Tracing the Genesis of Contagion in the Oil-Finance Nexus

Scott Mahadeo, Reinhold Heinlein and Gabriella Legrenzi ()

No 7925, CESifo Working Paper Series from CESifo

Abstract: A new procedure to trace the sources of contagion in the oil-finance nexus is proposed. We do this by consolidating veteran rules derived from the empirical oil literature to filter oil supply, global demand, and oil demand shocks into discrete typical and extreme conditions. We show how these identified conditions can then be used to determine the stable and extreme sub-samples for comparing market relationships in the construction of contagion tests. Our original approach is useful for systemic risk assessment in countries vulnerable to oil market shocks. We illustrate the procedure using the dynamic relationships between the international crude oil market and the financial markets of a small oil-exporter.

Keywords: contagion; correlation; exchange rate; oil; stock market (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C32 E37 Q43 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2019
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-ene, nep-mac and nep-ore
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)

Downloads: (external link)
https://www.cesifo.org/DocDL/cesifo1_wp7925.pdf (application/pdf)

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ces:ceswps:_7925

Access Statistics for this paper

More papers in CESifo Working Paper Series from CESifo Contact information at EDIRC.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Klaus Wohlrabe ().