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A Power Booster Factor for Out-of-Sample Tests of Predictability,
Pablo Pincheira, from University Library of Munich, Germany (2017)
Keywords: Time-series, forecasting, inference, inflation, exchange rates, random walk, out-of-sample
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Exchange rate interventions and inflation expectations in an inflation targeting economy,
Pablo Pincheira, in Revista de Analisis Economico – Economic Analysis Review (2018)
Keywords: Exchange rates, inflation expectations, inflation targeting, interventions
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Convergence and Long-Run Uncertainty,
Pablo Pincheira, in Revista de Analisis Economico – Economic Analysis Review (2014)
Keywords: Convergence Hypothesis, economic growth, Bayesian model averaging, cointegration, Chile
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Conditional Predictive Ability of Exchange Rates in Long Run Regressions,
Pablo Pincheira, in Revista de Analisis Economico – Economic Analysis Review (2013)
Keywords: Exchange rate predictability, conditional predictive ability, Bayesian shrinkage, ridge regression, forecast evaluation
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A Power Booster Factor for Out-of-Sample Tests of Predictability,
Pablo Pincheira, in Revista Economía (2022)
Keywords: Time-series; Forecasting; Inference; Inflation; Exchange rates; Random walk; Out-of-sample
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A Joint Test of Superior Predictive Ability for Chilean Inflation Forecasts,
Pablo Pincheira, in Journal Economía Chilena (The Chilean Economy) (2012) Downloads

Predictive Evaluation of Sectoral and Total Employment Based on Entrepreneurial Confidence Indicators,
Pablo Pincheira, in Journal Economía Chilena (The Chilean Economy) (2014) Downloads

Predictibilidad Encubierta en Economía: El Caso del Tipo de Cambio Nominal Chileno,
Pablo Pincheira, in Notas de Investigación Journal Economía Chilena (The Chilean Economy) (2008) Downloads

La Dinámica de la Persistencia Inflacionaria en Chile,
Pablo Pincheira, in Notas de Investigación Journal Economía Chilena (The Chilean Economy) (2009) Downloads

A Real Time Evaluation of the Central Bank of Chile GDP Growth Forecasts,
Pablo Pincheira, in Money Affairs (2010) Downloads

A Bunch of Models, a Bunch of Nulls and Inference about Predictive Ability,
Pablo Pincheira, in Journal for Economic Forecasting (2013)
Keywords: forecast evaluation, Hypothesis testing, inflation, mean squared prediction error, bootstrap
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Shrinkage‐Based Tests of Predictability,
Pablo Pincheira, in Journal of Forecasting (2013)

Interventions and inflation expectations in an inflation targeting economy,
Pablo Pincheira, from Bank for International Settlements (2013)
Keywords: Exchange rates, inflation expectations, inflation targeting, interventions
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Shrinkage Based Tests of the Martingale Difference Hypothesis,
Pablo Pincheira, from Central Bank of Chile (2006) Downloads

Conditional Evaluation of Exchange Rate Predictive Ability in Long Run Regressions,
Pablo Pincheira, from Central Bank of Chile (2006) Downloads

Convergence and Long Run Uncertainty,
Pablo Pincheira, from Central Bank of Chile (2006) Downloads

Hidden Predictability in Economics: The Case of the Chilean Exchange Rate,
Pablo Pincheira, from Central Bank of Chile (2007) Downloads

Combining Tests of Predictive Ability Theory and Evidence for Chilean and Canadian Exchange Rates,
Pablo Pincheira, from Central Bank of Chile (2008) Downloads

The Dynamics of Inflation Persistence in Chile,
Pablo Pincheira, from Central Bank of Chile (2008) Downloads

A Real Time Evaluation of the Central Bank of Chile GDP Growth Forecasts,
Pablo Pincheira, from Central Bank of Chile (2010) Downloads

A Bunch of Models, a Bunch of Nulls and Inference About Predictive Ability,
Pablo Pincheira, from Central Bank of Chile (2011) Downloads

Un Test Conjunto de Superioridad Predictiva para los Pronósticos de Inflación Chilena,
Pablo Pincheira, from Central Bank of Chile (2011) Downloads

Are Forecast Combinations Efficient?,
Pablo Pincheira, from Central Bank of Chile (2012) Downloads

Interventions and Inflation Expectations in an Inflation Targeting Economy,
Pablo Pincheira, from Central Bank of Chile (2013) Downloads

A Simple Out-of-Sample Test for the Martingale Difference Hypothesis,
Pablo Pincheira, from Central Bank of Chile (2013) Downloads

Predicción del Empleo Sectorial y Total en Base a Indicadores de Confianza Empresarial,
Pablo Pincheira, from Central Bank of Chile (2014) Downloads

Registered author: Pablo Pincheira

Cooperatives and Area Yield Insurance:A Theoretical Analysis,
Pablo Pincheira and Kimberly Zeuli, from University Library of Munich, Germany (2007)
Keywords: Cooperatives, Area Yield Insurance, Optimal indemnity
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Nowcasting Building Permits with Google Trends,
David Coble and Pablo Pincheira, from University Library of Munich, Germany (2017)
Keywords: Online Search; Prediction; Forecasting; Time Series; Building Permits; Real Estate; Google Trends.
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Can we beat the Random Walk? The case of survey-based exchange rate forecasts in Chile,
Pablo Pincheira and Federico Neumann, from University Library of Munich, Germany (2018)
Keywords: Survey expectations, Exchange Rates, Forecasting, Random Walk, Directional Accuracy, Mean Squared Prediction Error.
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Summary of the Paper Entitled: Forecasting Fuel Prices with the Chilean Exchange Rate,
Pablo Pincheira and Nabil Jarsun, from University Library of Munich, Germany (2020)
Keywords: Exchange rates, energy, oil, gasoline, commodity prices, predictability, time-series
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External imbalance, valuation adjustments and real Exchange rate: evidence of predictability in an emerging economy,
Pablo Pincheira and Jorge Selaive, in Revista de Analisis Economico – Economic Analysis Review (2011)
Keywords: Real Exchange rate, net foreign assets, valuation adjustments, forecasting evaluation
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Corrección de algunos errores sistemáticos de predicción de inflación,
Pablo Pincheira and Nicolás FernándeZ, in Monetaria (2011) Downloads

Evaluation of Short Run Inflation Forecasts and Forecasters in Chile,
Pablo Pincheira and Roberto Alvarez, in Money Affairs (2009) Downloads

Communicational Bias in Monetary Policy: Can Words Forecast Deeds?,
Pablo Pincheira and Mauricio Calani, in Economía Journal (2010)
Keywords: Monetary Policy, Predictive Ability, Discrete Taylor Rule, Communicational toolkit.
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Can we beat the Random Walk? The case of survey-based exchange rate forecasts in Chile,
Pablo Pincheira and Federico Neumann, in Finance Research Letters (2020)
Keywords: Survey expectations; Exchange Rates; Forecasting; Random Walk; Mean Squared Prediction Error;
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A comparison of some out-of-sample tests of predictability in iterated multi-step-ahead forecasts,
Pablo Pincheira and Kenneth West, in Research in Economics (2016)
Keywords: Causality; Random walk; Out-of-sample; Prediction; Multistep forecasts;
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Predicción de errores de proyección de inflación en Chile,
Andrea Bentancor and Pablo Pincheira, in El Trimestre Económico (2010)
Keywords: inflation prediction, survey of professional forecasters, out-of-sample evaluation, rationality test, weak efficiency test, predicción de inflación, encuestas de expectativas, predicción fuera de muestra, prueba de racionalidad, prueba de eficiencia débil
Downloads

Communicational bias in monetary policy: can words forecast deeds?,
Pablo Pincheira and Mauricio Calani, from London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library (2010) Downloads

Forecasting base metal prices with the Chilean exchange rate,
Pablo Pincheira and Nicolas Hardy, in Resources Policy (2019)
Keywords: Forecasting; Commodities; Prices; Univariate time-series models; Out-of-sample comparison; Exchange rates; Copper; Primary non-ferrous metals;
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Forecasting aluminum prices with commodity currencies,
Pablo Pincheira and Nicolas Hardy, in Resources Policy (2021)
Keywords: Forecasting; Commodities; Aluminum; Univariate time-series models; Out-of-sample comparison; Exchange rates;
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Forecasting Base Metal Prices with Commodity Currencies,
Pablo Pincheira and Nicolas Hardy, from University Library of Munich, Germany (2018)
Keywords: Forecasting, commodities prices, univariate time-series models, out-of-sample comparison, exchange rates, copper, primary non-ferrous metals.
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The predictive relationship between exchange rate expectations and base metal prices,
Pablo Pincheira and Nicolas Hardy, from University Library of Munich, Germany (2018)
Keywords: Forecasting; commodities; univariate time-series models; out-of-sample comparison; exchange rates; copper; base metals
Downloads

Forecasting Aluminum Prices with Commodity Currencies,
Pablo Pincheira and Nicolas Hardy, from University Library of Munich, Germany (2019)
Keywords: Forecasting, commodities, aluminum, univariate time-series models, out-of-sample comparison, exchange rates.
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The Mean Squared Prediction Error Paradox: A summary,
Pablo Pincheira and Nicolas Hardy, from University Library of Munich, Germany (2020)
Keywords: Mean Squared Prediction Error, Correlation, Forecasting, Time Series, Random Walk.
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The Mean Squared Prediction Error Paradox,
Pablo Pincheira and Nicolas Hardy, from University Library of Munich, Germany (2021)
Keywords: Mean Squared Prediction Error, Correlation, Forecasting, Time Series, Random Walk.
Downloads

Correlation Based Tests of Predictability,
Pablo Pincheira and Nicolas Hardy, from University Library of Munich, Germany (2022)
Keywords: Forecasting, time-series, out-of-sample evaluation, mean squared prediction error, correlations.
Downloads

Forecasting base metal prices with exchange rate expectations,
Pablo Pincheira and Nicolas Hardy, in Journal of Forecasting (2023) Downloads

The mean squared prediction error paradox,
Pablo Pincheira and Nicolas Hardy, in Journal of Forecasting (2024) Downloads

Correlation‐based tests of predictability,
Pablo Pincheira and Nicolas Hardy, in Journal of Forecasting (2024) Downloads

Forecasting Chilean inflation with international factors,
Pablo Pincheira and Andres Gatty, in Empirical Economics (2016)
Keywords: Inflation, Forecasting, Time series
Downloads

Forecasting building permits with Google Trends,
David Coble and Pablo Pincheira, in Empirical Economics (2021)
Keywords: Online search, Prediction, Forecasting, Time series, Building permits, Google trends
Downloads

External Imbalances, Valuation Adjustments and Real Exchange Rate: Evidence of Predictability in an Emerging Economy,
Jorge Selaive and Pablo Pincheira, from Central Bank of Chile (2008) Downloads

Forecasting Inflation Forecast Errors,
Andrea Betancor and Pablo Pincheira, from Central Bank of Chile (2008) Downloads

Communicational Bias In Monetary Policy: Can Words Forecast Deeds?,
Pablo Pincheira and Mauricio Calani, from Central Bank of Chile (2009) Downloads

The Low Predictive Power of Simple Phillips Curves in Chile: A Real-Time Evaluation,
Pablo Pincheira and Hernán Rubio, from Central Bank of Chile (2010) Downloads

Jaque Mate a las Proyecciones de Consenso,
Pablo Pincheira and Nicolás Fernández, from Central Bank of Chile (2011) Downloads

Evaluation of Short Run Inflation Forecasts in Chile,
Pablo Pincheira and Roberto Alvarez, from Central Bank of Chile (2012) Downloads

Forecasting Chilean Inflation with International Factors,
Pablo Pincheira and Andres Gatty, from Central Bank of Chile (2014) Downloads

The Long-Term Divergence Between Your CPI and Mine, The Case of Chile,
Andrea Bentancor and Pablo Pincheira, from Central Bank of Chile (2014) Downloads

The Out-of-sample Performance of an Exact Median-Unbiased Estimator for the Near-Unity AR(1) Model,
Carlos A. Medel and Pablo Pincheira, from University Library of Munich, Germany (2015)
Keywords: Near-unity autoregression; median-unbiased estimation; unbiasedness; unit root model; forecasting; forecast combinations
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The Evasive Predictive Ability of Core Inflation,
Pablo Pincheira, Jorge Selaive and Jose Nolazco, from University Library of Munich, Germany (2016)
Keywords: Inflation, Forecasting, Time Series, Monetary Policy, Core Inflation
Downloads

Forecasting Inflation in Latin America with Core Measures,
Pablo Pincheira, Jorge Selaive and Jose Nolazco, from University Library of Munich, Germany (2017)
Keywords: Inflation, Forecasting, Time Series, Monetary Policy, Core Inflation, Developing Countries.
Downloads

Forecasting Unemployment Rates with International Factors,
Pablo Pincheira and Ana María Hernández, from University Library of Munich, Germany (2019)
Keywords: Forecasting, unemployment, international factors, time-series models, out-of-sample comparison, nested models.
Downloads

The out-of-sample performance of an exact median-unbiased estimator for the near-unity AR(1) model,
Carlos A. Medel and Pablo Pincheira, in Applied Economics Letters (2016) Downloads

Oil Shocks and Inflation The Case Of Chile and a Sample of Industrial Countries,
Pablo Pincheira and Álvaro García M, in Journal Economía Chilena (The Chilean Economy) (2007) Downloads

El escaso poder predictivo de simples curvas de Phillips en Chile,
Pablo Pincheira and Hernán Rubio Hurtado, in Revista CEPAL (2015) Downloads

The low predictive power of simple Phillips curves in Chile,
Pablo Pincheira and Hernán Rubio Hurtado, in Revista CEPAL (2015) Downloads

Forecasting inflation in Latin America with core measures,
Pablo Pincheira, Jorge Selaive and Jose Nolazco, in International Journal of Forecasting (2019)
Keywords: Inflation; Forecasting; Time series; Monetary policy; Core inflation; Developing countries;
Downloads

En busca de un buen marco de referencia predictivo para la inflación en Chile,
Pablo Pincheira and Alvaro Garcia-Marin, in El Trimestre Económico (2012)
Keywords: Predicción de inflación, encuesta de expectativas, predicción fuera de muestra, evaluación predictiva, estacionalidad multiplicativa
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Forecasting Inflation with a Simple and Accurate Benchmark: The Case of the US and a Set of Inflation Targeting Countries,
Pablo Pincheira and Carlos A. Medel, in Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver) (2015)
Keywords: inflation forecasts, benchmark models, univariate time-series models, out-of-sample comparison
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Forecasting with a Random Walk,
Pablo Pincheira and Carlos A. Medel, in Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver) (2016)
Keywords: inflation forecasts, unit root, univariate time-series models, out-of-sample comparison, random walk
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Carbon Kuznets curve: a dynamic empirical approach for a panel data,
Roxana Pincheira, Felipe Zuniga and Pablo Neudörfer, in Accounting and Finance (2021) Downloads

Cooperative and Area Yield Insurance: A Theoretical Analysis,
Pablo Pincheira and Kimberly A. Zeuli, from NCERA-194 Research on Cooperatives (2005)
Keywords: Risk and Uncertainty, Agribusiness
Downloads

The evasive predictive ability of core inflation,
Jose Nolazco, Pablo Pincheira and Jorge Selaive, from BBVA Bank, Economic Research Department (2016)
Keywords: Chile , Economic Analysis , Working Paper
Downloads

“Go Wild for a While!”: A New Test for Forecast Evaluation in Nested Models,
Pablo Pincheira, Nicolas Hardy and Felipe Muñoz, in Mathematics (2021)
Keywords: forecasting; random walk; out-of-sample; prediction; mean square prediction error
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A Simple Out-of-Sample Test of Predictability against the Random Walk Benchmark,
Pablo Pincheira, Nicolas Hardy and Andrea Bentancor, in Mathematics (2022)
Keywords: forecast evaluation; hypothesis testing; random walk; exchange rates; asset returns; commodities
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An Inconvenient Truth about Forecast Combinations,
Pablo Pincheira, Andrea Bentancor and Nicolas Hardy, in Mathematics (2023)
Keywords: forecast combinations; time series; mathematics; predictability; inflation; efficiency; international inflation; core inflation
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"Go wild for a while!": A new asymptotically Normal test for forecast evaluation in nested models,
Pablo Pincheira, Nicolas Hardy and Felipe Muñoz, from University Library of Munich, Germany (2021)
Keywords: forecasting; random walk; out-of-sample; prediction; mean square prediction error
Downloads

Oil Shocks and Inflation The Case of Chile and a Sample of Industrial Countries,
Pablo Pincheira and Alvaro Garcia-Marin, from Central Bank of Chile (2007) Downloads

Forecasting Inflation in Chile With an Accurate Benchmark,
Pablo Pincheira and Alvaro Garcia-Marin, from Central Bank of Chile (2009) Downloads

Forecasting Inflation With a Random Walk,
Pablo Pincheira and Carlos A. Medel, from Central Bank of Chile (2012) Downloads

Forecasting Inflation with a Simple and Accurate Benchmark: a Cross-Country Analysis,
Pablo Pincheira and Carlos A. Medel, from Central Bank of Chile (2012) Downloads

The Out-of-Sample Performance of An Exact Median-Unbiased Estimator for the Near-Unity Ar(1)Model,
Carlos A. Medel and Pablo Pincheira, from Central Bank of Chile (2015) Downloads

Do it with a smile: Forecasting volatility with currency options,
Lorenzo Reus, José A. Carrasco and Pablo Pincheira, in Finance Research Letters (2020)
Keywords: Volatility forecast; Volatility smile; Latin American markets; Currency options;
Downloads

The Elusive Predictive Ability of Global Inflation,
Carlos A. Medel, Michael Pedersen and Pablo Pincheira, in International Finance (2016) Downloads

Forecasting fuel prices with the Chilean exchange rate: Going beyond the commodity currency hypothesis,
Pablo Pincheira, Andrea Bentancor, Nicolas Hardy and Nabil Jarsun, in Energy Economics (2022)
Keywords: Exchange rates; Energy; Oil; Gasoline; Commodity prices; Predictability; Time-series;
Downloads

The effects of intraday foreign exchange market operations in Latin America: results for Chile, Colombia, Mexico and Peru,
Miguel Fuentes, Pablo Pincheira, Juan Julio and Hernan Rincon-Castro, from Banco de la Republica (2014)
Keywords: Exchange rate, central bank intervention, microstructure.
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Chilean Nominal Exchange Rate: Forecasting Based Upon Technical Analysis,
Ana María Abarca, Felipe Alarcón, Pablo Pincheira and Jorge Selaive, from Central Bank of Chile (2007) Downloads

The Elusive Predictive Ability of Global Inflation,
Carlos A. Medel, Michael Pedersen and Pablo Pincheira, from Central Bank of Chile (2014) Downloads

Nominal Exchange Rate in Chile: Predictions based on technical analysis,
Ana María Abarca G., Felipe Alarcón G., Pablo Pincheira and Jorge Selaive, in Journal Economía Chilena (The Chilean Economy) (2007) Downloads

Forecasting Base Metal Prices with an International Stock Index,
Pablo Pincheira, Nicolas Hardy, Cristobal Henrriquez, Ignacio Tapia and Andrea Bentancor, in Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver) (2023)
Keywords: forecasting, commodities, base metals, univariate time-series models, out-of-sample comparison, base metal equity securities.
Downloads

Forecasting Base Metal Prices with an International Stock Index,
Pablo Pincheira, Nicolas Hardy, Andrea Bentancor, Cristóbal Henriquez and Ignacio Tapia, from University Library of Munich, Germany (2021)
Keywords: Forecasting, commodities, base metals, univariate time-series models, out-of-sample comparison, base metal equity securities.
Downloads

Registered author: Bernardo Pincheira

Towards the development of performance-efficient compressed earth blocks from industrial and agro-industrial by-products,
Marian Valenzuela, Gustavo Ciudad, Juan Pablo Cárdenas, Carlos Medina, Alexis Salas, Angelo Oñate, Gonzalo Pincheira, Shady Attia and Víctor Tuninetti, in Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews (2024)
Keywords: Compressed earth blocks; Agro-industrial by-product; Sustainable construction; Stabilizers; CEB; Natural fibers; Durability;
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Inclusion at universities: Psychometric properties of an inclusive management scale as perceived by students,
María José Solis-Grant, Camila Espinoza-Parçet, Cristóbal Sepúlveda-Carrasco, Cristhian Pérez-Villalobos, Iván Rodríguez-Núñez, Cristian Pincheira-Martínez, Juan Pablo Gómez-Varela and Daniela Aránguiz-Ibarra, in PLOS ONE (2022) Downloads

The effects of intraday foreign exchange market operations in Latin America: results for Chile, Colombia, Mexico and Peru,
Miguel Fuentes, Pablo Pincheira, Juan Julio, Hernan Rincon-Castro, Santiago Garcia-Verdu, Miguel Zerecero, Marco Vega, Erick Lahura and Ramon Moreno, from Banco de la Republica de Colombia (2014) Downloads

The effects of intraday foreign exchange market operations in Latin America: results for Chile, Colombia, Mexico and Peru,
Miguel Fuentes, Pablo Pincheira, Juan Julio, Hernan Rincon-Castro, Santiago Garcia-Verdu, Miguel Zerecero, Marco Vega, Erick Lahura and Ramon Moreno, from Bank for International Settlements (2014)
Keywords: Exchange rate, central bank intervention, microstructure
Downloads

Predictable Variation of Range-Sizes across an Extreme Environmental Gradient in a Lizard Adaptive Radiation: Evolutionary and Ecological Inferences,
Daniel Pincheira-Donoso, in PLOS ONE (2011) Downloads

Teachers’ Mathematics Knowledge for Teaching Early Algebra: A Systematic Review from the MKT Perspective,
Nataly Pincheira and Ángel Alsina, in Mathematics (2021)
Keywords: mathematical knowledge; teachers; systematic review; early algebra; childhood and primary education
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