Wednesday, April 16, 2014
Pre-Introducing FIP Squared
The setup for FIP has been described here.
FIP works remarkably well. But at the very extreme cases, it breaks down. I'm talking about Pedro-level and Kimbrel-level. It sometimes even gets you into negative numbers. While the ideal is to do a BaseRuns version of DIPS, we're going to want to keep things more simple. This is the basic structure:
Core = 2 + (-2*SO + 3*BB + 12*HR)/PA
FIP = Core^2
Note that BB excludes IBB and includes HBP
PA excludes IBB
Now, if you try to best-fit the data, you might end up with 1.95 for the constant instead of 2, you might get -2.2 for the K instead of -2, and so on, and so on.
So, I'm just throwing it out there, and hopefully the aspiring saberist out there will come up with a good shortcut.
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