Neil does a terrific job in showing that based on the pre-season estimate of talent, that anything from a 2-team to a 16-team playoffs gives you the same talent level of team winning. And if you rely on regular season as a proxy for talent, then the 14-team playoffs is not any different than the 12-team, and not much different than the 8-team.?
Nov 23 14:15
Layered wOBAcon
Nov 22 22:15
Cy Young Predictor 2024
Oct 28 17:25
Layered Hit Probability breakdown
Oct 15 13:42
Binomial fun: Best-of-3-all-home is equivalent to traditional Best-of-X where X is
Oct 14 14:31
NaiveWAR and VictoryShares
Oct 02 21:23
Component Run Values: TTO and BIP
Oct 02 11:06
FRV v DRS
Sep 28 22:34
Runs Above Average
Sep 16 16:46
Skenes v Webb: Illustrating Replacement Level in WAR
Sep 16 16:43
Sacrifice Steal Attempt
Sep 09 14:47
Can Wheeler win the Cy Young in 2024?
Sep 08 13:39
Small choices, big implications, in WAR
Sep 07 09:00
Why does Baseball Reference love Erick Fedde?
Sep 03 19:42
Re-Leveraging Aaron Judge
Aug 24 14:10
Science of baseball in 1957
THREADS
January 05, 2015
Case for the 14-team NFL playoffs
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Jul 12 15:22 MarcelsApr 16 14:31 Pitch Count Estimators
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Jan 29 09:41 NFL Overtime Idea
Jan 22 14:48 Weighting Years for NFL Player Projections
Jan 21 09:18 positional runs in pythagenpat
Oct 20 15:57 DRS: FG vs. BB-Ref
Apr 12 09:43 What if baseball was like survivor? You are eliminated ...
Nov 24 09:57 Win Attribution to offense, pitching, and fielding at the game level (prototype method)
Jul 13 10:20 How to watch great past games without spoilers