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THE BOOK--Playing The Percentages In Baseball

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Friday, February 27, 2009

Jeff Kent or Andre Dawson?

By .(JavaScript must be enabled to view this email address), 07:55 PM

Attention Rob Neyer readers: If you are new to positional adjustments, this thread may be a good place in which you can dive.  And this one has alot of questions/answers, too.

***

I recently proposed that one could consider Andre Dawson’s fielding accomplishment as neither a plus nor minus:

He was a great fielding centerfielder in his 9000 innings there (1000 games, duh, or six full seasons).  Let’s say he was +1 win as a CF relative to the average CF, and average as a RF relative to the average RF.  That gives him another +6 wins for his fielding.  He also played a little bit of DH.  His positional adjustment comes out to -0.4 wins per season, which at 15.4 seasons is -6 wins.  So, his overall fielding impact is that of an average player.

I also recently said the same thing about Jeff Kent:

When we use my fielding spectrum positional adjustments (giving +2.5 runs credit to 2B/3B, and -12.5 runs penalty to 1B), it comes in at +1.9 runs per season.  He played the equivalent of 12 full seasons (since 1993), so he gets +23 runs in positional adjustment, which pretty much cancels the -26 plays he was relative to his positional peers! So, Jeff Kent should be considered a league average fielder at a neutral position.  He gets NO additional consideration for being a “middle infielderâ€?.

So, what we are left with is two players who, basically, are around even as fielders.  They are somewhat even as hitters as well.  And Dawson has a couple of extra years on Kent, plus of course the “character, integrity, sportsmanship” clause that somehow The Holy Writers use against a player, but never for a player.

 

(5) Comments • 2009/03/04 SabermetricsAwards