Ravens vs Chiefs
I like the Ravens over the Chiefs (I would take the 2.5 points ATS). And here's why not only does one of my models give me the Ravens by 3 but I also like the matchups: OLBs for the Ravens vs the OTs of the Chiefs. And last year L'Jarius Sneed for the Chiefs was among the best CBs in the League, he beated the Ravens by forcing a fumble at the Chiefs 1 yard line, this season, he is in Tennessee. I have Zay Flowers being covered by Trent McDuffie who is pretty good and may win the matchup vs Flowers but I'll take the overall WRs of the Ravens over the #2 and #3, Bateman and Agholor will probably run wide open. And I like Andrews over whoever (not named McDuffie) who would be in charge of covering him
Eagles vs Packers
I like the Eagles not only because my 3 models give me the Eagles winning (my 1st by 8 points, my 2nd model 3 points, my 3rd by 3 points). I also am not afraid of any of the Packers WRs (none of them had over 1000 yards receiving last year) so I believe the Eagles have the capacity to cover their WRs. As for the Eagles WRs I’m only afraid of Jaire Alexander but the thing is if I’m playing the Packers I would target Stokes and Nixon, I believe the Packers will put JA on Brown but Smith will be a huge miss match against Stokes. And I believe Dotson is better than Nixon. As for Goedert I wouldn’t target him because I believe McKinney will cover him so why risk it. Once the Packers find out that there are 2 matchups pro Eagles (Smith and Dotson) they will put 6 players in the box and for the first time in Saquon’s career he will see what an hole looks like. Some people like Nick Wrong like to talk about the last 2 months of last year but they forget how good the Eagles are in many matchups which brings me to the OL, the Eagles are either considered the best or the 2nd best OL in the League. Also remember Jalen Hurts got hurt against the LA Rams at least right now he is healthy and back to the Jalen Hurts early last year and probably as good as he was in 2022, remember he escaped the blitz which made him be among the best QBs against the blitz, once he lost his mobility against the Rams, he couldn't escape the blitz which made a rival coach say that he can't beat 0 blitz, sadly for that coach Hurts is healthy. I have the Eagles winning by 8
Dolphins vs Jaguars
I like the Dolphins firstly because my models give me the Dolphins by 8, 6 and 13 points and also because I get the best WR (and player if you look at NFL top 100 players the best player in the League), I also get maybe the best #2 in Waddle, I would pick both of them over Campbell and Darby. The only fear I have is if Josh Hines Allen lines up against the RT because I believe the Dolphins LT: Armstead would be able to block him but if I'm the Dolphins OL coach or OC I would slide the protection to the right side whenever Allen lines in the right side or I would roll out Tua towards the left side (just remember it would be natural for Tua because he is left handed). On D I get Ramsey vs Kirk I would choose Ramsey. The Dolphins are favored by 3.5, I'm happy to bet the Dolphins -3.5
Vikings vs Giants
I like the Giants +1.5, here's why, Sam Darnold has never thrown for over 20 TDs in a season, they lost McCarthy and that moment they lost their season. I also look at the Giants DL which is among the best in the League, I was extremely impressed by their FO when they traded for Brian Burns, which gave them Lawrence, Thibodeaux and Burns on the same line, many teams struggle to get 1 stud on the DL, the Giants have 3. The Vikings have one stud on the OL: their LT Christian Darrisaw, the others OL are JAG and I would take the Giants front over the Vikings OL. The game is in NY and one of my models give me the Giants by 5 yet I get 1.5 points, the Giants will win
Cowboys vs Browns
Like the Browns in this one, not only do I have 2 models that give me the Browns over the Cowboys but I also have a huge matchup: Myles Garrett vs Tyler Guyton. Garrett is among the best DE in the League, Guyton will play his first NFL game, it's a welcome to the NFL moment and I have to go with the veteran. We will also see Ceedee Lamb play against one of the best CBs in the League: Denzel Ward and with the exception of Lamb, the others receivers for the Cowboys are JAGs. The Cowboys added Elliott and Cook, I would be afraid of them, if you have a time machine to 5 years ago. Where I could go wrong is the Browns OL vs Parsons and Lawrence, expect a low scoring game. I bet for the Browns on that one by -2.5
Falcons vs Steelers
Give me the Falcons, the Falcons may have the best safety duo in the League with Bates and Simmons. Their OL is mid which may be in trouble because the Steelers have Watt, Highsmith and Heyward, but hey I could say the same thing about the Steelers, they won't have Seumalo which open the door for one of the worst guards in the league: Spencer Anderson, don't forget, the Falcons traded for Judon and they already had Grady Jarrett, who will block those two guys. So you get the best safety duo in the League so you stop long plays and you get pressure from the Falcons DL... Add to that the building od the offensive weapons for the Falcons: they drafted Bijan Robinson last year, I expect him to explode this season, Arthur Smith didn't target Pitts enough, I expect big things from the highest drafted TE of all time. I was never a big believer of London and so far I'm right but the Steelers aren't great in the CB position. Bet for the Falcons -3.5
Raiders vs Chargers
My 1st model gives me the Chargers by 4, my 2nd by 8 and my 3rd by 11. My analysis is very short for this game: Herbert vs Minshew. My 2nd point of this analysis is the pressure vs the OL where it's kind of a tie, both OL will struggle, the Raiders have Max Crosby, the Chargers have Joey Bosa and Khalil Mack. The Chargers drafted my favorite slot receiver of the draft Ladd McConkey and I expect him to have a good game. Chargers -3.5
Broncos vs Seahawks
My models give me the Seahawks by 9, by 7 and by 7. Patrick Surtain is among the best CBs in the League and he will probably make Metcalf disappear but Lockett will destroy Levi Wallace and JSN will destroy KAD. The Broncos traded Jeudy (who to be fair was a bust) but now they only have Sutton who will be covered by Woolen their other WRs are JAGs and I believe Witherspoon on Josh Reynolds. Seahawks -5.5
Buccaneers vs Commanders
I like the Bucs, my models give me the Bucs by 6, by 5 and by 7 points. The matchups to watch are the Bucs WRs vs the Commanders CBs. I like Evans in the matchup vs Benjamin St-Juste and I like Chris Godwin vs Emmanuel Forbes. Even though I believe the analysts are stupid when they compare positions because players don't play against players in the same position, the QB position can be an exception because sometimes they are in a shoutout and at that point the QBs stats are against the other QB and although I believe in Jayden Daniels will become good, it's his first game so I would take Mayfield over him. I'm a huge fan of Terry McLaurin, he is talented but I believe Jamel Dean has a chance to limit him to 50 to 60 yards receiving. The Commanders rushing offense is average at best. So pick the Bucs by -3.5
Texans vs Colts
I like the Texans but I would take the Colts and the points at +3. My models give me the Texans by 2, the Colts by 1 and the Texans by 0.21. Jonathan Taylor is one of the best RB in the League and the Texans were 30th in rush D last year. I believe in Shane Steichen as a play caller and I believe they won't let Anderson beat them. I believe the Texans will win, I believe Stingley will win the matchup vs Pittman and Stefon Diggs will win vs Moore. Take the 3 points and Colts or take the money line for the Texans
Bengals vs Patriots
I like the Bengals in this one. My models give me the Bengals by 14, by 12 and by 9. The Pats traded their best defender: Matthew Judon and their up and coming DL Christian Barmore who is out with a blood clot. The Pats no longer have Brady and Maye won't start which tells us he isn't ready yet. I give the edge to Trey Hendrickson over any of the Pats OLinemen, Ja'Marr Chase is better than Jonathan Jones, I believe he'll have a great game. Joe Burrow is one of the best QB in the League and he is healthy. I'm not a big believer in the Bengals OL but the Pats don't have a great DL so I put this matchup as a wait and see (tie). Give me the Bengals by -9.5
Saints vs Panthers
Who that, I like the Saints, my models give me the Saints by 6, by 5 and by 13. The Panthers traded their best defender to the Giants (Brian Burns). The Panthers signed Diontae Johnson during the offseason, he is average and he'll be covered by Marshon Lattimore, I give the edge to the Saints in this matchup. I expect Alvin Kamara to have a good game. The man who could change the game is Derrick Brown so if I'm the Saints I would stop him by doing double block. I was a huge fan of Frankie Luvu, he was always the man that jumped of the tv whenever I was watching the Panthers, he no longer is a Panther. Cameron Jordan should have a good game vs Moton or Ekwonu. I like the Saints by -3.5
Bills vs Cardinals
I like the Bills. My models give me the Bills by 10, by 8 and by 14. The first point of my analysis is Josh Allen over Kyler Murray and if you watch football you know Allen is better. The duo of DE of the Bills is better than the OTs of the Cards, Rousseau and Miller will probably disrupt the majority of the Cards plays. I believe Harrison will become a great WR but not in his first game of his career and the Bills believed in Taron Johnson enough to let White go to the Rams. Bet for the Bills -5.5
Titans vs Bears
I like the Bears. My models give me Bears by 6, by 5 and by 4. Let's look at the matchups L'Jarius Sneed can cover any of the top 3 WRs for the Bears, he will probably be in charge of covering Allen, but after that no one would cover Odunze or Moore. I like Jeffery Simmons against any OL for the Titans but after that they are bad so double block him and win the matchup. Montez Sweat led two teams in sacks last year, he is a DE so I don't believe they'll be able to double block, the Titans will probably chip block him. Jaylon Johnson is one of the best CB in the League and Hopkins is no longer the WR he was 5 years ago, I'm giving the Bears a win in this matchup. Bears -4
Lions vs Rams
I like the Lions. My models give me the Lions by 10, by 7 and by 1. But BTW my best model is my 1st, it's the one that made me the most money so I would take the Lions -3.5. I like Gibbs in his 2nd season and I like him in this game against a Rams team that lost Donald. The Lions OL is either the best or the 2nd best in the NFL (I'm looking at you Philly) and Donald is no longer there for the Rams so I would take the Lions in this matchup. St-Brown is among the best WR in the League and even though the Rams have White I like St-Brown in this matchup. I like the Rams WRs vs the Lions CBs. Expect a high scoring game where the Lions win by running with the football and by targeting St-Brown and Laporta. I like the Lions by -3.
49ers vs Jets
I like the 49ers. My models give me the 49ers by 7, by 3 and by 23. Let's look at the matchups, Reddick will probably miss the game and the 49ers like to run behind Williams at the left side and if you play NFL fantasy you know that McCaffrey is usually picked #1 overall. I expect him to have a good game against a Reddick less Jets D. The 49ers have Deebo and Aiyuk, Sauce will be able to win his matchup against whoever he is going to cover but the other guy will be able to win vs Reed. I also like Kittle against Mosley or Clark. I also like the run D vs Breece Hall. The Jets probably win at the WRs vs 49ers CBs, but I expect the 49ers DL to win vs the Jets OL which will be able to limit the success of the Jets WRs. Pick the 49ers by -4.5
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