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Parametric and distribution-free bootstrapping in robust simulation-optimization

Published: 05 December 2010 Publication History

Abstract

Most methods in simulation-optimization assume known environments, whereas this research accounts for uncertain environments combining Taguchi's world view with either regression or Kriging (also called Gaussian Process) metamodels (emulators, response surfaces, surrogates). These metamodels are combined with Non-Linear Mathematical Programming (NLMP) to find robust solutions. Varying the constraint values in this NLMP gives an estimated Pareto frontier. To account for the variability of this estimated Pareto frontier, this contribution considers different bootstrap methods to obtain confidence regions for a given solution. This methodology is illustrated through some case studies selected from the literature.

References

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del Castillo, E. 2007. Process optimization: a statistical approach. New York: Springer.
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Dellino, G., J. P. C. Kleijnen, and C. Meloni. 2010. Robust optimization in simulation: Taguchi and Response Surface Methodology. International Journal of Production Economics 125:52--59.
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Dellino, G., J. P. C. Kleijnen, and C. Meloni. 2009. Robust optimization in simulation: Taguchi and Krige combined. Working Paper Tilburg University, Tilburg, The Netherlands.
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Efron, B., and R. J. Tibshirani. 1993. An introduction to the bootstrap. New York: Chapman & Hall.
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Kleijnen, J. P. C. 2008. Design and analysis of simulation experiments. New York: Springer Science + Business Media. (Chinese translation will be published by Publishing House of Electronics Industry)
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Myers, R. H., D. C. Montgomery, and C. M. Anderson-Cook. 2009. Response Surface Methodology: Process and Product Optimization using Designed Experiments. New York: John Wiley & Sons.
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Nair, V. N. (ed.). 1992. Taguchi's parameter design: a panel discussion. Technometrics 34:127--161.
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Taguchi, G. 1987. System of experimental designs, volumes 1 and 2. New York: UNIPUB/Krauss International.
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Yu, G. 1997. Robust economic order quantity models. European Journal of Operational Research 100:482--493. Zipkin, P. H. 2000. Foundations of inventory management. McGraw-Hill.

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cover image ACM Conferences
WSC '10: Proceedings of the Winter Simulation Conference
December 2010
3519 pages
ISBN:9781424498642

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Winter Simulation Conference

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Published: 05 December 2010

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WSC10
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WSC10: Winter Simulation Conference
December 5 - 8, 2010
Maryland, Baltimore

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WSC '10 Paper Acceptance Rate 184 of 281 submissions, 65%;
Overall Acceptance Rate 3,413 of 5,075 submissions, 67%

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