other according to Tukey HSD test (<span class="html-italic">p</span> &lt; 0.05). Abbreviations: GP (Giovanni Paolo); PP (Padre Pio); MON (Monlis); NOR (Norberto); GAR (Garfagnana); CAP (Cappelli); and KHO (Khorasan).</p>
Full article ">Figure 6
<p>Spider graphs of the sensory attributes and overall liking of the five selected fortified breads.</p>
Full article ">Figure 7
<p>Correlation maps of the sensory attributes (the more intense the color, the stronger the correlation).</p>
Full article ">
12 pages, 2699 KiB  
Technical Note
Accuracy Assessment of a Digital Elevation Model Constructed Using the KOMPSAT-5 Dataset
by Je-Yun Lee, Sang-Hoon Hong, Kwang-Jae Lee and Joong-Sun Won
Remote Sens. 2025, 17(5), 826; https://doi.org/10.3390/rs17050826 - 27 Feb 2025
Viewed by 144
Abstract
The Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar (InSAR) has significantly advanced in its usage for analyzing surface information such as displacement or elevation. In this study, we evaluated a digital elevation model (DEM) constructed using X-band KOMPSAT-5 interferometric datasets provided by the Korea Aerospace Research [...] Read more.
The Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar (InSAR) has significantly advanced in its usage for analyzing surface information such as displacement or elevation. In this study, we evaluated a digital elevation model (DEM) constructed using X-band KOMPSAT-5 interferometric datasets provided by the Korea Aerospace Research Institute (KARI). The 28-day revisit cycle of KOMPSAT-5 poses challenges in maintaining interferometric correlation. To address this, four KOMPSAT-5 images were employed in a multi-baseline interferometric approach to mitigate temporal decorrelation effects. Despite the slightly longer temporal baselines, the analysis revealed sufficient coherence (>0.8) in three interferograms. The height of ambiguity ranged from 59 to 74 m, which is a moderate height of sensitivity to extract topography over the study area of San Francisco in the USA. Unfortunately, only ascending acquisition mode datasets were available for this study. The derived DEM was validated against three reference datasets: Copernicus GLO-30 DEM, ICESat-2, and GEDI altimetry. A high coefficient of determination (R2 > 0.9) demonstrates the feasibility of the interferometric application of KOMPSAT-5. Full article
Show Figures

Figure 1

Figure 1
<p>(<b>a</b>) Optical image of Landsat-8 operational land imager (OLI) in April 2024 over San Francisco (courtesy of United States Geological Survey). The white polygon represents the study area using KOMPSAT-5. The yellow line represents the track of ICESat-2, and the black dotted line represents the footprint of GEDI. (<b>b</b>) Topographic features of San Francisco. The black lines represent contour intervals of 50 m, and the background shows the 2022 land cover map provided by Esri Inc. (Redlands, CA, USA).</p>
Full article ">Figure 2
<p>Data processing scheme used for multi-baseline InSAR DEM.</p>
Full article ">Figure 3
<p>(<b>a</b>) KOMPSAT-5 SLC image showing the ghost signal (yellow polygon) and (<b>b</b>–<b>d</b>) coherence maps with temporal baseline (bt). All images are projected in range-Doppler geometry (not map geometry) without geocoding procedure.</p>
Full article ">Figure 4
<p>(<b>a</b>) K5 DEM and (<b>b</b>) height difference map using Copernicus GLO-30 DEM. The A-A′ and B-B′ lines were used to compare the elevation between the two datasets. (<b>c</b>,<b>d</b>) Elevation profiles along the lines of Copernicus GLO-30 (red), K5 DEM (black), and the moving average height difference (blue). (<b>e</b>) A clustered bar chart depicting the distribution of elevation errors based on land cover type and terrain slope, categorized in 5-degree intervals. The land cover types are represented as light green for grassland, green for trees, and gray for urban areas. The spatial distribution of these land cover types is shown in <a href="#remotesensing-17-00826-f001" class="html-fig">Figure 1</a>b.</p>
Full article ">Figure 5
<p>Scatter plots showing the correlation between the reference data and the individual InSAR DEMs (<b>a</b>–<b>c</b>) and the MB-InSAR DEM (<b>d</b>).</p>
Full article ">Figure 6
<p>(<b>a</b>) The experimental variogram (blue points) and the fitted spherical model (red line) illustrate the spatial correlation of residuals as a function of lag distance. (<b>b</b>) Histogram of the residual height differences between the GEDI and K5 DEM datasets.</p>
Full article ">
16 pages, 2948 KiB  
Article
Polymerized Molecular Allergoid Alt a1: Effective SCIT in Pediatric Asthma Patients
by Giulia Brindisi, Alessandra Gori, Caterina Anania, Giovanna De Castro, Alberto Spalice, Lorenzo Loffredo, Alessandra Salvatori and Anna Maria Zicari
J. Clin. Med. 2025, 14(5), 1528; https://doi.org/10.3390/jcm14051528 - 25 Feb 2025
Viewed by 200
Abstract
Background: Allergy to Alternaria alternata (Alt a), although often underdiagnosed, is a significant global health issue. In the allergen immunotherapy (AIT) field, novel therapeutic strategies are emerging, particularly with the advent of polymerized allergoids. This study aims to evaluate the efficacy of [...] Read more.
Background: Allergy to Alternaria alternata (Alt a), although often underdiagnosed, is a significant global health issue. In the allergen immunotherapy (AIT) field, novel therapeutic strategies are emerging, particularly with the advent of polymerized allergoids. This study aims to evaluate the efficacy of subcutaneous immunotherapy (SCIT) based on these innovative molecules in children with respiratory allergies, assessing clinical and functional parameters. Methods: We enrolled 42 patients aged between 6 and 16 years, all of whom had allergic rhinitis (AR) and concomitant asthma and all of whom were monosensitized to Alt a. Between December 2020 and December 2021, 17 patients initiated SCIT with Modigoid® for Alt a1, while 25 patients continued with standard therapy. At the initial visit (T0), all the patients underwent nasal and bronchial evaluation, including exhaled nitric oxide (eFeNO) measurement and spirometry. The Asthma Control Test (ACT) was used to evaluate the control of asthma symptoms. Patients were followed up every 6 months, with a comprehensive re-evaluation at 24 months (T1) replicating the initial assessments. Results: After 24 months of SCIT with the new polymerized molecular allergoid Alt a1 (Modigoid®), children showed a statistically significant reduction in eFeNO levels, improved FEV1 values, and enhanced ACT scores. Conclusions: SCIT with the new molecular allergoid Alt a1 significantly improves functional parameters (FEV1 and eFeNO) and subjective asthma symptoms (ACT scores) in children with AR and objective asthma signs. This treatment represents an effective preventive strategy that can be used to halt the progression of the classic atopic march from AR to asthma and potentially reverse the atopic march. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Otolaryngology)
Show Figures

Figure 1

Figure 1
<p>Box plot comparing eFeNO values at T0 and T1 in cases and controls.* statistically significant difference.</p>
Full article ">Figure 2
<p>Box plot comparing the mean FEV1 values pre (<b>A</b>) and post bronchodilation (<b>B</b>) at T0 and T1 in cases and controls. * statistically significant difference. Also, in the analysis of the asthma control test (ACT), the comparison between ACT values at T0 and T1 in the case group showed a statistically significant difference (<span class="html-italic">p</span> &lt; 0.001). The same significant values were found for ACT between cases and controls at T1 (<span class="html-italic">p</span> &lt; 0.001), see <a href="#jcm-14-01528-f003" class="html-fig">Figure 3</a>.</p>
Full article ">Figure 3
<p>Box plot comparing ACT at T0 and T1 in cases and controls. * statistically significant difference.</p>
Full article ">Figure 4
<p>Alt a1 visualised with UCSF Chimera (Pettersen, E.F.et al. UCSF Chimera—A visualisation system for exploratory research and analysis. J. Comput. Chem. 2004) from R.P.D. Bank, «RCSB PDB-4AUD: Crystal structure of alternaria alternata majorallergen alt a 1». Available at <a href="https://www.rcsb.org/structure/4aud" target="_blank">https://www.rcsb.org/structure/4aud</a> (accessed on 23 July 2024).</p>
Full article ">Figure 5
<p>Alternaria allergenic season, 2019 (Adapted from ISPRA analysis on POLLnet data and Tor Vergata University, <a href="https://indicatoriambientali.isprambiente.it/it/qualita-dellaria/stagione-pollinica" target="_blank">https://indicatoriambientali.isprambiente.it/it/qualita-dellaria/stagione-pollinica</a>). Accessed on 15 December 2019.</p>
Full article ">
19 pages, 1236 KiB  
Article
How Customer Avoidance Leads to Customers Returning: A Longitudinal Study Concerning Online Travel Agencies
by Zerui Su and Hong-Youl Ha
J. Theor. Appl. Electron. Commer. Res. 2025, 20(1), 35; https://doi.org/10.3390/jtaer20010035 - 25 Feb 2025
Viewed by 269
Abstract
Customers’ intentions to avoid a product or service tend to be dynamic. Thus, this study aims to explore the influence of trajectory changes in customers’ avoidance after service recovery on relationship strength, negative word-of-mouth (WOM) intentions, and revisit intentions. Using a longitudinal approach [...] Read more.
Customers’ intentions to avoid a product or service tend to be dynamic. Thus, this study aims to explore the influence of trajectory changes in customers’ avoidance after service recovery on relationship strength, negative word-of-mouth (WOM) intentions, and revisit intentions. Using a longitudinal approach with three-month lag intervals, we implement a latent growth model analysis to test our proposed hypotheses. Our findings demonstrate that customers’ desire to engage in avoidance after a service failure evolves, but its impact wanes. As avoidance decreases, negative WOM intentions likewise decline, and intentions to revisit a firm (which, in this study, is a travel agency) increase, thereby attenuating an avoidance-becomes-defection effect over time. Meanwhile, relationship strength initially grows but then weakens after service recovery. In contrast, negative WOM intentions slightly decrease from the early to mid-stage, followed by an increase in the late stage. Furthermore, relationship strength does not affect negative WOM or revisit intentions at the subsequent service recovery phase. Our findings offer innovative insights into upgrading customer avoidance perspectives regarding service recovery. We also present managerial implications regarding service recovery and customer relationship strategies that vary over time. Full article
Show Figures

Figure 1

Figure 1
<p>Conceptual model. Note: RS = relationship strength; WOM = word-of-mouth; RI = revisit intention.</p>
Full article ">Figure 2
<p>The differing slopes of relationship strength and e-WOM effects after service recovery.</p>
Full article ">Figure 3
<p>The mean changes in key variables.</p>
Full article ">Figure 4
<p>Structural model estimates. Notes: Dotted lines indicate the relationship is not statistically significant.</p>
Full article ">
9 pages, 432 KiB  
Article
Association Between Contrast Sensitivity and Ganglion Cell–Inner Plexiform Layer Thickness After Resolution of Macular Edema Due to Branch Retinal Vein Occlusion
by Tomoya Murakami, Fumiki Okamoto, Takeshi Matsueda, Yoshimi Sugiura, Shohei Morikawa, Yoshifumi Okamoto, Takahiro Hiraoka and Tetsuro Oshika
J. Clin. Med. 2025, 14(5), 1507; https://doi.org/10.3390/jcm14051507 - 24 Feb 2025
Viewed by 201
Abstract
Background/Objectives: We sought to assess the relationship between contrast sensitivity (CS) and optical coherence tomography (OCT) findings, including ganglion cell–inner plexiform layer (GCIPL) thickness, in eyes with cystoid macular edema, secondary to branch retinal vein occlusion (BRVO-CME), treated with intravitreal ranibizumab (IVR). Methods [...] Read more.
Background/Objectives: We sought to assess the relationship between contrast sensitivity (CS) and optical coherence tomography (OCT) findings, including ganglion cell–inner plexiform layer (GCIPL) thickness, in eyes with cystoid macular edema, secondary to branch retinal vein occlusion (BRVO-CME), treated with intravitreal ranibizumab (IVR). Methods: This prospective study included 44 patients with BRVO-CME who underwent treatment with IVR (three monthly injections and pro re nata) and were followed up for 12 months. We collected data on CS, best-corrected visual acuity (BCVA), and OCT findings (ellipsoid zone [EZ] and external limiting membrane status [ELM], central foveal thickness [CFT], and average GCIPL thickness) at the time of the final visit when macular edema was resolved. Multiple regression analysis was used to evaluate the relationship between visual functions and OCT findings, age, and lens status. Results: Multiple regression analysis revealed that lower GCIPL thickness was significantly associated with worse CS (β = 0.008; 95% CI, 0.002–0.014; p = 0.011), whereas this was not the case with BCVA. Lower CFT and mild cataracts were also associated with worse CS (CFT: β = 0.003; 95% CI, 0.001–0.004; p = 0.001; mild cataract: β = −0.182; 95% CI, −0.286–−0.078; p = 0.001) and worse BCVA (CFT: β = −0.002; 95% CI, −0.003–−0.001; p < 0.001; mild cataract: β = 0.079; 95% CI, 0.008–0.150; p = 0.029). Conclusions: GCIPL thickness may serve as a valuable biomarker for CS in eyes with BRVO-CME following IVR treatment. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Ophthalmology)
Show Figures

Figure 1

Figure 1
<p>Flowchart of participant inclusion.</p>
Full article ">
14 pages, 1649 KiB  
Article
CONNECT: An AI-Powered Solution for Student Authentication and Engagement in Cross-Cultural Digital Learning Environments
by Bilal Hassan, Muhammad Omer Raza, Yusra Siddiqi, Muhammad Farooq Wasiq and Rabiya Ayesha Siddiqui
Computers 2025, 14(3), 77; https://doi.org/10.3390/computers14030077 - 20 Feb 2025
Viewed by 263
Abstract
The COVID-19 pandemic accelerated the shift to digital education as universities across the world rapidly adopted virtual classrooms for remote learning. Ensuring continuous student engagement in virtual environments remains one of the key challenges. This paper discusses how AI and data analytics are [...] Read more.
The COVID-19 pandemic accelerated the shift to digital education as universities across the world rapidly adopted virtual classrooms for remote learning. Ensuring continuous student engagement in virtual environments remains one of the key challenges. This paper discusses how AI and data analytics are being applied to education, particularly the ways in which technologies such as biometrics and facial recognition can be used to improve student engagement in online and hybrid learning environments. This paper tries to revisit the dynamics of engagement across virtual platforms by comparing traditional learning models and digital learning models and showing the gaps that exist. This study reviewed six widely used video conferencing tools and their effectiveness in fostering engagement in virtual classrooms. The research goes on to investigate cross-cultural tech adoption in education—how regions and educational systems respond to these emerging technologies. Against this background of the challenges identified, a new application, “CONNECT”, is proposed in this paper that can integrate AI-driven features on face recognition and speech-to-text and attendance monitoring to enable real-time authentication and tracking of engagement. This study also provides an overview of the theoretical models of digital, hybrid, and blended learning and provides actionable recommendations for future research and innovation in cross-cultural online education. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Present and Future of E-Learning Technologies (2nd Edition))
Show Figures

Figure 1

Figure 1
<p>Student engagement in traditional vs. online learning. (Source: Self-created with personal skills and insights on modern teaching and learning methods. The content is an amalgamation of best practices).</p>
Full article ">Figure 2
<p>Behavior recognition architecture.</p>
Full article ">Figure 3
<p>Deployment workflow with AWS Elastic Beanstalk. This diagram depicts the process of installing and growing web applications or services using AWS Elastic Beanstalk.</p>
Full article ">
17 pages, 1770 KiB  
Article
Revisiting the Mechanistic Pathway of Gas-Phase Reactions in InN MOVPE Through DFT Calculations
by Xiaokun He, Nan Xu, Yuan Xue, Hong Zhang, Ran Zuo and Qian Xu
Molecules 2025, 30(4), 971; https://doi.org/10.3390/molecules30040971 - 19 Feb 2025
Viewed by 279
Abstract
III-nitrides are crucial materials for solar flow batteries due to their versatile properties. In contrast to the well-studied MOVPE reaction mechanism for AlN and GaN, few works report gas-phase mechanistic studies on the growth of InN. To better understand the reaction thermodynamics, this [...] Read more.
III-nitrides are crucial materials for solar flow batteries due to their versatile properties. In contrast to the well-studied MOVPE reaction mechanism for AlN and GaN, few works report gas-phase mechanistic studies on the growth of InN. To better understand the reaction thermodynamics, this work revisited the gas-phase reactions involved in metal–organic vapor-phase epitaxy (abbreviated as MOVPE) growth of InN. Utilizing the M06-2X function in conjunction with Pople’s triple-ζ split-valence basis set with polarization functions, this work recharacterized all stationary points reported in previous literature and compared the differences between the structures and reaction energies. For the reaction pathways which do not include a transition state, rigorous constrained geometry optimizations were utilized to scan the PES connecting the reactants and products in adduct formation and XMIn (M, D, T) pyrolysis, confirming that there are no TSs in these pathways, which is in agreement with the previous findings. A comprehensive bonding analysis indicates that in TMIn:NH3, the In-N demonstrates strong coordinate bond characteristics, whereas in DMIn:NH3 and MMIn:NH3, the interactions between the Lewis acid and base fragments lean toward electrostatic attraction. Additionally, the NBO computations show that the H radical can facilitate the migration of electrons that are originally distributed between the In-C bonds in XMIn. Based on this finding, novel reaction pathways were also investigated. When the H radical approaches MMInNH2, MMIn:NH3 rather than MMInHNH2 will generate and this is followed by the elimination of CH4 via two parallel paths. Considering the abundance of H2 in the environment, this work also examines the reactions between H2 and XMIn. The Mulliken charge distributions indicated that intermolecular electron transfer mainly occurs between the In atom and N atom whiling forming (DMInNH2)2, whereas it predominately occurs between the In atom and the N atom intramolecularly when generating (DMInNH2)3. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Physical Chemistry)
Show Figures

Graphical abstract

Graphical abstract
Full article ">Figure 1
<p>Two parallel paths with the elimination of CH<sub>4</sub> from MMIn:NH<sub>3</sub> and corresponding molecular structures.</p>
Full article ">Figure 2
<p>The relaxed scan for adduct formation (A1–A1b) and pyrolysis reaction (P4–P4b). [Annotation 1] The PES was explored by constrained geometry optimization, and connects the dissociated In(CH<sub>3</sub>)<sub>x−1</sub> and CH<sub>3</sub> or In(CH<sub>3</sub>)<sub>x</sub> and NH<sub>3</sub>. [Annotation 2] Relative Energy refers to the electron energy difference between the scan points and the 1st scan point (i.e., reactants).</p>
Full article ">Figure 3
<p>The ESP map of TMIn and NH<sub>3</sub>.</p>
Full article ">Figure 4
<p>The HOMO and LUMO and the associated <span class="html-italic">E</span><sub>gap</sub> of TS in reactions A1, A1a and A1b.</p>
Full article ">Figure 5
<p>The HOMO and LUMO and the <span class="html-italic">E</span><sub>gap</sub> (in eV) of TMIn, DMIn and MMIn.</p>
Full article ">Figure 6
<p>The critical bond lengths and atom distances (in Å) along with bond angles (in <sup>o</sup>) in the fully optimized TS of R9.</p>
Full article ">Figure 7
<p>The ESP map of DMInNH<sub>2</sub>.</p>
Full article ">
46 pages, 1856 KiB  
Article
A Numerical and Experimental Investigation of the Most Fundamental Time-Domain Input–Output System Identification Methods for the Normal Modal Analysis of Flexible Structures
by Şefika İpek Lök, Carmine Maria Pappalardo, Rosario La Regina and Domenico Guida
Sensors 2025, 25(4), 1259; https://doi.org/10.3390/s25041259 - 19 Feb 2025
Viewed by 244
Abstract
This paper deals with developing a comparative study of the principal time-domain system identification methods suitable for performing an experimental modal analysis of structural systems. To this end, this work focuses first on analyzing and reviewing the mathematical background concerning the analytical methods [...] Read more.
This paper deals with developing a comparative study of the principal time-domain system identification methods suitable for performing an experimental modal analysis of structural systems. To this end, this work focuses first on analyzing and reviewing the mathematical background concerning the analytical methods and the computational algorithms of interest for this study. The methods considered in the paper are referred to as the AutoRegressive eXogenous (ARX) method, the State-Space ESTimation (SSEST) method, the Numerical Algorithm for Subspace State-Space System Identification (N4SID), the Eigensystem Realization Algorithm (ERA) combined with the Observer/Kalman Filter Identification (OKID) method, and the Transfer Function ESTimation (TFEST) method. Starting from the identified models estimated through the methodologies reported in the paper, a set of second-order configuration-space dynamical models of the structural system of interest can also be determined by employing an estimation method for the Mass, Stiffness, and Damping (MSD) matrices. Furthermore, in practical applications, the correct estimation of the damping matrix is severely hampered by noise that corrupts the input and output measurements. To address this problem, in this paper, the identification of the damping matrix is improved by employing the Proportional Damping Coefficient (PDC) identification method, which is based on the use of the identified set of natural frequencies and damping ratios found for the case study analyzed in the paper. This work also revisits the critical aspects and pitfalls related to using the Model Order Reduction (MOR) approach combined with the Balanced Truncation Method (BTM) to reduce the dimensions of the identified state-space models. Finally, this work analyzes the performance of all the fundamental system identification methods mentioned before when applied to the experimental modal analysis of flexible structures. This is achieved by carrying out an experimental campaign based on the use of a vibrating test rig, which serves as a demonstrative example of a typical structural system. The complete set of experimental results found in this investigation is reported in the appendix of the paper. Full article
Show Figures

Figure 1

Figure 1
<p>Conceptual flowchart of the proposed approach adopted in this study for performing a comparative analytical review followed by a numerical and experimental system identification analysis of the five system identification techniques considered in the paper.</p>
Full article ">Figure 2
<p>Conceptual flowchart of the logical steps followed in the system identification numerical procedures analyzed in the paper.</p>
Full article ">Figure 3
<p>Experimental test rig for the input–output data acquisition from the flexible structure considered as the case study.</p>
Full article ">Figure 4
<p>Frequency-domain experimental representation of the first floor acceleration response to the impulsive external excitation.</p>
Full article ">Figure 5
<p>Schematic graphical representation of the application of the half-power method.</p>
Full article ">Figure 6
<p>Mechanical model of the vibrating system analyzed in the paper as the case study. (<b>a</b>) Flexible structure scheme. (<b>b</b>) Lumped parameter model.</p>
Full article ">Figure 7
<p>Vibration responses obtained from the lumped parameter model of the two-story mechanical system. (<b>a</b>) First floor numerical output acceleration signal. (<b>b</b>) Second floor numerical output acceleration signal.</p>
Full article ">Figure 8
<p>Impulsive force applied as input to the first floor of the mechanical system, recorded as the input signal.</p>
Full article ">Figure 9
<p>Time-domain data acquisition of the first and second output signals recorded for the two-story structural system. (<b>a</b>) First floor experimental output acceleration signal. (<b>b</b>) Second floor experimental output acceleration signal.</p>
Full article ">Figure 10
<p>Comparison of the vibration responses obtained from the experimental test rig and the mathematical models identified by using the ARX method. (<b>a</b>) First floor acceleration. (<b>b</b>) Second floor acceleration. (<b>c</b>) First floor acceleration zoom. (<b>d</b>) Second floor acceleration zoom.</p>
Full article ">Figure 11
<p>Comparison of the vibration responses obtained from the experimental test rig and the mathematical models identified by using the SSEST method. (<b>a</b>) First floor acceleration. (<b>b</b>) Second floor acceleration. (<b>c</b>) First floor acceleration zoom. (<b>d</b>) Second floor acceleration zoom.</p>
Full article ">Figure 12
<p>Comparison of the vibration responses obtained from the experimental test rig and the mathematical models identified by using the N4SID method. (<b>a</b>) First floor acceleration. (<b>b</b>) Second floor acceleration. (<b>c</b>) First floor acceleration zoom. (<b>d</b>) Second floor acceleration zoom.</p>
Full article ">Figure 13
<p>Comparison of the vibration responses obtained from the experimental test rig and the mathematical models identified by using the ERA/OKID method. (<b>a</b>) First floor acceleration. (<b>b</b>) Second floor acceleration. (<b>c</b>) First floor acceleration zoom. (<b>d</b>) Second floor acceleration zoom.</p>
Full article ">Figure 14
<p>Comparison of the vibration responses obtained from the experimental test rig and the mathematical models identified by using the TFEST method. (<b>a</b>) First floor acceleration. (<b>b</b>) Second floor acceleration. (<b>c</b>) First floor acceleration zoom. (<b>d</b>) Second floor acceleration zoom.</p>
Full article ">
35 pages, 13972 KiB  
Review
Environmental Challenges in Southern Brazil: Impacts of Pollution and Extreme Weather Events on Biodiversity and Human Health
by Joel Henrique Ellwanger, Marina Ziliotto, Bruna Kulmann-Leal and José Artur Bogo Chies
Int. J. Environ. Res. Public Health 2025, 22(2), 305; https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph22020305 - 18 Feb 2025
Viewed by 417
Abstract
The Amazon rainforest plays a fundamental role in regulating the global climate and therefore receives special attention when Brazilian environmental issues gain prominence on the global stage. However, other Brazilian biomes, such as the Pampa and the Atlantic Forest in southern Brazil, have [...] Read more.
The Amazon rainforest plays a fundamental role in regulating the global climate and therefore receives special attention when Brazilian environmental issues gain prominence on the global stage. However, other Brazilian biomes, such as the Pampa and the Atlantic Forest in southern Brazil, have been facing significant environmental challenges, either independently or under the influence of ecological changes observed in the Amazon region. The state of Rio Grande do Sul is located in the extreme south of Brazil and in 2024 was hit by major rainfalls that caused devastating floods. The Pampa is a non-forest biome found in Brazil only in Rio Grande do Sul. This biome is seriously threatened by loss of vegetation cover and many classes of pollutants, including pesticides and plastics. Mining ventures are also important sources of soil, water and air pollution by potentially toxic elements in Rio Grande do Sul, threatening both the Pampa and the Atlantic Forest. Furthermore, southern Brazil is often affected by pollution caused by smoke coming from fires observed in distant biomes such as the Pantanal and the Amazon. Considering the significant environmental challenges observed in southern Brazil, this article revisits the historical participation of Rio Grande do Sul in Brazilian environmentalism and highlights the main environmental challenges currently observed in the state, followed by an in-depth analysis of the effects of pollution and extreme weather events on biodiversity and human health in the region. This review encompassed specifically the following categories of pollutants: potentially toxic elements (e.g., arsenic, cadmium, chromium, cobalt, copper, lead, mercury, titanium), air pollutants, plastics, and pesticides. Pathogen-related pollution in the context of extreme weather events is also addressed. This article emphasizes the critical importance of often-overlooked biomes in Brazilian conservation efforts, such as the Pampa biome, while also underscoring the interconnectedness of climate change, pollution, their shared influence on human well-being and ecological balance, using Rio Grande do Sul as a case study. Full article
Show Figures

Figure 1

Figure 1
<p>Brazil’s map showing the distribution of the terrestrial Brazilian biomes. Rio Grande do Sul state is highlighted on the edge in bold. In orange: coverage of the Pampa biome. In light green: coverage of the Atlantic Forest biome. In yellow: coverage of the Cerrado biome. In red: coverage of the Pantanal biome. In pink: coverage of the Caatinga biome. In dark green: coverage of the Amazon biome. Brazil is located in Latin America and shares borders with the following countries: French Guiana (GUF), Suriname (SUR), Guyana (GUY), Venezuela (VEN), Colombia (COL), Peru (PER), Bolivia (BOL), Paraguay (PAR), Argentina (ARG), and Uruguay (URU), as shown on the map. Chile (CHL) is also visible. Coordinates obtained using SIRGAS2000.</p>
Full article ">Figure 2
<p>Representative images of Rio Grande do Sul landscapes. (<b>A</b>) Pampa biome in São Gabriel City, showing predominant grassy vegetation in the foreground and forestry activity in the background, one of the biggest current threats to the Pampa (photo credit: Alexandre Copês). (<b>B</b>) Ecotone zone near Porto Alegre City, showing the transition between the Pampa and Atlantic Forest biomes (photo credit: Joel H. Ellwanger). (<b>C</b>,<b>D</b>) Mountainous region of Rio Grande do Sul, Canela City, showing mixed ombrophilous forest belonging to the Atlantic Forest biome (photo credits: Joel H. Ellwanger).</p>
Full article ">Figure 3
<p>Map of Rio Grande do Sul. The state border is highlighted on the edge in bold. In green: distribution of forests. In yellow: distribution of grasslands. In pink: distribution of agriculture. In red: distribution of areas without vegetation (composed of urban areas, mining, beaches, dunes, sand spots, and other regions without vegetation). In blue: water bodies. Images from Google Satellite and data from MapBiomas.</p>
Full article ">Figure 4
<p>Main anthropogenic activities and pollution classes observed in Rio Grande do Sul. Atmospheric pollution fuels climate change, which exacerbates the impacts of other pollution classes. PTEs—potentially toxic elements. CO<sub>2</sub>—carbon dioxide.</p>
Full article ">Figure 5
<p>Rio Grande do Sul 2024 flood. (<b>A</b>) Central region of Porto Alegre City. (<b>B</b>,<b>C</b>) The Guaíba Lake shore. (<b>D</b>) Vegetation on the Marinha Park shore (Porto Alegre) severely impacted after being submerged for several days. (Photo credits: Alexandre Copês).</p>
Full article ">Figure 6
<p>Sanitation-related problems observed in Porto Alegre City. A and C: Ipanema Beach (freshwater beach) in Porto Alegre showing a sign indicating that the water is unfit for swimming during the 2023 summer season (<b>A</b>) and the release of domestic sewage into the water at the beach (<b>B</b>). (<b>C</b>) Presence of domestic sewage in a stream located in a public park in Porto Alegre. (<b>D</b>) Presence of accumulated garbage in a bridge repair structure located in Dilúvio Stream, which flows into the Guaíba Lake. The Dilúvio Stream is a habitat for varied fauna, but it presents several classes of pollutants, including toxic metals and biological contamination, thus fueling pathogen pollution and other health issues that affect humans and animals (photo credits: Joel H. Ellwanger).</p>
Full article ">Figure 7
<p>Combined consequences of pollution and climate change.</p>
Full article ">Figure 8
<p>Health problems observed in the human population of Rio Grande do Sul, which may be exacerbated by climate change. PTEs—potentially toxic elements.</p>
Full article ">
15 pages, 3219 KiB  
Article
Earthquake Forecasting Based on b Value and Background Seismicity Rate in Yunnan Province, China
by Yuchen Zhang, Rui Wang, Haixia Shi, Miao Miao, Jiancang Zhuang, Ying Chang, Changsheng Jiang, Lingyuan Meng, Danning Li, Lifang Liu, Youjin Su, Zhenguo Zhang and Peng Han
Entropy 2025, 27(2), 205; https://doi.org/10.3390/e27020205 - 15 Feb 2025
Viewed by 392
Abstract
Characterized by frequent earthquakes and a dense population, Yunnan Province, China, faces significant seismic hazards and is a hot place for earthquake forecasting research. In a previous study, we evaluated the performance of the b value for 5-year seismic forecasting during 2000–2019 and [...] Read more.
Characterized by frequent earthquakes and a dense population, Yunnan Province, China, faces significant seismic hazards and is a hot place for earthquake forecasting research. In a previous study, we evaluated the performance of the b value for 5-year seismic forecasting during 2000–2019 and made a forward prediction of M ≥ 5.0 earthquakes in 2020–2024. In this study, with the forecast period having passed, we first revisit the results and assess the forward prediction performance. Then, the background seismicity rate, which may also offer valuable long-term forecasting information, is incorporated into earthquake prediction for Yunnan Province. To assess the effectiveness of the prediction, the Molchan Error Diagram (MED), Probability Gain (PG), and Probability Difference (PD) are employed. Using a 25-year catalog, the spatial b value and background seismicity rate across five temporal windows are calculated, and 86 M ≥ 5.0 earthquakes as prediction samples are examined. The predictive performance of the background seismicity rate and b value is comprehensively tested and shown to be useful for 5-year forecasting in Yunnan. The performance of the b value exhibits a positive correlation with the predicted earthquake magnitude. The synergistic effect of combining these two predictors is also revealed. Finally, using the threshold corresponding to the maximum PD, we integrate the forecast information of background seismicity rates and the b value. A forward prediction is derived for the period from January 2025 to December 2029. This study can be helpful for disaster preparedness and risk management in Yunnan Province, China. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Time Series Analysis in Earthquake Complex Networks)
Show Figures

Figure 1

Figure 1
<p>(<b>a</b>) The <span class="html-italic">b</span> value from January 2015 to December 2019 and earthquakes with M ≥ 5.0 from January 2020 to December 2024. The dot and star are scaled to the magnitude. (<b>b</b>) Temporal distribution of earthquakes in Yunnan Province from January 2000 to December 2024. (<b>c</b>) Temporal distribution of earthquakes in Yunnan Province from January 2020 to December 2024. (<b>d</b>) The MED of forecast performance based on the <span class="html-italic">b</span> value in (<b>a</b>). The marked numbers are the serial numbers in <a href="#entropy-27-00205-t001" class="html-table">Table 1</a>, and the size of the cross markers is scaled to the magnitude.</p>
Full article ">Figure 2
<p>The <span class="html-italic">b</span> value and background seismicity rate. (<b>a</b>–<b>e</b>) <span class="html-italic">b</span> value; (<b>f</b>,<b>j</b>) background seismicity rate. Results in (<b>a</b>,<b>f</b>) using catalog in 2000–2004 and forecasting moderate–large earthquakes in 2005–2009; (<b>b</b>,<b>g</b>) using catalog in 2005–2009 and forecasting moderate–large earthquakes in 2010–2014; (<b>c</b>,<b>h</b>) using catalog in 2010–2014 and forecasting moderate–large earthquakes in 2015–2019; (<b>d</b>,<b>i</b>) using catalog in 2015–2019 and forecasting moderate–large earthquakes in 2020–2024; (<b>e</b>,<b>j</b>) using catalog in 2020–2024. A dot represents an earthquake with 5.0 ≤ M &lt; 5.5. A star represents an earthquake with M ≥ 5.5. The sizes of the dots and stars are scaled to magnitude.</p>
Full article ">Figure 3
<p>Forecast performance based on <span class="html-italic">b</span> value and background seismicity rate during 2005–2024. (<b>a</b>–<b>c</b>) show the results of earthquakes with M ≥ 5.5. (<b>a</b>) MED; (<b>b</b>) <span class="html-italic">PG</span>; (<b>c</b>) <span class="html-italic">PD</span>. (<b>d</b>–<b>f</b>) are the results of earthquakes with M ≥ 5.0. (<b>d</b>) MED; (<b>e</b>) <span class="html-italic">PG</span>; (<b>f</b>) <span class="html-italic">PD</span>. The number of earthquake samples is <math display="inline"><semantics> <mrow> <mo>=</mo> <mn>29</mn> </mrow> </semantics></math> and <math display="inline"><semantics> <mrow> <msub> <mrow> <mi>N</mi> </mrow> <mrow> <mi>M</mi> <mo>≥</mo> <mn>5.0</mn> </mrow> </msub> <mo>=</mo> <mn>86</mn> </mrow> </semantics></math>.</p>
Full article ">Figure 4
<p>The variation in forecast performance with earthquake magnitude. (<b>a</b>) Variation in maximum <span class="html-italic">PG</span> with the forecast magnitude; (<b>b</b>) variation in maximum <span class="html-italic">PD</span> with the forecast magnitude; (<b>c</b>) variation in <span class="html-italic">S</span> with the forecast magnitude.</p>
Full article ">Figure 5
<p>Forecast performance by combining <span class="html-italic">b</span> value and background seismicity rate during 2005–2024. The x-axis is the alarming rate of background seismicity corresponding to <math display="inline"><semantics> <mrow> <msub> <mrow> <mi>t</mi> <mi>h</mi> <mi>r</mi> </mrow> <mrow> <mi>μ</mi> </mrow> </msub> </mrow> </semantics></math>, and the y-axis is the alarming rate of the <span class="html-italic">b</span> value corresponding to <math display="inline"><semantics> <mrow> <msub> <mrow> <mi>t</mi> <mi>h</mi> <mi>r</mi> </mrow> <mrow> <mi>b</mi> </mrow> </msub> </mrow> </semantics></math>. (<b>a</b>) <span class="html-italic">PG</span> for M ≥ 5.5 earthquakes; (<b>b</b>) <span class="html-italic">PD</span> for M ≥ 5.5 earthquakes; (<b>c</b>) <span class="html-italic">PG</span> for M ≥ 5.0 earthquakes; (<b>d</b>) <span class="html-italic">PD</span> for M ≥ 5.0 earthquakes. The location of the maximum value (<span class="html-italic">PG</span> or <span class="html-italic">PD</span>) in each figure is marked with dots and detailed in <a href="#entropy-27-00205-t002" class="html-table">Table 2</a>. The cross in (<b>b</b>) is located at the alarming rate corresponding to the maximum <span class="html-italic">PD</span> in <a href="#entropy-27-00205-f003" class="html-fig">Figure 3</a>c.</p>
Full article ">Figure 6
<p>Alarmed regions for the period from January 2025 to December 2029 based on <span class="html-italic">b</span> value and background seismicity rate obtained during 2020–2024. (<b>a</b>) Alarmed area based on <span class="html-italic">b</span> value and <math display="inline"><semantics> <mrow> <msub> <mrow> <mi>t</mi> <mi>h</mi> <mi>r</mi> <mo>_</mo> <mi>P</mi> <mi>D</mi> </mrow> <mrow> <mi>b</mi> </mrow> </msub> </mrow> </semantics></math>, with 0.38 alarming rate; (<b>b</b>) alarmed area based on background seismicity rate and <math display="inline"><semantics> <mrow> <msub> <mrow> <mi>t</mi> <mi>h</mi> <mi>r</mi> <mo>_</mo> <mi>P</mi> <mi>D</mi> </mrow> <mrow> <mi>μ</mi> </mrow> </msub> </mrow> </semantics></math>, with 0.42 alarming rate; (<b>c</b>) alarmed area based on <span class="html-italic">b</span> value and background seismicity rate, with 0.20 alarming rate. The red edge squares show the alarmed grid cells.</p>
Full article ">
22 pages, 3780 KiB  
Article
Discovery of Arylfuran and Carbohydrate Derivatives from the BraCoLi Library as Potential Zika Virus NS3pro Inhibitors
by Fernanda Kelly Marcelino e Oliveira, Beatriz Murta Rezende Moraes Ribeiro, Ellen Gonçalves de Oliveira, Marina Mol Sena Andrade Verzola, Thales Kronenberger, Vinícius Gonçalves Maltarollo, Ricardo José Alves, Renata Barbosa de Oliveira, Rafaela Salgado Ferreira, Jônatas Santos Abrahão and Mateus Sá Magalhães Serafim
Future Pharmacol. 2025, 5(1), 9; https://doi.org/10.3390/futurepharmacol5010009 - 15 Feb 2025
Viewed by 255
Abstract
Background/Objectives: Zika fever is a disease caused by the Zika virus (ZIKV). Symptomatic cases may be associated with neurological disorders in adults, as well as congenital Zika syndrome and other birth defects during pregnancy. In 2016, Zika fever was considered a public health [...] Read more.
Background/Objectives: Zika fever is a disease caused by the Zika virus (ZIKV). Symptomatic cases may be associated with neurological disorders in adults, as well as congenital Zika syndrome and other birth defects during pregnancy. In 2016, Zika fever was considered a public health problem by the World Health Organization (WHO), highlighting the need to develop new therapies against the disease. Currently, there is no antiviral or vaccine available to treat or prevent severe cases. Due to the lack of available therapeutics and few promising hit molecules, we computationally screened the well-described ZIKV protease (NS3pro) as a drug target to revisit the small-molecule database Brazilian Compound Library (BraCoLi) and select potential inhibitors. Methods: We employed a consensus docking screening of a library of 1176 compounds using GOLD and DockThor. We selected 28 hits based on predicted binding affinity, and only the remnants of three compounds were available in the library at the time of this study for experimental validation. The hits were evaluated for their cytotoxic (CC50) and effective concentrations (EC50) for their potential antiviral activity in Vero cells. Results: The three hit compounds presented modest CC50 values of 89.15 ± 3.72, >100, and 29.67 ± 1.01 μM, with the latter, a carbohydrate derivative, having an EC50 value of >12.5 μM (~40% inhibition) against ZIKV PE243. Additionally, the essentially non-toxic compound, an arylfuran derivative, also inhibited the ZIKV NS3pro with an IC50 value of 17 μM but presented evidence of acting through a promiscuous mechanism for enzyme inhibition. Conclusion: This study highlights the relevance of revisiting existing small-molecule assets to identify novel therapeutic starting points against ZIKV, aiming for potential lead candidates in the future. Full article
Show Figures

Graphical abstract

Graphical abstract
Full article ">Figure 1
<p>Characterization of the ZIKV NS3<sup>pro</sup> binding site. (<b>A</b>) FTsite predictions of the NS3<sup>pro</sup> (slate) and the NS2B* cofactor (orange) predicted three binding sites (blue, green, and red meshes), with the larger binding site highlighting residues in sticks as follows: Asp83 and Phe84 (NS2B), His51, Tyr130, Pro131, Ala132 Thr134, Ser135, Tyr150, Gly151, Asn152, Gly153, Val155, and Tyr161. (<b>B</b>) PrankWeb predictions corroborate FTSite with additional residues, such as Ser81 and Gly82 (NS2B), Lys54, Val72, Asp75, and Asp129. Lastly, (<b>C</b>) the co-crystallized ligand 7HS (white) also occupies the predicted binding site region. Predicted residues are shown as sticks and labeled. Unique residues predicted by each software are labeled in black. Images were generated with PyMOL (v.2.5.7).</p>
Full article ">Figure 2
<p>Docking poses of <b>BR020113</b>, <b>BR020255</b>, and <b>BR020325</b> to the ZIKV NS3<sup>pro</sup>. (<b>A</b>) <b>BR020113</b> (violet) was predicted to have only one interaction with Asn152 and (<b>B</b>) <b>BR020255</b> (orange) was predicted to interact with Lys54 and Tyr161 despite not accurately fitting the binding site. Lastly, (<b>C</b>) <b>BR020325</b> (deep teal) interacted with Tyr130, Ser135, Gly153, and Tyr161. The ZIKV NS3<sup>pro</sup> (slate) and the cofactor NS2B (orange) are shown as a transparent cartoon. Residues are shown as sticks and labeled. Predicted interactions are shown as dashed yellow lines. Images were generated with PyMOL (v.2.5.7).</p>
Full article ">Figure 3
<p>Synthesis routes to obtain compounds <b>BR020113</b> and <b>BR020325</b>. (<b>A</b>) Scheme 1 (<b>BR020113</b>) conditions and reagents: (i) CH<sub>3</sub>SO<sub>2</sub>Cl, CH<sub>2</sub>Cl<sub>2</sub>, Et<sub>3</sub>N (yield: 41%); (ii) NaN<sub>3</sub>, DMF, 100 °C (yield: 53%); (iii) phenylacetylene, CuSO<sub>4</sub>.5H<sub>2</sub>O, sodium ascorbate, THF (yield: 46%). (<b>B</b>) Scheme 2 (<b>BR020325</b>) conditions and reagents: (i) 2-iodobenzoyl chloride, saturated Na<sub>2</sub>CO<sub>3</sub> solution, anhydrous acetone (yield: 79%); (ii) cinnamoyl chloride, pyridine, anhydrous acetone (yield: 29%).</p>
Full article ">Figure 4
<p>Structural similarity (Tanimoto coefficient; Tc) of <b>BR020113</b>, <b>BR020255</b>, and <b>BR020325</b> with anti-ZIKV compounds. Active compounds against ZIKV were retrieved from ChEMBL and compared to the three hits using (<b>A</b>) MACCS (166 bits), (<b>B</b>) AtomPair (1024 bits), and (<b>C</b>) Morgan (1024 bits) fingerprints.</p>
Full article ">
Back to TopTop