Linear Weights, by Runner on Base and Outs

by tangotigre@aol.com

These are the LWTS values by runner on base and outs. They are based on MGL's sample data, and estimated by me. Because of this, some numbers will look a little off. For example, the value of a strikout or a regular out with 2 outs MUST be the same. The value of the walk with a man on 2B or 3B must also be the same. In any case, these should do for now.


ROB	Outs	1b	2b	3b	hr	bb	k	out
---	0	 0.40 	 0.66 	 0.90 	 1.00 	 0.40 	 (0.26)	 (0.27)
---	1	 0.27 	 0.43 	 0.69 	 1.00 	 0.27 	 (0.19)	 (0.18)
---	2	 0.13 	 0.24 	 0.28 	 1.00 	 0.13 	 (0.11)	 (0.12)

x--	0	 0.73 	 1.17 	 1.50 	 1.60 	 0.66 	 (0.39)	 (0.47)
x--	1	 0.48 	 0.97 	 1.43 	 1.73 	 0.41 	 (0.32)	 (0.38)
x--	2	 0.27 	 0.78 	 1.15 	 1.87 	 0.23 	 (0.25)	 (0.26)

-x-	0	 0.70 	 1.00 	 1.24 	 1.34 	 0.40 	 (0.48)	 (0.33)
-x-	1	 0.70 	 1.00 	 1.26 	 1.57 	 0.25 	 (0.38)	 (0.32)
-x-	2	 0.74 	 1.00 	 1.05 	 1.76 	 0.13 	 (0.35)	 (0.37)

--x	0	 0.50 	 0.76 	 1.00 	 1.10 	 0.41 	 (0.46)	 (0.27)
--x	1	 0.57 	 0.74 	 1.00 	 1.31 	 0.24 	 (0.60)	 (0.22)
--x	2	 0.85 	 0.95 	 1.00 	 1.72 	 0.16 	 (0.40)	 (0.33)

xx-	0	 0.97 	 1.51 	 1.84 	 1.94 	 0.76 	 (0.64)	 (0.47)
xx-	1	 0.94 	 1.56 	 2.01 	 2.32 	 0.69 	 (0.50)	 (0.56)
xx-	2	 0.89 	 1.55 	 1.92 	 2.63 	 0.35 	 (0.48)	 (0.45)

x-x	0	 0.82 	 0.91 	 1.59 	 1.69 	 0.51 	 (0.63)	 (0.48)
x-x	1	 0.82 	 0.95 	 1.76 	 2.07 	 0.44 	 (0.68)	 (0.42)
x-x	2	 0.96 	 0.92 	 1.84 	 2.56 	 0.28 	 (0.56)	 (0.50)

-xx	0	 0.84 	 1.14 	 1.38 	 1.48 	 0.31 	 (0.64)	 (0.48)
-xx	1	 1.00 	 1.30 	 1.56 	 1.87 	 0.24 	 (0.79)	 (0.50)
-xx	2	 1.46 	 1.71 	 1.76 	 2.47 	 0.19 	 (0.64)	 (0.63)

xxx	0	 1.21 	 1.74 	 2.07 	 2.17 	 1.00 	 (0.71)	 (0.52)
xxx	1	 1.25 	 1.87 	 2.32 	 2.63 	 1.00 	 (0.84)	 (0.69)
xxx	2	 1.54 	 2.20 	 2.56 	 3.28 	 1.00 	 (0.83)	 (0.79)