[go: up one dir, main page]
More Web Proxy on the site http://driver.im/ skip to main content
10.5555/3275382.3275407guideproceedingsArticle/Chapter ViewAbstractPublication PagesConference Proceedingsacm-pubtype
research-article
Free access

A partially grounded agent based model on demonetisation outcomes in India

Published: 09 July 2018 Publication History

Abstract

In November 2016 the Indian government announced a policy of demonetising the ₹500 and ₹1000 currency notes in an attempt to move the economy into using cashless modes for financial transactions. This paper examines the likely impact of demonetisation on such a cash-intensive economy using an Agent-Based Modeling (ABM) approach. The goals were to understand pathways to transition to a cashless money-use behavior and to estimate a population's inconvenience in accessing cash modes. Our model uses empirical evidence from a survey which studied the systemic and behavioral drivers of money-use behavior post-demonetisation. The model is able to illustrate outcomes depicting the pattern of transition to digital payments. We present a framework for optimal remonetisation considering infrastructure density and inconvenience experienced during transition by the population. Simulation analysis found other interesting insights such as service infrastructure acting as a catalyst to noncash transition.

References

[1]
Bandura, A. 1977. "Self efficacy: Toward a unifying theory of behavioral change." Psychological Review 84 (2): 194--215.
[2]
Bandura, A. 1997. Self-efficacy: The exercise of control. New York: W. H. Freeman and Company.
[3]
Bandura, A. 1991. "Social Cognitive theory of self regulation." Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, 50: 248--287.
[4]
Barat, Souvik, Vinay Kulkarni, Tony Clark, and Balbir Barn. 2017. "An actor-model based bottom-up simulation---An experiment on Indian demonetisation initiative." Simulation Conference (WSC), 2017. Winter, IEEE, 2017. 860--871.
[5]
Berry, L. L. 1979. "The time-Buying Consumer." Journal of Retailing 55 (4): 58--69.
[6]
Berry, L. L., K. Seiders, and D. Grewal. 2002. "Understanding Service Convenience." Journal of Marketing 66 (3): 1--17.
[7]
Blackwell, R. D., Miniard, P. W., & Engel, J. F. 2001. Consumer behavior". Troy, MO: Harcourt College Publishers.
[8]
Braga, F., G. Isabella, and J Mazzon. 2013. "Do Digital Wallets as a payment method influence consumer in their buying behavior." Encontro Da Anpad-Enanpad. 35.
[9]
Brown S, Alan R. Dennis & Venkatesh V. 2010. "Predicting Collaboration Technology Use: Integrating Technology Adoption and Collaboration Research." Journal of Management Information Systems, 27 (2): 9--54.
[10]
Chandrakar, Ila. 2017. "Analysis of the effects of currency demonetization in India using Bayesian prediction." Computing and Communications Technologies (ICCCT), 2017 2nd International Conference IEEE, 2017. 117--122.
[11]
Claessens, Stijn. 2006. Access to Financial Services : A Review of the Issues and Public Policy Objectives. Oxford University Press.
[12]
Gross, B. L. 1987. "Time Scarcity: Interdisciplinary Perspectives and Implications for Consumer Behavior." In Research in Consumer Behavior, by J. N. and Hirschman, E. C. Sheth, 1--54. Greenwich: JAI Press.
[13]
Hall, B H., and B Khan. 2003. "Adoption of new technology." In New Economy Handbook, by Derek C. Jones. Academic Press.
[14]
Javadi, M. H., H. R. Dolatabadi, M. Nourbakhsh, A. Poursaeedi, and A. Asadollahi. 2012. "An analysis of factors affecting on online shopping behavior of consumers." International Journal of Marketing Studies 4 (5): 81--98.
[15]
Jonker, N. 2007. "Payment Instruments As Perceived By Consumers - Results from a Household Survey, 155 (3),." De Economist 155 (3): 271--303.
[16]
Kosse, A. 2010. The safety of cash and debit cards: a study on the perception and behavior of Dutch customers. working paper No.245., DNB.
[17]
Krishnan, D., and S. Siegel. 2017. "Survey of the Effects of Demonetisation on 28 Slum Neighbourhoods in Mumbai." 52 (3).
[18]
Kummamuru, S, and J Raveendran. 2017. "Behavioural Drivers Towards Digital Money Usage Post Demonetization: Insights From A Study Of Pink Collar Workers." 5th Biennial Indian Academy of Management conference.
[19]
Kupetz, H.A. 2007. "The Cashless future." The Futurist, May-June.
[20]
Lam, Shun Yin, Jeongwen Chiang, and A. Parasuraman. 2008. "The effects of the dimensions of technology readiness on technology acceptance: An empirical analysis." Journal of interactive marketing 22, no. 4 19--39.
[21]
Mai, H. 2016. Cash, freedom and crime Use and impact of cash in a world going digital. Deutsche Bank Research.
[22]
OCED. 2017. Ensuring financial education and consumer protection for all in the digital age. G20/OECD INFE report on digitalisation, consumer protection and financial literacy.
[23]
Parasuraman, A. 2000. "Technology Readiness Index (TRI) a multiple-item scale to measure readiness to embrace new technologies." Journal of Service Research 2 (4): 307--320.
[24]
Parker, K.S., M.H. Williams, and N. Turner. 2006. "Modeling the Antecedents of Proactive Behavior at Work." Journal of Applied Psychology 91 (3): 636 -- 652.
[25]
RBI. 2017. "From Cash to Non-cash and Cheque to Digital: The Unfolding Revolution in India's Payment Systems." https://rbi.org.in/scripts/MSM_Mintstreetmemos7.aspx#F1.
[26]
RBI. 2017. "Macroeconomic Impact of Demonetisation - A Preliminary Assessment."
[27]
Schuh, S., and J Stavins. 2015. "How do speed and security influence consumers' payment behavior?" European Central Bank Working paper series, No. 1871.
[28]
Sood, Atul, and Baruah Ashapurna. 2018. "The new moral economy." Note-Bandi: Demonetisation and India's Elusive Chase for Black Money.
[29]
Venkatesh, V., and G.M. Morris. 2000. "Why don't men ever stop to ask for directions? Gender, social influence, and their role in technology acceptance and usage behavior." MIS Quarterly 24 (1): 115--139.
[30]
Worstall, Tim. 2016. "India's Demonetisation Kills 100 People Apparently - This Is Not An Important Number." forbes.com. December.
[31]
Yale, l, and A Venkatesh. 1986. "Toward the construct of convenience in consumer research." Advances in Consumer Research. Association for Consumer Research. 403--408.
  1. A partially grounded agent based model on demonetisation outcomes in India

    Recommendations

    Comments

    Please enable JavaScript to view thecomments powered by Disqus.

    Information & Contributors

    Information

    Published In

    cover image Guide Proceedings
    SummerSim '18: Proceedings of the 50th Computer Simulation Conference
    July 2018
    398 pages

    Publisher

    Society for Computer Simulation International

    San Diego, CA, United States

    Publication History

    Published: 09 July 2018

    Author Tags

    1. behavioral antecedents
    2. demonetisation planning
    3. digital transactions
    4. inconvenience

    Qualifiers

    • Research-article

    Contributors

    Other Metrics

    Bibliometrics & Citations

    Bibliometrics

    Article Metrics

    • 0
      Total Citations
    • 230
      Total Downloads
    • Downloads (Last 12 months)90
    • Downloads (Last 6 weeks)3
    Reflects downloads up to 11 Dec 2024

    Other Metrics

    Citations

    View Options

    View options

    PDF

    View or Download as a PDF file.

    PDF

    eReader

    View online with eReader.

    eReader

    Login options

    Media

    Figures

    Other

    Tables

    Share

    Share

    Share this Publication link

    Share on social media