Thursday, September 10, 2015
Cy Young shaking
It's Keuchel's to lose. ?Barring Felix or Kluber going on their best run ever, the BBWAA voter is going to vote on these guys to end up in the top 5 in some order: Keuchel, Price, Gray, Archer, Sale. The voter may suggest he's looking at other pitchers, but when it comes down to it, most of the votes are going to these guys.
Keuchel is now at more than 50% chance of winning the Cy. His closest contender is Price, with Gray as an outside shot. Archer and Sale have almost no chance at winning. I'll call it as: Keuchel 70%, Price 25%, Gray 4%, rest 1%.
Over in the NL, the only 3 contenders are Kershaw, Greinke, Arrieta. Greinke (60%) is the favorite, and if he collapses, Kershaw (30%) will take it, with Arrieta in the hunt (10%).
The fight will be to see who will finish in the top 5, and it's still between Cole, deGrom, Bumgarner, Scherzer. In terms of odds of ending at 4th or 5th place, I'll have it as: Cole 80%, deGrom 60%, Bumgarner 40%, Scherzer 15%, rest (Harvey, Lackey, Wacha) 5%.
Recent comments
Older comments
Page 1 of 151 pages 1 2 3 > Last ›Complete Archive – By Category
Complete Archive – By Date
FORUM TOPICS
Jul 12 15:22 MarcelsApr 16 14:31 Pitch Count Estimators
Mar 12 16:30 Appendix to THE BOOK - THE GORY DETAILS
Jan 29 09:41 NFL Overtime Idea
Jan 22 14:48 Weighting Years for NFL Player Projections
Jan 21 09:18 positional runs in pythagenpat
Oct 20 15:57 DRS: FG vs. BB-Ref
Apr 12 09:43 What if baseball was like survivor? You are eliminated ...
Nov 24 09:57 Win Attribution to offense, pitching, and fielding at the game level (prototype method)
Jul 13 10:20 How to watch great past games without spoilers