Search Results (20)

The dam break flood is one of the potential causes of catastrophic events in cascade hydropower hub groups. Investigating the movement patterns of dam break flooding among reservoir groups under different dam break speeds is crucial for flood prevention and emergency response. In this study, the evolution characteristics of dam break floods were investigated in a cascading reservoir system, focusing on different break speeds of the upstream dam. The results indicate that the dam break speed determines the concavity or convexity of the water level curve changes in the upstream reservoir. Accordingly, dam breaks are classified into three modes: instant dam break, fast dam break, and slow dam break. An approximate critical speed has been identified to differentiate between the fast dam break and slow dam break. Further investigation into the evolution patterns of dam break floods in downstream reservoirs under different break modes was conducted. Correspondingly, the flood peak discharge and peak arrival time of the dam break floods vary differently with break speed under different break modes. Finally, a theoretical analysis for the flood peak discharge at the dam site during gradual dam break at a certain speed was established, which is able to predict the over-dam flood peak discharge in fast and slow dam break modes. This study is based on a combination of laboratory flume experiments and three-dimensional numerical simulations. This study has theoretical significance for the reinforcement of public infrastructure safety and the prevention of natural disasters. Full article

Reservoir operation optimization is a technical measure for flood control and is beneficial owing to its reasonable and reliable control and application of existing water conservancy and hydropower hubs, while ensuring dam safety and flood control, as well as the normal operation of power supply and water supply. Considering the beneficial functions of reservoirs, namely flood control and ecological protection, this paper firstly established a two-objective optimal operation model for the reservoir group in the middle reaches of the Yellow River. We aim to maximize the average output of the cascade reservoir group and minimize the average change in ecological flow during the operation period under efficient sediment transport conditions, with the coordination degree of water and sediment as the constraints of reservoir discharge flows. The paper aims to construct an evaluation index system for reservoir operation schemes, apply a combined approach of objective and subjective evaluations, and introduce the gray target and cumulative prospect theories. By uniformly quantifying the established scheme evaluation index system, screening the reservoir operation schemes with the fuzzy evaluation method, and selecting the recommended scheme for each typical year, this paper provides a new scientific formulation of the operation schemes of reservoirs in the middle reaches of the Yellow River. The selected schemes are compared with actual data, demonstrating the effectiveness of joint reservoir operation and for multidimensional benefits in terms of power generation, ecology, and flood control. Full article

To alleviate regional disparities in water resource distribution and consequent scarcity, China has initiated and planned a series of inter-basin water transfer projects using the Yangtze River Basin as the source. These projects are expected to divert approximately 33.4 billion cubic meters of water annually from the Yangtze River Basin. The implementation of these water transfer projects will inevitably alter the hydrological conditions in the upper reaches of the Yangtze River, impacting the reservoir storage strategies of cascading hydroelectric stations under current end-of-flood-season operational plans. This study quantitatively assesses the impact of water transfer projects on end-of-flood-season reservoir storage in cascading systems using the reservoir fullness ratio as an indicator. Employing reservoir storage analysis models, optimization techniques, and flood risk assessment methods, we simulated reservoir storage processes to evaluate associated flood risks and derive an optimized timing strategy for cascading reservoir storage. The results indicate that advancing the reservoir filling schedule by five days for both the Baihetan and Three Gorges dams can offset the adverse impacts of water transfer projects on reservoir storage efficiency. This adjustment restores the reservoir fullness ratio to levels observed in scenarios without water transfers while still meeting flood control requirements. After optimizing the timing of reservoir filling, the electricity generation capacity for the Baihetan and Three Gorges dams increased by 1.357 and 3.183 billion kWh, respectively, under non-transfer scenarios. In water transfer scenarios, the electricity generation for the Baihetan and Three Gorges dams increased by 1.48 and 2.759 billion kWh, respectively. By optimizing reservoir filling schedules, we not only improved the reservoir fullness ratio but also enhanced the electricity generation efficiency of the cascading systems, offering valuable insights for future reservoir operation optimization. Full article

An analysis of the effect on the flow regime caused by reservoir operation is crucial to balancing the exploitation and protection of water resources. The long-term effect of this on the intraday scale and small storage capacity is considerable, but rarely analyzed. This study examines the world’s largest dual-cascade hydro-junction, the Three Gorges Dam and Gezhouba Dam junction, as a case study, adopting eight indices to characterize the reservoir’s inflow and outflow fluctuation. In doing this, we evaluate the alteration of the flow regime induced by an up-cascade reservoir and its alleviation caused by the down-cascade re-regulation. The results show: (1) an increment of the river flow fluctuation at the Three Gorges Dam, matched with hourly scale alleviation at the Gezhouba Dam; (2) a reduction (25.09~41.35%) in the quantitative indices of the river flow regime fluctuation; (3) perturbations on the power output. These findings provide references for developing methods to assess the re-regulation mechanisms in systems with upper- and lower-cascades. Full article

Contrary to the other functions of multi-purpose reservoirs, recreational use is not associated with a tangible social value, which hinders the search for new balances among optimal uses of water that will likely be needed under climate change. The objective of this study is to analyze visitation behavior and its patterns at a large-scale reservoir system on the Vltava River to quantify the total social benefits associated with recreation in monetary terms and to suggest how the magnitude of estimated recreation welfare relates to hydro-energy benefits, which are in usual practice taken much more into account than recreation in the strategic management of water dams. The elicited average consumer surplus per person and trip is EUR 55.7, which yields a total yearly recreation value of EUR 34 billion (ranging between 22 and 57). When compared to, e.g., the social value of hydro-energy generation, the actual yearly recreation welfare represents 1/3 of this nowadays more prioritized use. The results of the study bring new information for water management bodies that has been missing up to now, and they bring new arguments for reaching socially optimal water use in the strategic and operational management of the cascade of dams. From this perspective, the actual strategic relative prioritization of these two reservoir functions at the pilot site may be viewed as rational. Full article

Stochastic Dynamic Programming (SDP) has been used to solve reservoir management problems in different parts of the world; specifically in Mexico, it has been used to obtain operating policies that optimize a given objective function. By simulating the operation of the system with a comprehensive model, the behavior of such policies can be accurately evaluated. An optimal policy involves, on the one hand, the selection of the volume of water to extract from each reservoir of the system that guarantees the maximum expected benefit from electricity generation in the long term; and, on the other hand, an optimal policy should reduce the occurrence of unwanted events such as spills, deficits, as well as volumes exceeding the guide curves imposed by the operators of the dams. In the case of the Grijalva river dam system, SDP was applied to determine optimal operating policies considering three alternative guide curves proposed by different agencies; however, since the simulation of the operation of the system under the three alternatives with the historical record of dam inflows found that none of them showed deficits or spills, it was considered necessary to use synthetic series of inflows to increase the stress of the system. Records of synthetic biweekly series of 1000 years were then generated to simulate the behavior of the Grijalva river dam system using the optimal operation policies obtained for each alternative. By stressing the dam system by simulating its behavior with synthetic series longer than the historical record but preserving the same statistical characteristics of the historical series on the synthetic ones, it was possible to realistically evaluate each operating policy considering the frequency and magnitude of spills and deficits that occurred at each dam. For the generation of the synthetic series, a fragment method was used; it was adapted to simultaneously generate the inflow volumes to the two regulating dams (modified Svanidze method), which preserves the statistical characteristics of the historical series, including both the autocorrelations of each series and the cross-correlation. It was also verified that simulating the operation of the dam system with the generated series also preserves the average conditions, such as the average biweekly generation at each dam, which were obtained in the simulations with the historical record. Finally, an optimal policy was obtained (Test 4) by combining the guide curves used in the previous tests. Such a policy attained an average energy production of 474 GWh/fortnight, the lowest average total spills in the system (30,261.93 hm³), and limited deficits (5973.17 hm³) in the long term. This represents a relative increase of 16% in energy generated compared to the balanced historical operation scenario with respect to the few events of spills and deficits. Full article

The Harvard Water Program is more than sixty years old. It was directed by an academic Steering Committee consisting of the professors of Government and Political Science, Planning, Economics, and Water Engineering. In 2022 we would add to the notional Steering Committee the professors of Ecology, Sociology and Water Law, calling it the augmented Harvard eutopian approach to the design and operation of Water Resource Systems. We use the Greek word ‘eu-topos’ to mean ‘a good place’, figuratively speaking, and ‘dys-topos’ its antonym, ‘not a good place’. By opposing eutopia and dystopia (latin forms) (Utopian literature begins with Thomas More’s (1478–1535) fictional socio-political satire “Utopia”, written in Latin and published in 1516: “Libellus vere aureus, nec minus salutaris quam festivus, de optimo rei publicae statu deque nova insula Utopia”. “A little, true book, not less beneficial than enjoyable, about how things should be in a state and about the new island Utopia” [Wikipedia translation]. He coined the word ‘utopia’ from the Greek ou-topos meaning ‘no place’ or ‘nowhere’. It was a pun-the almost identical Greek word eu-topos means ‘a good place’), we pass judgement on three Irish case studies, in whole and in part. The first case study deals with the dystopian measurement of the land phase of the hydrological cycle. The system components are distributed among many government departments that see little need to cooperate, leading to proposition 1: A call for a new Water Law. The second case study deals with a project to restore a 200 km² polder landscape to its condition in 1957. The project came to the University with an hypothetical cause of the increased flooding and a tentative solution: dredge the Cashen estuary of its sand, speeding the flow of sluiced water to the sea, and the status quo ante would be restored. The first scientific innovation was the proof that restoration by dredging is impossible. Pumping is the only solution, but it raises disruptive questions that are not covered by Statute. The second important innovation was the discovery in the dynamic water balance, of large leakage into the polders, either around or between sluiced culverts, when the flap valves are nominally closed, impacting both their maintenance and minimization of pumping. Discussions on our findings ended in dystopian silence. Hence proposition 2: Moving towards eutopia may only be possible with a change in the Law. The third case study concerns the protection of Cork City from flooding: riverine, tidal and groundwater. The government’s “emerging solution” consists of major physical intervention in the city centre, driven hard against local opposition, as the only possible solution. Two hydro-electric reservoirs upstream were largely ignored as part of a solution because the relevant Statute did not mandate their use for flood control. The Supreme Court has recently overturned this interpretation of the governing Statute. A new theory of flood control with a cascade of reservoirs, dams and weirs is the scientific innovation here. Once more these findings have been greeted by government with dystopian silence. Hence proposition 3: Re-open the design process to find several much better solutions, approximating a eutopian water world. Full article

High water usage is necessary while ore passes through the many stages of a mineral processing plant. However, a dewatering system filters the final ore pulp product to remove the water, which is reutilized in the previous processes. This step is fundamental to reducing the fresh new water consumption. Usually, several tanks, pumps, and filters form a dewatering system—any failure or shutdowns from those components disbalance the pulp flow. The waste of many tons of water and ore products for a tailing dam is the worst consequence of a mass disbalance in a dewatering system. This paper proposes an advanced regulatory control strategy composed of cascade and override loops for a dewatering system. The main purpose is to increase the production period, even under filter failure and changes in the inlet pulp characteristics. This control strategy is evaluated using a digital model of a large-scale Brazilian iron ore processing plant. Two scenarios are investigated: the simultaneous failure of two filters and disturbances in the flow and density of the thickener. The simulation results show that the proposed control strategy could extend the period of operation of the dewatering plant under failures in the disc filters and reject significant disturbances. For the considered simulation period, the proposed solution increases the time to overflow by $72\%$ when compared to the previous control strategy. Thus, it is possible to avoid the waste of approximately $2448.36$ tons of ore pulp that would be sent to the tailings dam. Full article

Water temperature (WT) is a critical control for various physical and biochemical processes in riverine systems. Although the prediction of river water temperature has been the subject of extensive research, very few studies have examined the relative importance of elements affecting WT and how to accurately estimate WT under the effects of cascaded dams. In this study, a series of potential influencing variables, such as air temperature, dew temperature, river discharge, day of year, wind speed and precipitation, were used to forecast daily river water temperature downstream of cascaded dams. First, the permutation importance of the influencing variables was ranked in six different machine learning models, including decision tree (DT), random forest (RF), gradient boosting (GB), adaptive boosting (AB), support vector regression (SVR) and multilayer perceptron neural network (MLPNN) models. The results showed that day of year (DOY) plays the most important role in each model for the prediction of WT, followed by flow and temperature, which are two commonly important factors in unregulated rivers. Then, combinations of the three most important inputs were used to develop the most parsimonious model based on the six machine learning models, where their performance was compared according to statistical metrics. The results demonstrated that GB3 and RF3 gave the most accurate forecasts for the training dataset and the test dataset, respectively. Overall, the results showed that the machine learning model could be effectively applied to predict river water temperature under the regulation of cascaded dams. Full article

Brazil has a large share of hydropower in its electricity matrix. Since hydropower depends on water availability, it is particularly vulnerable to drought events, making the Brazilian electricity matrix vulnerable to climate change. Starting in 2005, Brazil opened the matrix to new renewable sources, including sugarcane-based electricity. Sugarcane is known for its resilience to short dry spells. Over the last decades, its production area moved from the coastal plains of the Atlantic Forest biome to the savannahs of the Cerrado biome, which is characterised by a five- to six month-long dry season. The sugarcane-based electricity system is highly dynamic and complex due to the interlinkages, dependencies, and cascading impacts between its agricultural and industrial subsystems. This paper applies the risk framework proposed by the IPCC to assess climate-change-driven drought risks to sugarcane electricity generation systems to identify their strengths and weaknesses, considering the system dynamics and linkages. Our methodology aims to understand and characterize drought in the agriculture as well as industrial subsystems and offers a specific understanding of the system by using indicators tailored to sugarcane-based electricity generation. Our results underline the relevance of actions at different levels of management. Initiatives, such as regional weather forecasts specifically for agriculture, and measures to increase industrial water-use efficiency were identified to be essential to reduce the drought risk. Actions from farmers and mill owners, supported and guided by the government at different levels, have the potential to increase the resilience of the system. For example, the implementation of small dams was identified by local actors as a promising intervention to adapt to the long dry seasons; however, they need to be implemented based on a proper technical assessment in order to locate these dams in suitable places. Moreover, the results show that creating and maintaining small water reservoirs to enable the adoption of deficit-controlled irrigation technology contribute to reducing the overall drought risk of the sugarcane-based electricity generation system. Full article

Hydrologic alternation of river systems is an essential factor of human activity. Cascade-dammed waters are characterized by the disturbed outflow of material from the catchment. Changes in sediment, dissolved load and nutrient balance are among the base indicators of water resource monitoring. This research was based on the use of hydrological and water quality data (1984–2017) and the Indicators of Hydrologic Alteration (IHA) method to determine the influence of river regime changes on downstream transfer continuity of sediments and nutrients in the example of the Lower Brda river cascade dams (Poland). Two types of regimes were used: hydropeaking (1984–2000) and run–of–river (2001–2017). Using the IHA method and water quality data, a qualitative and quantitative relationship were demonstrated between changes of regime operation and sediment and nutrient balance. The use of sites above and below the cascade made it possible to determine sediment, dissolved load, and nutrient trapping and removing processes. Studies have shown that changes in operation regime influenced the supply chain and continuity of sediment and nutrient transport in cascade-dammed rivers. The conducted research showed that sustainable management of sediment and nutrient in the alternated catchment helps achieve good ecological status of the water. Full article

The aim of this research was to produce a new methodology for a special river bottom hazard mapping for the stability purposes of the biggest Polish water power plant: Włocławek. During the operation period of the water power plant, an engineering-geological issue in the form of pothole formation on the Wisła River bed in the gravel-sand alluvium was observed. This was caused by increased fluvial erosion resulting from a reduced water level behind the power plant, along with frequent changes in the water flow rates and water levels caused by the varying technological and economic operation needs of the power plant. Data for the research were obtained by way of a 4-year geodetic/bathymetric monitoring of the river bed implemented using integrated GNSS (Global Navigation Satellite System), RTS (Robotized Total Station) and SBES (Single Beam Echo Sounder) methods. The result is a customized river bottom hazard map which takes into account a high, medium, and low risk levels of the potholes for the water power plant structure. This map was used to redevelop the river bed by filling. The findings show that high hazard is related to 5% of potholes (capacity of 4308 m³), medium with 38% of potholes (capacity of 36,455 m³), and low hazard with 57% of potholes (capacity of 54,396 m³). Since the construction of the dam, changes due to erosion identified by the monitoring have concerned approximately 405,252 m³ of the bottom, which corresponds to 130 Olympic-size pools. This implies enormous changes, while a possible solution could be the construction of additional cascades on the Wisła River. Full article

Despite the fact that cascade reservoirs are built in a large number of river basins nowadays, there is still an absence of studies on sequential embankment dam-break in cascade reservoirs. Therefore, numerical simulations and risk analyses of cascade reservoir dam-break are of practical engineering significance. In this study, by means of contacting the hydraulic features of upstream and downstream reservoirs with flood routing simulation (FRS) and flood-regulating calculation (FRC), a numerical model for the whole process of cascade reservoir breaching simulation (CRBS) is established based on a single-embankment dam-break model (Dam Breach Analysis—China Institute of Water Resources and Hydropower Research (DB-IWHR)). In a case study of a fundamental cascade reservoir system, in the upstream Tangjiashan barrier lake and the downstream reservoir II, the whole process of cascade reservoir dam-break is simulated and predicted under working schemes of different discharge capacities, and the risk of cascading breaching was also evaluated through CRBS. The results show that, in the dam-break of Tangjiashan barrier lake, the calculated values of the peak outflow rate are about 10% more than the recorded data, which are in an acceptable range. In the simulation of flood routing, the dam-break flood arrived at the downstream reservoir after 3 h. According to the predicted results of flood-regulating calculations and the dam-break simulation in the downstream reservoir, the risk of sequential dam-break can be effectively reduced by setting early warnings to decrease reservoir storage in advance and adding a second discharge tunnel to increase the discharge capacity. Alongside the simulation of flood routing and flood regulation, the whole process of cascade dam-break was completely simulated and the results of CRBS tend to be more reasonable; CRBS shows the great value of engineering application in the risk assessment and flood control of cascade reservoirs as an universal numerical prediction model. Full article

Climate change could have dire effects on hydropower systems, especially in southwest China, where hydropower dominates the regional power system. This study examines two large cascade hydropower systems in Yunnan province in southwest China for 10 climate change projections made with 5 global climate models (GCMs) and 2 representative concentration pathways (RCPs) under Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5). First, a back propagation neural network rain-runoff model is built for each hydropower station to estimate inflows with climate change. Then, a progressive optimality algorithm maximizes hydropower generation for each projection. The results show generation increasing in each GCM projection, but increasing more in GCMs under scenario RCP8.5. However, yearly generation fluctuates more: generation decreases dramatically with potential for electricity shortages in dry years and more electricity as well as spill during wet years. Average annual spill, average annual inflow and average storage have similar trends. The analysis indicates that a planned large dam on the upper Jinsha River would increase seasonal regulation ability, increase hydropower generation, and decrease spill. Increased turbine capacity increases generation slightly and decreases spill for the Lancang River. Results from this study demonstrate effects of climate change on hydropower systems and identify which watersheds might be more vulnerable, along with some actions that could help adapt to climate change. Full article

The Yangtze River has the third greatest water flow and is one of the most human-influenced rivers in the world. Since 1950, this river system has experienced drastic human interventions, leading to various environmental changes, including water temperature. In this study, based on observations during the past sixty years, we found that the seasonal temperature regime has been altered, both temporally (1–5 °C variation) and spatially (>626 km distance). Temperature shifts not only delay the timing of fish spawning directly, but also lead to degeneration in gonad development. Temperature regime alterations have delayed the suitable spawning temperature window by approximately 29 days over a decade (2003–2016). It confirmed that a period of lower temperature, higher cumulative temperature, and relatively higher temperature differences promoted the maturation of potential spawners based on the correlation analysis (p < 0.05). Also, thermal alterations were highly correlated with reservoir capacity upstream (R² = 0.866). On-going cascade dam construction and global warming will lead to further temperature shifts. Currently, rigorous protection measures on the breeding population of the Chinese sturgeon and its critical habitats is urgently needed to prevent the crisis of the species extinction. Increasing river thermal shifts not only threaten the Chinese sturgeon but also affect the entire Yangtze aquatic ecosystem. Full article