1. Introduction
Colorectal cancer is the third most common cancer worldwide and the second leading cause of cancer-related deaths, accounting for approximately 10% of all cancer incidences and mortalities globally [
1]. Surgical resection remains the primary treatment modality for localized colorectal cancer, offering the best chance for a cure [
2]. Despite advances in surgical techniques and perioperative care, postoperative complications continue to pose significant challenges, affecting patient recovery, hospital stay, and overall survival [
3].
Postoperative complications not only increase morbidity and mortality but also lead to prolonged hospitalization and higher healthcare costs [
4]. Identifying patients at higher risk of complications allows clinicians to implement targeted interventions to mitigate these risks [
5]. Various factors, including patient demographics, comorbidities, nutritional status, and intraoperative variables, have been studied for their impact on surgical outcomes [
6].
Inflammatory markers such as C-reactive protein (CRP) and albumin levels have emerged as potential predictors of postoperative complications [
7]. Elevated CRP levels indicate systemic inflammation, which has been associated with poor surgical outcomes [
8]. Hypoalbuminemia reflects malnutrition and has been linked to impaired wound healing and increased susceptibility to infections [
9]. Additionally, the American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA) score is a widely used preoperative assessment tool to evaluate patients’ overall health status and predict perioperative risks [
10].
Intraoperative factors like blood loss and operative time are also crucial determinants of postoperative outcomes [
11]. Excessive blood loss can lead to hemodynamic instability and transfusion-related complications [
12]. Prolonged operative time may increase the risk of infections due to extended exposure and tissue handling [
13]. Despite the recognition of these factors, there is a need for comprehensive studies that simultaneously evaluate the impact of multiple preoperative and intraoperative variables on postoperative outcomes in colorectal cancer surgery.
This study aims to bridge this gap by conducting a retrospective analysis of 688 patients undergoing colorectal cancer surgery. By examining a wide range of variables, including laboratory values, comorbidities, and surgical details, we seek to identify significant predictors of postoperative complications and mortality. Understanding these associations can inform clinical practice, allowing for better risk stratification and personalized patient care.
3. Results
Table 1 summarizes the demographic and clinical characteristics of the 688 patients included in the study, divided into those who experienced postoperative complications (n = 196) and those who did not (n = 492). The mean age of patients with complications was significantly higher (68 ± 11 years) compared to those without complications (64 ± 12 years), with a
p-value of <0.001, indicating that older age is associated with increased risk of complications. There was no significant difference in sex distribution between the groups (
p = 0.712), suggesting that gender did not influence complication rates.
BMI was slightly lower in the complication group (25.8 ± 4.5 kg/m2) compared to the no complication group (26.8 ± 4.0 kg/m2), with a p-value of 0.005, indicating a potential association between lower BMI and higher complication rates. Lifestyle factors such as smoking and alcohol consumption were more prevalent in the complication group, with smoking rates at 36.7% vs. 28.0% (p = 0.023) and alcohol consumption at 29.6% vs. 21.5% (p = 0.021). This suggests that these factors may contribute to poorer postoperative outcomes.
Comorbidities like diabetes mellitus and hypertension were significantly more common in patients who experienced complications. Diabetes was present in 29.6% of patients with complications compared to 19.1% without (p = 0.003), and hypertension was observed in 52.0% vs. 42.7% (p = 0.027). A higher ASA score (≥3) was markedly more frequent in the complication group (63.3% vs. 32.5%, p < 0.001), emphasizing its role as a predictor of postoperative risk.
Table 2 presents the preoperative laboratory values of patients, comparing those with and without postoperative complications. CRP levels were significantly higher in the complication group, with a median of 18 mg/L compared to 10 mg/L in the no-complication group (
p < 0.001). Elevated CRP indicates systemic inflammation, which may predispose patients to postoperative complications.
Serum albumin levels were significantly lower in patients who developed complications (35 ± 6 g/L) versus those who did not (39 ± 4 g/L), with a p-value of <0.001. Hypoalbuminemia reflects poor nutritional status and is associated with impaired healing and increased susceptibility to infections. Hemoglobin levels were also lower in the complication group (11.8 ± 2.0 g/dL vs. 12.8 ± 1.6 g/dL, p < 0.001), suggesting that anemia may contribute to adverse outcomes.
White blood cell (WBC) counts were higher in patients with complications (8.2 ± 2.5 × 109/L) compared to those without (7.2 ± 1.9 × 109/L, p < 0.001), indicating a possible ongoing infection or inflammatory response. Platelet counts were slightly higher in the complication group (265 ± 80 × 109/L vs. 245 ± 65 × 109/L, p = 0.002), which may be related to inflammation or a reactive process.
Table 3 details the surgical variables associated with the patients’ procedures. Laparoscopic surgery was performed in 45.3% of cases but was less common in the complication group (34.7%) compared to the no-complication group (49.6%), with a significant
p-value of <0.001. This suggests that laparoscopic surgery may be associated with fewer postoperative complications, potentially due to its minimally invasive nature.
Operative time was longer in patients who developed complications (195 ± 50 min) versus those who did not (175 ± 40 min), with a p-value of <0.001. Longer surgeries may increase the risk of complications due to prolonged anesthesia and greater tissue exposure. Blood loss greater than 500 mL occurred in 38.8% of patients with complications compared to 10.6% without complications (p < 0.001), highlighting significant blood loss as a predictor of adverse outcomes.
Intraoperative complications were significantly higher in the complication group (18.4% vs. 4.9%, p < 0.001). The types of resections performed did not differ significantly between the groups (p > 0.05), indicating that the location of the tumor and type of surgical resection were not associated with postoperative complications in this cohort.
Table 4 presents postoperative outcomes. Patients with complications had a significantly longer hospital stay (14 ± 5 days) compared to those without complications (8 ± 3 days), with a
p-value of <0.001. The reoperation rate was markedly higher in the complication group (16.3% vs. 1.6%,
p < 0.001), indicating that complications often necessitated additional surgical interventions.
The 30-day mortality rate was significantly higher among patients who experienced complications (14.3%) compared to those who did not (1.6%), with a p-value of <0.001. This underscores the impact of postoperative complications on patient survival. The severity of complications was assessed using the Clavien–Dindo classification, with Grades I–II representing minor complications and Grades III–IV representing major complications.
In patients younger than 65, those with elevated CRP levels have a 43.6% complication rate, significantly higher than the 18.7% in those with normal CRP. For patients aged 65 and above, the complication rate jumps to 67.9% for elevated CRP, compared to 31.2% with normal CRP. In surgical type subgroups, laparoscopic surgery shows a complication rate of 28.4% with elevated CRP versus 15.8% with normal CPR, while open surgery displays a more pronounced disparity—62.3% versus 34.1%. BMI subgroups also show variation, with higher complications at 39.7% for elevated CRP in patients with a BMI ≥ 25 kg/m
2, compared to 21.9% with normal CRP; and 54.6% versus 26.8% in those with a BMI < 25 kg/m
2 (
Table 5).
Table 6 displays the univariate analysis of factors associated with postoperative complications. Age over 65 years was associated with an increased risk of complications (OR 1.8,
p < 0.001). Low BMI (<18.5 kg/m
2) also increased the risk (OR 1.5,
p = 0.012), suggesting that underweight patients are more susceptible to adverse outcomes.
Lifestyle factors such as smoking and alcohol consumption were significant predictors, both with an OR of 1.5 (p < 0.05). Comorbidities like diabetes mellitus (OR 1.8, p < 0.001) and hypertension (OR 1.4, p = 0.036) were associated with higher complication rates. An ASA score of ≥3 significantly increased the risk (OR 3.5, p < 0.001), reinforcing its value in preoperative risk assessment.
Elevated CRP and low albumin levels were strong predictors of complications, with ORs of 2.3 and 2.0, respectively (p < 0.001). Anemia (hemoglobin < 10 g/dL) and elevated WBC counts were also significant factors. Not undergoing laparoscopic surgery increased the risk (OR 1.9, p < 0.001), as did operative time over 180 min (OR 1.6, p = 0.002). The most substantial risk was associated with blood loss greater than 500 mL (OR 5.3, p < 0.001) and intraoperative complications (OR 4.4, p < 0.001).
In the study, several variables identified in the univariate analysis as significant predictors of postoperative complications did not make it into the multivariate logistic regression model, including BMI, smoking, alcohol consumption, diabetes mellitus, hypertension, hemoglobin levels, WBC count, lack of laparoscopic surgery, and operative time. The multivariate analysis was adjusted for confounders by including only variables that maintained their significance when controlling for others, focusing on age over 65, ASA score ≥ 3, elevated CRP, low albumin, significant blood loss (>500 mL), and intraoperative complications to evaluate their independent impact on postoperative outcomes.
Table 7 presents the multivariate logistic regression analysis identifying independent predictors of postoperative complications. Age over 65 years remained a significant predictor (adjusted OR 1.5,
p = 0.021). An ASA score of ≥3 was strongly associated with complications (adjusted OR 2.8,
p < 0.001), emphasizing its importance in preoperative evaluation. Elevated CRP levels independently predicted complications (adjusted OR 2.1,
p < 0.001), indicating that systemic inflammation is a significant risk factor. Low albumin levels also remained significant (adjusted OR 1.8,
p < 0.001), highlighting the role of nutritional status. Blood loss greater than 500 mL was a strong independent predictor (adjusted OR 2.4,
p < 0.001), suggesting that minimizing intraoperative blood loss could improve outcomes. Intraoperative complications increased the risk of postoperative complications nearly threefold (adjusted OR 2.9,
p < 0.001), underscoring the impact of surgical events on patient recovery.