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Grain Price Fluctuations and Witch Hunting in Bavaria

Joerg Baten and Ulrich Woitek

Working Papers from Business School - Economics, University of Glasgow

Abstract: Based on the data set of Behringer (1997), we develop and test competing models of the determinants of witch hunting in Bavaria in the period 1345-1750, which explain the cyclicity as well as the variation over time from the 14th to the 18th century. Our main focus is on economic factors and their influence on the intensity of prosecution. We analyse this issue by quantifying the importance of grain price fluctuations for the frequency of witch trials/accusations, taking into account other possible explanations like the impact of confession and regional characteristics.

Date: 2001-03
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