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Tangotiger Blog

A blog about baseball, hockey, life, and whatever else there is.

Thursday, September 10, 2015

Cy Young shaking

It's Keuchel's to lose.  ?Barring Felix or Kluber going on their best run ever, the BBWAA voter is going to vote on these guys to end up in the top 5 in some order: Keuchel, Price, Gray, Archer, Sale.  The voter may suggest he's looking at other pitchers, but when it comes down to it, most of the votes are going to these guys.

Keuchel is now at more than 50% chance of winning the Cy.  His closest contender is Price, with Gray as an outside shot. Archer and Sale have almost no chance at winning.  I'll call it as: Keuchel 70%, Price 25%, Gray 4%, rest 1%. 

Over in the NL, the only 3 contenders are Kershaw, Greinke, Arrieta.  Greinke (60%) is the favorite, and if he collapses, Kershaw (30%) will take it, with Arrieta in the hunt (10%).

The fight will be to see who will finish in the top 5, and it's still between Cole, deGrom, Bumgarner, Scherzer.  In terms of odds of ending at 4th or 5th place, I'll have it as: Cole 80%, deGrom 60%, Bumgarner 40%, Scherzer 15%, rest (Harvey, Lackey, Wacha) 5%.

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September 10, 2015
Cy Young shaking