Friday, January 15, 2016
Keuchel v Tim Lincecum
?Tim Lincecum I believe still has the record for a pitcher in his first year of arbitration, when he agreed to 9MM$ for the 2010 season. Keuchel is at 7.25MM$ for the 2016 season. I don't know why the media is forgetting about Lincecum.
Also in 2009, Felix signed his first arb-eligible contract for 3.8MM$, which was 4.3% of the average team's payroll.
The next year, in 2010, Jered Weaver's first arb-eligible signed for 4.3MM$, which was 4.7% of the average team's payroll.
In 2016, Keuchel will come in at 5.4% of the presumed average team' s payroll. Presumably, without the Cy Young, he would have signed for around 1MM$ less. .
But Lincecum. He signed for 9MM$ following TWO Cy Youngs, which was 10.2% of the average team's payroll, and put him on a different planet. Not only for that season, but for every season after that, even as his talent was eroding.
From 2010-2015, Lincecum earned 5 WAR according to Baseball Reference, all the while being paid 98MM$. Over the same number of years, Felix from 2009-2014 earned 33 WAR, while being paid 84MM$. Those two early Cy Youngs was the gift that kept on giving for Lincecum, as each salary was always being compared to the last. And since Lincecum signed that recording-breaking contract, he was starting from a very high level to begin with.
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