Sunday, April 02, 2023
Strikeouts v other outs
The run value of the out is similar to the run value of the strikeout. Therefore, to evaluate the AVERAGE PLAY, there's not much difference (overall). For specific plays, naturally a strikeout with a runner on 3B and less than 2 outs is highly preferred to the defense. At the same time, a ground out with a runner on 1B and less than 2 outs is highly preferred to the defense.
To evaluate the PLAYER, then things are very different. For a pitcher, the strikeout is HIGHLY indicative of quality talent. For a batter, the strikeout in isolation can't be used. It's all part of their profile. A HR hitter will naturally have more strikeouts. So, there's a balance there.
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• 2023/04/06
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Linear_Weights