The following table presents the rate of the number of runs that scored, from that base/out state, to the end of that inning. All data is from 1999-2002.
Note: All partial innings are excluded. All home innings in the 9th or later are excluded.
Base | Outs | Runs |
0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+
|
Empty | 0 | 0.707 | 0.154 | 0.074 | 0.035 | 0.016 | 0.013
|
Empty | 1 | 0.827 | 0.101 | 0.042 | 0.017 | 0.007 | 0.005
|
Empty | 2 | 0.923 | 0.051 | 0.017 | 0.005 | 0.002 | 0.001
|
|
1st | 0 | 0.563 | 0.176 | 0.132 | 0.067 | 0.034 | 0.028
|
1st | 1 | 0.717 | 0.123 | 0.091 | 0.04 | 0.017 | 0.013
|
1st | 2 | 0.864 | 0.062 | 0.049 | 0.016 | 0.006 | 0.003
|
|
2nd | 0 | 0.368 | 0.348 | 0.142 | 0.076 | 0.035 | 0.03
|
2nd | 1 | 0.594 | 0.23 | 0.098 | 0.045 | 0.018 | 0.014
|
2nd | 2 | 0.777 | 0.147 | 0.049 | 0.017 | 0.006 | 0.003
|
|
3rd | 0 | 0.136 | 0.542 | 0.164 | 0.09 | 0.035 | 0.033
|
3rd | 1 | 0.338 | 0.478 | 0.106 | 0.045 | 0.018 | 0.014
|
3rd | 2 | 0.737 | 0.187 | 0.05 | 0.017 | 0.006 | 0.004
|
|
1st_2nd | 0 | 0.359 | 0.219 | 0.165 | 0.127 | 0.07 | 0.059
|
1st_2nd | 1 | 0.574 | 0.161 | 0.11 | 0.088 | 0.038 | 0.028
|
1st_2nd | 2 | 0.769 | 0.106 | 0.058 | 0.044 | 0.015 | 0.008
|
|
1st_3rd | 0 | 0.124 | 0.417 | 0.174 | 0.142 | 0.076 | 0.067
|
1st_3rd | 1 | 0.345 | 0.37 | 0.119 | 0.092 | 0.042 | 0.031
|
1st_3rd | 2 | 0.715 | 0.151 | 0.061 | 0.049 | 0.016 | 0.008
|
|
2nd_3rd | 0 | 0.144 | 0.249 | 0.307 | 0.147 | 0.079 | 0.074
|
2nd_3rd | 1 | 0.305 | 0.285 | 0.218 | 0.101 | 0.053 | 0.038
|
2nd_3rd | 2 | 0.724 | 0.054 | 0.141 | 0.049 | 0.021 | 0.011
|
|
Loaded | 0 | 0.128 | 0.255 | 0.211 | 0.143 | 0.134 | 0.13
|
Loaded | 1 | 0.33 | 0.252 | 0.151 | 0.106 | 0.093 | 0.068
|
Loaded | 2 | 0.675 | 0.092 | 0.105 | 0.055 | 0.048 | 0.025
|
|
As always, a big thank you to Ray Kerby for providing his A.S.S. program to parse through the play-by-play data.