Evaluating High-Precision Machine Learning Techniques for Optimizing Plate Heat Exchangers’ Performance
<p>Structure block diagram of the fouling monitoring algorithm.</p> "> Figure 2
<p>Schematic diagram of the LSTM network structure.</p> "> Figure 3
<p>Schematic diagram of the MLP structure.</p> "> Figure 4
<p>Prediction logic block diagram of the LSTM algorithm model.</p> "> Figure 5
<p>Logic block diagram of the MLP model’s prediction.</p> "> Figure 6
<p>Prediction of Model A by the LSTM algorithm model. (<b>a</b>) The predicted and measured temperature of the cold side outlet of Model A when the number of hidden layers is 2. (<b>b</b>) The predicted and measured temperature of the cold side outlet of Model A when the number of hidden layers is 3. (<b>c</b>) Model indicators.</p> "> Figure 7
<p>Prediction of the outlet temperature of Model A by MLP. (<b>a</b>) The predicted and measured temperature of the cold side outlet of Model A when the number of hidden layers is 2. (<b>b</b>) The predicted and measured temperature of the cold side outlet of model A when the hidden layer is 3. (<b>c</b>) Model indicators.</p> "> Figure 8
<p>LSTM prediction of the exit temperature of Model B. (<b>a</b>) The predicted and measured temperature of the cold side outlet of Model B when the number of hidden layers is 2. (<b>b</b>) The predicted and measured temperature of the cold side outlet of Model B when the number of hidden layer is 3. (<b>c</b>) Model indicators.</p> "> Figure 9
<p>MLP prediction of the exit temperature of Model B. (<b>a</b>) The predicted and measured temperature of the cold side outlet of Model B when the number of hidden layers is 2. (<b>b</b>) The predicted and measured temperature of the cold side outlet of Model B when the number of hidden layer is 3. (<b>c</b>) Model indicators.</p> "> Figure 10
<p>Prediction of the exit temperature of Model B by the integrated model. (<b>a</b>) The predicted and measured temperature of the cold side outlet of the integrated model. (<b>b</b>) Model indicators.</p> "> Figure 11
<p>Temperature difference and fouling value of MLP 2 × 64 + 2 × 64 Mod B.</p> "> Figure 12
<p>HCV value of the MLP 2 × 64 + LSTM 2 × 64 Mod B heat exchanger.</p> ">
Abstract
:1. Introduction
2. Introduction of the Methods and Principles
2.1. Basic Principles of the LSTM Algorithm
2.2. Basic Principle of the MLP Algorithm
3. Predictive Model and Data Preprocessing
4. Model Construction and Data Preprocessing
4.1. LSTM Model Construction
- (1)
- Construction of the LSTM algorithm model: The number of hidden layers is set within the range of 1 to 2. The number of neurons per layer is determined from the set [16, 32, 64, 128].
- (2)
- The activation function, precisely the neuronal activation function utilized in the LSTM model, is the hyperbolic tangent (tanh) function.
- (3)
- The getTestTrainSplit function accepts two parameters to determine the proportions for dividing the dataset into the training and testing subsets. These parameters dictate how the global dataset is partitioned into the training and test sets.
4.2. MLP Model Construction
- (1)
- IntiTrainPredict: This function accepts a set of models and determines whether retraining is required, based on predefined criteria. It also accepts facility data and model parameters as inputs. The steps within the function body encompass acquiring configuration information, initializing the data frame, partitioning the test and training sets, and separating the feature and target columns.
- (2)
- The layers parameter is a list wherein each element corresponds to the number of neurons in each layer. By default, the list contains a single component, 128, indicating that the model incorporates one hidden layer comprising 128 neurons. In the MLP model, the number of hidden layers is set within the range of 2 to 3, while the number of neurons per layer is selected from the set [16, 32, 64, 128].
- (3)
- The discard rate parameter is utilized to configure the dropout regularization, which assists in mitigating the overfitting of the model. This parameter is set to a default value of 0.3 in the MLP model.
- (4)
- The activation function, which dictates the nonlinear transformation performed by a neural network layer, is an essential component. In the MLP model, the activation function utilized is Relu.
5. Analysis of the Algorithm’s Prediction Results
5.1. Temperature Prediction of the Cold Side Outlet of Model A
5.2. Temperature Prediction of the Cold Side Outlet of Model B
5.3. Integrated Model
6. Summary
- (1)
- This paper forecasted a plate heat exchanger’s cold side outlet temperature utilizing individual and ensemble models based on the LSTM and MLP algorithms. We identified the optimal predictive model by systematically evaluating and comparing the prediction performance of Models A and B. For Model A, LSTM 2 × 64 has the highest prediction accuracy, 0.9938. For Model B, LSTM 2 × 64 has the highest prediction accuracy of 0.9942. Consequently, excessive hidden layers and neurons may adversely affect the model’s prediction accuracy. It is crucial to determine an optimal configuration of hidden layers and neurons during the model design phase.
- (2)
- By incorporating LSTM 2 × 64 and MLP 2 × 64 into Model A, the architecture that exhibits a more complex structure and superior prediction accuracy is the MLP + LSTM 2 × 64 configuration, achieving an accuracy of 0.9942. Meanwhile, Model B demonstrates a slightly higher prediction accuracy of 0.9951. The integrated Model B demonstrates superior accuracy in predicting the exit temperature of plate heat exchangers, highlighting its advantages in modeling complex systems. The efficacy of the integrated model in enhancing prediction accuracy has been further substantiated, with Model B’s integrated architecture demonstrating superior performance in this study.
- (3)
- The thermal resistance was incorporated into the cold side of the plate heat exchanger via the simulation software. When the fouling thermal resistance reaches 0.0003 m2·K/W, the heat transfer efficiency of the plate heat exchanger decreases to 50%. By comparing the observed temperature differences with those predicted by the model, it is evident that both exhibit a consistent change trend. The correlation between the temperature differential and the thermal resistance due to fouling offers critical insights for developing a rational cleaning and maintenance strategy.
Author Contributions
Funding
Data Availability Statement
Conflicts of Interest
Nomenclature
Tpre,o | The predicted exit temperature of the cold side (°C) |
Tactual,o | The actual exit temperature of the cold side (°C) |
HCVc | The fouling warning value of the heat exchanger (%) |
R | The current fouling value (m2·K/W) |
Rf | The corresponding fouling heat resistance value when the heat transfer performance decreases (m2·K/W) |
Abbreviations | |
LSTM | Long short-term memory |
MLP | Multi-layer perceptron |
HCV | Health condition value |
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Type | Method Description | Advantage | Shortcoming |
---|---|---|---|
Mathematical model | Modeling of plate heat exchangers using the energy-efficient heat transfer unit method [28]. | The structure is simple and the form is intuitive. | Finding appropriate diagnostic rules is relatively difficult in complex systems. |
Model-based | Compare and analyze the predicted values of the model with the actual measured values and make a judgment from the degree of deviation [29]. | Ideal for equipment or systems with many parameters and high coupling. | Higher complexity of the modeling process. |
Name | Input Parameters | Output Parameter |
---|---|---|
Model A | Hot side fluid volumetric flow rate, hot side inlet and outlet temperatures, cold side inlet temperature, cold side fluid volumetric flow rate | Cold side outlet temperature |
Model B | Hot side fluid volumetric flow rate, hot side inlet and outlet temperatures, cold side inlet temperature, cold side inlet flow, cold side inlet and outlet pressure | Cold side outlet temperature |
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Hou, G.; Zhang, D.; An, Z.; Yan, Q.; Jiang, M.; Wang, S.; Ma, L. Evaluating High-Precision Machine Learning Techniques for Optimizing Plate Heat Exchangers’ Performance. Energies 2025, 18, 957. https://doi.org/10.3390/en18040957
Hou G, Zhang D, An Z, Yan Q, Jiang M, Wang S, Ma L. Evaluating High-Precision Machine Learning Techniques for Optimizing Plate Heat Exchangers’ Performance. Energies. 2025; 18(4):957. https://doi.org/10.3390/en18040957
Chicago/Turabian StyleHou, Gang, Dong Zhang, Zhoujian An, Qunmin Yan, Meijiao Jiang, Sen Wang, and Liqun Ma. 2025. "Evaluating High-Precision Machine Learning Techniques for Optimizing Plate Heat Exchangers’ Performance" Energies 18, no. 4: 957. https://doi.org/10.3390/en18040957
APA StyleHou, G., Zhang, D., An, Z., Yan, Q., Jiang, M., Wang, S., & Ma, L. (2025). Evaluating High-Precision Machine Learning Techniques for Optimizing Plate Heat Exchangers’ Performance. Energies, 18(4), 957. https://doi.org/10.3390/en18040957