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Efficient Monte Carlo computation of Fisher information matrix using prior information

Published: 28 August 2007 Publication History

Abstract

The Fisher information matrix (FIM) is a critical quantity in several aspects of mathematical modeling, including input selection, model selection, and confidence region calculation. For example, the determinant of the FIM is the main performance metric for choosing input values in a scientific experiment with the aims of achieving the most accurate resulting parameter estimates in a mathematical model. However, analytical determination of the FIM in a general setting, especially in nonlinear models, may be difficult or almost impossible due to intractable modeling requirements and/or intractable high-dimensional integration.
To circumvent these difficulties, a Monte Carlo (MC) simulation-based technique, resampling algorithm, based on the values of log-likelihood function or its exact stochastic gradient computed by using a set of pseudo data vectors, is usually recommended. This paper proposes an extension of the current algorithm in order to enhance the statistical characteristics of the estimator of the FIM. This modified algorithm is particularly useful in those cases where the FIM has a structure with some elements being analytically known from prior information and the others being unknown. The estimator of the FIM, obtained by using the proposed algorithm, simultaneously preserves the analytically known elements and reduces the variances of the estimators of the unknown elements by capitalizing on the information contained in the known elements.

References

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J. Spall, Introduction to Stochastic Search and Optimization: Estimation, Simulation and Control. Wiley-Interscience, 2003.
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J. Spall, "Monte carlo computation of the Fisher information matrix in nonstandard settings," J. Comput. Graph. Statist., vol. 14, no. 4, pp. 889--909, 2005.
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S. Das, R. Ghanem, and J. C. Spall, "Asymptotic Sampling Distribution for Polynomial Chaos Representation of Data: A Maximum Entropy and Fisher information approach," in Proc. of the 45th IEEE Conference on Decision and Control, San Diego, CA, USA, Dec 13--15, 2006, CD rom.
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P. Bickel and K. Doksum, Mathematical Statistics: Basic Ideas and Selected Topics, Vol I. Prentice Hall, 2001.
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J. Spall, "Multivariate stochastic approximation using a simultaneous perturbation gradient approximation," IEEE Trans. Automat. Control, vol. 37, no. 3, pp. 332--341, 1992.
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J. C. Spall, "Feedback and weighting mechanisms for improving Jacobian (Hessian) estimates in the adaptive simultaneous perturbation algorithm," in Proc. of the 2006 American Control Conference, Minneapolis, Minnesota, USA, June 14--16, 2006, pp. 3086--3091.
[7]
S. Das, "Efficient calculation of Fisher information matrix: Monte Carlo approach using prior information," Master's thesis, Department of Applied Mathematics and Statistics, The Johns Hopkns University, Baltimore, Maryland, USA, May 2007, http://dspace.library.jhu.edu/handle/1774.2/32459.

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  • (2024)A numerical compass for experiment design in chemical kinetics and molecular property estimationJournal of Cheminformatics10.1186/s13321-024-00825-016:1Online publication date: 22-Mar-2024

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PerMIS '07: Proceedings of the 2007 Workshop on Performance Metrics for Intelligent Systems
August 2007
293 pages
ISBN:9781595938541
DOI:10.1145/1660877
Permission to make digital or hard copies of all or part of this work for personal or classroom use is granted without fee provided that copies are not made or distributed for profit or commercial advantage and that copies bear this notice and the full citation on the first page. Copyrights for components of this work owned by others than ACM must be honored. Abstracting with credit is permitted. To copy otherwise, or republish, to post on servers or to redistribute to lists, requires prior specific permission and/or a fee. Request permissions from [email protected]

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Association for Computing Machinery

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Published: 28 August 2007

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  1. Fisher information matrix
  2. Monte Carlo simulation

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  • (2024)A numerical compass for experiment design in chemical kinetics and molecular property estimationJournal of Cheminformatics10.1186/s13321-024-00825-016:1Online publication date: 22-Mar-2024

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