[go: up one dir, main page]
More Web Proxy on the site http://driver.im/
THE BOOK cover
The Unwritten Book
is Finally Written!

Read Excerpts & Reviews
E-Book available
as Amazon Kindle or
at iTunes for $9.99.

Hardcopy available at Amazon
SABR101 required reading if you enter this site. Check out the Sabermetric Wiki. And interesting baseball books.
Shop Amazon & Support This Blog
RECENT FORUM TOPICS
Jul 12 15:22 Marcels
Apr 16 14:31 Pitch Count Estimators
Mar 12 16:30 Appendix to THE BOOK - THE GORY DETAILS
Jan 29 09:41 NFL Overtime Idea
Jan 22 14:48 Weighting Years for NFL Player Projections
Jan 21 09:18 positional runs in pythagenpat
Oct 20 15:57 DRS: FG vs. BB-Ref

Advanced

Tangotiger Blog

A blog about baseball, hockey, life, and whatever else there is.

Friday, August 02, 2013

Blast from the Past: J.A. Happ

For some reason, this old chat, which presumably was from 2009, appeared in my reader:

Rodney (VA)

It's a given you have a vendetta against the Phillies but could it be possible that J.A Happ just knows how to pitch? Numbers don't tell everything. If numbers did the Dodgers would have beat the Phillies in the NLCS last year....like you predicted.

Klaw  (12:50 PM)

Actually, I picked the Phillies to win that series. And Tom Tango just wrote a piece the other day on Fangraphs further debunking the myth of Happ just having some sort of magic or mojo or The Force that makes him better than your typical no-stuff-can't-miss-a-bat fifth starter. So, in conclusion, you fail the chat.

If only people would track all of their opinions and then revisit them a year later.  Rodney from Virginia probably forgot what he said, or hopes that everyone else forgot.  But, this is the point, that if you think players have "the will to win", you are NOT going to find it in the numbers.  And if you can't find it in the numbers, then how do you know they win more than they otherwise should?

See, we don't have an opinion to have an opinion.  We base our opinion on historical facts.  Facts!  History!  We understand that history won't necessarily repeat itself, but for the most part, it's a fantastic guide.  Every time you think you've found the next pitcher to buck the trend, then guess what: don't bet on it.

?

Latest...

COMMENTS

Nov 23 14:15
Layered wOBAcon

Nov 22 22:15
Cy Young Predictor 2024

Oct 28 17:25
Layered Hit Probability breakdown

Oct 15 13:42
Binomial fun: Best-of-3-all-home is equivalent to traditional Best-of-X where X is

Oct 14 14:31
NaiveWAR and VictoryShares

Oct 02 21:23
Component Run Values: TTO and BIP

Oct 02 11:06
FRV v DRS

Sep 28 22:34
Runs Above Average

Sep 16 16:46
Skenes v Webb: Illustrating Replacement Level in WAR

Sep 16 16:43
Sacrifice Steal Attempt

Sep 09 14:47
Can Wheeler win the Cy Young in 2024?

Sep 08 13:39
Small choices, big implications, in WAR

Sep 07 09:00
Why does Baseball Reference love Erick Fedde?

Sep 03 19:42
Re-Leveraging Aaron Judge

Aug 24 14:10
Science of baseball in 1957

THREADS

August 02, 2013
Blast from the Past: J.A. Happ