Does Climate Change Make Foodgrain Yields More Unpredictable? Evidence from India

Saumya Verma, Shreekant Gupta and Partha Sen

No 8161, CESifo Working Paper Series from CESifo

Abstract: How would climate change affect India’s agriculture which accounts for sixty percent of employment? We study the impact of climate change on the level and variability of yields of rice (India’s major food crop) and two key millet crops (sorghum and pearl millet), using an all India district level panel dataset from 1966-2011. A stochastic production function is estimated with exogenous climate anomalies. We find that climate change adversely affects both the level and variability of crop yields - rice yields are reduced by rainfall extremes whereas extremely high temperatures make yields of all three crops highly variable with the biggest impact on millets.

Keywords: agriculture; climate change; foodgrain yields; India; millets; rice; stochastic production function (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: D24 O13 Q54 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2020
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-agr, nep-dev and nep-env
References: Add references at CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)

Downloads: (external link)
https://www.cesifo.org/DocDL/cesifo1_wp8161.pdf (application/pdf)

Related works:
Working Paper: Does climate change make foodgrain yields more unpredictable? Evidence from India (2020)
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ces:ceswps:_8161

Access Statistics for this paper

More papers in CESifo Working Paper Series from CESifo Contact information at EDIRC.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Klaus Wohlrabe ().