Search Results (1,365)

Wildfires are frequently observed in watersheds with a Mediterranean climate and seriously affect vegetation, soil, hydrology, and ecosystems as they cause abrupt changes in land cover. Assessing wildfire effects, as well as the recovery process, is critical for mitigating their impacts. This paper presents a geospatial analysis approach that enables the investigation of wildfire effects on vegetation, soil, and hydrology. The prediction of regeneration potential and the period needed for the restoration of hydrological behavior to pre-fire conditions is also presented. To this end, the catastrophic wildfire that occurred in August 2021 in the wider area of Varybobi, north of Athens, Greece, is used as an example. First, an analysis of the extent and severity of the fire and its effect on the vegetation of the area is conducted using satellite imagery. The history of fires in the specific area is then analyzed using remote sensing data and a regrowth model is developed. The effect on the hydrological behavior of the affected area was then systematically analyzed. The analysis is conducted in a spatially distributed form in order to delineate the critical areas in which immediate interventions are required for the rapid restoration of the hydrological behavior of the basin. The period required for the restoration of the hydrological response is then estimated based on the developed vegetation regrowth models. Curve Numbers and post-fire runoff response estimations were found to be quite similar to those derived from measured data. This alignment shows that the SCS-CN method effectively reflects post-fire runoff conditions in this Mediterranean watershed, which supports its use in assessing hydrological changes in wildfire-affected areas. The results of the proposed approach can provide important data for the restoration and protection of wildfire-affected areas. Full article

The phenological characteristics of plants can reflect both their responses to environmental changes as well as an ecosystem’s sensitivity to climate change. Although there have been several phenological studies of plant species worldwide, there is minimal research on the phenology of vegetation found in extremely arid environments within the context of climate change. To address this research gap, this study investigated the effects of climate–hydrological factors, including temperature, precipitation, surface temperature, and surface humidity, on the phenological characteristics (start of the growing season [SOS] and end of the growing season [EOS]) of Populus euphratica in the Tarim Desert Oasis. Using Landsat 7/8 satellite imagery and field data, we analyzed the spatial and temporal variations in the SOS and EOS from 2004 to 2023. The availability of water, particularly changes in groundwater depth and surface water, directly played a key role in shaping the spatial distribution and temporal dynamics of P. euphratica phenology. The impact of increasing temperatures on P. euphratica phenology varied under different moisture conditions: in high-moisture environments, increased temperatures promoted earlier SOS and delayed EOS, with the opposite conditions occurring in low-moisture environments. This study highlights the profound influence of moisture conditions on P. euphratica phenology in the context of climate change, especially in extreme arid regions. To accurately predict the response of P. euphratica phenology to climate change, future ecological models should incorporate hydrological factors, particularly changes in soil moisture, in cold and dry regions. These findings provide important insights for developing effective ecological protection and management strategies. Full article

It is imperative to assess and comprehend the hydrological processes of the river basin in light of the potential effects of land use/land cover and climate changes. The study’s main objective was to evaluate hydrologic response of water balance components to the projected land use/land cover (LULC) and climate changes in the Omo–Gibe River Basin, Ethiopia. The study employed historical precipitation, maximum and minimum temperature data from meteorological stations, projected LULC change from module for land use simulation and evaluation (MOLUSCE) output, and climate change scenarios from coupled model intercomparison project phase 6 (CMIP6) global climate models (GCMs). Landsat thematic mapper (TM) (2007) enhanced thematic mapper plus (ETM+) (2016), and operational land imager (OLI) (2023) image data were utilized for LULC change analysis and used as input in MOLUSCE simulation to predict future LULC changes for 2047, 2073, and 2100. The predictive capacity of the model was evaluated using performance evaluation metrics such as Nash–Sutcliffe Efficiency (NSE), the coefficient of determination (R2), and percent bias (PBIAS). The bias correction and downscaling of CMIP6 GCMs was performed via CMhyd. According to the present study’s findings, rainfall will drop by up to 24% in the 2020s, 2050s, and 2080s while evapotranspiration will increase by 21%. The findings of this study indicate that in the 2020s, 2050s, and 2080s time periods, the average annual Tmax will increase by 5.1, 7.3, and 8.7%, respectively under the SSP126 scenario, by 5.2, 10.5, and 14.9%, respectively under the SSP245 scenario, by 4.7, 11.3, and 20.7%, respectively, under the SSP585 scenario while Tmin will increase by 8.7, 13.1, and 14.6%, respectively, under the SSP126 scenario, by 1.5, 18.2, and 27%, respectively, under the SSP245 scenario, and by 4.7, 30.7, and 48.2%, respectively, under the SSP585 scenario. Future changes in the annual average Tmax, Tmin, and precipitation could have a significant effect on surface and subsurface hydrology, reservoir sedimentation, hydroelectric power generation, and agricultural production in the OGRB. Considering the significant and long-term effects of climate and LULC changes on surface runoff, evapotranspiration, and groundwater recharge in the Omo–Gibe River Basin, the following recommendations are essential for efficient water resource management and ecological preservation. National, regional, and local governments, as well as non-governmental organizations, should develop and implement a robust water resources management plan, promote afforestation and reforestation programs, install high-quality hydrological and meteorological data collection mechanisms, and strengthen monitoring and early warning systems in the Omo–Gibe River Basin. Full article

Poyang Lake, the largest freshwater lake of China, serves as a crucial wintering site for migratory birds in the East Asian–Australasian Flyway, where habitat quality is essential for maintaining diverse bird populations. Recently, the frequent alternation of extreme wet years, e.g., 2020, and dry years, e.g., 2022, have inflicted considerable perturbation on the local wetland ecology, severely impacting avian habitats. This study employed the spatiotemporal fusion method (ESTARFM) to obtain continuous imagery of Poyang Lake National Nature Reserve during the wintering seasons from 2020 to 2022. Habitat areas were identified based on wetland classification and water depth constraints. The results indicate that both extreme wet and dry conditions have exacerbated the fragmentation of migratory bird habitats. The shallow water habitats showed minor short-term fluctuations in response to water levels but were more significantly affected by long-term hydrological trends. These habitats exhibited considerable interannual variability across different hydrological years, affecting both their proportion within the overall habitat and their distribution within the study area. This study demonstrates the ability of ESTARFM to reveal the dynamic changes in migratory bird habitats and their responses to extreme hydrological conditions, highlighting the critical role of water depth in habitat analysis. The outcomes of this study improve the understanding of the impact of extreme water levels on migratory bird habitats, which may help expand knowledge about the protection of other floodplain wetlands around the world. Full article

Different countries face significant challenges in managing water-related natural hazards, such as floods and shortages, while ensuring adequate water quality and quantity to satisfy human needs and preserve ecosystems. Climate change projections exacerbate this situation by intensifying the hydrological cycle, resulting in substantial changes in precipitation patterns, evapotranspiration, and groundwater storage. This study reviews water security challenges across 43 countries, drawing on 128 articles obtained from databases including EBSCOHOST, Scopus and ResearchGate, as well as specific journals. Key search terms included “water security”, “water security and climate change”, “water scarcity”, “water risk index”, “water balance”, “water assessment”, and “land use and land cover change”. The analysis reveals the main water security issues present in 43 countries (flash floods, drought and water quality), and the response measures identified these challenges to water security. All the countries studied face one or more critical water-related effects. Afghanistan, Bangladesh, India, and Mexico were identified as the most severely affected, dealing with a combination of water scarcity, flooding, and water pollution. The most suggested strategies for improving water security include sustainable urban planning, improving consumption efficiency, strategic land-use planning, applying technologies to predict availability of water resources and planning according to variations in resource availability over time. In addition, other general actions include enhancing water storage infrastructure, improving consumption efficiency and adopting sustainable urban planning. Full article

In response to the escalating frequency and severity of wildfires, this study carried out a preliminary assessment of their impact on groundwater systems by simulating post-fire effects on groundwater recharge. The study focuses on the El Sutó spring area in Santa Cruz, Bolivia, a region that is susceptible to water scarcity and frequent wildfires. The United States Geological Survey (USGS) Soil-Water-Balance model version 2.0 was utilized, adjusting soil texture and infiltration capacity parameters to reflect the changes induced by wildfire events. The findings indicated a significant decrease in groundwater recharge following a hypothetical high-severity wildfire, with an average reduction of approximately 39.5% in the first year post-fire. A partial recovery was modeled thereafter, resulting in an estimated long-term average reduction of 10%. Based on these results, the El Sutó spring was provisionally classified as having high vulnerability shortly after a wildfire and moderate vulnerability in the extended period. Building on these model-based impacts, a preliminary Fire-Related Forest Recharge Impact Score (FRIS) was proposed. This index is grounded in soil properties and recharge dynamics and is designed to assess hydrological vulnerability after wildfires in dry tropical forests. Although these findings remain exploratory, they offer a predictive framework intended to guide future studies and inform strategies for managing wildfire impacts on groundwater resources. Full article

This study critically examines the applications of the Hydrologic Engineering Center-Hydrologic Modeling System (HEC-HMS) in hydrological research from 2000 to 2023, with a focus on its use in event-based and continuous simulations. A bibliometric analysis reveals a steady growth in research productivity and identifies key thematic areas, including hydrologic modeling, climate change impact assessment, and land use analysis. Event-based modeling, employing methods such as the SCS curve number (CN) and SCS unit hydrograph, demonstrates exceptional performance in simulating short-term hydrological responses, particularly in flood risk management and stormwater applications. In contrast, continuous modeling excels in capturing long-term processes, such as soil moisture dynamics and groundwater contributions, using methodologies like soil moisture accounting and linear reservoir baseflow approaches, which are critical for water resource planning and climate resilience studies. This review highlights the adaptability of HEC-HMS, showcasing its successful integration of event-based precision and continuous process modeling through hybrid approaches, enabling robust analyses across temporal scales. By synthesizing methodologies, performance metrics, and case studies, this study offers practical insights for selecting appropriate modeling techniques tailored to specific hydrological objectives. Moreover, it identifies critical research gaps, including the need for advanced calibration methods, enhanced parameter sensitivity analyses, and improved integration with hydraulic models. These findings highlight HEC-HMS’s critical role in improving hydrological research and give a thorough foundation for its use in addressing current water resource concerns. Full article

In the context of global climate change, understanding cryosphere degradation and its impact on water resources in alpine regions is crucial for sustainable development. This study investigates the relationship between permafrost degradation and runoff variations in the Source Region of the Yangtze River (SRYR), a critical water tower for sustainable water supply in Asia. We propose a novel method for assessing permafrost sensitivity, which establishes the correlation between cryosphere changes and hydrological responses, contributing to sustainable water resource management. Our research quantifies key uncertainties in runoff change attribution, providing essential data for sustainable decision making. Results show that changes in watershed characteristics account for up to 20% of runoff variation, with permafrost degradation (−0.02 sensitivity) demonstrating a greater influence than NDVI variations. The findings offer critical insights for the development of sustainable adaptation strategies, particularly in maintaining ecosystem services and ensuring long-term water security under changing climate conditions. This study offers a scientific basis for climate-resilient water management policies in high-altitude regions. Full article

The Yangtze River Basin serves as a vital ecological barrier in China, with its water conservation function playing a critical role in maintaining regional ecological balance and water resource security. This study takes the Minjiang River Basin (MRB) as a case study, employing fractal theory in combination with the InVEST model and the SWAT-BiLSTM model to conduct an in-depth analysis of the spatiotemporal patterns of regional water conservation. The research aims to uncover the relationship between the spatiotemporal dynamics of watershed water conservation capacity and its ecosystem service functions, providing a scientific basis for watershed ecological protection and management. Firstly, fractal theory is introduced to quantify the complexity and spatial heterogeneity of natural factors such as terrain, vegetation, and precipitation in the Minjiang River Basin. Using the InVEST model, the study evaluates the water conservation service functions of the research area, identifying key water conservation zones and their spatiotemporal variations. Additionally, the SWAT-BiLSTM model is employed to simulate the hydrological processes of the basin, particularly the impact of nonlinear meteorological variables on hydrological responses, aiming to enhance the accuracy and reliability of model predictions. At the annual scale, it achieved NSE and R² values of 0.85 during calibration and 0.90 during validation. At the seasonal scale, these values increased to 0.91 and 0.93, and at the monthly scale, reached 0.94 and 0.93. The model showed low errors (RMSE, RSR, RB). The findings indicate significant spatial differences in the water conservation capacity of the Minjiang River Basin, with the upper and middle mountainous regions serving as the primary water conservation areas, whereas the downstream plains exhibit relatively lower capacity. Precipitation, terrain slope, and vegetation cover are identified as the main natural factors affecting water conservation functions, with changes in vegetation cover having a notable regulatory effect on water conservation capacity. Fractal dimension analysis reveals a distinct spatial complexity in the ecosystem structure of the study area, which partially explains the geographical distribution characteristics of water conservation functions. Furthermore, simulation results based on the SWAT-BiLSTM model show an increasingly significant impact of climate change and human activities on the water conservation functions of the Minjiang River Basin. The frequent occurrence of extreme climate events, in particular, disrupts the hydrological processes of the basin, posing greater challenges for water resource management. Model validation demonstrates that the SWAT model integrated with BiLSTM achieves high accuracy in capturing complex hydrological processes, thereby better supporting decision-makers in formulating scientific water resource management strategies. Full article

This study details the design and implementation of a real-time river monitoring station established on the Sakarya River, capable of instantaneously tracking water levels and flow rates. The system comprises an ultrasonic distance sensor, a GSM module (Global System for Mobile Communications), which enables real-time wireless data transmission to a server via cellular networks, a solar panel, a battery, and a microcontroller board. The river monitoring station operates by transmitting water level data collected by the ultrasonic distance sensor to a server via a communication module developed on a microcontroller board using an Arduino program, and then sharing these data through a web interface. The developed system performs regular and continuous water level readings without the need for human intervention. During the installation and calibration of the monitoring station, laboratory and field tests were conducted, and the obtained data were validated by comparison with data from the hydropower plant located upstream. This system, mounted on a bridge, measures water levels twice per minute and sends these data to the relevant server via the GSM module. During this process, precipitation data were utilized as a critical reference point for validating measurement data for the 2023 hydrological year, with changes in precipitation directly correlated with river water levels and calculated flow values, which were analyzed accordingly. The real-time river monitoring station allows for instantaneous monitoring of the river, achieving a measurement accuracy of within 0.1%. The discharge values recorded by the system showed a high correlation (r² = 0.92) with data from the hydropower plant located upstream of the system, providing an accurate and comprehensive database for water resource management, natural disaster preparedness, and environmental sustainability. Additionally, the system incorporates early warning mechanisms that activate when critical water levels are reached, enabling rapid response to potential flood risks. By combining energy-independent operation with IoT (Internet Of Things)-based communication infrastructure, the developed system offers a sustainable solution for real-time environmental monitoring. The system demonstrates strong applicability in field conditions and contributes to advancing technologies in flood risk management and water resource monitoring. Full article

Climate change is impacting hydrological conditions in the Dulongjiang-Irrawaddy River basin. This study employs a CV-LSTM model to evaluate the hydrological responses of precipitation, temperature, and runoff under various climate change scenarios. The findings indicate the following: (1) The CV-LSTM model performed excellently in simulating hydrological processes at the Pyay station. (2) From 2025 to 2100, precipitation in the Dulongjiang-Irrawaddy River basin is projected to increase, becoming more concentrated during the rainy season, with a more uneven annual distribution compared to the baseline period (1996–2010). The average temperature is also expected to rise, with an increase of 1.57 °C under the SSP245 scenario and 2.26 °C under the SSP585 scenario compared to the baseline period (1996–2010). (3) Multi-year average flow projections from three GCM models indicate changes of −1.1% to 20.6% under SSP245 and 7.8% to 31.5% under SSP585, relative to the baseline period (1996–2010). (4) Runoff will become more concentrated during the flood season, with greater annual variability, increasing the risks of flooding and drought. Full article

Monitoring soil moisture (SM) on individual crop fields is of great interest for agricultural applications. Synthetic aperture radar (SAR) systems such as Sentinel-1 provide sensitivity to surface SM at a spatial resolution compatible with crop-field monitoring. Different algorithms have been proposed to relate SAR backscattering to SM, yet most overlook soil texture as a modulating factor. This study investigated the influence of soil texture, closely related to soil hydrological properties, on the relationship between Sentinel-1 C-band backscattering and surface SM using extensive data from the agricultural sites of the COSMOS-UK monitoring network. Our results evidenced the semi-empirical first-order relationship between SM and field-averaged VV backscattering, and found that the gradient of their linear regression was indicative of soil texture. For instance, in sandy loam soil the S1 response showed high sensitivity to SM with a change of 1.69% SM per dB; this compared with the lower sensitivity of a clayey soil at a change of 4.81% SM per dB. These findings lay the ground for the retrieval of field-scale soil hydrological properties from backscatter temporal patterns, when used in synergy with rainfall data and process-based soil-moisture models. Full article

Santa María Bay–La Reforma (SMBLR), with its 58,300 ha is one of Mexico’s most extensive estuarine lagoon systems. It is made up of islands, estuaries, and mangrove areas, which provide a vital part of the habitat and refuge of a significant number of birds, fish, amphibians, reptiles, and mammals. The fishing of blue and brown shrimp, marine and estuarine fish, as well as the exploitation of crab and bivalve mollusks, represent an important economic value for the communities that live there and for the state of Sinaloa, Mexico. This state ranked second in fisheries production and first in aquaculture production by 2023. However, the biological richness of this ecosystem has historically been threatened by economic activities such as agriculture, livestock, and aquaculture that, via watersheds, translate into continuous inputs of nutrients and other pollutants. This has led to modifications to the system such as changes in the structure of pelagic and benthic communities, mainly in response to eutrophication. To understand the dynamics of nutrient inputs to the ecosystem, this work presents a comparative analysis of the system’s carrying capacity and the magnitude of the main economic activities from 2007 to 2019. We found that during each season of the year and its transitions, the system functions as a nitrogen and phosphorus sink, which is associated with autotrophic net ecosystem metabolism and nitrogen fixation processes. We suggest that while water residence times in SMBLR are short, these are strongly influenced by the high volumes of water and nutrient loads determined by the spatio-temporal variations in hydrological drainage from the basins of influence of the system. The discharge of agriculture and aquaculture drains into SMBLR are areas of concern due to the high amount of nutrients. Although SMBLR is mostly an autotrophic system, there are signs that the carrying capacity during some seasons has been exceeded, and adverse ecological and socioeconomic effects in the basin are evident. Full article

Responding to a growing concern about impacts from anthropogenic activity on several dozen lakes, a group of citizens initiated and led a water quality sampling program that included characterizing groundwater dependence. The small lakes are located on hummocky glacial terrain near Edmonton, Alberta, Canada. A team of volunteers collected lake samples for a variety of limnological and ecological analyses to document lake health and trophic state, and collaborated with a university research group to identify groundwater dependence using specific environmental tracers (δ²H, δ¹⁸O, and ²²²Rn). Water chemistry and isotopic measurements are largely explained by the position of a lake within the local groundwater flow system. A simple metric to express the likelihood of groundwater dependence was calculated using the total dissolved solids (TDS), δ¹⁸O, and ²²²Rn values. Across the relatively small study area, a greater likelihood of groundwater dependence was determined for lakes located downgradient from an elevated recharge area. In contrast, where the water table was relatively flat, a lower likelihood of groundwater dependence was found. These results were similar to the spatial pattern of a trophic state, indicating that groundwater dependence may be one of the factors responsible for lake ecological status. The data generated by citizens and the knowledge gained about the hydrology of this area will help discussions between landowners and decision makers on how to best manage land use in this diverse landscape. Full article

The Citarum Watershed is indeed a critical water resource in Indonesia, playing a significant role in providing water to Jakarta and other areas in West Java. However, it faces severe environmental stress due to land use changes and climate changes. The Upper Citarum Watershed, considered to be a conservation area, has experienced rapid development due to human activities and economic growth. Climate change not only affects the rainfall value but also the rainfall patterns and sediment flow. The sedimentation process significantly impacts the soil characteristics around the river body. Several factors such as topography, flow velocity, and soil texture influence the sediment characteristics. Given the critical condition of climate and land use change, this study aims to analyse the impacts of the hydrological response of land use and climate change on the sediment rate in the Upper Citarum Watershed. The land use change analysis was conducted by comparing the land use data in 2000, 2010, and 2023 in the Upper Citarum Watershed. The deposition process of solid particles such as sand, silt, and gravel that are transported in the Upper Citarum River were examined in a soil investigation. The sediment rate and deposition by river flow were analysed using HEC-RAS quasi-unsteady flow. The impact of climate change in this study was assessed by simulating the discharge in three conditions, with the first simulation using the discharge from 2000 to 2010, the second simulation using the discharge from 2011 to 2023, and the last simulation using the discharge from 2000 to 2023. Due to the land use change, the developed area increased from 4% to 24% between 2000 until 2023. The magnitude of low flow during the simulation step for three discharge gauges (Majalaya, Dayeuhkolot, and Nanjung) decreased up to 48%, but, on other hand, the sediment rate increased by 20% in Dayeuhkolot. Full article