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26 pages, 3240 KiB  
Article
A Hybrid Methodology Using Machine Learning Techniques and Feature Engineering Applied to Time Series for Medium- and Long-Term Energy Market Price Forecasting
by Flávia Pessoa Monteiro, Suzane Monteiro, Carlos Rodrigues, Josivan Reis, Ubiratan Bezerra, Maria Emília Tostes and Frederico A. F. Almeida
Energies 2025, 18(6), 1387; https://doi.org/10.3390/en18061387 (registering DOI) - 11 Mar 2025
Abstract
In the electricity market, the issue of contract negotiation prices between generators/traders and buyers is of particular relevance, as an accurate contract modeling leads to increased financial returns and business sustainability for the various participating agents, encouraging investments in specialized sectors for price [...] Read more.
In the electricity market, the issue of contract negotiation prices between generators/traders and buyers is of particular relevance, as an accurate contract modeling leads to increased financial returns and business sustainability for the various participating agents, encouraging investments in specialized sectors for price forecasting and risk analysis. This paper presents a methodology applied in experiments on energy forward curve scenarios using a set of techniques, including Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost), Seasonal AutoRegressive Integrated Moving Average with eXogenous regressors (SARIMAX), and Feature Engineering to generate a 10-year projection of the Conventional Long-Term Price. The model validation proved to be effective, with errors of only 4.5% by Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) and slightly less than 2% by Mean Absolute Error (MAE), for a time series spanning from 7 January 2012 to 31 August 2024, in the Brazilian energy market. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section F5: Artificial Intelligence and Smart Energy)
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<p>Electricity market products and their temporal segmentation across different time horizons. The figure categorizes market mechanisms into <b>Reserves, Energy, Capacity, and New Capacity</b>, spanning short-term (minutes to 24 hours), medium-term (months to years), and long-term (up to 35 years) periods. <b>Dark blue arrows</b> indicate markets present in all structures, while <b>orange arrows</b> represent those operating only in specific contexts. The <b>red arrow (System Operations Delivery)</b> highlights ongoing system stability efforts, and the <b>large red timeline arrow</b> illustrates the transition from real-time balancing to long-term contractual agreements. <b>Source:</b> Authors, adapted from [<a href="#B32-energies-18-01387" class="html-bibr">32</a>].</p>
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<p>Systematization of spot price forecasting methodologies—Electricity Power Forecasting. Source: authors, adapted from [<a href="#B33-energies-18-01387" class="html-bibr">33</a>].</p>
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<p>Hybrid Method for Long-Term Projection. Source: Authors.</p>
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<p>Historical LPC Series Normalized Using the MinMax Technique, Decomposed into Trend + Seasonal + Residual. Source: Authors.</p>
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<p>Input Attributes Indicated by Importance Using the XGBoost Technique, Created for the Feature Engineering Process. Source: Authors.</p>
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<p>Forecasting Components of Long-Term Energy Prices for 2024: (<b>a</b>) Seasonality, (<b>b</b>) Trend, and (<b>c</b>) Residuals.</p>
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<p>LPC Projection for the Period January–December 2024 in BRL/MWh (<b>a</b>) by week and (<b>b</b>) by month.</p>
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<p>Comparative Performance of SARIMAX and LSTM Models in Normalized Data Projection.</p>
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<p>(<b>a</b>) Trend Component Projection with SARIMAX Normalized by MinMax for the 10–Year Period and (<b>b</b>) Reconstructed LPC Projection with only SARIMAX model for the 10–Year Period in BRL/MWh. (<b>c</b>) Trend Component Project with hybrid model SARIMAX (blue) + LSTM (green) Normalized by MinMax for 10–Year. Source: Authors.</p>
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<p>Residual Projection for the 10-Year Period with Percentage Increases of 5%, 15%, and 30% for (<b>a</b>) Volatility, (<b>b</b>) 5-Month Moving Average, and (<b>c</b>) 12-Month Moving Average. Source: Authors.</p>
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<p>Residual Projection for the 10-Year Period with Percentage Increases of 5%, 15%, and 30% for (<b>a</b>) Volatility, (<b>b</b>) 5-Month Moving Average, and (<b>c</b>) 12-Month Moving Average. Source: Authors.</p>
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<p>Forecast of the Forward Energy Curve in the Long-Term Horizon from 2024 to 2034 with a 95% Confidence Interval (blue shadow). Source: Authors.</p>
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20 pages, 1690 KiB  
Article
How Does Digital Capability Shape Resilient Supply Chains?—Evidence from China’s Electric Vehicle Manufacturing Industry
by Yanxuan Li and Vatcharapol Sukhotu
Future Internet 2025, 17(3), 123; https://doi.org/10.3390/fi17030123 (registering DOI) - 11 Mar 2025
Abstract
In recent years, the rapid advancement of digital technologies and the growing demand for sustainability have driven unprecedented transformations in the automotive industry, particularly toward electric vehicles (EVs) and renewable energy. The EV supply chain, a complex global network, has become increasingly vulnerable [...] Read more.
In recent years, the rapid advancement of digital technologies and the growing demand for sustainability have driven unprecedented transformations in the automotive industry, particularly toward electric vehicles (EVs) and renewable energy. The EV supply chain, a complex global network, has become increasingly vulnerable to globalization and frequent “black swan” events. The purpose of this study, grounded in organizational information processing theory, aims to systematically examine the role of digital capability in strengthening supply chain resilience (SCR) through improved risk management effectiveness. Specifically, it explores the multidimensional nature of digital capability, clarifies its distinct impact on SCR, and addresses existing research gaps in this domain. To achieve this, this study develops a theoretical framework and validates it using survey data collected from 249 EV supply chain enterprises in China. Partial Least Squares Structural Equation Modeling (PLS-SEM) is employed to empirically test the proposed relationships. The findings provide valuable theoretical insights and actionable guidance for EV manufacturers seeking to leverage digital transformation to mitigate risks effectively and enhance supply chain resilience. However, as the study focuses on Chinese EV supply chain enterprises, caution is needed when generalizing the findings to other regions. Future research could extend this investigation to different markets, such as to Europe and the United States, to explore potential variations. Full article
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<p>Organizational information processing theory framework.</p>
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<p>Proposed conceptual framework.</p>
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<p>(<b>a</b>) Framework and testing result of Model 1; (<b>b</b>) Framework and testing result of Model 2. Note: *** <span class="html-italic">p</span> &lt; 0.001, ** <span class="html-italic">p</span> &lt; 0.01.</p>
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<p>(<b>a</b>) Simple slope plot of DAC’s moderating effect, (<b>b</b>) Simple slope plot of DC’s moderating effect. Note: DAC: Digital analysis capability, DC: Digital capability.</p>
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21 pages, 1658 KiB  
Article
A Comprehensive Analysis of the Economic Implications, Challenges, and Opportunities of Electric Vehicle Adoption in Indonesia
by Natalina Damanik, Risa Saraswani, Dzikri Firmansyah Hakam and Dea Mardha Mentari
Energies 2025, 18(6), 1384; https://doi.org/10.3390/en18061384 (registering DOI) - 11 Mar 2025
Abstract
Electric vehicles (EVs) are a recognized solution for lowering greenhouse gas emissions and decreasing oil dependency, especially in Indonesia. Existing studies have explored the economic impact, challenges, and opportunities of EV adoption separately, lacking a holistic analysis. This study addresses this gap by [...] Read more.
Electric vehicles (EVs) are a recognized solution for lowering greenhouse gas emissions and decreasing oil dependency, especially in Indonesia. Existing studies have explored the economic impact, challenges, and opportunities of EV adoption separately, lacking a holistic analysis. This study addresses this gap by providing a comprehensive assessment of the economic implications, challenges, and opportunities of EV adoption in Indonesia through a systematic literature review of 65 peer-reviewed articles, industry reports, and reputable publications from 2016 to 2024. The document analysis involved keyword-based literature selection, content analysis of economic metrics, and synthesis into key thematic areas. The findings reveal that EV sales in Indonesia have been rising annually, influenced by cost, driving range, environmental impact, technological features, charging infrastructure, battery, and government policies and incentives. EV adoption has positively impacted Indonesia’s GDP, attracted Foreign Direct Investment (FDI), created jobs, and reduced fuel consumption and imports. However, several challenges persist, including high EV costs, inadequate charging infrastructure, societal readiness, battery replacement costs and waste management, and limited model variety. Despite these challenges, opportunities exist in the form of market growth, FDI from nickel resources, energy security, job creation, and industrial expansion. Recommendations for creating a conducive EV ecosystem are provided for relevant stakeholders. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Electric Vehicles for Sustainable Transport and Energy: 2nd Edition)
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<p>Electric car sales, 2010–2024 [<a href="#B8-energies-18-01384" class="html-bibr">8</a>].</p>
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<p>Electric car sales in Indonesia, 2019–2023 [<a href="#B8-energies-18-01384" class="html-bibr">8</a>].</p>
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<p>Key aspects affecting EV adoption in Indonesia.</p>
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<p>Contribution of electric cars and motorcycles to additional electricity demand in different scenarios [<a href="#B66-energies-18-01384" class="html-bibr">66</a>].</p>
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<p>Oil fuel supply demand [<a href="#B77-energies-18-01384" class="html-bibr">77</a>].</p>
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<p>Normalized trends, 2021–2030 (Source: authors’ analysis).</p>
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<p>ICP in USD/barrel (Source: MEMR).</p>
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22 pages, 5056 KiB  
Article
Virtual Power Plant Bidding Strategies in Pay-as-Bid and Pay-as-Clear Markets: Analysis of Imbalance Penalties and Market Operations
by Youngkook Song, Yeonouk Chu, Yongtae Yoon and Younggyu Jin
Energies 2025, 18(6), 1383; https://doi.org/10.3390/en18061383 (registering DOI) - 11 Mar 2025
Abstract
The transition towards renewable energy has increased the importance of virtual power plants (VPPs) in integrating distributed energy resources (DERs). However, questions remain regarding the most appropriate auction mechanisms (pay-as-bid (PAB) versus pay-as-clear (PAC)) and imbalance penalty structures, which significantly influence VPP bidding [...] Read more.
The transition towards renewable energy has increased the importance of virtual power plants (VPPs) in integrating distributed energy resources (DERs). However, questions remain regarding the most appropriate auction mechanisms (pay-as-bid (PAB) versus pay-as-clear (PAC)) and imbalance penalty structures, which significantly influence VPP bidding strategies and market operations. This study employs a three-stage stochastic programming model to evaluate VPP bidding behaviors under these auction mechanisms while also considering the effects of imbalance penalty structures. By simulating various market scenarios, the results reveal that PAC markets offer higher VPP revenues due to settlement at the market-clearing price; they also exhibit greater volatility and elevated imbalance penalties. For instance, power deviations in PAC markets were 52.60% higher than in PAB markets under specific penalty structures, and imbalance penalty cost ranges differed by up to 82.32%. In contrast, PAB markets foster stable, stepwise bidding strategies that minimize imbalance penalties and improve renewable energy utilization, particularly during high- and moderate-generation periods. The findings emphasize the advantages of the PAB mechanism in electricity markets with substantial renewable energy integration, providing significant insights for the design of auction mechanisms that facilitate reliable and sustainable market operations. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Energy Markets and Energy Economy)
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<p>Comparison of price formation under auction mechanisms: (<b>a</b>) PAC; (<b>b</b>) PAB.</p>
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<p>Classification of imbalance penalty structures.</p>
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<p>Generating scenarios using the Z-score method.</p>
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<p>Three-stage scenario tree with joint probability.</p>
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<p>Flowchart of optimal VPP bidding strategy model.</p>
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<p>Market operations in optimal VPP bidding strategy model.</p>
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<p>Input data for scenario generation at different times of day: (<b>a</b>) morning (low generation, low demand); (<b>b</b>) noon (high generation, high demand); (<b>c</b>) night (moderate generation, moderate demand).</p>
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<p>Number of bid segments across different market structures: (<b>a</b>) morning; (<b>b</b>) noon; (<b>c</b>) night.</p>
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<p>Comparison of bid strategies under APS-UPS during the morning period: (<b>a</b>) PAC market; (<b>b</b>) PAB market.</p>
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<p>Box plot of awarded bid prices under different market structures: (<b>a</b>) morning; (<b>b</b>) noon; (<b>c</b>) night.</p>
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<p>Average power deviation under different imbalance penalty structures: (<b>a</b>) negative deviations under APS-UPS; (<b>b</b>) positive deviations under APS-DPS.</p>
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<p>Average revenue: (<b>a</b>) morning; (<b>b</b>) noon; (<b>c</b>) night.</p>
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<p>Boxplot of revenue under different market structures: (<b>a</b>) morning; (<b>b</b>) noon; (<b>c</b>) night.</p>
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<p>Imbalance penalty cost and power generation under SPS-BPS: (<b>a</b>) imbalance penalty cost; (<b>b</b>) power generation.</p>
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16 pages, 562 KiB  
Review
Proteins from Microalgae: Nutritional, Functional and Bioactive Properties
by Juan Pablo García-Encinas, Saul Ruiz-Cruz, Jousé Juárez, José de Jesús Ornelas-Paz, Carmen Lizette Del Toro-Sánchez and Enrique Márquez-Ríos
Foods 2025, 14(6), 921; https://doi.org/10.3390/foods14060921 - 8 Mar 2025
Viewed by 276
Abstract
Microalgae have emerged as a sustainable and efficient source of protein, offering a promising alternative to conventional animal and plant-based proteins. Species such as Arthrospira platensis and Chlorella vulgaris contain protein levels ranging from 50% to 70% of their dry weight, along with [...] Read more.
Microalgae have emerged as a sustainable and efficient source of protein, offering a promising alternative to conventional animal and plant-based proteins. Species such as Arthrospira platensis and Chlorella vulgaris contain protein levels ranging from 50% to 70% of their dry weight, along with a well-balanced amino acid profile rich in essential amino acids such as lysine and leucine. Their cultivation avoids competition for arable land, aligning with global sustainability goals. However, the efficient extraction of proteins is challenged by their rigid cell walls, necessitating the development of optimized methods such as bead milling, ultrasonication, enzymatic treatments, and pulsed electric fields. These techniques preserve functionality while achieving yields of up to 96%. Nutritional analyses reveal species-dependent digestibility, ranging from 70 to 90%, with Spirulina platensis achieving the highest rates due to low cellulose content. Functionally, microalgal proteins exhibit emulsifying, water-holding, and gel-forming properties, enabling applications in baking, dairy, and meat analogs. Bioactive peptides derived from these proteins exhibit antioxidant, antimicrobial (inhibiting E. coli and S. aureus), anti-inflammatory (reducing TNF-α and IL-6), and antiviral activities (e.g., Dengue virus inhibition). Despite their potential, commercialization faces challenges, including regulatory heterogeneity, high production costs, and consumer acceptance barriers linked to eating habits or sensory attributes. Current market products like Spirulina-enriched snacks and Chlorella tablets highlight progress, but food safety standards and scalable cost-effective extraction technologies remain critical for broader adoption. This review underscores microalgae’s dual role as a nutritional powerhouse and a source of multifunctional bioactives, positioning them at the forefront of sustainable food and pharmaceutical innovation. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Seafood Proteins: Nutritional, Functional and Bioactive Properties)
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<p>Illustrative representation of microalgal extraction processes: mechanical, chemical, and ultrasound- and enzyme-assisted methods.</p>
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32 pages, 6147 KiB  
Article
Optimized Real-Time Energy Management and Neural Network-Based Control for Photovoltaic-Integrated Hybrid Uninterruptible Power Supply Systems
by Ruben Rafael Boros, Marcell Jobbágy and István Bodnár
Energies 2025, 18(6), 1321; https://doi.org/10.3390/en18061321 - 7 Mar 2025
Viewed by 118
Abstract
The increasing penetration of photovoltaic (PV) systems and the need for reliable backup power solutions have led to the development of hybrid uninterruptible power supply (UPS) systems. These systems integrate PV energy storage with battery backup and grid power to optimize real-time energy [...] Read more.
The increasing penetration of photovoltaic (PV) systems and the need for reliable backup power solutions have led to the development of hybrid uninterruptible power supply (UPS) systems. These systems integrate PV energy storage with battery backup and grid power to optimize real-time energy management. This paper proposes an advanced energy management strategy and an artificial neural network (ANN)-based control method for PV-integrated hybrid UPS systems. The proposed strategy dynamically determines the optimal power-sharing ratio between battery storage and the grid based on real-time economic parameters, load demand, and battery state of charge (SoC). A centralized ANN-based controller ensures precise control of the LLC converter and rectifier, achieving stable and efficient power distribution. Additionally, a genetic algorithm is implemented to optimize the power sharing ratio, minimizing the LCOE under varying load and electricity pricing conditions. The proposed approach is validated through simulations, demonstrating significant improvements in cost-effectiveness, system stability, and dynamic adaptability compared to conventional control methods. These findings suggest that integrating ANN-based control with optimized energy management can enhance the efficiency and sustainability of hybrid UPS systems, particularly in fluctuating energy markets. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section A2: Solar Energy and Photovoltaic Systems)
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<p>Intelligent online hybrid UPS system with optional bypass switch.</p>
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<p>Centralized leader–follower control strategy [<a href="#B7-energies-18-01321" class="html-bibr">7</a>].</p>
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<p>Block diagram of the hybrid UPS system studied in this research.</p>
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<p>ANN-based centralized control strategy.</p>
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<p>Identifier algorithm for hybrid UPS system with thyristor rectifier.</p>
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<p>Identification of the hybrid UPS system with a thyristor rectifier.</p>
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<p>Three-phase rectifier block internal structure.</p>
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<p>ANN-based centralized controller simulation.</p>
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<p>Total LCOE as a function of green current at different loads, if the solar panel is not producing energy (the points on the curves represent the optimum).</p>
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<p>Setpoints of the identified LLC converter at different loads and battery voltages.</p>
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<p>Firing angles of the identified rectifier at different loads and battery voltages.</p>
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<p>Change in MSE during the epochs, (<b>a</b>) and different aspects of the training process (<b>b</b>).</p>
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<p>The effect of ramping the green current ratio.</p>
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<p>Effect of dynamic battery voltage change.</p>
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<p>The effect of load and battery voltage variation.</p>
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<p>The effect of dynamic change in green current ratio setpoint.</p>
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<p>The effect of power outage and recovery.</p>
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<p>Battery cycle as a function of DoD and load current.</p>
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<p>Actual energy that can be extracted from the battery as a function of load.</p>
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<p>Battery LCOE as a function of DoD and load current.</p>
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<p>LCOEs as a function of load current and DoD.</p>
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<p>Battery LCOE as a function of DoD and current (warmer colors means higher LCOE value).</p>
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<p>LLC converter efficiency as a function of load.</p>
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<p>Optimal green current ratios for different grid electricity tariffs and loads when the solar panel is not producing electricity.</p>
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<p>Optimized cost as a function of load and grid electricity tariff cost (warmer colors means higher price).</p>
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<p>Optimal green current ratios for different grid electricity tariffs and loads when the solar panel is not generating electricity and DoD = 70% (warmer colors means higher optimal green current ratio).</p>
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<p>Total LCOEs (<b>a</b>,<b>c</b>,<b>e</b>,<b>g</b>) and optimal green current ratios (<b>b</b>,<b>d</b>,<b>f</b>,<b>h</b>) for different grid electricity tariffs, DoDs, PV generations, and loads.</p>
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<p>LCOE<sub>TOTPV0</sub> as a function of green current ratio (<b>a</b>,<b>c</b>,<b>e</b>,<b>g</b>) with GA and global optima and fitness value during generations (<b>b</b>,<b>d</b>,<b>f</b>,<b>h</b>).</p>
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29 pages, 3833 KiB  
Review
Sustainable Energy Systems in a Post-Pandemic World: A Taxonomy-Based Analysis of Global Energy-Related Markets Responses and Strategies Following COVID-19
by Tawfiq M. Aljohani, Yasser O. Assolami, Omar Alrumayh, Mohamed A. Mohamed and Abdulaziz Almutairi
Sustainability 2025, 17(5), 2307; https://doi.org/10.3390/su17052307 - 6 Mar 2025
Viewed by 154
Abstract
The global energy sector has been profoundly reshaped by the COVID-19 pandemic, triggering diverse reactions in energy demand patterns, accelerating the transition toward renewable energy sources, and amplifying concerns over global energy security and the digital safety of energy infrastructure. Five years after [...] Read more.
The global energy sector has been profoundly reshaped by the COVID-19 pandemic, triggering diverse reactions in energy demand patterns, accelerating the transition toward renewable energy sources, and amplifying concerns over global energy security and the digital safety of energy infrastructure. Five years after the pandemic’s onset, this study provides a taxonomy-based lesson-learned analysis, offering a comprehensive examination of the pandemic’s enduring effects on energy systems. It employs a detailed analytical framework to map short-, medium-, and long-term transformations across various energy-related sectors. Specifically, the study investigates significant shifts in the global energy landscape, including the electric and conventional vehicle markets, the upstream energy industry (oil, coal, and natural gas), conventional and renewable energy generation, aerial transportation, and the broader implications for global and continental energy security. Additionally, it highlights the growing importance of cybersecurity in the context of digital evolution and remote operations, which became critical during the pandemic. The study is structured to dissect the initial shock to energy supply and demand, the environmental consequences of reduced fossil fuel consumption, and the subsequent pivot toward sustainable recovery pathways. It also evaluates the strategic actions and policy measures implemented globally, providing a comparative analysis of recovery efforts and the evolving patterns of energy consumption. In the face of a global reduction in energy demand, the analysis reveals both spatial and temporal disparities, underscoring the complexity of the pandemic’s impact on the energy sector. Drawing on the lessons of COVID-19, this work emphasizes the need for flexible, forward-thinking strategies and deeper international collaboration to build energy systems that are both resilient and sustainable in the face of uncertainties. Full article
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<p>Roadmap for the discussed taxonomy in this work.</p>
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<p>Reductions in electricity demand during the first weeks of the lockdowns [<a href="#B9-sustainability-17-02307" class="html-bibr">9</a>].</p>
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<p>Monthly quantity of thermal coal import in the EU27 during and pre-COVID time.</p>
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<p>Coal generators across Europe that continue to be in operation.</p>
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<p>Global EV sales in the past few years.</p>
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<p>M-to-M and Y-O-Y EV growth.</p>
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<p>Trends of the market for EVs vs. light-weight vehicles.</p>
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<p>Electric vehicle market share in different European Countries.</p>
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<p>A summary of national subsidies set by the governments before and during the crisis.</p>
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<p>Number of reported cyberattacks per week during lockdowns.</p>
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16 pages, 15608 KiB  
Article
Financial Feasibility of Bioenergy Products Based on Forest Residues: Case of Costa Rica Northern
by Juan Carlos Valverde, Dagoberto Arias-Aguilar and Rooel Campos-Rodríguez
Clean Technol. 2025, 7(1), 21; https://doi.org/10.3390/cleantechnol7010021 - 6 Mar 2025
Viewed by 162
Abstract
This research identified the optimal scenarios to produce three bioenergy outputs: dual generation (electricity and heat), electricity, and heat in two regions located in the northern part of Costa Rica. Two biomass conversion technologies—boilers and gasification—with 2, 5, and 10 MW production capacities [...] Read more.
This research identified the optimal scenarios to produce three bioenergy outputs: dual generation (electricity and heat), electricity, and heat in two regions located in the northern part of Costa Rica. Two biomass conversion technologies—boilers and gasification—with 2, 5, and 10 MW production capacities were assessed to ascertain the most suitable technology-capacity pairing for each bioproduct. To this end, a comprehensive financial model was developed to maximize the net present value. Following this, the equilibrium point for biomass supply and demand was ascertained, alongside estimations of the associated costs and energy utility. The findings indicated that the three bioenergy products could be completed within the local energy market at prices below 0.14 USD/kWh, with maximum supply distances of 90 km. The boiler and turbine technology proved most suitable for dual and electricity generation, with capacities ranging between 2 MW and 5 MW, where differentiation was influenced by biomass transportation. Furthermore, heat generation demonstrated financial viability at a capacity of 2 MW. In the evaluation of supply-demand break-even points, a maximum benefit of 26% was observed, with dual production yielding the highest benefits and heat production being the least favorable option due to the costs linked to biomass transportation and the low efficiency of energy transformation. Full article
(This article belongs to the Collection Bioenergy Technologies)
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<p>Spatial distribution of areas with forest crops and locations considered for the installation of bioenergy processing plants in northern Costa Rica.</p>
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<p>Supply distances and maximum annual biomass demand are required to generate bioenergy products in the location 1 (<b>a</b>) and location 2 (<b>b</b>) in northern Costa Rica.</p>
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<p>Supply-demand production curves function of biomass price (<b>a</b>) and distribution of biomass costs with the biomass equilibrium price (<b>b</b>) for dual-energy generation in two locations in northern Costa Rica.</p>
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<p>Supply-demand production curves function of biomass price (<b>a</b>) and distribution of biomass costs with the biomass equilibrium price (<b>b</b>) for electricity generation in two locations in northern Costa Rica.</p>
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<p>Supply-demand production curves as a function of biomass price (<b>a</b>) and distribution of biomass costs with the biomass equilibrium price (<b>b</b>) for heat generation in two locations in northern Costa Rica.</p>
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22 pages, 5774 KiB  
Article
Research and Demonstration of Operation Optimization Method of Zero-Carbon Building’s Compound Energy System Based on Day-Ahead Planning and Intraday Rolling Optimization Algorithm
by Biao Qiao, Jiankai Dong, Wei Xu, Ji Li and Fei Lu
Buildings 2025, 15(5), 836; https://doi.org/10.3390/buildings15050836 - 6 Mar 2025
Viewed by 181
Abstract
The compound energy system is an important component of zero-carbon buildings. Due to the complex form of the system and the difficult-to-capture characteristics of thermo-electric coupling interactions, the operation control of the zero-carbon building’s energy system is difficult in practical engineering. Therefore, it [...] Read more.
The compound energy system is an important component of zero-carbon buildings. Due to the complex form of the system and the difficult-to-capture characteristics of thermo-electric coupling interactions, the operation control of the zero-carbon building’s energy system is difficult in practical engineering. Therefore, it is necessary to carry out relevant optimization methods. This paper investigated the current research status of the control and scheduling of compound energy systems in zero-carbon buildings at home and abroad, selected a typical zero-carbon building as the research object, analyzed its energy system’s operational data, and proposed an operation scheduling algorithm based on day-ahead flexible programming and intraday rolling optimization. The multi-energy flow control algorithm model was developed to optimize the operation strategy of heat pump, photovoltaic, and energy storage systems. Then, the paper applied the algorithm model to a typical zero-carbon building project, and verified the actual effect of the method through the actual operational data. After applying the method in this paper, the self-absorption rate of photovoltaic power generation in the building increased by 7.13%. The research results provide a theoretical model and data support for the operation control of the zero-carbon building’s compound energy system, and could promote the market application of the compound energy system. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Research on Solar Energy System and Storage for Sustainable Buildings)
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<p>Block diagram of a zero-carbon building’s compound energy system.</p>
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<p>Comparison of annual electricity consumption and power generation of zero-carbon buildings before transformation.</p>
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<p>Monthly electricity consumption and power generation of zero-carbon buildings before transformation.</p>
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<p>Monthly self-absorption rate of the building’s photovoltaic power generation before the transformation.</p>
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<p>Hourly electricity demand and photovoltaic power generation of zero-carbon buildings on a typical summer’s day before the renovation.</p>
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<p>Usage of photovoltaic power generation on a typical summer’s day before renovation.</p>
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<p>Hourly electricity consumption of zero-carbon buildings on a typical summer’s day before renovation.</p>
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<p>Technical path diagram of day-ahead planning and intraday rolling optimization algorithm.</p>
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<p>Structure of the SSA-CNN-LSTM prediction model.</p>
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<p>Flowchart of the day-ahead planning algorithm model.</p>
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<p>Flowchart of the intraday rolling optimization algorithm.</p>
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<p>Python/TRNSYS multi-energy flow coupling optimization control model of the zero-carbon building’s compound energy system.</p>
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<p>Comparison of annual electricity consumption and power generation of zero-carbon buildings after renovation.</p>
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<p>Monthly electricity consumption and local PV generation of zero-carbon office building after renovation.</p>
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<p>Monthly building self-absorption rate of photovoltaic power generation in zero-carbon office building after renovation.</p>
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<p>Hourly electricity demand and photovoltaic power generation of zero-carbon buildings on a typical summer’s day after renovation.</p>
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<p>Photovoltaic power generation usage of buildings on a typical summer’s day after renovation.</p>
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<p>Comparison between field test data and load prediction data.</p>
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<p>Supply-side sources of hourly electricity for zero-carbon buildings.</p>
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<p>Utilization schedule of photovoltaic power generation and battery conditions.</p>
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<p>Comparison of self-absorption rate of zero-carbon building’s photovoltaic power generation before and after renovation.</p>
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<p>Comparison of self-absorption rate of zero-carbon building’s photovoltaic power generation in different seasons before and after renovation.</p>
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<p>Comparison of self-absorption rate of a building’s PV power generation on a typical summer’s day before and after renovation.</p>
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23 pages, 663 KiB  
Article
BS-CDE: An Optimal Charging Strategy Model of BSSs for BSHTs Based on Improved NSGA-II Algorithm
by Yulong Huang, Naiping Niu, Zehua Chen and Xiaofeng Liu
Processes 2025, 13(3), 755; https://doi.org/10.3390/pr13030755 - 5 Mar 2025
Viewed by 229
Abstract
HTs account for less than 7% of the automotive market in China, yet they contribute to more than 40% of the total carbon emissions from vehicles, with nitrogen oxide and particulate matter emissions exceeding 50% of the total vehicular emissions. BS for HTs [...] Read more.
HTs account for less than 7% of the automotive market in China, yet they contribute to more than 40% of the total carbon emissions from vehicles, with nitrogen oxide and particulate matter emissions exceeding 50% of the total vehicular emissions. BS for HTs has emerged as a crucial approach to reducing carbon emissions.As the number of BSHTs increases, the construction and operation of BSSs have become a pressing issue. This study focuses on the optimal charging strategy for BSSs by considering factors such as charging modes, charging durations, and real-time electricity prices. An optimal charging model, BS-CDE, is developed to formulate the operational cost problem of BSSs as a MOOP. By enhancing the traditional NSGA-II algorithm in aspects such as operators and parameter adjustments, the model is solved to obtain the optimal charging strategy, thereby reducing the operational costs of BSSs. Simulation results demonstrate that the proposed model effectively simulates the actual charging and battery-swapping processes for HTs. The results provide valuable guidance for the initial battery configuration and charging strategies of BSSs. Compared with traditional methods, the proposed model incorporates the actual operational scenarios of BSHTs while addressing multiple objectives during the charging process. Experimental results demonstrate that the proposed algorithm outperforms traditional methods, improving the HV and Sp metrics by 6.2% and 13.9%, respectively. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Process Control and Monitoring)
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<p>Model diagram of BSHT and BSS operational scenarios.</p>
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<p>Structure of charging strategy model for BSHTs.</p>
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<p>Schematic of BSHT route simulation.</p>
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<p>Changes in the number of deployed and available batteries.</p>
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<p>Schematic diagram of improved crossover and mutation operators (Colors are just better for differentiation).</p>
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<p>Flowchart of the improved algorithm (improvements are in blue).</p>
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<p>Overall distribution of population.</p>
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<p>The F2–F3 distribution of population (Battery Depletion—Electricity Cost).</p>
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<p>The F1–F2 distribution of population (Configured Batteries—Battery Depletion).</p>
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<p>The F1–F3 distribution of population (Configured Batteries—Electricity Cost).</p>
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<p>Individual Evaluation Values.</p>
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17 pages, 512 KiB  
Article
Towards a Green Transformation: Legal Barriers to Onshore Wind Farm Construction
by Zbysław Dobrowolski, Peter Adamišin, Arkadiusz Babczuk and Sławomir Kotylak
Energies 2025, 18(5), 1271; https://doi.org/10.3390/en18051271 - 5 Mar 2025
Viewed by 177
Abstract
Energy transformation is essential for reducing electricity production costs and building a competitive advantage for each country. Its success relies on balancing environmental goals with the need to maintain secure energy supplies, keep prices at an acceptable level for consumers, and ensure the [...] Read more.
Energy transformation is essential for reducing electricity production costs and building a competitive advantage for each country. Its success relies on balancing environmental goals with the need to maintain secure energy supplies, keep prices at an acceptable level for consumers, and ensure the economy’s competitiveness. Although the literature presents various investment constraints for onshore wind farms, little is known about the regulations that were supposed to protect the natural environment, and in practice, they turned out to be legal constraints on the development of onshore wind farms. This research aims to eliminate this research gap, and identify the legal limitations hindering the development of onshore wind farms, using Poland as a case study. It was examined whether legal provisions aimed at ensuring sustainable development could negatively impact the growth of onshore wind farms. The systematic literature study was supplemented by reviewing documents (available in the Polish Parliament and the Government Legislation Centre) relating to the location policy for onshore wind farms. The findings reveal that unfavourable legal solutions introduced in Poland over nearly a decade have severely obstructed the growth of onshore wind energy. This has led to harmful and measurable effects on society and the economy. Therefore, it is suggested that the creation of energy market regulations should be subject to greater stakeholder oversight. This study fits into the research field on legal barriers, classified as any negative phenomena and processes that do not contribute to achieving assumed goals. Full article
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<p>Onshore Wind Farm Logframe. Based on [<a href="#B83-energies-18-01271" class="html-bibr">83</a>].</p>
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20 pages, 1359 KiB  
Project Report
Energy Policy of Oman: Pursuing Decarbonization
by Rafael Leal-Arcas, Sana Almashloum, Rayyan Jazzar, Noor Bin Saleh and Ryan Almunifi
Energies 2025, 18(5), 1270; https://doi.org/10.3390/en18051270 - 5 Mar 2025
Viewed by 226
Abstract
This paper explores the current state of energy decentralization in Oman, emphasizing its importance for the country’s energy sector. The primary focus is on the electricity market, examining how decentralization is evolving within this context. The analysis evaluates Oman’s regulatory framework to determine [...] Read more.
This paper explores the current state of energy decentralization in Oman, emphasizing its importance for the country’s energy sector. The primary focus is on the electricity market, examining how decentralization is evolving within this context. The analysis evaluates Oman’s regulatory framework to determine its suitability for fostering decentralization and highlights the role of emerging tools and technologies in this transition. This paper reviews the progress made in deploying these innovations, identifies specific regulatory challenges, and provides recommendations to create a more supportive regulatory environment. Additionally, it delves into data protection concerns arising from technologies like smart grids, which collect personal information. By assessing existing data protection regulations, this study identifies gaps and suggests improvements. The methodology involves a textual analysis of the academic literature, offering a comprehensive understanding of the regulatory and technological landscape shaping energy decentralization in Oman. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section A3: Wind, Wave and Tidal Energy)
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<p>Oman’s renewable energy growth over time.</p>
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<p>Oman’s national energy strategy: Targets for 2027.</p>
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<p>Clean energy investments.</p>
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<p>Energy conversion efficiency: Gas vs. electric vehicles.</p>
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13 pages, 1315 KiB  
Article
Construction and Application of Enterprise Electric Carbon Model: A Study Based on Key Enterprises in Qinghai Province
by Zengwei Li, Qifang Pan, Junyi Shi and Haoyang Ji
Sustainability 2025, 17(5), 2243; https://doi.org/10.3390/su17052243 - 5 Mar 2025
Viewed by 227
Abstract
As the coverage of China’s carbon emissions trading market expands from the power industry to the cement, steel, and electrolytic aluminum industries, the measurement and verification of carbon emissions of Chinese enterprises become increasingly important. This paper draws on the IPCC inventory compilation [...] Read more.
As the coverage of China’s carbon emissions trading market expands from the power industry to the cement, steel, and electrolytic aluminum industries, the measurement and verification of carbon emissions of Chinese enterprises become increasingly important. This paper draws on the IPCC inventory compilation method and constructs an electric carbon model at the enterprise level in terms of energy consumption and production process; at the same time, it collects microdata from a total of 44 enterprises in three industries, namely, electrolytic aluminum, cement, and ferroalloy, in Qinghai Province. Based on the constructed electric carbon model, high-frequency measurement of enterprise carbon emissions was conducted. In order to verify the validity of the results, this paper examines the results from the perspectives of internal logic and external standards. The examination shows that the carbon model constructed in this paper has advantages such as cost-effectiveness, high measurement frequency, and accuracy, and it is suitable for third-party verification organizations or relevant management departments to use in the wide-scale measurement and verification of carbon emissions of enterprises. Full article
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<p>Total carbon emissions of seven electrolytic aluminum enterprises (unit: tons).</p>
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<p>Time series plot of total carbon emissions of 13 cement enterprises (unit: tons).</p>
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<p>Time series plot of total carbon emissions of 24 ferroalloy enterprises (unit: tons).</p>
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19 pages, 4398 KiB  
Article
Slow but Steady: Assessing the Benefits of Slow Public EV Charging Infrastructure in Metropolitan Areas
by Giuliano Rancilio, Filippo Bovera and Maurizio Delfanti
World Electr. Veh. J. 2025, 16(3), 148; https://doi.org/10.3390/wevj16030148 - 4 Mar 2025
Viewed by 245
Abstract
Vehicle-grid integration (VGI) is critical for the future of electric power systems, with decarbonization targets anticipating millions of electric vehicles (EVs) by 2030. As EV adoption grows, charging demand—particularly during peak hours in cities—may place significant pressure on the electrical grid. Charging at [...] Read more.
Vehicle-grid integration (VGI) is critical for the future of electric power systems, with decarbonization targets anticipating millions of electric vehicles (EVs) by 2030. As EV adoption grows, charging demand—particularly during peak hours in cities—may place significant pressure on the electrical grid. Charging at high power, especially during the evening when most EVs are parked in residential areas, can lead to grid instability and increased costs. One promising solution is to leverage long-duration, low-power charging, which can align with typical user behavior and improve grid compatibility. This paper delves into how public slow charging stations (<7.4 kW) in metropolitan residential areas can alleviate grid pressures while fostering a host of additional benefits. We show that, with respect to a reference (22 kW infrastructure), such stations can increase EV user satisfaction by up to 20%, decrease grid costs by 40% owing to a peak load reduction of 10 to 55%, and provide six times the flexibility for energy markets. Cities can overcome the limitation of private garage scarcity with this charging approach, thus fostering the transition to EVs. Full article
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<p>Estimated charging behavior share in 2030 [<a href="#B8-wevj-16-00148" class="html-bibr">8</a>].</p>
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<p>Households with private garages in Italian municipalities [<a href="#B12-wevj-16-00148" class="html-bibr">12</a>].</p>
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<p>(<b>a</b>) Entry and (<b>b</b>) exit distribution profiles.</p>
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<p>Example of three EV stops at an EVSE. Generally, blue cells mean 1, while blank cells mean 0.</p>
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<p>Example of update of a profile incurring the risk of overparking fee.</p>
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<p>Charging power and available flexibility during an EV stop.</p>
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<p>Cases design exemplification.</p>
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<p>Daily charging profiles for (<b>a</b>) REF case, (<b>b</b>) SLOW case, and (<b>c</b>) SLOW NO-LIM case. Red line reports the average value, while blue and light blue lines represent the first 100 days of the year.</p>
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<p>Monthly peak withdrawal in yearly simulations.</p>
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<p>Available flexibility in (<b>a</b>) REF and (<b>b</b>) SLOW and SLOW NO-LIM cases.</p>
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18 pages, 4617 KiB  
Article
Real Option Valuation of an Emerging Renewable Technology Design in Wave Energy Conversion
by James A. DiLellio, John C. Butler, Igor Rizaev, Wanan Sheng and George Aggidis
Econometrics 2025, 13(1), 11; https://doi.org/10.3390/econometrics13010011 - 4 Mar 2025
Viewed by 301
Abstract
The untapped potential of wave energy offers another alternative to diversifying renewable energy sources and addressing climate change by reducing CO2 emissions. However, development costs to mature the technology remain significant hurdles to adoption at scale and the technology often must compete [...] Read more.
The untapped potential of wave energy offers another alternative to diversifying renewable energy sources and addressing climate change by reducing CO2 emissions. However, development costs to mature the technology remain significant hurdles to adoption at scale and the technology often must compete against other marine energy renewables such as offshore wind. Here, we conduct a real option valuation that includes the uncertain market price of wholesale electricity and managerial flexibility expressed in determining future optimal decisions. We demonstrate the probability that the project’s embedded compound real option value can turn a negative net present value wave energy project to a positive expected value. This change in investment decision uses decision tree analysis, where real options are developed as decision nodes, and models the uncertainty as a risk-neutral stochastic process using chance nodes. We also show how our results are analogous to a financial out-of-the-money call option. Our results highlight the distribution of outcomes and the benefit of a staged long-term investment in wave energy systems to better understand and manage project risk, recognizing that these probabilistic results are subject to the ongoing evolution of wholesale electricity prices and the stochastic process models used here to capture their future dynamics. Lastly, we show that the near-term optimal decision is to continue to fund ongoing development of a reference architecture to a higher technology readiness level to maintain the long-term option to deploy such a renewable energy system through private investment or private–public partnerships. Full article
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<p>Time series of UK wholesale electricity prices.</p>
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<p>Histogram of monthly returns of UK wholesale electricity prices, 2014–2023.</p>
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<p>Twelve-month rolling annualized volatility, 2014–2023.</p>
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<p>GBM process forecast for wholesale electricity prices.</p>
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<p>Climatological annual mean wave power, 1980–2021.</p>
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<p>The tailless TALOS (displacement: 2969 m<sup>3</sup>).</p>
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<p>Decision tree for compound option.</p>
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<p>Non-recombining lattice to model the uncertain value of the underlying project’s cash flows for site A.</p>
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<p>Policy tree for site A with an expected <span class="html-italic">NPV</span> of EUR 12.6 M.</p>
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<p>Policy tree for site B with an expected <span class="html-italic">NPV</span> of EUR 1.17 M.</p>
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