Motor Vehicle Output and GDP, 1968–2007

Danilo Santini () and David Poyer ()

Atlantic Economic Journal, 2008, vol. 36, issue 4, 483-491

Abstract: In this paper, we assess the performance of the BEA series “value of motor vehicle output” as an indicator of the business cycle over the period 1968–2007. We statistically assess the causal relationship between real motor vehicle output (RMVO) and real gross domestic product (RGDP). This is accomplished by standard estimation and statistical methods used to assess vector autoregressive models. This assessment represents the initial results of a more encompassing research project, the intent of which is to determine the dynamic interaction of the transport sector with the overall economy. It’s a start to a more comprehensive assessment of how transport and economic activity interrelate. Copyright International Atlantic Economic Society 2008

Keywords: Business cycles; Vector autoregressive; Applied econometrics; C10; C22; C53; E00; E17; E30; E32; L91 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2008
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DOI: 10.1007/s11293-008-9139-5

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